Week 14: The One Before 15 …

FANTASY FOOTBALL PLAYOFFS!!!!

Smooth like Keith Stone !

THURSDAY

texansTexans @ Jaguars download – MONEY LINE: Texans — SPREAD: Texans (-2.5)

SUNDAY

chiefs  Chiefs @ Redskins png-19 – MONEY LINE: Chiefs — SPREAD: Chiefs (+2.0)

png-12 Vikings @ Ravens png-4 – MONEY LINE: Ravens — SPREAD: Vikings (+7.0)

png-23  Browns @ Patriots png-8 – MONEY LINE: Patriots — SPREAD: Browns (+10.0)

png-16Raiders @ Jets images – MONEY LINE: Jets — SPREAD: Raiders (+3.0)

png-17Colts @ Bengals png-14 – MONEY LINE: Bengals — SPREAD: Bengals (-5.0)

png-3 Panthers @ Saints saints – MONEY LINE: Saints — SPREAD: Panthers (+4.0)

png-13  Lions @ Eagles png-18 – MONEY LINE: Lions — SPREAD: Lions (+3.0)

png-22 Dolphins @ Steelers png-21 – MONEY LINE: Steelers — SPREAD: Dolphins (+3.5)

png-9 Bills @ Buccaneers png-6 – MONEY LINE: Buccaneers — SPREAD: Buccaneers (-2.5)

png-20  Titans @ Broncos broncos – MONEY LINE: Broncos — SPREAD: Broncos (-12.5)

rams Rams @ Cardinals png-10 – MONEY LINE: Cardinals  — SPREAD: Rams (+6.0)

png  Giants @ Chargers  chargers  – MONEY LINE: Chargers — SPREAD: Giants (+3.5)

png-2Seahawks @ 49ers 49ers – MONEY LINE: 49ers — SPREAD: Seahawks (+3.5)

falcons Falcons @ Packers packers – MONEY LINE: Packers — SPREAD: Falcons (+3.0)

MONDAY NIGHT

png-1 Cowboys @ Bears png-15 – MONEY LINE: Cowboys — SPREAD: Cowboys (-1.0)

BYEAHHHHH!!!!

BYEAHHHHH!!!!

UPSET ALERT

  • DOLPHINS
  • SAINTS
  • CARDINALS
  • 49ERS
  • COWBOYS

tom-hanks-in-cast-away

SURVIVOR POOL

  • PATRIOTS
  • BRONCOS
  • CHIEFS
  • RAVENS
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NFL Picks Week 14, 1:00 o’clock games

 

Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5), O/U (41.5)

Miami is 0 and 2 since 1995 when they play the Steelers in Pittsburgh. The Dolphins have a 2-6 record in their last 8 games against Pittsburgh and are on a 5 game losing streak against the Steelers overall. Ben Roethlisberger seems to have a knack for winning games late in the season at home when they mean something and the Steelers are 18-6 ATS at home over the past 24 games.

Gonna go with Pittsburgh here to cover the spread.
Take the under 41.5.

Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots (-10), O/U (45)

New England plays every team tough at home and are coming in on a 5 game winning streak at home. The Browns are 1-4 against the Patriots in their last 5 meetings and are 1-4 against the spread versus the Patriots in their last 5 matchups. Cleveland is going off a tough loss to the Jaguars at home and now have to go on the road against a tough opponent in the Patriots.

Gonna take New England to cover the 10 point spread.
4 out of the past 5 games between Cleveland and New England have gone over the line. Gotta go with the OVER here.

Kansas City Chiefs at Washington Redskins (+2.5), O/U (44)

Kansas City and Washington have both not fared well against the spread in their last 6 games going just 1 and 5 ATS. Washington is on a 5 game losing streak against the Chiefs and haven’t covered the spread in those games either. With the Redskins struggling not looking to make the playoffs and Kansas City looking to get back on track against at team that head coach Andy Reid knows well, I expect this game to get oit of hand rather quickly.

Got to take the Chiefs to cover the 2 points.
Chiefs have gone UNDER the line in 14 of their past 20 games and Washington has gone UNDER the line in 8 of its past 12 at home. All signs pointing to the UNDER here.

Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5), O/U (53)

Detroit has gone under the line in 4 of their last six road games and the Eagles have also gone under the line in 5 of their past 6 homes games. Philadelphia is coming in hot and are 6 and 1 against the Lions at home in their past seven meetings. Detroit has covered the spread in the past two games against Philadelphia and with both teams looking to make a run at the playoffs its going to be a tight game. This game is going to come down to a field goal.

With that I’m going with the Eagles to win this one at home but the Lions WILL COVER the 2.5 point spread.
both defenses have been playing well of late which leads me to believe this is going UNDER the 53 point line.

Indianapolis Colts at Cincinnati Bengals (-5.5), O/U (44.5)

The Colts have beaten the Bengals 7 times in the last 8 meeting between the two and the Colts have covered the spread in those games 5 times. Cincinnati is just 2 and 6 against the spread when playing Indy at home in their last 8 meetings. The Bengals are coming off a 17 to 10 win over the Chargers in week 13 and they had their bye week during week 12. I think the Bengals are going to hit their stride this week and put up a bunch of points against the Colts defense through the air.

Take the Colts to cover the 5.5 in a low scoring game that will go UNDER the 44.5 point line.

Buffalo Bills at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5), O/U (41.5)

Truly a toss up here with two rookie quarterbacks going head to head and two pretty good defenses both against the run and pass. EJ Manuel is heading back to the state where he spent his college career and will have a bunch of fans there pulling for him and that will play a factor in this game. Tampa Bay is 5 and 1 in their last six home games against the Bills and the Bills haven’t cover the spread in their past 5 games in Tampa Bay.

Gonna go with the Bills to win this game covering that 2.5 point spread.
The Bucs and the Bills have both gone OVER the line in 6 out of the last 8 games. Take the OVER again here.

Oakland Raiders at New York Jets (-3), O/U (41.5)

The Jets have played better of late at home this season going 4 and 2 in their past 6 home games. and are also 4 and 2 in their past 6 games against the Raiders. The Raiders will be relying on Rashad Jennings with Run DMC out with an ankle injury against the leagues best run defense so expect Matt McGloin to be throwing the ball a lot against a Jets secondary that has been struggling.

Gonna take the Raiders to COVER the spread in a nail biter with the Jets sneaking out the win but by less than 3 points.
It’s going to be a fast paced game with a lot of drives that end with long touchdowns so I’ve gotta go with the OVER 41.5 point line.

Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers (-3), O/U (46.5)

Atlanta has really struggled this year but they have picked it up of late and I believe that Mike smith’s team will finish the season strong. Green Bay is good at home but they are still without Aaron Rodgers and have been struggling to find the endzone on offense. I think that will continue this week for Green Bay’s offense and the Packers defense will have to try to find pay dirt somehow and keep Matt Ryan at bay. I like the Falcons to upset the Packers here and get a much needed win in regulation by a touchdown.

Take the Falcons against the spread.
Gonna have to go with the UNDER, as I don’t expect much scoring from the Packers offense but their defense will keep the Falcons offense under 30 points.

Minnesota Vikings at Baltimore Ravens (-6), O/U (42.5)

The Vikings have been playing surprisingly well in the past two weeks getting a win versus Chicago and tying with the Packers the week before that. Both of those games went into overtime. We could attest that to Minnesota’s defense and Adrian Peterson. The Ravens know that the Vikings are going to give AP a lot of touches and will probably challenge the Vikings wide receivers to beat them on the outside. Matt Cassel should be able to take advantage of the play action and hit his receivers and tight ends down the field. Baltimore has played really well at home all season but they haven’t scored that many points at home.

Gonna take the Ravens here to COVER the 6 point spread getting the win by a touchdown over Minnesota.
But I’m going to take the OVER on this 42.5 point line with both teams scoring into the twenties.

Week 17: For all the Marbles

We find ourselves at 69% percent for the year ladies and gentleman. Let’s end this thing right shall we?

Marbles

 

SUNDAY

Only Sunday Games now, no whackass Thursday or Saturday Night games to mess with the NFL Original flow.

Eagles @ GIANTS – Win and get in with some help situation for the Giants. They will do their part against a once again Michael Vick-led Eagles squad. The G-Men have become notorious for stepping it up when they need to, but the Eagles have also been a thorn in their side as they showed earlier this year. Michael Vick is giving an audition to quarterback needy teams in this game, so expect him to play his hardest, unfortunately for the Giants and the fans at MetLife.

Buccaneers @ FALCONS – The Falcons will definitely rest some of their starters in this game, they may get the lead and then give it up later in the game must to the chagrin of the crowd, but they’d have to risk getting their starters injured. I don’t believe they are in the mindset of handing a game away to a divisional opponent and the Bucs are awful at stopping their opponents’ passing game. The Bucs on the other hand have some respect to play for and can show that their offense can match anybody’s. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Falcons accepted a loss here.

Jets @ BILLS – The merry-go-round keeps turning for the Jets. Their quarterback situation is a mess and only got messier when McElroy was sacked eleven times and, naturally, suffered a concussion. The Jets, yet again, overlooked Tim Tebow who has made a life off of winning games and turned back to Mark Sanchez. It is being reported Mike Tannenbaum will be fired on Black Monday for his mismanagement of this team. The Bills are going to finish another mediocre season, but with the help of CJ Spiller and Mario Williams will most likely beat up on the slugging Jets.

Ravens @ BENGALS – This is revenge. The Bengals are the hottest team that nobody is paying attention to right now. They have won six out of seven games and it appeared they would be looking to next year when they sat at 3-6, but since they have looked like a well rounded team with a front seven that has developed into a force. The Ravens are coming off a statement win against the Giants in which I and most others underestimated them. With Jim Caldwell behind the helms of the offense, it looked like a force that many have thought it could be for a few years now.

Bears @ LIONS – The Bears have crumbled and are all different types of banged up coming into this game. I believe the Bears play their way out of playoff contention and the Lions light up the scoreboard against the Bears.

Jaguars @ TITANS – The Jaguars played a very tight game with the Patriots last week while the were blown out by Green Bay. These teams have both played very poorly all year long. Montell Owens vs Chris Johnson and Chad Henne vs Jake Locker. Some seriously nice matchups here (sarcasm).

Texans @ COLTS – I am picking the Colts in this game for one reason, Chuckstrong. The Texans may play themselves out of the bye and homefield here. The Texans are definitely the better team here but there is a Magic surrounding these Colts this year and especially at home that I cannot seem to deny this last game of the year.

NFL: Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts

Panthers @ SAINTS – Drew Brees last game of the year with news that Sean Peyton comes back next year with a nice big new contract? I’ll take him even with Cam Newton and his underrated defense playing solid down the stretch of the year. Both of these teams have underachieved all year, but the Saints find themselves in second place in the division after the Bucs have fallen apart. Maybe a new coach next year for the Panthers and Cam.

Browns @ STEELERS – No Steelers in the playoff, has a weird ring to it. The Steelers had a prime opportunity at home against the Bengals, but played poorly enough to lose that game. The Browns will be firing their head coach Pat Shurmur and starting fresh after this game. I would imagine that the Steelers would be firing Todd Haley after this year and the ineffectiveness of the offense since he came aboard. Big Ben will definitely love the support.

Chiefs @ BRONCOS – Broncos playing for the bye and possibly homefield, the Chiefs are playing a game. Let’s not joke around here. Peyton Manning has been either the Comeback Player of the Year or the MVP, whichever he doesn’t get Adrian Peterson will.

PACKERS @ Vikings – Aaron Rodgers is completing 70% of his passes with 14 touchdowns and 2 interceptions this year in dome games. The Packers put up 55 on the Titans last week for funsies. Adrian Peterson needs 209 yards to break Eric Dickerson’s single season rushing record and as much as I want this machine to break it, I don’t believe he will because they will be playing from behind, even though their running game is what drives them. I think if Leslie Frazier sticks with it then and keeps running the ball to AP they can have a chance, don’t make Christian Ponder throw the ball.

Dolphins @ PATRIOTS – The Pats are also playing for a bye here. Tom Brady will get back his favorite target on a limited basis in Rob Gronkowski. The Dolphins have been fiesty all year under first year coach Joe Philbin and rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill. With a win the Dolphins could end up with a .500 record, but it won’t happen in Foxborough. The ‘Fins have not played great games in the colder weather this season.

Raiders @ CHARGERS – Terrelle Pryor will get his first career start after the Carson Palmer was knocked around last week. The Raiders and Chargers met in their first game of the year, an ugly one, and paved the way for their ugly seasons. The Chargers are coming off a beating of the Jets where they sacked Greg McElroy 11 times. The Chargers will be looking at a new front office and coaching staff, finally, next year.

Cardinals @ 49ERS – The 49ers need this win to clinch the division. Brian Hoyer will get the start. The Cardinals defense has been fierce all year and is the main reason they have won a game in the past 11 weeks. The 49ers defense has been simply better and besides when they got blown up last week by the underrated and streaking Seahawks have been one of, if not, the best defense in the league.

Rams @ SEAHAWKS – Jeff Fisher has coached up this Rams team, mostly their defense. Something is in the defenses’ waters in the NFC West this year because they are all solid. Sam Bradford has been limited this year with developing and injury prone receivers (mostly his best target Danny Amendola). The ‘Hawks are coming off a destruction of the 49ers on national television last Sunday night and are aiming for 8-0 at home this year. No reason they won’t win this game as Russell Wilson continues his ridiculous rookie season, which has been unfortunately overlooked by many because of RGIII and Andrew Luck. Any other season he wins the Rookie of the Year, and he still might this year. He will tie or break Peyton Manning’s rookie single season touchdown record today.

Cowboys @ REDSKINS – Both of these teams came back from “dead” in the NFC East to now be playing for the division title on Sunday Night Football, second consecutive year that the division title will be decided on the last day on NBC. The Cowboys have ridden a red-hot Tony Romo until last week where the Saints played spoiler. The Redskins have now won 6 straight games since starting 3-6 and RGIII is not 100%, but he is still very dangerous with his arm. The home crowd will be pumped and I’m sure the Cowboys will make some mistakes and their defense is just as banged up as the Redskins.

Seems like I like the home teams in these Week 17 matchups.

siren

UPSET ALERT – Anything goes in these games, I’ll put everyone on Upset Alerts this week.

BYEAHHHHH!!!!

BYEAHHHHH!!!!

images (1)

SURVIVOR PICK – Let’s go with the Patriots here. (If picked already: 49ersBroncosSteelers)

Week 14: Nestle Crunch Time!

The double digit wins streak is gone with a 9-7 record last week. Some surprise victories did us in. This week should be better as we have come to the point of the season where no surprises happen, typically. On the year we are sitting at  132-59-1 for a 69% correctness.

Let’s get into it with only four weeks left!

THURSDAY

BRONCOS @ Raiders – This will be a “snoozer”. The Broncos are missing their number one running, but gave an enormous workload to newly anointed starter in Knowshon Moreno. The Raiders’ Carson Palmer is having a good year, but most of his statistics are coming in garbage time. This should be an easy win for the rolling Broncos.

SUNDAY

Rams @ BILLS – I am picking the Bills because they are playing at home and I am certain it is cold outside. The Rams defense isn’t as solid as their run defense, and the Bills are starting to realize their best game-plan is to not force Ryan Fitzpatrick to win them the game, but rather leave it up to their run game. The Rams think they have a shot at the playoffs, but not if Danny Amendola doesn’t play. I want to pick the Rams because they are underrated in my book and bad on the road, 1-3-1. It’s going to be cold and rainy in Buffalo, not good for a passing game.

Cowboys @ BENGALS – The Cowboys just lose their starting nose tackle and now are down to their third string. Tony Romo is going to have a tough time against the Bengals front four, which will have an easy time against the Cowboys bad offensive line. The Bengals will be able to run the ball and throw the ball on a banged up and now very underachieving Bengals defense. It may be a high scoring game however and both teams need the game to stay alive in the playoff chase.

Chiefs @ BROWNS – Only a few words can describe this game: “Man, I hope this isn’t televised.” The Chiefs are coming off a very emotional win, which yours truly predicted correctly. Jamaal Charles needs to go over 100 yards, because nobody should expect the same game from Brady Quinn we saw last week against a bad Panthers defense. The Browns defense is underrated and with Joe Haden guarding Dwayne Bowe, don’t expect much production out of him. The Chiefs will need to have an answer for Trent Richardson and the new #1 receiver on the Browns, Josh Gordon.

Titans @ COLTS – The Titans can’t keep the ball on offense. Jake Locker was looking like he could develop into a good quarterback at the beginning of the season, but it appears that the injury has hindered him. Chris Johnson might have a field day with this Colts run defense, enough to keep them in this game. Andrew Luck will lead his team to another home victory and hopefully with his own touchdowns (for my fantasy team). No Donald Brown for the Colts, which leaves them with a very sub-par running game.

BEARS @ Vikings – I know Brian Urlacher is the leader of the defense, but there are enough play-makers on that team to take over the role. Jay Cutler’s offensive line needs to play better in the face of trash-talking by both teams opposing lines. Cutler will keep abusing Brandon Marshall in the target department as long as their both still living. The Vikes will once again lean heavily on their robot running back, Adrian Peterson. If he can take the pressure of Christian Ponder the Vikings have a chance.

Chargers @ STEELERS – The coach and general manager of the Chargers have already been named soon-to-be victims of the disappointing season experience in San Diego. They were unfortunate to arrive in Pittsburgh with Big Ben returning to good health. The Steelers are more than happy to have their signal caller back healthy so that they can leave their turnover-happy woes behind them. Expect the Steelers to win this one easily.

Eagles @ BUCCANEERS – Nick Foles is starting to look better and not completely incompetent in that offense. Bryce Brown is running a muck in the NFL and seems to be the hottest back besides Adrian Peterson in the NFL. They’re bigger problem now is their failing leaky defense that will get no mercy from the Bucs juggernaut offense. The Bucs need this game to stay in playoff contention because with a loss and any teams in front winning can count themselves out. Doug Martin has seen the box stacked a lot in the past few weeks.

Ravens @ REDSKINS – The Ravens’ record does not show their fault, but the highlights and tapes do. They are not as solid as their 9-3 record would have you believe, but they find a way to win games. Joe Flacco is having another disappointing season, and Cam Cameron appears to not want to lean on Ray Rice every game, which worked in the past (head-scratcher as to why you wouldn’t.) RgIII played a great game Monday night, but was helped certainly by a fluke play on the first touchdown and then by the ineptness of the Giants’ offense in the fourth quarter. The Ravens won’t have an answer for him, but expect some points here.

qm rg

FALCONS @ Panthers – The Falcons are coming off a huge win to their “daddy”. This is a typical let down game, but the Panthers just hit rock-bottom after losing to the Chiefs. Asante Samuel probably won’t play here leaving the Falcons somewhat thin in the secondary. The Panthers haven’t beaten the Falcons in three years now. Matt Ryan isn’t putting up the same numbers as he was at the beginning of the year, because teams have adjusted to the passing game plan of the Falcons. Expect some scoring here as well.

JETS @ Jaguars – Another ugly won that I know will be on television in New York. The Jets turned to Greg McElroy last week, only to turn back to Mark Sanchez (which I predicated) this week, but this is a completely different defense they faced last week. The Jags are down to their fourth string running back and will be without Cecil Shorts. Cromartie will be pinned to Justin Blackmon leaving the Jags only weapon Mercedes Lewis. This will not be pretty or enjoyable unless your a Jets fan.

Saints @ GIANTS – The Giants are doing exactly what we’ve come to expect. Roll through the first half of the year and then start to swoon, but win the games they need to in order to find their way into the playoffs on a hot streak. The Saints need this win to even have a chance, but it’s a very slim chance. Drew Brees does not play as well outside as he does indoors, but coming off 3+ interception days (he’s had five of them), Drew Brees has thrown 17 touchdowns and 4 interceptions (not good for the Giants’ secondary). Expect the Giants pass rush to disrupt Brees because they couldn’t get to RGIII last week and they don’t have consecutive bad games.

Dolphins @ 49ERS – This 49ers defense will have their way with rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill, especially Aldon Smith (the NFL’s sack leader) because Jake Long is now on the I.R. Colin Kaepernick is coming off a bad game against the Rams defense and almost another tie. The Dolphins are scrappy so this might be closer than one would think, but the 49ers should take this one.

Cardinals @ SEAHAWKS – Has one team ever had more home-field advantage in a single season? The 12th man in Seattle is something else and it will continue this week with the lowly Cardinals coming into town. John Skelton has been re-injected into the #1 spot on the depth chary after Ryan Lindley’s awful and abysmal performance, which left many wondering why Ken Whisenhunt didn’t replace him at halftime. The Seahawks are coming off a huge win against the Chicago Bears in overtime and will look to keep a hold on the last wild card spot in the NFC.

Lions @ PACKERS – The Lions are definitely the most disappointing and under-achieving team this year. Lots of talent, lots of promise but not enough of the “it” factor to put games away and keep themselves winning like last year. It’s a shame because Calvin Johnson’s possible MVP year is going to waste. Megatron is on pace to break Jerry Rice’s receiving yards record in a single season, and most likely won’t slow up even facing more double teams now that the Lions are depleted at wide receiver. The Packers are just sledding along toward the playoffs with a bunch of injuries of their own, but their guys will be healthy come playoff time.

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MONDAY

PATRIOTS @ Texans – This is a fantastic game and definitely the game of the week. Possibly the best matchup ESPN picked for Monday Night Football all year long. The Pats certainly miss Gronkowski, but Aaron Hernandez is getting healthier and Tom Brady will definitely find much more now. Their defense has been getting better and has been forcing a large amount of turnovers. The Texans are sitting at a nice 11-1 with a playoff spot locked up. Their defense is slowing up with all of their injuries and the Patriots offense will definitely exploit this. Expect a barn-burner here.

siren

UPSET ALERT – I am putting the Falcons, the Bearsand the Ravens on Upset Alert.

tom-hanks-in-cast-away

SURVIVOR PICK – Colts (If Picked already: Seahawks, and Broncos)

 

Week 10: Start of Movember

12-2 last week … SOMEBODY STOP ME!!! … We are now two weeks into “No Shave November” …  Who’s taking part in it??

Our winning percentage is off the charts right now, so why should we stop??

THURSDAY

COLTS @ Jaguars – I called the emotional win for the Colts last week. The team has shaved their heads in honor of Chuck Pagano. They are on a roll and Andrew Luck is playing less like a rookie each game. The Jaguars are a team that cannot stop going in the wrong direction. They lack weapons on any side of the ball without MoJo-Drew. The Colts will win this easy as long as they keep their eyes on the prize.

SUNDAY

GIANTS @ Bengals – The Bengals are mired in a big slump after their offense started on fire and their defense was just awful compared to last year’s surprising squad. Andy Dalton has thrown an interception in each game this year and the Giants are prone to taking the ball away on defense (not as much as that team in Chicago.) The Giants loss to the Steelers was a tough one, because the Steelers patch-work running game was able to go straight down the Giants throat. Eli Manning is starting to slump and Ron Jaworski from ESPN said his arm looks “tired”. The Giants would do well for themselves by winning this away game before their bye because one of those second place teams actually has to win today by definition.

Titans @ DOLPHINS – Jake Locker’s healthy after Hasselbeck gets lit up? You’re kidding??? What a shocker! The Titans need Locker to stay healthy to stay relevant in the AFC South because the Colts are getting better weekly and the Titans are light-years ahead of them right now. The Dolphins could have won the game last week against the Colts, but Ryan Tannehill was outdone by his rookie counterpart in Andrew Luck. Reggie Bush is starting to get back to form, which spells trouble for a bad Titans defense.

LIONS @ Vikings – The Vikings took it to the Lions in the first meeting this year. That’s when the Vikings were a surprising team, but they’ve since begun their descent back down to Earth. The Lions are starting to click, even with a running game last weekend. Adrian Peterson continued his absolutely inhuman ways last week on a ridiculous run that he nearly scored on. His absurd play cannot compensate for Christian Ponder’s recent plummet.

Bills @ PATRIOTS – Too easy. The spread is now at 14, and some are probably tempted to take it … WHY NOT! The Bills have been talking all week about drafting a franchise quarterback, when they just signed their current one to a new deal last year mid-way through the season. Never a smart move. The Patriots are coming off their bye and will look to pad their AFC East lead at home against a bad, BAD Bills defense.

Smooth like Keith Stone !

Falcons @ SAINTS – This is a big game AND a big rivalry game. Now the Falcons are definitely the more complete team, but the Saints are facing straight must-wins and they get this one at home. The Falcons have been skating along some thin ice in a lot of their wins this year. Drew Brees didn’t even have a Drew Brees game, but they still smoked the Eagles on Monday Night. I think this is the game the Falcons finally lose.

Chargers @ BUCCANEERS – The Chargers are their usual selves just hanging around .500 and keep underachieving. Philip Rivers is not of the Big Ben, Eli Manning, Tom Brady, Peyton, Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers group where you can make any receiver look like fool’s gold. They have some offensive talent in Mathews, Gates and Floyd, but it hasn’t clicked yet. The Bucs are rolling and have become a Fantasy Football juggernaut. Freeman has been playing much better with weapons like Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams (resurgence), and the “Muscle Hamster” (Doug Martin). I like the Bucs at home.

BRONCOS @ Panthers – I was just watching Sunday NFL Countdown and a couple of the guys picked the Panthers and all I could do was shake my head. The Broncos may be the most dangerous team in the AFC right now. The defense is solid and almost just as good as the Texans defense, but I definitely give the edge to Peyton Manning running an offense over Matt Schaub. The Broncos will not lose this game because Peyton is just too hot right now.

Raiders @ RAVENS – That banged-up Ravens defense didn’t look to shabby last week only giving up 15 points to the Browns and keeping them out of the end zone. The Raiders are going to be without their top two receivers and will most certainly have to rely on Carson Palmer, who has been much better this year than last. The ball NEEDS to go to Ray Rice more if the Ravens want to stay a legitimate playoff contender. This shouldn’t be a tough game for them though.

Jets @ SEAHAWKS – The 12th man is doing its job this year. The Seahawks are 4-0 this year and I don’t see that changing this Sunday. The Jets have been more scrappy than ever since their two most talented players went down to season-ending injuries. Mark Sanchez continues his poor play and probably won’t break out of it against a good Seahawks defense that held Christian Ponder to 63 yards. Rex Ryan salivates over rookie quarterbacks usually, but if they can’t contain Marshawn Lynch, it’ll be a different story.

COWBOYS @ Eagles – Andy Reid will not finish out the year, and it’s not necessarily his fault. Michael Vick probably won’t be back next year and it isn’t his fault. Yeah he’s turning the ball over but he has 2 seconds to get rid of the ball, and they’ve basically abandoned the run. There’s too much talent on this Eagles team on both sides of the ball for them to be 3-5, and the same thing can be said for their division rival Cowboys. Tony Romo didn’t turn the ball over last week and they still lost. Their defense played very well last week, but the offense was not opportunistic and missed a lot of chances to win the game. I don’t expect either of these coaches back next year.

Rams @ 49ERS – Danny Amendola’s coming back already. It won’t make a difference against this 49ers team. Both of these teams come off their byes to face physical defenses. The Rams have only really been blown out against the Patriots in London and the 49ers have appeared to be on a mission since getting rolled by the New York Giants. Both quarterbacks need some time and their running games if either one wants to win this game. This feels like a coaching chess-match to me, but it’ll go to the more talented team ,but Jeff Fisher has helped turn this Rams franchise around already.

TEXANS @ Bears – This is the toss-up of the day. The weather report says it’s going to rain … a lot and all day. That favors defense, as if these defenses needed any help. The Bears defense can’t keep their hands off the ball and themselves out of the endzone. Jay Cutler is winning these games and usually by playing better in the fourth quarter, surprisingly. What does not bode well for the Bears is that the Texans can hold onto the ball very securely and are solid on both sides of the ball and are probably the best AFC team. This could even be a Superbowl preview ladies and gents.

MONDAY

STEELERS @ Chiefs – Why bother justifying this when the Chiefs have turned the ball over more than anyone and have never had a lead this season. Steelers seem to only be getting better and without their best defensive players. Watch out AFC! Jamaal Charles and Dwayne Bowe are wasting away in Kansas City’s offense.

UPSET ALERT – I am placing the traveling Broncos on Upset Alert, as well as the Falcons because the worst team to face is a desperate team that needs to win the game to stay relevant, and a good one at that. The Lions have a worse record so that means the Vikings get an Upset Alert from me.

SURVIVOR PICK – Steelers are a mortal lock. (If Picked Already: PatriotsRavens49ers , and Seahawks).

Those are my two cents … cash ’em in!

T-Catz (Anthony)Saints

 

 

Week 9: Power Outage

So, we made it to 11 wins again. 11-3 last week, and like Train 777 we are “Unstoppable” right now!

Watch Out!

Our prayers go out to those who have been hurt and have been severely affected by Hurricane Sandy. Please donate what you can and do not forget those in need in their time of biggest need!

Let’s get to it!

THURSDAY

Chiefs @ CHARGERS – The Chiefs are historically bad, never possessing a lead at any point in regulation this season. They want to start Brady Quinn over the man they’ve paid millions of dollars to. The Chargers did their best Chiefs impression last week losing to the Browns 7-6 in ugly weather. The Chargers won’t find their path to victory so slippery this week in an easy win.

BRONCOS @ Bengals – Peyton Manning is picking up where he left off two seasons ago. The Broncos look like a top five team this year and definitely top two in the AFC. Their offense and their defense are complete and are on a roll, their defense held the high-powered Saints to a mere fourteen points. The Bengals are coming off their bye and they are at home, but are simply outmatched. Champ Bailey figures to shadow AJ Green, which will be interesting to watch, but it won’t matter unless the Bengals defense can stop Peyton.

RAVENS @ Browns – The Ravens are coming off their bye and have hopefully, for their own sake, have fixed their defensive problems. The ball needs to go to Ray Rice more, Flacco can be a good, possibly great quarterback but Ray Rice needs to be the centerpiece, plain and simple. The Browns, pulled out an ugly win last week. They just aren’t good, but Brandon Weeden is coming along, but needs to be quicker since he’s already 28 years old. Keep throwing the ball to Josh Gordon and good things will happen.

Cardinals @ PACKERS – The Cardinals can’t keep their quarterback upright and you know Clay Matthews is salivating at this fact. The Packers didn’t look great last week against the lowly Jags, but what’s to expect when your two best receivers are injured. They will roll this week, no worries Cheeseheads.

BEARS @ Titans – The Bears squeaked out a win against the underachieving Panthers. They need to be better on offense for four quarters if they want to be real contenders even if their defense is lights out. The Titans are coming off a tough loss to the Colts in Indy. The Titans have relied heavily on Chris Johnson the past few weeks as it appears he may be headed back to his 2K form, but it won’t be easy against this Bears defense.

Dolphins @ COLTS– The Colts get to stay at home after beating the Titans in a tight game that went to overtime. The Dolphins are coming off a huge win in New Jersey after shellacking the Jets. The Dolphins’ defense is the biggest story this year, their run defense is solid, but their pass defense is middle of the road. They have found ways to win their games and sit at 4-3. The Colts have looked better with Andrew Luck under center, but their defense just isn’t all that good. This is a tough match-up but I’ll take the grittier team. I am switching my pick and picking the emotional team because Chuck Pagano will be in the stadium to watch the Colts.

Panthers @ REDSKINS– RG3 drew comparisons to Cam Newton when he came into the league earlier this year, but he is playing better than Cam did. He doesn’t turn the ball over as much as Cam did and he seems to be in control more; his offense has been shaped to match his skill-set. The Panthers definitely played their best game against the Bears, but could not finish. The ‘Skins are coming off an ugly loss to the Steelers, expect a whole different game from the Shannies.

LIONS @ Jaguars – The Lions are fighting their way back to being relevant, but it’s a long road ahead. Stafford seems to be improving as he lit up a good Seahawks secondary last week en route to a big win for the Lions. The Jaguars fought wholeheartedly against the Packers, but with the lack of talent they never really had a chance, much like this week unless Rashad Jennings can simply go ballistic.

Bills @ TEXANS – Both teams are coming off their bye, and Mario Williams is going back “home”. It won’t matter. The Texans are going to beat the Bills handily, expect a lot of throws from Mr. Harvard. The biggest question will be, does Mario Williams get a standing ovation or hear the boo birds?

Steelers @ GIANTS – Battle of the 2004 NFL Draft! Big Ben has two rings and so does Eli, but that doesn’t matter now. What matters now is who will be the better team Sunday. The Steelers have not been able to keep their starting running backs healthy as Isaac Redman will be starting this Sunday after coming off a good win against the Redskins. The Giants were rolling into halftime against the Cowboys in Dallas, but started to crumble. Then, Captain Eli led his team to victory as the Giants got lucky as Dez Bryant put his hand out of bounds on a nice throw from Tony Romo with less than 20 seconds left in the game. 

BUCCANEERS @ Raiders – The Bucs rolled their hosts in Minnesota last Thursday. They also just traded away their best defensive player, also an off the field problem, in Aqib  Talib. Their offense is starting to click. The Raiders were able to defeat the lowly Chiefs, but the sledding won’t be easier against the Bucs, who are a great run defense. Darren McFadden continues his subpar season, but will need to break out of it soon for this team to compete.

Vikings @ SEAHAWKS – The 12th man has had its biggest impact ever this year. Teams can’t go to Seattle and win it appears more than ever this year. The Vikings might be finally coming back down to earth as they were rolled by the Bucs at home last week. The Seahawks talented defense will keep the pressure on a suddenly turnover happy Christian Ponder.

Cowboys @ FALCONS – The Falcons return home after rolling the Eagles in Philly, and the Cowboys leave home after a disappointing loss to the Champs. The Cowboys keep playing disappointing football and their schedule doesn’t get easier this week as the Falcons are now sitting a pretty 7-0. Matt Ryan will definitely have his hands full against a good Cowboys defense that frustrated Eli Manning last Sunday, but the Georgia Dome will be too rowdy for the Cowboys.

Eagles @ SAINTS– The Saints are abysmal right now. The Eagles are abysmal right now. But, somebody has to win this game. If the Eagles could go back to running the ball with Shady McCoy they could be a top NFC team, but they can’t keep the ball out of the hands of their opponents’ defense. The Saints schedule doesn’t get easier as time goes along, they still have to play the Falcons twice. I am writing them off for the season, but not this game.

UPSET ALERT  – I am putting the Falcons on Upset Alert, because of how the Cowboys play the best teams tough and have been known for beating undefeated teams. Also, I put the Vikings on Upset Alert going into Seattle is never easy. Dolphins because of Chuck Pagano’s presence.

SURVIVOR PICK – This week I go with the Chargers, simply because of how bad the Chiefs are. (If Picked already: Lions, Packers and Texans.) From here on out, picking against the Chiefs and the Jaguars simply is a good idea.

Those are my two cents … cash ’em in!

Week 8: Can’t Defend the Pretenders

11-2! Many keep saying pick with the spread, by why I’m not trying to help ya’ll gamble. I’m trying to do what the experts do, but at least I know people are checking the posts!

Don’t forget to check out the Lessons Learned from Week 7 after reading my picks.

THURSDAY

BUCCANEERS @ Vikings – Christian Ponder simply looked awful against the Cardinals, Adrian Peterson did not. But this Bucs’ defense is a top 10 run defense. I never expect anyone to hold Peterson down, but it will put more pressure on Ponder, which as last week showed he’s merely a game manager right now. These Bucs are pissed that they lost a heart-breaker to the Saints last week. This offense is for real and if the defense could stay healthy you’d be looking at possibly the second best team in the NFC South. I expect the Bucs to come out with a purpose.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yisxlE4p3BA – If you haven’t seen Joe Morgan’s Touchdown.

SUNDAY

Panthers @ BEARS – The Panthers season has been ugly and will continue to get ugly. Cam Newton has pouted his way through press conferences and most of the season. The GM has been fired and the coach is definitely next. They keep losing focal points of their roster to the IR: Beason, Gamble and Kalil. The Bears offense looked average at best on Monday Night, but the defense has looked masterful the whole season the turnovers and the shutdowns of teams’ number one receivers, now including Megatron.

CHARGERS @ Browns – The Chargers find themselves coming off a bye and off that 24 point blown lead debacle. Unfortunately, that means they’ve had two weeks to let it sink in and watch lots of tape. These things leave a bad taste on in your mouth, but Norv shouldn’t let off the gas now in games and I expect to see that weekend against the lowly Browns, who couldn’t get much against a bad Colts defense. Brandon Weeden is progressing especially with the help of Trent Richardson and Josh Gordon, but it won’t help coach Pat Shurmur.

Seahawks @ LIONS – Seahawks played their letdown game last week and came out flat, especially their wide receivers. Their defense is still living up to its hype, but the offense is just lacking solid play all game long. Russell Wilson dials up one big play usually each game, but you can’t win games like that forever. The Lions again looked flat against a solid Bears defense. Stafford will probably be running for his life a lot, but with two young wide-outs now playing we should expect a lot of throws across the middle, with the focus turned to Calvin Johson.

Jaguars @ PACKERS – No Maurice Jones-Drew and Blaine Gabbert is hurting pretty bad means enough said for this game. The Packers are on a roll and Rodgers won’t lose his funk here. (Side note: Greg Jennings is having surgery on his abdominal and will be sidelined even longer and Jordy Nelson might not play, but Rodgers will make others step up.)

COLTS @ Titans- Luck was a selfish fantasy football player last week as he ran the Colts’ only two touchdowns in himself. This team has not looked much like a playoff contender, except for the team that appeared in the Packers’ game. Luck will have plenty of chances to make the playoffs in what is shaping up to be an illustrious career. Chris Johnson has been going H.A.M the past few weeks and all in Tennesseee are hoping the roll continues.There is no reason to believe it shouldn’t continue in this game against a bad Colts defense, but the Titans are now 2-1 under Matt Hasselbeck. Does this spell Quarterback controversy?

PATRIOTS @ Rams – I dislike the London game, almost as much as I despise Thursday night games. It’s unnecessary travel for players who shouldn’t have to and it’s a marketing ploy by the league. If they wanted to play a game in London, don’t you think they would have played soccer? Anyway, the Pats looked beatable again last week against the Jets. Bill’s got to dial something up this week against a feisty Rams team, who lack play-makers on offense right now as teams stack the box against S-Jax and Daryl Richardson. Danny Amendola is making surprise returns to practice, and they (mostly Sam Bradford) need his slot capabilities.

Dolphins @ JETS – The Dolphins are coming off their bye week, in which they broke a tie and now find themselves in second place in the AFC East. Last game against the Jets, came down to one of the ugliest overtime games ever, in which the Jets won by a field goal. The Jets come off a very gritty overtime loss to the Patriots and they seem to be playing above their talent level. No Santonio Holmes and no Darrell Revis, but this team has been more than in the games that those two guys haven’t played. Expect no less from the Jets on Sunday, but Sanchez will look less than average again against a very underrated Dolphins defense.

Falcons @ EAGLES – Both teams are coming off a bye. The Falcons are 6-0, but have looked beatable and have needed some late magic from Matt Ryan to keep that “L” column clean. The Eagles are an ugly 3-3 in which the games they’ve won haven’t been great and the games they’ve lost haven’t been memorable. The Eagles are 13-0 coming off a bye under Andy Reid. This is the reason I am picking them. Keep in mind that Matt Ryan is from Philly and that Asante Samuel played in
Philly for a few years, and usually those two feed into great performances by individual players. This is my toss-up game for the week.

Redskins @ STEELERS – RG3 looked masterful against the Giants, but Eli Manning did what he does best. The Redskins defense is sub-par after injuries have taken its toll, and now it appears that London Fletcher’s consecutive games streak is in jeopardy. He isn’t as good as he used to be, but he is still a foundation in that defense. RG3 could really use Fred Davis and Pierre Garcon, but he will be without them possibly for the rest of the season as Fred Davis was just lost and Garcon hasn’t been there since the first game. The Steelers came out on top of a hard fought game on Sunday night against the Bengals. Big Ben is leading this team that has only had a running game in this past game. Big Ben will keep his swag this weekend against a bad Redskins defense.

RAIDERS @ Chiefs – The Raiders pulled off a nice comeback against a bad Jaguars team, but a win is a win. Carson Palmer has been much safer with the ball this season, but Darren McFadden hasn’t been putting up those same numbers as last year. The Chiefs are just straight awful. They have turned to Brady Quinn and they have said for good, “so that he won’t be looking over his shoulder.” Dwayne Bowe is just shaking his head. The Chiefs have talent, but turn the ball over a lot and their defense can’t stay on the field that long and expect to keep teams out of the end zone.

It’s Come to This … Now He’s Done!!!

Saints @ BRONCOS – The Saints are coming back, mark it down. They run into a tough test this Sunday against a 3-3 Broncos team that is really better than its records indicates. The three losses have been near comebacks in which they put themselves into a hole early. The Saints are scoring points at will. Drew Brees had over three-hundred yards and four touchdowns at halftime last week, not joking. Peyton is leading this talented offense the same way he did in Indy, the difference is his defense is ten times more talented in Mile High than it ever was in Indy. This is a home game for the Broncos, which spells trouble for Drew Brees, who doesn’t play very well in cold outside games.

49ERS @ Cardinals – America, say hello to your #1 Pretenders. The Arizona Cardinals are crumbling before our very eyes, blame the QB injuries and the RB injuries, but it wouldn’t have mattered. They have a solid defense, and Larry Fitzgerald, but that’s all they’ve had going for them. Even when they were winning game their greatest weakness was on display big time, their offensive line. The 49ers will expose this weakness with great magnitude because this teams defense is always hungry. The 49ers are out to prove the NFC West is still theirs and theirs only. This game is for a tie atop the division, but it won’t happen.

UPSET ALERT – I am putting the Falcons on Upset Alert as they have walked pretty thin ice while riding a 6-0 record, they better not come out flat against the Eagles. I have also put the Vikings on Upset Alert against the pretty high-powered Bucs.

 

SURVIVOR PICK – Simple. The Green Bay Packers. (If picked already: Patriots or Chargers).

Those are my two cents … cash ’em in!

Anthony (T-Catz)

 

Week 7: Average now Acceptable

Where’s Patches O’Houlihan when we need him?

Eleven teams currently sit at 3-3 in the NFL, and only two are better than that in the AFC. Take it in for a second, there’s never been a more average year. Last week I went 10-4 again and this week should only produce strong results as I try to continue this roll.

THURSDAY

Seahawks @ 49ERS – I’ll preach it again, it’s just becoming repetitive now, this is a letdown game. Great teams don’t have these, but a scrappy and average team like the Seahawks do. Tom “Terrific” couldn’t seal the deal on them last week and they were able to pull out what seemed to be another miracle win. The Niners were punched in the face by the Giants and will be looking to take some shots themselves.

SUNDAY

Redskins @ GIANTS – The Redskins offense looks great, but the defense is banged up. RG3 looks like the real deal and he can most certainly fly. Their receiving options are nothing to write home about when Pierre Garcon is hurt. The Giants are coming off a statement win in San Francisco, which snapped Eli Manning’s streak of 24 straight games with over 200 passing yards. Last year the Redskins had the Giants number and the Giants always play down to their opponents, especially at home. I believe the Giants will win because it is a must win in a division match-up if they lose they fall to 0-3 in the division.

Titans @ BILLS – How did this Titans team beat the Steelers? Beats me. The Steelers’ defense has been awful this year and Shaun Suisham missed the game winning field goal near the end of the game. Matt Hasselbeck is going to be under pressure this Sunday from a Bills’ defense that may be starting to turn the corner. Ryan Fitzpatrick simply cannot turn the ball over, he’s got a two-headed monster in the backfield now and should just rely on them.

Browns @ COLTS – Big win, Browns! Bad loss, Colts! Andrew Luck is poised to take down a worse defense than he just faced. The only problem is the weapons on the Browns overshadow those of the Colts, but guess who the home team is? Andrew Luck had a bad, BAD, game and many don’t expect to see consecutive ones of those too often and who better to keep that from happening against?

PACKERS @ Rams – The Packers just stomped out the Texans, in Houston. Rodgers showed why he was the MVP last year by tossing six touchdowns and no interceptions against one of the best defenses in the NFL . How bout a little Championship belt? The Rams played an ugly game in which they were heartbroken by the Miami Dolphins. This team has been feisty all year under Coach Fisher’s control. Don’t expect a hangover from the Pack.

The Doublecheck!

Cardinals @ VIKINGS – The Cardinals are finally coming back down to earth. They have no running game and their defense is solid, but not enough to carry them past their offensive woes. The Vikings still sit in second in the NFC North. This team ran into Hurricane Robert, who ran all over them like they were the football field, but I expect a bounce back game here against a falling Cardinals team.

SAINTS @ Buccaneers – A bye week is a nice gift after your first win during what has already been a long season. This team needs to fix its defense, and what better way than to get the leader of the defense back from injury. We will have to see how big of an impact Jonathan Vilma has in his first game of his dramatic 2012 season. The Bucs looked great last week against the Chiefs, but after all it was the Chiefs. The Bucs have not left Tampa in three weeks now, nice life. This match-up provided two great games last season, I expect no less this weekend.

COWBOYS @ Panthers – The Cowboys have to win this game, otherwise they will start to challenge the Saints for the biggest story this season, and don’t expect Jerry Jones to remain quiet. Cam Newton is defining “Sophomore Slump” right now and runs into a good Cowboys defense. The Panthers, I don’t even know. There’s so much talent on this team, but they simply don’t look like a team is the biggest problem. Cam is trying to force his throws and the defense needs to step up against a week Dallas offensive line.

Ravens @ TEXANS – The Ravens took so many hits last week in the win against the Cowboys: Injuries to Ray Lewis, Ladarius Webb and Haloti Ngata. Now they have to rush Terrell Suggs less than six months removed from an Achilles tear.  Now the weight of the team actually drops onto the shoulders of Joe Flacco. The Texans were shellacked by the Packers at home. They’ve had some time to digest it now and stay home and you better believe they’ll be ready to play the Ravens without their leader (don’t the Texans know how this feels) and their best cornerback.

Jaguars @ RAIDERS – These Raiders seem close to being able to compete in the AFC West. They went to the wire with the undefeated Falcons and played great defense the whole game against a high-powered offense. Carson Palmer is turning the ball over less, and they need more production out of Darren McFadden. The Jaguars don’t look good. Gabbert is definitely progressing, but not much. Maurice Jones-Drew is one of the best running backs in the NFL and proves it weekly, but Gabbert has no protection and gets scared when it falls on him. They also don’t have much of a defense.

Jets @ PATRIOTS – The Jets had a great win. Sanchez threw for less than 90 yards, but their was a Shonn Greene sighting. Don’t expect the same this week. Sanchez will have to throw the ball much more. The Patriots are not a happy bunch right now. A very tough and heartbreaking loss in which Tom Brady was “owned” by Richard Sherman. Expect a lot of scoring from the New Englanders.

Steelers @ BENGALS – This is the toss-up game for me. The Steelers have looked plain crappy. The defense is the worst part and as usual their offensive line can’t stay healthy and Big Ben doesn’t have a lot of time in the pocket. Rashard Mendenhall is hurt again. The Bengals offense has looked great as I said last week, but last week Brandon Weeden tore up the defense. This will be a physical game as it always is, but I will take the home team.

Lions @ BEARS – The Lions were able to pull off an upset against the Eagles with some last minute and overtime heroics. The Lions were a great team last year, but do not seem to be half that team last year. If they are going to win, Stafford will have to make the throws he made last year be mistake free against a Bears defense that takes advantage of any mistakes. The Bears have looked like a complete team, mostly on defense. Cutler, of course, has been under fire for his turnovers, but that’s Jay being Jay. This will be a great Monday Night game.

UPSET ALERT – I am putting the Giants (because of what they are capable of each year) and the Bears on upset alert. Division games are always played harder than the rest of the games, because they actually do mean more.

SURVIVOR PICK – This week I like the Patriots over the Jets as my lock. (If used already: Packers and Cowboys). 

Week 6 … They Are Who We Thought They Were

After 12-3 we had a 10-4 showing. So let’s keep this baby rolling now that teams have come into their own, but some nice surprises are still shocking the NFL World, say the Vikings and the Cardinals. On the other hand we have disappointments like the Steelers and of course the ‘Aints (Saints).

Let’s get right into it:

THURSDAY

STEELERS @ Titans – This game is already over, but I’d be completely lying to you if I told you that I had even thought of picking the Titans. Chris Johnson is still playing like crud and Matt Hasselbeck’s arm just isn’t the same anymore. Mendenhall is back, not anymore seeing as he left this game and Big Ben has been playing great, but without Polamalu this defense just isn’t the same and they showed that by allowing the Titans to march down field with 45 seconds left in the game.

SUNDAY

Raiders @ FALCONS – Matty Ryan and his Falcons keep on rolling, but they almost slipped up last week at Washington until RG3 was knocked out with a concussion. They might have escaped one of their trap games and can breathe a sigh of relief and can now refocus as they head home to play an inconsistent Raiders team, which has played the Chargers and Steelers tough, but got wiped out by the Broncos and the Dolphins. Let’s see which Raiders team shows up, but it shouldn’t matter.

BENGALS @ Browns – The Browns came out firing against the Giants last week and looked good until they came back down to Earth and Eli Manning did his thing. The Bengals had a disappointing outing last week against a pretty solid Dolphins’ defense, but their offense this year has really been the story compared to their defense last year. The Browns are hurting having to play some unexpected wide receivers, but Brandon Weeden seems to be inching along. These two teams have already played this year and it was a close game at Cincinnati, this probably won’t be much different.

Rams @ DOLPHINS – Both of these teams have been somewhat surprising. Sam Bradford has regressed more than anyone I’ve seen (maybe not Cam Newton). Their strength for years has been their running game, but they’ve been playing solid run defenses and that doesn’t change this week against the #1 ranked run defense of Miami. All the scouts and experts are saying Ryan Tannehill’s progression is amazing, especially considering a few years ago this guy was playing Wide Receiver at Texas A&M, and I agree even though the numbers may not.

Colts @ JETS – This is now a let down game for the Colts. An emotional comeback win for Chuck Pagano against many people’s Super Bowl favorite. Now they have to go on the road to New York, where Jet fans are always loud. The Jets just played their hearts out against a very good Houston Texans team, without their two best players in Revis and Holmes. This fire and this heart leads me to this pick, also no Mathis for the Colts and Freeney is still clearly rusty. Sanchez might throw over 50% this weekend.

Only a matter of time …

Lions @ EAGLES – This is a must win for the Lions and that’s why I can see them winning this game, but the Eagles are coming off an ugly loss to the Steelers in which Vick turned the ball over three more times. The Eagles defense has been sound through the first five games, but the Lions are coming off a bye in which I’m sure Jim Schwartz has gotten his team focused. Stafford has not played anywhere near the level he did last year, but don’t expect that to last very long especially when you have Calvin Johnson to throw the ball to.

Chiefs @ BUCCANEERS – Both of these teams have been disappointing and now Matt Cassel is out with a concussion, apparently to the bliss of Chiefs’ fans. Brady Quinn who hasn’t played in a football game in almost three years, must now take the reigns against a Buccaneers team coming off their bye at home. Josh Freeman has to play better in order for the Bucs to win or even keep up with the way Jamaal Charles is running, and Romeo Crennel has said that his workload will not dwindle.

Cowboys @ RAVENS – The Cowboys are coming off their bye and the Ravens are coming home from one of the ugliest football games I’ve seen against the Chiefs, a 9-6 barn-burner win. The Cowboys looked horrific in their Monday Night game against the Bears in which Romo hurled five interceptions. The road doesn’t get easier against an always ball hawking Ravens defense. The Baltimore crowd is extremely loud and the Cowboys have enough problems on offense, forget not being able to hear. Joe Flacco must have a better showing than last week if he wants us to truly believe he has taken that next step. P.S. Did anyone hear them saying Ray Lewis isn’t playing at the same level?  The guy is 37 … get over yourselves.

Bitch, please ….

BILLS @ Cardinals – The Bills have been real bad the last two weeks against the 49ers and the Patriots, especially their defense. Fitzpatrick cannot keep throwing the magnitude of interceptions that he always does, but now they have a healthy two-headed monster in the backfield and the pressure can be taken off of his shoulders as long as their expensive defense can keep the Cardinals offense off of the field, which shouldn’t be all that difficult with the running backs the Cardinals have lined up for this week’s game.

PATRIOTS @ Seahawks – The 12th man will be the quietest it’s ever been this weekend when Tom Brady and his video game offense hit the field in Seattle. The Patriots have been playing to prove they are the top tier team in the AFC, and the past two weeks have done just that. Hopefully Bill doesn’t punish Wes Welker for his public joke about “shoving it in Bill’s face.” The Seahawks’ games have all been just pure ugly, and anyone can sit here and argue with me on that, but it’s true. Russell Wilson is having a better year than Mark Sanchez, not saying much but for a small rookie it’s a plus playing with the offense he has. Pats in a blowout of course.

GIANTS @ 49ers – I will tell you why I am picking the Giants to win this game in two words … Road Warriors. The Giants go on the road and win big games, it’s just what they do. They came up short against the Eagles, literally, but they played two great games against the 49ers last year and don’t expect anything different from these two this year. The Niners have played complete football all year long and their offense went off last week against the Bills defense, but who hasn’t this year? It’s tough to pick this game, but I’ll go with the G-MEN!!!

Vikings @ REDSKINS – The Vikings have looked good and may still be overachieving. Ponder has been good, despite throwing two interceptions last week (his first two of the year). Peterson hasn’t looked the same, but who can blame him. Harvin has looked like a complete player, seriously what can’t he do? Roger Griffin III has just been concussed and may not remember who he is, but let’s go ‘Skins! Alfred Morris has been running lights out and the Skins offense is as high-powered as any with RG3 under center. Even Kirk Cousins hit Santana Moss on a wide open post last week. This game is a toss-up to me, but usually on close games I go home team. Side note: Billy Cundiff is no longer kicking with the ‘Skins (every Ravens fan curses his name with pure hate).

CHEEESEEEE!!!

PACKERS @ TexansThe Packers are hurting and now their without Greg Jennings and Cedric Benson. They can’t keep Aaron Rodgers straight-up. Rodgers hasn’t looked like his MVP-self either, although it is tough to reproduce his performance from last year. This feels like a must-win for the Pack. The Texans are also hurting without Cushing now and Ben Tate is banged up. Cushing is the center of their defense, even with the emergence of JJ Watt. The Packers will be pissed, again, after another disappointing loss.

MONDAY

BRONCOS @ Chargers – The Chargers unfortunately ran into the Saints at the wrong time as Sean Payton looked on and Drew Brees broke the consecutive games with a TD pass record. Peyton Manning looked good against the Patriots, but just couldn’t keep up with Tom Brady in the first half, which seems to be a reoccurring theme for Peyton this year. His team gets behind and he brings them back, but cannot pull off the comeback. The Chargers had finally gotten that good start to the season they wanted, but after losses to the Falcons and to the Saints they need a bounce back game, unfortunately it’s against a good division rival Broncos team that sits under .500.

UPSET ALERT – The Colts are on Upset Alert going into Metlife Stadium after a big emotional win, this is letdown time! I am also putting the Vikings and the Cardinals on Upset Alert. The Vikings have been solid, but the Skins can score a ton of points with the play of RG3. The Bills can also score a lot and the Cardinals offense can’t keep up with many teams if their defense allows points.

To Survive!

SURVIVOR PICK – Falcons, hands down. The Raiders have already gutted me once this year when I picked the Steelers against them. The Falcons have now traveled back and forth from San Diego, Washington and now back home. The good side of this is they’re playing at home. (If Picked Already: Bengals and Patriots even though I don’t like away teams.)

These are my two cents … cash ’em in!

Anthony (T Catz)

Week 1 Picks

Okay so this is just to get back in the swing of things but I’ll make this quick, sorta: (Winners are in bold)

GIANTS vs. Cowboys – Well it’s the day after but I would’ve taken my G-Men based on the fact that we beat em last year and we looked poised to defend our title in our own house on the national stage … but I was wrong! AND THIS IS WHY WE CAN’T HAVE NICE THINGS

Colts @  BEARS– Jay Cutler, barring an injury or his offensive line continuing its tumultuous run, will take it to a defense-less Colts team. This Bears Defense is salivating at an awful Colts offensive line and a rookie QB, yes I know it’s Andrew Luck, but regardless I’m going Bears because Cutler is once again hooked up with Brandon Marshall and Forte’s healthy.

EAGLES @ Browns – Eagles simply because the Browns are bad, or so we think. Weeden is a 28 year old rookie and Trent is already hurt and their best defensive player is suspended? Eagles might finally make people in Philly believe again and not throw snowballs at Santa.

Rams @ LIONS – The Lions shocked a lot of people last year with how well they played. Their defense was shaky at times and will probably continue to be. They basically have no running game unless Kevin Smith stays healthy (good luck with that). Stafford and Megatron will run a mock at Ford Field yet again this year, unless the Madden Curse veers its ugly head.

PATRIOTS @ Titans – The hoodie is a mastermind of offense now, weird huh? Brady & Co. will make mince meat of the Titans D that is surprisingly adequate, but with Jake Locker behind center and almost no one to throw to without Britt Patriots will score 35+. Chris Johnson is hoping to get back to CJ2K form and so are his fantasy owners, and it can start here against a pretty bad Pats D. But who needs to play defense when your QB averages 38 TDs and 9 Ints over his last 4 seasons played.

FALCONS @ Chiefs – Falcons are poised and should make a run at the Saints this year as Julio Jones showed he can be a force, which frees up the secondary for Rowdy Roddy. Turner can still run even though hes beat up, but Jacquizz can be their Sproles and their D should be better this year even with the loss of Curtis Lofton, replaced by Akeem Dent. The Chiefs can surprise a lot of people by going back to the 2010 team that went 10-6 and ran the ball over 500 times, now they have a healthy Jamaal Charles and Peyton Hillis. Matt Cassel and Dwayne Bowe should have good years I am picking ATL, but I wouldn’t be surprised if the Chiefs win in Arrowhead, which is a tough place to go into and win.

JAGUARS @ Vikings – This is a toss-up. I am going with the Jaguars simply because their offense is much better considering the Vikes offense is just AP who is not going to play as much. I know MJD is only playing 3rd downs, but Jennings is a good fill-in and I think Gabbert is going to be better than Ponder, and Justin Blackmon has 3x the talent of any Vikes’ receiver even with his latest injury.

Redskins @ SAINTS – Yes, the coach is suspended, but is the guy who broke the single season passing yards record? Um, NO. The Saints will pour on points like they usually do, but the Skins are no longer offensive slouches themselves with RGIII, Garcon and a committee of running backs that may or may not include Kyle Shannahan. No way they outscore the Saints offense, but the Skins will be fiesty this year!

BILLS @ Jets – Anyone who knows me, knows I’ve been ranting about the Bills D all offseason. Wait till you see how much of a difference one man can make, Super Mario. The Jets offense looked bad because it isn’t good. Sanchez is a decent QB, 26 Tds 18 Int (nothing wrong here) and over 3,000 yards, but his targets are WAHntonio Holmes and Dustin Keller (injured). His RB runs with no steam, but Stephen Hill can maybe be a surprise this year. Fitzpatrick and Stevie Johnson will enjoy a good year together this year!

Dolphins @ TEXANS – People are still raving about the Texans D, yes they will be good but they’re missing two of their best players in Mario Williams and DeMeco Ryans, tough to replace them. The Dolphins won’t be scoring a lot this year without a single WR who has ever come close to 1,000 receiving yards, Reggie Bush has the most career receptions on the team. The Texans offense will be better with a healthy Schaub and Owen Daniels AND Andre Johnson, and the best 1-2 punch with Foster and Tate.

49ers @ PACKERS – Niners are going to be better this year, not necessarily record wise, scary right? They have added Manningham, Randy Moss, and LaMichael James. Too many offensive weapons for a team that basically just runs the ball, tries to not let its QB turn the ball over and let’s the D handle its business (Jets circa 4 years ago?). The Packers will overpower them with Rodgers’ arm. Hey look! The Packers have a legitimate running back for the first time in three years, too!

Seahawks @ CARDINALS – Both teams aren’t really that good, but I suspect one of them will surprise the world and finish 8-8 or 9-7. I am picking the Cardinals because Skelton wins and he still has Larry Fitzgerald. Their Defense is okay and the Seahawks is underrated, but I think the Seahawks offense is just lacking without a true #1 WR at this point. Braylon will surprise many this year if he stays healthy and Russell Wilson, who knows yet??

PANTHERS @ Bucs – Freeman has a load of talent around him now. But the Defense is still pretty bad and Cam will take advantage of that. Freeman, VJax and Doug Martin may score some points on the Panthers defense, but they will not outscore the Panthers.

Steelers @ BRONCOS – Peyton’s return will not be spoiled. The Broncos defense will also surprise many this year. Unless the Steelers put Jonathan Dwyer in the game they will have a tough time running the ball. Big Ben will be on his backside a lot with Von and Elvis playing on Sunday night. It’ll be a great game, but I pick the Broncos to squeak out a win for Peyton in his new home opener.

Bengals @ RAVENS – The Bengals will be as good as they were last year and I think that’s their max. Gresham might improve but the Law firm of BenJarvus Green-Ellis will put up Cedric Benson type numbers, and AJ Green will keep being a monster, but how good is there D again and can these Bengals stay out of another orange uniform (jail for those of you who don’t get it). The Ravens, even without Terrell Suggs will be a physical force as Flacco connects with maturing Torrey Smith, who opens up lanes for Ray Rice AND Anquan Boldin (finally).

Chargers @ RAIDERS– Battle of the “Who knows what could happen in 2012?” I am taking the Raiders because they are at home and McFadden is healthy. In addition, Ryan Mathews will not be playing and Rivers’ targets only got worse with the loss of Vincent Jackson. Yes I know Meachem is fast, but if he wasn’t THAT good in New Orleans why would  he be here? Antonio Gates needs to be big in this game for S.D. and Darrius Heyward-Bey needs to play like a first rounder finally for the Raiders. Carson Palmer try not to throw 3 picks okay?

Thanks check back  next week for Week 2 picks!

Those are my two cents … cash them in !

Anthony