Week 17: For all the Marbles

We find ourselves at 69% percent for the year ladies and gentleman. Let’s end this thing right shall we?

Marbles

 

SUNDAY

Only Sunday Games now, no whackass Thursday or Saturday Night games to mess with the NFL Original flow.

Eagles @ GIANTS – Win and get in with some help situation for the Giants. They will do their part against a once again Michael Vick-led Eagles squad. The G-Men have become notorious for stepping it up when they need to, but the Eagles have also been a thorn in their side as they showed earlier this year. Michael Vick is giving an audition to quarterback needy teams in this game, so expect him to play his hardest, unfortunately for the Giants and the fans at MetLife.

Buccaneers @ FALCONS – The Falcons will definitely rest some of their starters in this game, they may get the lead and then give it up later in the game must to the chagrin of the crowd, but they’d have to risk getting their starters injured. I don’t believe they are in the mindset of handing a game away to a divisional opponent and the Bucs are awful at stopping their opponents’ passing game. The Bucs on the other hand have some respect to play for and can show that their offense can match anybody’s. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Falcons accepted a loss here.

Jets @ BILLS – The merry-go-round keeps turning for the Jets. Their quarterback situation is a mess and only got messier when McElroy was sacked eleven times and, naturally, suffered a concussion. The Jets, yet again, overlooked Tim Tebow who has made a life off of winning games and turned back to Mark Sanchez. It is being reported Mike Tannenbaum will be fired on Black Monday for his mismanagement of this team. The Bills are going to finish another mediocre season, but with the help of CJ Spiller and Mario Williams will most likely beat up on the slugging Jets.

Ravens @ BENGALS – This is revenge. The Bengals are the hottest team that nobody is paying attention to right now. They have won six out of seven games and it appeared they would be looking to next year when they sat at 3-6, but since they have looked like a well rounded team with a front seven that has developed into a force. The Ravens are coming off a statement win against the Giants in which I and most others underestimated them. With Jim Caldwell behind the helms of the offense, it looked like a force that many have thought it could be for a few years now.

Bears @ LIONS – The Bears have crumbled and are all different types of banged up coming into this game. I believe the Bears play their way out of playoff contention and the Lions light up the scoreboard against the Bears.

Jaguars @ TITANS – The Jaguars played a very tight game with the Patriots last week while the were blown out by Green Bay. These teams have both played very poorly all year long. Montell Owens vs Chris Johnson and Chad Henne vs Jake Locker. Some seriously nice matchups here (sarcasm).

Texans @ COLTS – I am picking the Colts in this game for one reason, Chuckstrong. The Texans may play themselves out of the bye and homefield here. The Texans are definitely the better team here but there is a Magic surrounding these Colts this year and especially at home that I cannot seem to deny this last game of the year.

NFL: Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts

Panthers @ SAINTS – Drew Brees last game of the year with news that Sean Peyton comes back next year with a nice big new contract? I’ll take him even with Cam Newton and his underrated defense playing solid down the stretch of the year. Both of these teams have underachieved all year, but the Saints find themselves in second place in the division after the Bucs have fallen apart. Maybe a new coach next year for the Panthers and Cam.

Browns @ STEELERS – No Steelers in the playoff, has a weird ring to it. The Steelers had a prime opportunity at home against the Bengals, but played poorly enough to lose that game. The Browns will be firing their head coach Pat Shurmur and starting fresh after this game. I would imagine that the Steelers would be firing Todd Haley after this year and the ineffectiveness of the offense since he came aboard. Big Ben will definitely love the support.

Chiefs @ BRONCOS – Broncos playing for the bye and possibly homefield, the Chiefs are playing a game. Let’s not joke around here. Peyton Manning has been either the Comeback Player of the Year or the MVP, whichever he doesn’t get Adrian Peterson will.

PACKERS @ Vikings – Aaron Rodgers is completing 70% of his passes with 14 touchdowns and 2 interceptions this year in dome games. The Packers put up 55 on the Titans last week for funsies. Adrian Peterson needs 209 yards to break Eric Dickerson’s single season rushing record and as much as I want this machine to break it, I don’t believe he will because they will be playing from behind, even though their running game is what drives them. I think if Leslie Frazier sticks with it then and keeps running the ball to AP they can have a chance, don’t make Christian Ponder throw the ball.

Dolphins @ PATRIOTS – The Pats are also playing for a bye here. Tom Brady will get back his favorite target on a limited basis in Rob Gronkowski. The Dolphins have been fiesty all year under first year coach Joe Philbin and rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill. With a win the Dolphins could end up with a .500 record, but it won’t happen in Foxborough. The ‘Fins have not played great games in the colder weather this season.

Raiders @ CHARGERS – Terrelle Pryor will get his first career start after the Carson Palmer was knocked around last week. The Raiders and Chargers met in their first game of the year, an ugly one, and paved the way for their ugly seasons. The Chargers are coming off a beating of the Jets where they sacked Greg McElroy 11 times. The Chargers will be looking at a new front office and coaching staff, finally, next year.

Cardinals @ 49ERS – The 49ers need this win to clinch the division. Brian Hoyer will get the start. The Cardinals defense has been fierce all year and is the main reason they have won a game in the past 11 weeks. The 49ers defense has been simply better and besides when they got blown up last week by the underrated and streaking Seahawks have been one of, if not, the best defense in the league.

Rams @ SEAHAWKS – Jeff Fisher has coached up this Rams team, mostly their defense. Something is in the defenses’ waters in the NFC West this year because they are all solid. Sam Bradford has been limited this year with developing and injury prone receivers (mostly his best target Danny Amendola). The ‘Hawks are coming off a destruction of the 49ers on national television last Sunday night and are aiming for 8-0 at home this year. No reason they won’t win this game as Russell Wilson continues his ridiculous rookie season, which has been unfortunately overlooked by many because of RGIII and Andrew Luck. Any other season he wins the Rookie of the Year, and he still might this year. He will tie or break Peyton Manning’s rookie single season touchdown record today.

Cowboys @ REDSKINS – Both of these teams came back from “dead” in the NFC East to now be playing for the division title on Sunday Night Football, second consecutive year that the division title will be decided on the last day on NBC. The Cowboys have ridden a red-hot Tony Romo until last week where the Saints played spoiler. The Redskins have now won 6 straight games since starting 3-6 and RGIII is not 100%, but he is still very dangerous with his arm. The home crowd will be pumped and I’m sure the Cowboys will make some mistakes and their defense is just as banged up as the Redskins.

Seems like I like the home teams in these Week 17 matchups.

siren

UPSET ALERT – Anything goes in these games, I’ll put everyone on Upset Alerts this week.

BYEAHHHHH!!!!

BYEAHHHHH!!!!

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SURVIVOR PICK – Let’s go with the Patriots here. (If picked already: 49ersBroncosSteelers)

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Week 16: Merry Christmas to All … And to All Some Good Football!

Two more weeks till the postseason. Let’s finish this season strong shall we?

SATURDAY

FALCONS @ Lions – The Falcons just shellacked the New York Football Giants 52-0. No reason to think they won’t take it to the Lions on Saturday night. The story of the night will be Calvin Johnson going for Jerry Rice’s record. He only needs 182 yards, so there’s no reason Megatron shouldn’t break the record. Unfortunately for the Lions they will be staring at a 4-11 record after an impressive 10-6 record last year.

SUNDAY

SAINTS @ Cowboys – This is a dome after all everyone. The Saints are looking to play spoiler now and are coming off a nice shutout of their own against a good Bucs offense. This is usually the time where Romo and the Cowboys typically slip-up. I would say to expect a lot of points in the “Shootout” in Big D. three way tie in the east means the pressure is on the Cowboys and Romo and it’s time for them to prove their worth, but don’t expect them to.

Titans @ PACKERS – The Titans needed another ridiculous Mark Sanchez fumble and game in general to top the Jets on Monday Night Football. Chris Johnson showed the league he can still be as explosive as anyone on his touchdown run against the Jets. The Packers can seal up their division with a win here and don’t expect any less with the erratic Jake Locker leading his Titans into Lambeau. The Packers are going to lean on Ryan Grant in their running game after Alex Green went down with a concussion.

COLTS @ Chiefs – Typically  I don’t like to pick Andrew Luck away from home, but look at his competition. The Chiefs needed to lean heavily on Jamaal Charles each and every game but abandoned the run very quickly because their inept quarterbacks would lead them to three and outs. In addition the defense couldn’t keep them in games while being on the field the majority of the game. Look at the time of possession last week against the lowly Raiders, lopsided. Andrew Luck is taking his team into the playoffs after a magical season in which they have overcome him forcing turnovers.

Bills @ DOLPHINS – A football film expert has come out and said he can’t turn off Dolphins games. Interesting, huh? Joe Philbin has taken a team of small name guys besides Reggie Bush along with a rookie quarterback to a quiet 6-8 record and could go .500 for the season. The Bills keep flip-flopping between Ryan Fitzpatrick’s position with the team, i.e. is he the quarterback for the next few years. If the Bills defense can get healthy next year and they can fix their problems from this year, they could definitely compete in the AFC.

CHARGERS @ Jets – Greg McElroy is looked at as the Jets new savior. That’s a lot of pressure for a guy who had it pretty easy at Alabama with Mark Ingram, Trent Richardson and Julio Jones lined up with him and one of the best defenses college football had ever seen. Now he lines up with Shonn Greene, Bilal Powell and Jeremy Kerley, yikes. The Chargers are coming off a dud against the Panthers after upsetting the Steelers, I am picking the Chargers here against my gut on how bad the Chargers have been this season.

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REDSKINS @ Eagles – RGIII is back after his backup, Captain Kirk Cousins did his job and won a must-win game for the Redskins. Now they go to Philly to face the lifeless Eagles. Nick Foles played nicely against the Bucs bad secondary, but wasn’t as fortunate against the Bengals. The Redskins need this win as well, but the Eagles could play spoiler here.

Bengals @ STEELERS – Big game here in Pittsburgh. Bengals have not proven they can win the must wins yet, but the Steelers thrive off of these. Todd Haley needs to open up the playbook a little against a good Bengals front seven. If the Bengals win this game in Pittsburgh it’s a dagger to the Steelers playoff hopes and the AFC Playoff picture is sealed.

Rams @ BUCCANEERS – The Rams have been quietly good this year as they sit at 6-7-1. Their defense has been solid and Jeff Fisher has proven he is still a very good head coach. The Bucs have simply fallen apart in losing four straight games. Their offensive juggernaut was shut out by the leaky Saints defense last week and I wouldn’t expect the same this week, but Josh Freeman hasn’t been the same over the past few weeks.

Raiders @ PANTHERS – The Raiders ate the clock last week and Darren McFadden ate up every carry he could as well. They shutout the lowly Chiefs, while surprisingly holding Jamaal Charles to a mere ten yards. They won’t be able to keep up with the red-hot Panthers who are on a roll coming in having won three of their last four games and the offense is really clicking. Good Luck stopping “Scam” Newton Oakland.

PATRIOTS @ Jaguars – Haha won’t write too much here, besides the Pats are angry and Tom Brady is staring at the consecutive games with a touchdown record. Good Luck Mike Mularkey and Chad Henne in keeping up with Brady & Co.

Vikings @ TEXANS – The Texans provided themselves with a big win last week, taking the South division and nearly shoring up a bye for themselves come playoff time. Adrian Peterson needs 292 yards to break Eric Dickerson’s single season records. What a year for the guy who tore his MCL and ACL in the last week of the season last year. An absolute freak, this guy would have my vote for MVP of the league and I will surely be rooting for him to break the record. They can’t abandon the run today.

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GIANTS @ Ravens – The Giants need to turn that switch on that we have all been accustomed to seeing them do in the last few games. The Ravens have slipped and fallen quickly losing their last three games. Their defense is simply not the same as what it used to be and won’t get any better this week with more injuries racking up and Ray Lewis being kept inactive. The Giants are coming off a huge loss to the Falcons in Atlanta, but the Giants are one of those teams that can always overlook last week’s loss and next week’s game. There could be some scoring here.

Browns @ BRONCOS – The Browns are chippy and are never really out of their losses, but the Broncos will take this one easy as Peyton keeps making his case for the MVP. He will definitely win comeback player of the year. The Broncos defense is very dangerous and one of their big free agent signings in Tracy Porter is now coming off the bench because of the emergence of Tony Carter playing alongside of Champ Bailey.

BEARS @ Cardinals – This game will have too many sacks to keep track of and will be won by whichever defense plays better. The Cardinals are coming off a decimation of the Lions in Arizona. The Bears have now lost four straight games and look like a completely different team without Brian Urlacher and the one we saw at the beginning of the year. They need this win to stay on track in the playoffs.

49ers @ SEAHAWKS – The game of the week, and rightfully so NBC snatched it up in their flex schedule. I can’t pick against the ‘Hawks when they are at home. The Niners may be too happy after a very big win in Foxborough against the Patriots. Russell Wilson could be a sleeper for rookie of the year, and isn’t getting the press like Luck or Griffin, but should be considering his height limitations. Go ‘Hawks!

sirenUPSET ALERT – Today the BearsCowboys49ers and the Bengals on Upset Alert.

tom-hanks-in-cast-away

SURVIVOR PICKPatriots here and no questions asked. (If Picked already: PackersPanthers, and Colts).

Week 15: Who makes a Playoff Run?

We have placed ourselves back into double digit victory discussion, with a 10-6 week.

CHEEESEEEE!!!

CHEEESEEEE!!!

A lot has happened over the past week in the NFL, the former NFL Commissioner has dropped the suspensions of players related to the Saints bounty case and now Roger Goodell is talking about expanding the playoffs (of course to talk the heat off of himself for suspending players that were now exonerated for such actions.) Let’s jump into this week’s picks where now the going gets tough and the playoff contenders get going.

THURSDAY

BENGALS @ Eagles – The Eagles stunned the Buccaneers and their playoff hopes with 2 seconds left on the clock last week. The Bengals defense is better than the Buccaneers as a whole and won’t have a problem getting to rookie Nick Foles in the backfield. They must contain Bryce Brown, which seemed natural for those Bucs last week (they sport the #1 run defense, however.) Andy Dalton became the third quarterback, with Marino and Peyton Manning being the other two, to eclipse twenty touchdowns in his first two seasons. Dalton and A.J. Green have remarkable chemistry and now A.J. Green has to get over a sure touchdown drop last week in an upset by the Cowboys. Go Bengals here because they want and need it more.

SUNDAY

GIANTS @ Falcons – A lot to prove for both teams here. The Giants can prove they can still be the team to beat from the NFC, and the Falcons are trying to prove they have become that team. It is a rematch of the Wild Card playoff round last year in which the Giants romped the Falcons 24-2 in the Meadowlands. There will be no Ahmad Bradshaw so the rookie David Wilson will carry the load against a bad run defense. The Falcons come back to Georgia after a bad loss to Cam Newton and Cam Newton only, so they will be angry.

PACKERS @ Bears – After the first matchup the Bears went on a tear and it seemed they had climbed to the top of the NFC North, but in the past five weeks they’ve looked like a completely different team. That’s what injuries and a bad offensive line will do to you. The Packers on the other hand have ascended to the top of the NFC yet again. They are getting healthy at the right time and rookie running back Alex Green is beginning to step up. The Bears need to keep Jay Cutler upright, and that is going to be tough with Clay Matthews getting ready to play. Good Luck, Jay.

Ouch-town population you, Jay

Ouch-town population you, Jay

Redskins @ BROWNS – Kirk Cousins is going to get the start for the ‘Skins in Cleveland. Cousins has proved he can step into games and take over with his arm, not his legs like RGIII. The Redskins need him to be big, but it’s going to be tough against a suddenly good defense. Another rookie quarterback needs to step up for the ‘Skins against a rookie quarterback for the Browns. I think the Browns have been rejuvenated the past few weeks and it’s weird typing that. I take the Browns here in the upset.

Vikings @ RAMS – Adrian Peterson will continue to light up the world, but Christian Ponder will continue to be lit up by the world. The Rams defense is good and underrated, but are better against the pass than the run, lucky for the Vikings robot running back. Peterson needs to average 169 yards over the final three weeks to surpass Eric Dickerson’s rushing record. While I think Adrian Peterson is the greatest back of our generation, I don’t believe he will do it, as much as I want him to. I am picking the Rams because Sam Bradford > Christian Ponder.

Jaguars @ DOLPHINS – The Jaguars just called me up and asked me to play running back. I respectfully declined, of course. The Dolphins sport another underrated defense and a rookie quarterback that has shown flashes of maturity and serious potential. Chad Henne has a grasp on the starting job, but struggled mightily last week without his favorite target in Cecil Shorts. Shorts will be back this week, but I don’t think their defense is good enough to win this game. Montell Owens almost had 100 yards against the Jets last week, but the Dolphins sport a much better run defense. Dolphins based on a talent standpoint.

Buccaneers @ SAINTS – Bad thing for the Saints: Buccaneers rank #1 against the rush. Good thing for the Saints: They don’t typically run the ball very much especially at home. Josh Freeman and his Bucs are coming off a shocking loss Nick Foles’ Eagles that knocked them out of the playoffs. This will be a high-scoring game if you ever see one. Brees and Freeman better be locked into all fantasy lineups this week. Brees in the Superdome trying to ruin playoff lives from here on out!

BRONCOS @ Ravens – Peyton is doing what Peyton does. Just running things in the NFL week by week. Moreno has stepped up mightily since Willis McGahee went to the I.R. and the defense has been steady all year as a top 5 NFL defense. The Ravens’ record does not indicate how the good the team is, because their 9-3 record is an overestimation of this team. Their defense is not the same and they need to realize it, their offense just fired its offensive coordinator after another disappointing year, except this time they won’t give the ball to their best player as much. The Broncos are the better team and it will show in Baltimore today.

Colts @ TEXANS – I have to be honest, I like those Texans letter-man jackets. I have to be honest, I can’t believe they worse those. The Texans defense was embarrassed on national television. The Patriots exploited all of their weaknesses with all the injuries they have suffered. The Colts are coming off another comeback win against a bad Titans team. Andrew Luck is still playing poorly on the road, but against this shaky secondary it’s hard to not believe in him putting up numbers today. The Texans are still the better team and will come out with full force in Reliant Stadium.

SEAHAWKS @ Bills – Seattle is underrated let’s get that out of the way. “Pint-sized” quarterback Russell Wilson has led this team to becoming a contender, the biggest problem is, most of their wins come at home. The Bills excel at one thing and that’s running the ball, and the Seahawks excel both defensive aspects. The Seahawks will make the playoffs, unfortunately for them they will not host any games. The Bills just lost at home to the Rams after having the lead. The Bills front-office won’t stop talking about the status of their franchise quarterback and it’s a flip-flop every week. They should focus on their weekly opponent instead of on who their quarterback NEXT year is going to be.

Darren Sharper ... Hold ma  ****

Darren Sharper … Hold ma ****

LIONS @ Cardinals – The Cardinals defense has to keep them in this game. Good luck! It’s the Ryan Lindley show again in ‘Zona. Let’s see how good the Lions defense looks this week against the Cardinals because typically they make everyone look like top 10 defenses. Patrick Peterson wants one on one against Megatron who is moving toward Jerry Rice’s single-season record. Imagine if the rushing and receiving record are broken in one year, but two non-playoff teams, intriguing.

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Panthers @ CHARGERS – This may not be as high-scoring as everyone would think. The Chargers sport a pretty good defense that was able to abuse the Steelers last week before they gave up some garbage time touchdowns. Cam Newton is on a tear right now, but I believe that won’t continue today in San Diego. However, Philip Rivers probably won’t play well either. I think this will be pretty ugly from a bunch of underachieving teams.

STEELERS @ Cowboys – Toss-up of the week here. I think the Steelers know how to win these games and the Cowboys typically lose these even at home. I don’t believe Dez will make that big of an impact. The Cowboys need this win or they can count themselves out of the playoffs, on the other hand the Steelers can put themselves out of the playoff spot with a loss. Their bigger game is next week against the Bengals, but they usually don’t look ahead.

Chiefs @ RAIDERS – The “yikes” game for the week. Expect a lot of Jamaal Charles and a lot of punts. Both of these teams have been hopeless causes all year and the Chiefs were destroyed by the Browns last week, while the Raiders lost to the Broncos before the game even started. I pick the home team in this matchup.

49ers @ PATRIOTS – This is the game of the week, but the Patriots showed they are still the team to beat. They took it to the Texans and early. The 49ers better be ready to go as soon as the ball is kicked. Kaepernick has come down to earth recently and hasn’t had to take the games over like he did the first couple of games. The 49ers are 1st in defense and the Pats are 1st in offense, so what will give?

MONDAY

JETS @ Titans – Easily the worst Monday Night game of the year. I pick the Jets because the Titans are bad and the Jets are better. Mark Sanchez didn’t play well again last week when the Jets inched out a win against the Jaguars without their best receiver. Jake Locker is the most erratic quarterback in the NFL. The guy looked great last week after looking like a college quarterback since coming back from his injury. Mark Sanchez cannot turn the ball over for the Jets to win, but for the Titans to win Chris Johnson has to go off and Kenny Britt cannot be dominated by Antonio Cromartie.

siren

UPSET ALERT – I am putting the Texans, the Vikings , the Falcons and the Redskins on upset alery.

tom-hanks-in-cast-away

 

Survivor Pick – First of all if you’re still in survivor pools, just good for you. This week I’ll take the Lions to keep it going. (If picked already: BengalsTexans, and Seahawks.)

Week 14: Nestle Crunch Time!

The double digit wins streak is gone with a 9-7 record last week. Some surprise victories did us in. This week should be better as we have come to the point of the season where no surprises happen, typically. On the year we are sitting at  132-59-1 for a 69% correctness.

Let’s get into it with only four weeks left!

THURSDAY

BRONCOS @ Raiders – This will be a “snoozer”. The Broncos are missing their number one running, but gave an enormous workload to newly anointed starter in Knowshon Moreno. The Raiders’ Carson Palmer is having a good year, but most of his statistics are coming in garbage time. This should be an easy win for the rolling Broncos.

SUNDAY

Rams @ BILLS – I am picking the Bills because they are playing at home and I am certain it is cold outside. The Rams defense isn’t as solid as their run defense, and the Bills are starting to realize their best game-plan is to not force Ryan Fitzpatrick to win them the game, but rather leave it up to their run game. The Rams think they have a shot at the playoffs, but not if Danny Amendola doesn’t play. I want to pick the Rams because they are underrated in my book and bad on the road, 1-3-1. It’s going to be cold and rainy in Buffalo, not good for a passing game.

Cowboys @ BENGALS – The Cowboys just lose their starting nose tackle and now are down to their third string. Tony Romo is going to have a tough time against the Bengals front four, which will have an easy time against the Cowboys bad offensive line. The Bengals will be able to run the ball and throw the ball on a banged up and now very underachieving Bengals defense. It may be a high scoring game however and both teams need the game to stay alive in the playoff chase.

Chiefs @ BROWNS – Only a few words can describe this game: “Man, I hope this isn’t televised.” The Chiefs are coming off a very emotional win, which yours truly predicted correctly. Jamaal Charles needs to go over 100 yards, because nobody should expect the same game from Brady Quinn we saw last week against a bad Panthers defense. The Browns defense is underrated and with Joe Haden guarding Dwayne Bowe, don’t expect much production out of him. The Chiefs will need to have an answer for Trent Richardson and the new #1 receiver on the Browns, Josh Gordon.

Titans @ COLTS – The Titans can’t keep the ball on offense. Jake Locker was looking like he could develop into a good quarterback at the beginning of the season, but it appears that the injury has hindered him. Chris Johnson might have a field day with this Colts run defense, enough to keep them in this game. Andrew Luck will lead his team to another home victory and hopefully with his own touchdowns (for my fantasy team). No Donald Brown for the Colts, which leaves them with a very sub-par running game.

BEARS @ Vikings – I know Brian Urlacher is the leader of the defense, but there are enough play-makers on that team to take over the role. Jay Cutler’s offensive line needs to play better in the face of trash-talking by both teams opposing lines. Cutler will keep abusing Brandon Marshall in the target department as long as their both still living. The Vikes will once again lean heavily on their robot running back, Adrian Peterson. If he can take the pressure of Christian Ponder the Vikings have a chance.

Chargers @ STEELERS – The coach and general manager of the Chargers have already been named soon-to-be victims of the disappointing season experience in San Diego. They were unfortunate to arrive in Pittsburgh with Big Ben returning to good health. The Steelers are more than happy to have their signal caller back healthy so that they can leave their turnover-happy woes behind them. Expect the Steelers to win this one easily.

Eagles @ BUCCANEERS – Nick Foles is starting to look better and not completely incompetent in that offense. Bryce Brown is running a muck in the NFL and seems to be the hottest back besides Adrian Peterson in the NFL. They’re bigger problem now is their failing leaky defense that will get no mercy from the Bucs juggernaut offense. The Bucs need this game to stay in playoff contention because with a loss and any teams in front winning can count themselves out. Doug Martin has seen the box stacked a lot in the past few weeks.

Ravens @ REDSKINS – The Ravens’ record does not show their fault, but the highlights and tapes do. They are not as solid as their 9-3 record would have you believe, but they find a way to win games. Joe Flacco is having another disappointing season, and Cam Cameron appears to not want to lean on Ray Rice every game, which worked in the past (head-scratcher as to why you wouldn’t.) RgIII played a great game Monday night, but was helped certainly by a fluke play on the first touchdown and then by the ineptness of the Giants’ offense in the fourth quarter. The Ravens won’t have an answer for him, but expect some points here.

qm rg

FALCONS @ Panthers – The Falcons are coming off a huge win to their “daddy”. This is a typical let down game, but the Panthers just hit rock-bottom after losing to the Chiefs. Asante Samuel probably won’t play here leaving the Falcons somewhat thin in the secondary. The Panthers haven’t beaten the Falcons in three years now. Matt Ryan isn’t putting up the same numbers as he was at the beginning of the year, because teams have adjusted to the passing game plan of the Falcons. Expect some scoring here as well.

JETS @ Jaguars – Another ugly won that I know will be on television in New York. The Jets turned to Greg McElroy last week, only to turn back to Mark Sanchez (which I predicated) this week, but this is a completely different defense they faced last week. The Jags are down to their fourth string running back and will be without Cecil Shorts. Cromartie will be pinned to Justin Blackmon leaving the Jags only weapon Mercedes Lewis. This will not be pretty or enjoyable unless your a Jets fan.

Saints @ GIANTS – The Giants are doing exactly what we’ve come to expect. Roll through the first half of the year and then start to swoon, but win the games they need to in order to find their way into the playoffs on a hot streak. The Saints need this win to even have a chance, but it’s a very slim chance. Drew Brees does not play as well outside as he does indoors, but coming off 3+ interception days (he’s had five of them), Drew Brees has thrown 17 touchdowns and 4 interceptions (not good for the Giants’ secondary). Expect the Giants pass rush to disrupt Brees because they couldn’t get to RGIII last week and they don’t have consecutive bad games.

Dolphins @ 49ERS – This 49ers defense will have their way with rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill, especially Aldon Smith (the NFL’s sack leader) because Jake Long is now on the I.R. Colin Kaepernick is coming off a bad game against the Rams defense and almost another tie. The Dolphins are scrappy so this might be closer than one would think, but the 49ers should take this one.

Cardinals @ SEAHAWKS – Has one team ever had more home-field advantage in a single season? The 12th man in Seattle is something else and it will continue this week with the lowly Cardinals coming into town. John Skelton has been re-injected into the #1 spot on the depth chary after Ryan Lindley’s awful and abysmal performance, which left many wondering why Ken Whisenhunt didn’t replace him at halftime. The Seahawks are coming off a huge win against the Chicago Bears in overtime and will look to keep a hold on the last wild card spot in the NFC.

Lions @ PACKERS – The Lions are definitely the most disappointing and under-achieving team this year. Lots of talent, lots of promise but not enough of the “it” factor to put games away and keep themselves winning like last year. It’s a shame because Calvin Johnson’s possible MVP year is going to waste. Megatron is on pace to break Jerry Rice’s receiving yards record in a single season, and most likely won’t slow up even facing more double teams now that the Lions are depleted at wide receiver. The Packers are just sledding along toward the playoffs with a bunch of injuries of their own, but their guys will be healthy come playoff time.

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MONDAY

PATRIOTS @ Texans – This is a fantastic game and definitely the game of the week. Possibly the best matchup ESPN picked for Monday Night Football all year long. The Pats certainly miss Gronkowski, but Aaron Hernandez is getting healthier and Tom Brady will definitely find much more now. Their defense has been getting better and has been forcing a large amount of turnovers. The Texans are sitting at a nice 11-1 with a playoff spot locked up. Their defense is slowing up with all of their injuries and the Patriots offense will definitely exploit this. Expect a barn-burner here.

siren

UPSET ALERT – I am putting the Falcons, the Bearsand the Ravens on Upset Alert.

tom-hanks-in-cast-away

SURVIVOR PICK – Colts (If Picked already: Seahawks, and Broncos)

 

Week 12: Turkey for Everyone!

Do you like apples … I went 13-1 last week … So how do you like them apples? (Thanks, Matt Damon).

The double digit wins just won’t stop coming and I’ll continue to aim for that undefeated week as we near our end here. It’s one of my favorite times of the year, Thanksgiving. Lots of food and all day long Football, its like a pre-Sunday feast. Happy Thanksgiving to all!

THURSDAY

Texans @ LIONS – The Texans are due for a let down loss. Matthew Stafford has been catching fire recently and the Lions defense is getting more banged up each week. The Texans were teetering on the edge of a letdown against the Jaguars (REALLY???) last week. Andre Johnson, Matt Schaub and Arian Foster have been lighting up of late in fantasy scoreboards. I expect a hard-fought battle but the Lions to come out on top.

REDSKINS @ Cowboys – RG3 is going to have his way with the Cowboys defense. Romo and the offense are too sluggish in games this year to keep up with Griffin’s offensive swagger. Romo can’t stay upright still with a beleaguered offensive line. The Redskins defense will have to be in the backfield and the Cowboys defense will have to contain RG3’s running, but watch out for his rocket launcher. Redskins do what many can’t do and beat Romo in November.

PATRIOTS @ Jets – The Pats destroyed Andrew Luck’s Colts. They suffered a huge loss in Rob Gronkowski’s forearm, and the rest of him. It won’t matter much, he definitely will be missed, but Brady will spread those targets out elsewhere. The Jets are coming off a much-needed win at St. Louis, but they will be surely outclassed on Turkey Day. Pats in a blowout.

SUNDAY

Vikings @ BEARS – I fully expect Adrian Peterson to run a muck, but with Cutler playing the Bears offense will be able to put up some points. Without Cutler, the Bears offense was barely able to move the ball with Jason Campbell behind center. Christian Ponder will be facing a lot of pressure staring down the turnover-happy Bears defense. Expect a good cold-weather rivalry game here.

Raiders @ BENGALS – Marcel Reece is the bright spot for the Raiders’ offense, but that’s because it appears without Darren McFadden the offense runs through him quite literally. The Bengals looked great against the Chiefs, but who hasn’t really this year. At home, I expect Andy Dalton and AJ Green to have their way with the Raiders.

STEELERS @ Browns – I know Charlie Batch is starting, but he started last year and the Steelers started 3-1. Ridiculous, I know, but I can’t pick against them while they are playing the Browns. Brandon Weeden shows signs of progression at times in games, but then looks just plain bad. The young receivers on the Browns are just that, young and still developing. Trent Richardson is banged up and you know the Steelers hit hard. Expect a low-scoring game.

Bills @ COLTS – Andrew Luck has thrown 8 touchdowns to 2 interceptions in home games and 4 touchdowns to 10 interceptions away from home. Talk about home field advantage. Against a bad Bills’ defense I don’t expect this parity to change. The Bills played a good game against the Dolphins in which Fitzpatrick didn’t need to force any mistakes. CJ Spiller and Fred Jackson expect to carry heavy loads against a bad Colts run defense. Andrew Luck stays great at home.

BRONCOS @ Chiefs – Brady Quinn again really? Blowout and enjoy the fantasy points everyone who has somebody on the Broncos. Kepe an eye on Ronnie Hillman.

SEAHAWKS @ Dolphins- This Seahawks’ defense will pressure Ryan Tannehill into making mistakes. The warm weather will certainly be a change for Russell Wilson, but isn’t that always a welcoming change. The Dolphins defense hasn’t been as sound recently as it was the first eight or nine weeks. The Dolphins have started to lean on a timeshare, when Reggie Bush is still clearly the better back, but maybe they’re preparing for life after Reggie, who knows. Seahawks, because of their defense here, but always be wary of the West Coast team going east to play at 1.

Falcons @ BUCCANEERS – The Falcons played with fire again last week and almost lost. They will do the same here and will get burned because this team actually has an offense unlike that Arizona team. The Falcons have Julio Jones hurting, but he will play through it as it appears he has gotten better through the week. The Bucs are firing on all cylinders after making a nice comeback against a bad Panthers team last week that always plays their divisional foes tough. The Bucs will win this at home in a shootout. Expect a lot of fantasy points.

TITANS -@ Jaguars – Chad Henne went HAM last week against the Texans … some things hurt when you type and confuse you when you type them. The Titans had a week to rest and get Jake Locker back into the offensive groove because he looked awful in a blowout of the Dolphins two weeks ago. The Jags sorely miss Maurice Jones-Drew and should pay the guy. They are fighting for the #1 draft pick, but who knows if they should take a quarterback with it. Titans here easily as long as Chad Henne goes back to his normal play.

RAVENS @ Chargers – The Ravens still haven’t really looked like a championship team, but they win games. Phillip Rivers has found a new play toy in the form of Danario Alexander, who always had great potential but couldn’t stay healthy. The Chargers are probably not going to compete for a playoff spot this year because they’re not consistent on either side of the ball. The Ravens need to get the ball to Ray Rice more, and I’ve been saying it all year. It will catch up with them, but not this week.

49ers @ SAINTS – The Saints are high-powered and high-flying now. The 49ers are looking at a quarterback controversy because of one good game by Colin Kaepernick; can I say Kevin Kolb and Matt Flynn anybody? I think I should be picking the 49ers, but if they can’t choose a quarterback I don’t like it. Their defense looked tremendous against the Bears, but Campbell was under center, and Drew Brees is looking for sweet revenge in Louisiana for that NFC Divisional Playoff game last year.

RAMS @ Cardinals – The Rams looked awful against a bad Jets team last week and at home. Their defense did their best job, but the offense kept sputtering after starting over drives well. Expect a heavy dose of Steven Jackson and Daryl Richardson if Danny Amendola doesn’t play. These are solid defenses, but the Cardinals cannot move the ball and we will see if this changes with Beanie Wells coming back.

Packers @ GIANTS – This is the toss-up of the week. The Packers come in on fire and the Giants come in off their bye and suffering their usual November swoon. However, the Giants are typically coming off their bye way before this. The Packers have more key injuries than the Giants, and that is going to matter. These two teams play great games and I expect no less. I only pick the Giants because they are at home and I think the Giants want to prove the Packers didn’t beat themselves last year.

PANTHERS @ Eagles – No Vick and now no Shady McCoy. The Eagles can kiss this season goodbye. The Panthers offense can go at the Eagles and the Eagles offense cannot move the ball. I recommend spot starting any defense playing the Eagles as long as Nick Foles is starting. Sorry Andy Reid, but the buck stops here.

 

UPSET ALERT – I have put the Seahawks because they are coming to the East coast at 1 P.M. The Falcons and 49ers are also on Upset Alert this week. The Texans may be in for a Thanksgiving Upset.

 

SURVIVOR PICK – Patriots (If used already: Broncos, Panthers, Bengals and Panthers).

Those are my two cents … Cash them in!

T-Catz (Anthony)

Week 10: Start of Movember

12-2 last week … SOMEBODY STOP ME!!! … We are now two weeks into “No Shave November” …  Who’s taking part in it??

Our winning percentage is off the charts right now, so why should we stop??

THURSDAY

COLTS @ Jaguars – I called the emotional win for the Colts last week. The team has shaved their heads in honor of Chuck Pagano. They are on a roll and Andrew Luck is playing less like a rookie each game. The Jaguars are a team that cannot stop going in the wrong direction. They lack weapons on any side of the ball without MoJo-Drew. The Colts will win this easy as long as they keep their eyes on the prize.

SUNDAY

GIANTS @ Bengals – The Bengals are mired in a big slump after their offense started on fire and their defense was just awful compared to last year’s surprising squad. Andy Dalton has thrown an interception in each game this year and the Giants are prone to taking the ball away on defense (not as much as that team in Chicago.) The Giants loss to the Steelers was a tough one, because the Steelers patch-work running game was able to go straight down the Giants throat. Eli Manning is starting to slump and Ron Jaworski from ESPN said his arm looks “tired”. The Giants would do well for themselves by winning this away game before their bye because one of those second place teams actually has to win today by definition.

Titans @ DOLPHINS – Jake Locker’s healthy after Hasselbeck gets lit up? You’re kidding??? What a shocker! The Titans need Locker to stay healthy to stay relevant in the AFC South because the Colts are getting better weekly and the Titans are light-years ahead of them right now. The Dolphins could have won the game last week against the Colts, but Ryan Tannehill was outdone by his rookie counterpart in Andrew Luck. Reggie Bush is starting to get back to form, which spells trouble for a bad Titans defense.

LIONS @ Vikings – The Vikings took it to the Lions in the first meeting this year. That’s when the Vikings were a surprising team, but they’ve since begun their descent back down to Earth. The Lions are starting to click, even with a running game last weekend. Adrian Peterson continued his absolutely inhuman ways last week on a ridiculous run that he nearly scored on. His absurd play cannot compensate for Christian Ponder’s recent plummet.

Bills @ PATRIOTS – Too easy. The spread is now at 14, and some are probably tempted to take it … WHY NOT! The Bills have been talking all week about drafting a franchise quarterback, when they just signed their current one to a new deal last year mid-way through the season. Never a smart move. The Patriots are coming off their bye and will look to pad their AFC East lead at home against a bad, BAD Bills defense.

Smooth like Keith Stone !

Falcons @ SAINTS – This is a big game AND a big rivalry game. Now the Falcons are definitely the more complete team, but the Saints are facing straight must-wins and they get this one at home. The Falcons have been skating along some thin ice in a lot of their wins this year. Drew Brees didn’t even have a Drew Brees game, but they still smoked the Eagles on Monday Night. I think this is the game the Falcons finally lose.

Chargers @ BUCCANEERS – The Chargers are their usual selves just hanging around .500 and keep underachieving. Philip Rivers is not of the Big Ben, Eli Manning, Tom Brady, Peyton, Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers group where you can make any receiver look like fool’s gold. They have some offensive talent in Mathews, Gates and Floyd, but it hasn’t clicked yet. The Bucs are rolling and have become a Fantasy Football juggernaut. Freeman has been playing much better with weapons like Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams (resurgence), and the “Muscle Hamster” (Doug Martin). I like the Bucs at home.

BRONCOS @ Panthers – I was just watching Sunday NFL Countdown and a couple of the guys picked the Panthers and all I could do was shake my head. The Broncos may be the most dangerous team in the AFC right now. The defense is solid and almost just as good as the Texans defense, but I definitely give the edge to Peyton Manning running an offense over Matt Schaub. The Broncos will not lose this game because Peyton is just too hot right now.

Raiders @ RAVENS – That banged-up Ravens defense didn’t look to shabby last week only giving up 15 points to the Browns and keeping them out of the end zone. The Raiders are going to be without their top two receivers and will most certainly have to rely on Carson Palmer, who has been much better this year than last. The ball NEEDS to go to Ray Rice more if the Ravens want to stay a legitimate playoff contender. This shouldn’t be a tough game for them though.

Jets @ SEAHAWKS – The 12th man is doing its job this year. The Seahawks are 4-0 this year and I don’t see that changing this Sunday. The Jets have been more scrappy than ever since their two most talented players went down to season-ending injuries. Mark Sanchez continues his poor play and probably won’t break out of it against a good Seahawks defense that held Christian Ponder to 63 yards. Rex Ryan salivates over rookie quarterbacks usually, but if they can’t contain Marshawn Lynch, it’ll be a different story.

COWBOYS @ Eagles – Andy Reid will not finish out the year, and it’s not necessarily his fault. Michael Vick probably won’t be back next year and it isn’t his fault. Yeah he’s turning the ball over but he has 2 seconds to get rid of the ball, and they’ve basically abandoned the run. There’s too much talent on this Eagles team on both sides of the ball for them to be 3-5, and the same thing can be said for their division rival Cowboys. Tony Romo didn’t turn the ball over last week and they still lost. Their defense played very well last week, but the offense was not opportunistic and missed a lot of chances to win the game. I don’t expect either of these coaches back next year.

Rams @ 49ERS – Danny Amendola’s coming back already. It won’t make a difference against this 49ers team. Both of these teams come off their byes to face physical defenses. The Rams have only really been blown out against the Patriots in London and the 49ers have appeared to be on a mission since getting rolled by the New York Giants. Both quarterbacks need some time and their running games if either one wants to win this game. This feels like a coaching chess-match to me, but it’ll go to the more talented team ,but Jeff Fisher has helped turn this Rams franchise around already.

TEXANS @ Bears – This is the toss-up of the day. The weather report says it’s going to rain … a lot and all day. That favors defense, as if these defenses needed any help. The Bears defense can’t keep their hands off the ball and themselves out of the endzone. Jay Cutler is winning these games and usually by playing better in the fourth quarter, surprisingly. What does not bode well for the Bears is that the Texans can hold onto the ball very securely and are solid on both sides of the ball and are probably the best AFC team. This could even be a Superbowl preview ladies and gents.

MONDAY

STEELERS @ Chiefs – Why bother justifying this when the Chiefs have turned the ball over more than anyone and have never had a lead this season. Steelers seem to only be getting better and without their best defensive players. Watch out AFC! Jamaal Charles and Dwayne Bowe are wasting away in Kansas City’s offense.

UPSET ALERT – I am placing the traveling Broncos on Upset Alert, as well as the Falcons because the worst team to face is a desperate team that needs to win the game to stay relevant, and a good one at that. The Lions have a worse record so that means the Vikings get an Upset Alert from me.

SURVIVOR PICK – Steelers are a mortal lock. (If Picked Already: PatriotsRavens49ers , and Seahawks).

Those are my two cents … cash ’em in!

T-Catz (Anthony)Saints

 

 

Week 9: Power Outage

So, we made it to 11 wins again. 11-3 last week, and like Train 777 we are “Unstoppable” right now!

Watch Out!

Our prayers go out to those who have been hurt and have been severely affected by Hurricane Sandy. Please donate what you can and do not forget those in need in their time of biggest need!

Let’s get to it!

THURSDAY

Chiefs @ CHARGERS – The Chiefs are historically bad, never possessing a lead at any point in regulation this season. They want to start Brady Quinn over the man they’ve paid millions of dollars to. The Chargers did their best Chiefs impression last week losing to the Browns 7-6 in ugly weather. The Chargers won’t find their path to victory so slippery this week in an easy win.

BRONCOS @ Bengals – Peyton Manning is picking up where he left off two seasons ago. The Broncos look like a top five team this year and definitely top two in the AFC. Their offense and their defense are complete and are on a roll, their defense held the high-powered Saints to a mere fourteen points. The Bengals are coming off their bye and they are at home, but are simply outmatched. Champ Bailey figures to shadow AJ Green, which will be interesting to watch, but it won’t matter unless the Bengals defense can stop Peyton.

RAVENS @ Browns – The Ravens are coming off their bye and have hopefully, for their own sake, have fixed their defensive problems. The ball needs to go to Ray Rice more, Flacco can be a good, possibly great quarterback but Ray Rice needs to be the centerpiece, plain and simple. The Browns, pulled out an ugly win last week. They just aren’t good, but Brandon Weeden is coming along, but needs to be quicker since he’s already 28 years old. Keep throwing the ball to Josh Gordon and good things will happen.

Cardinals @ PACKERS – The Cardinals can’t keep their quarterback upright and you know Clay Matthews is salivating at this fact. The Packers didn’t look great last week against the lowly Jags, but what’s to expect when your two best receivers are injured. They will roll this week, no worries Cheeseheads.

BEARS @ Titans – The Bears squeaked out a win against the underachieving Panthers. They need to be better on offense for four quarters if they want to be real contenders even if their defense is lights out. The Titans are coming off a tough loss to the Colts in Indy. The Titans have relied heavily on Chris Johnson the past few weeks as it appears he may be headed back to his 2K form, but it won’t be easy against this Bears defense.

Dolphins @ COLTS– The Colts get to stay at home after beating the Titans in a tight game that went to overtime. The Dolphins are coming off a huge win in New Jersey after shellacking the Jets. The Dolphins’ defense is the biggest story this year, their run defense is solid, but their pass defense is middle of the road. They have found ways to win their games and sit at 4-3. The Colts have looked better with Andrew Luck under center, but their defense just isn’t all that good. This is a tough match-up but I’ll take the grittier team. I am switching my pick and picking the emotional team because Chuck Pagano will be in the stadium to watch the Colts.

Panthers @ REDSKINS– RG3 drew comparisons to Cam Newton when he came into the league earlier this year, but he is playing better than Cam did. He doesn’t turn the ball over as much as Cam did and he seems to be in control more; his offense has been shaped to match his skill-set. The Panthers definitely played their best game against the Bears, but could not finish. The ‘Skins are coming off an ugly loss to the Steelers, expect a whole different game from the Shannies.

LIONS @ Jaguars – The Lions are fighting their way back to being relevant, but it’s a long road ahead. Stafford seems to be improving as he lit up a good Seahawks secondary last week en route to a big win for the Lions. The Jaguars fought wholeheartedly against the Packers, but with the lack of talent they never really had a chance, much like this week unless Rashad Jennings can simply go ballistic.

Bills @ TEXANS – Both teams are coming off their bye, and Mario Williams is going back “home”. It won’t matter. The Texans are going to beat the Bills handily, expect a lot of throws from Mr. Harvard. The biggest question will be, does Mario Williams get a standing ovation or hear the boo birds?

Steelers @ GIANTS – Battle of the 2004 NFL Draft! Big Ben has two rings and so does Eli, but that doesn’t matter now. What matters now is who will be the better team Sunday. The Steelers have not been able to keep their starting running backs healthy as Isaac Redman will be starting this Sunday after coming off a good win against the Redskins. The Giants were rolling into halftime against the Cowboys in Dallas, but started to crumble. Then, Captain Eli led his team to victory as the Giants got lucky as Dez Bryant put his hand out of bounds on a nice throw from Tony Romo with less than 20 seconds left in the game. 

BUCCANEERS @ Raiders – The Bucs rolled their hosts in Minnesota last Thursday. They also just traded away their best defensive player, also an off the field problem, in Aqib  Talib. Their offense is starting to click. The Raiders were able to defeat the lowly Chiefs, but the sledding won’t be easier against the Bucs, who are a great run defense. Darren McFadden continues his subpar season, but will need to break out of it soon for this team to compete.

Vikings @ SEAHAWKS – The 12th man has had its biggest impact ever this year. Teams can’t go to Seattle and win it appears more than ever this year. The Vikings might be finally coming back down to earth as they were rolled by the Bucs at home last week. The Seahawks talented defense will keep the pressure on a suddenly turnover happy Christian Ponder.

Cowboys @ FALCONS – The Falcons return home after rolling the Eagles in Philly, and the Cowboys leave home after a disappointing loss to the Champs. The Cowboys keep playing disappointing football and their schedule doesn’t get easier this week as the Falcons are now sitting a pretty 7-0. Matt Ryan will definitely have his hands full against a good Cowboys defense that frustrated Eli Manning last Sunday, but the Georgia Dome will be too rowdy for the Cowboys.

Eagles @ SAINTS– The Saints are abysmal right now. The Eagles are abysmal right now. But, somebody has to win this game. If the Eagles could go back to running the ball with Shady McCoy they could be a top NFC team, but they can’t keep the ball out of the hands of their opponents’ defense. The Saints schedule doesn’t get easier as time goes along, they still have to play the Falcons twice. I am writing them off for the season, but not this game.

UPSET ALERT  – I am putting the Falcons on Upset Alert, because of how the Cowboys play the best teams tough and have been known for beating undefeated teams. Also, I put the Vikings on Upset Alert going into Seattle is never easy. Dolphins because of Chuck Pagano’s presence.

SURVIVOR PICK – This week I go with the Chargers, simply because of how bad the Chiefs are. (If Picked already: Lions, Packers and Texans.) From here on out, picking against the Chiefs and the Jaguars simply is a good idea.

Those are my two cents … cash ’em in!