Week 16: Fantasy Football Superbowl!!!

The finals are upon us and good luck to all. Happy Holidays and Merry Christmas to all as well! Here come the picks!

SUNDAY

png-22 Dolphins @ Bills png-9 – MONEY LINE: Dolphins — SPREAD: Bills (+3.0)

saintsSaints @ Panthers png-3 – MONEY LINE: Panthers — SPREAD: Saints (+3.0)

png-1 Cowboys @ Redskins png-19 – MONEY LINE: Cowboys — SPREAD: Redskins (+3.0)

png-6Buccaneers @ Rams rams – MONEY LINE: Rams — SPREAD: Buccaneers (+4.0)

png-15  Bears @ Eagles png-18 – MONEY LINE: Eagles — SPREAD: Bears (+3.5)

png-23  Browns @ Jets images – MONEY LINE: Browns — SPREAD: Browns (+2.5)

png-17 Colts @ Chiefs chiefs – MONEY LINE: Chiefs — SPREAD: Chiefs (-5.0)

png-12Vikings @ Bengals png-14 – MONEY LINE: Bengals — SPREAD: Bengals (-8.5)

broncos  Broncos @ Texans texans – MONEY LINE: Broncos — SPREAD: Broncos (-10.5)

png-20  Titans @ Jaguars download – MONEY LINE: Titans — SPREAD: Jaguars (+5.0)

png-10Cardinals @ Seahawks png-2 – MONEY LINE: Seahawks — SPREAD: Cardinals (+10.0)

png  Giants @ Lions png-13 – MONEY LINE: Lions — SPREAD: Giants (+9.5)

png-16Raiders @ Chargers chargers – MONEY LINE: Chargers — SPREAD: Raiders (+10.0)

png-21 Steelers @ Packers packers – MONEY LINE: Steelers — SPREAD: Steelers (+1.5)

png-8Patriots @ Ravens png-4 – MONEY LINE: Ravens — SPREAD: Ravens (-1.5)

MONDAY NIGHT

falcons Falcons @ 49ers 49ers – MONEY LINE: 49ers — SPREAD: Falcons (+13.0)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Week 15: Punch Your Tickets if You Can!

The Fantasy Football playoffs are upon us, most leagues started last week. I wanted to post my teams at the beginning of this year with how ridiculous I thought they were, but then they got better. I am in the semi-finals in four out of five leagues (thanks to three byes). So good luck to all in their respective playoff match-ups!!! A present for everyone at the bottom, but for now, onto the picks:

THURSDAY NIGHT

chargers  Chargers @ Broncos broncos – MONEY LINE: Broncos — SPREAD: Broncos (-10.5)

SUNDAY

png-19 Redskins @ Falcons falcons – MONEY LINE: Falcons — SPREAD: Redskins (-6.0)

49ers  49ers @ Buccaneers png-6 – MONEY LINE: 49ers — SPREAD: Buccaneers (+5.5)

png-10 Cardinals @ Titans png-20 – MONEY LINE: Cardinals — SPREAD: Cardinals (-2.5)

saints Saints @ Rams rams – MONEY LINE: Saints — SPREAD: Saints (-6.0)

png-2 Seahawks @ Giants png – MONEY LINE: Seahawks — SPREAD: Giants (+7.0)

png-15  Bears @ Browns png-23 – MONEY LINE: Bears — SPREAD: Bears (+1.0)

texansTexans @ Colts png-17 – MONEY LINE: Colts — SPREAD: Texans (+5.5)

png-9  Bills @ Jaguars download – MONEY LINE: Bills — SPREAD: Bills (-2.5)

png-8Patriots @ Dolphins png-22 – MONEY LINE: Patriots — SPREAD: Patriots (-2.5)

png-18Eagles @ Vikings png-12 – MONEY LINE: Eagles — SPREAD: Eagles (-5.0)

images Jets @ Panthers png-3 – MONEY LINE: Panthers — SPREAD: Jets (+11.0)

chiefsChiefs @ Raiders png-16 – MONEY LINE: Chiefs — SPREAD: Chiefs (-4.0)

packers Packers @ Cowboys png-1 – MONEY LINE: Cowboys — SPREAD: Cowboys (-7.0)

png-14  Bengals @ Steelers png-21 – MONEY LINE: Bengals — SPREAD: Steelers (+3.0)

MONDAY NIGHT

png-4  Ravens @ Lions  png-13 – MONEY LINE: Lions — SPREAD: Ravens (+6.0)

Todays_Special

UPSET SPECIAL

  • BENGALS
  • CARDINALS
  • PATRIOTS
  • BROWNS

image

SURVIVOR POOL

  • COWBOYS
  • CHIEFS
  • PANTHERS
  • EAGLES
  • COLTS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Week 8: Calling all Favres … Calling all Favres

So the news broke earlier today that the St. Louis Rams, who recently just lost their starting quarterback to a torn ACL, reached out to retirement flirt Brett Favre. Please for the love of God don’t start this up again! I know he has said he is staying retired to all news outlets, but I also know they will still run with it. As many of you might have seen the injury bug bit the NFL pretty hard last week, as starting quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers all went down projecting to miss significant time or the rest of the season. These teams have to continue to push on just as we do with another so-so showing. 8-7 Money Line last week and Against the Spread we were 6-9 (better than the past few weeks!) Let’s jump into Week 8 and see where these injuries will take us:

alg-jenn-sterger-102910-jpg Brett-Favre-could-still-play-in-NFL-agent-says

BYE WEEK: Colts, Bears, Titans, Chargers, Ravens & Texans

THURSDAY

png-3 Panthers @ Buccaneers  png-6 – MONEY LINE: Panthers — SPREAD: Panthers (-6.0)

Thursday Night games have been pretty awful this year. The Panthers seem to be hitting an eye-brow raising stride, and it’s mostly because of their defense. The front seven is ferocious even after giving up Jon Beason and after all the injuries to the defensive backs. Cam Newton is connecting on 68% of his passes over their past three games. The Bucs let go of Freeman and Glennon has been serviceable but they are misusing their best defensive weapon in Revis by not allowing him to shadow opponents’ #1 receivers. I don’t like taking the Panthers against the spread, but I’m doing it.

SUNDAY

png Giants @ Eagles png-18 – MONEY LINE: Eagles — SPREAD: Eagles (-6.0)

The Giants got their first win of the season Monday Night, in the ugliest Monday Night game I have ever seen. Peyton Hillis averaged 2 yards per carry and Eli Manning only had 200 yards. The good news is the Giants didn’t lose the turnover battle. The Eagles put Foles behind the wheel and as I expected he did poorly and then he was concussed. The “high-powered” offense only mustered 3 points against the banged up Cowboys’ defense. Michael Vick returns under center unfortunately for the G-Men, but he may still be hobbled limiting his running plays. We will see.

png-1 Cowboys @ Lions png-13 – MONEY LINE: Lions — SPREAD: Cowboys (+3.5)

The Cowboys won an ugly on in Philly on Sunday. The defense looked much better against the Nick Foles-led Eagles. The Cowboys offensive line will be tested against the Lions defensive line. The most intriguing match-up is two guys who won’t be on the field at the same time at any point, Dez Bryant vs. Calvin Johnson. The Lions lost a heart-breaker at home to the Bengals last weekend even with Calvin Johnson’s monster line.

png-23 Browns @ Chiefs chiefs – MONEY LINE: Chiefs — SPREAD: Chiefs (-7.0)

The Browns are bad, even worse they benched Brandon Weeden for Jason Campbell. Joe Haden will shadow Dwayne Bowe, not that that matters since Bowe has been downright awful all year. Maybe the Browns are trying to save Brandon Weeden because Campbell will be under duress all day from the Chiefs. Alex Smith keeps his label as the “Game Manager of the Year”. The defense is what is winning the Chiefs these games, along with Jamaal Charles. Good Luck Mr. Campbell.

png-22 Dolphins @ Patriots png-8 – MONEY LINE: Patriots — SPREAD: Patriots (-6.5)

The Dolphins have dropped three straight and now head into Foxborough to face the ticked off Patriots. Gronkowski is healthy and Amendola should play, this offense is only going to get better now. Aqib Talib will be coming back and will mostly likely face off on Mike Wallace. Ryan Tannehill won’t stop turning the ball over after many thought this season would be one of progression, but his offensive line isn’t helping his cause.

png-9 Bills @ Saints saints – MONEY LINE: Saints — SPREAD: Saints (-12.5)

The Bills are coming off an upset of the Dolphins in Miami, but head into the Thunderdome. Thad Lewis is doing just fine under center filling in for E.J. Manuel. The Bills need Fred Jackson and C.J Spiller to get healthy, but Spiller might sit this week, which could help him get healthy quicker. The Saints are coming off their bye and might be without Jimmy Graham. Drew Brees will miss him, but it will be noticed. Drew Brees will handle his business and Rob Ryan will make life for the Bills hell.

49ers 49ers @ Jaguars download – MONEY LINE: 49ers — SPREAD: 49ers (+16.5)

The 49ers seem to be clicking on all cylinders. The Jaguars don’t seem to have any cylinders. I gave them a chance last week with all the possibilities of a trap game for the Chargers, but they are just too bad to capitalize on things like that. Now they head to London to face the 49ers who probably won’t take their foot off the throttle. However, I’m going to swallow the 16.5 points even though the London games usually don’t get ugly, I can’t trust the Jaguars.

imagesJets @ Bengals png-14  – MONEY LINE: Bengals — SPREAD: Jets (+6.5)

The Jets pulled off a miracle win at home against the Patriots. Geno Smith is due for his bad game as he seems to have one every other game. The Bengals got another road win against the high-powered Lions. Both defenses are going to make life hell for the opposing quarterbacks. I expect the Bengals to be in the backfield all day against the Jets, and I might be crazy picking the Bengals with the points.

png-21 Steelers @ Raiders png-16 – MONEY LINE: Steelers — SPREAD: (-2.5)

The Steelers have won two in a row as they have found a running game and their defense is getting healthy and is starting to click. The Raiders are coming off their bye and are going to have to protect their quarterback better than they did against the Chiefs when Pryor was sacked 10 times.  I expect Mike Tomlin to continue righting this ship that is the Pittsburgh Steelers, although it seems that Terrelle Pryor is becoming an NFL quarterback.

png-19Redskins @ Broncos broncos – MONEY LINE: Broncos — SPREAD: Redskins (+13.0)

The ‘Skins are coming off an exciting victory in Soldier Field against the Bears. The defense is still too leaky, but RGIII is rounding into form with his legs and his arm, and they seem to have a two-headed monster in Alfred Morris and Roy Helu. Jordan Reed will be an asset to this team going forward. Peyton lost his homecoming in Indy as he was outdone by Andrew Luck. Expect a lot of points in this one.

falconsFalcons @ Cardinals png-10 –  MONEY LINE: Falcons — SPREAD: Falcons (+2.5)

Matt Ryan found confidence in Harry Douglas and Harry Douglas played with a ton of it. If Roddy White can’t go it appears Steven Jackson is finally set to return and they need him. The Cardinals stunk it up against the best defense in the league on Thursday Night Football. The Cardinals stayed at home and the Falcons got a big divisional win as they look to stay alive.

packersPackers @ Vikings png-12 – MONEY LINE: Packers — SPREAD: Packers (-9.5)

The Packers found silver in Jarrett Boykin. Jermichael Finley suffered a scary injury and our prayers are with him for a speedy recovery. It doesn’t matter who Rodgers is throwing the ball to, he’ll get it done. Eddie Lacy is turning into the best Packers’ running back since Ahman Green. The Vikings are in trouble and AP is banged up. Josh Freeman was diagnosed with a concussion which means they are forced to turn back to Christian Ponder. Good Lucky keeping up with the Packers.

MONDAY

Seahawks @ Rams – MONEY LINE: Seahawks — SPREAD: Seahawks (+10.5)

The Seahawks embarrassed the Cardinals on Thursday night and will have eleven days off to face a Rams team that is forced to play Kellen Clemens. This will be an ugly one and I don’t expect anything less than a blowout. The Seahawks don’t usually play well on the road, but it doesn’t matter when your opponent is this bad.

siren

UPSET ALERT

  • BENGALS
  • STEELERS
  • CARDINALS
  • LIONS
  • BUCCANEERS
  • EAGLES

tom-hanks-in-cast-away

SURVIVOR PICK

  • 49ERS
  • PANTHERS
  • CHIEFS
  • PACKERS
  • SAINTS
  • PATRIOTS

Week 3: Let’s not Overreact

12-4 Week 2 money line, against the spread we got better going 7-8-1 rather than 4-12 in Week 1. I’ll get better at the spreads, that’s a promise, but let’s keep the ball rolling on the money line picks ’cause we’re on fire. I will reiterate we make picks with spreads based on opening lines from Sundays before the respective week.

Off to Indy!!!

Off to Indy!!!

THURSDAY

Chiefs @ Eagles – Money Line: Eagles — Spread: Chiefs (+3.0)

The Eagles high powered offense was outmatched by Philip Rivers? The one weakness of the Eagles is what Chip Kelly fears the most, the offense sitting on the sidelines. If their opponent can dominate the time of possession then the Eagles could see a bunch of losses. The Chiefs defense is underrated after a solid showing against the Cowboys in Arrowhead. If Alex Smith can be the 13-3 Alex Smith from two years ago the Chiefs are headed to the playoffs.

SUNDAY

Texans @ Ravens – Money Line: Texans — Spread: Texans (+1.0)

The Texans keep needing late game comebacks and that will only work for so long. Ben Tate has been outplaying Arian Foster, but has only been getting about 25% of the snaps that the overused Foster has. I’m not saying Foster has lost a step after missing training camp and the preseason, but it wouldn’t be outrageous to think so. DeAndre Hopkins might be emerging as the second option behind Andre Johnson the Texans have always desired. The Ravens’ defense looked much better against the Browns last week, but the offense still looks off without many weapons. If they could get Ray Rice and Bernard Pierce on the field most of the time, they would be better off, but Rice might not play, tilting the scales.

Giants @ Panthers – Money Line: Giants — Spread: Giants (+2.5)

Eli Manning has 7 interceptions already and the G-Men have 10. Yikes. They haven’t looked like themselves, their pass rush can get no pressure leaving their somewhat surprisingly deep corners out on islands. The Giants need to give the ball to David Wilson and get over the fumbles, it’s time to turn the corner on it. They need to right this ship. Cam Newton and the Panthers seemed to find a stride somewhat against the Bills. We will see how the talent-less offense responds against the Giants’ defense at home. The Panthers front seven is surprisingly good, like the Giants on the road as dogs.

Rams @ Cowboys – Money Line: Cowboys — Spread: Rams (+3.5)

The Rams played catch-up and almost completed the comeback against the Falcons last week. The defense is probably seething after that embarrassing first half, which is bad for Tony Romo. I will repeat the Rams have speedsters all over the field on offense, so watch out Cowboys. The ‘Boys looked real good in the first quarter, especially the connection of Romo and Dez Bryant, but they strayed away from Bryant in the second half, leading to a bad loss. They will look to rebound in Jerry’s World, but don’t expect the run game to get going against this front seven.

Chargers @ Titans – Money Line: Titans— Spread: Chargers (+3.0)

The Chargers shocked the world with their first half performance against the Texans on MNF opening weekend. Then, they froze hell over and beat the Chip Kelly Eagles in Philly. Philip Rivers looked like vintage Philip Rivers, which is something we shouldn’t count on every week. With no run game and few weapons on offense the Chargers will have trouble finding more wins, but might not be hard pressed to find one in Nashville. Nothing to say about the Titans, except their in trouble with an unhappy Kenny Britt. The biggest challenge for the Chargers is the fact they traveled to Philly, back to San Diego, only to come back to Tennessee.

Buccaneers @ Patriots – Money Line: Patriots — Spread: Buccaneers (+7.5)

The Bucs look bad, but played the hell out of the Saints. Josh Freeman is in the doghouse of Greg Schiano and probably won’t find his way out until he starts winning some games. Darrelle Revis appeared to be there as well, but he claims they have smoothed things out. The Bucs’ defense isn’t their problem it’s the offense, but that’s the problem the Pats have right now. Tom Brady has looked pedestrian through the first two weeks and I doubt it will continue when Gronk comes back, but that probably won’t be this weekend. The defenses will keep this game close.

Browns @ Vikings – Money Line: Vikings — Spread: Vikings (-3.0)

Well this is awkward. The Browns have traded away their best player and are back into a rebuilding mode after having hopes for two games? Their defense has held up their side, but the offense has not been able to get going and won’t find any more success with Richardson gone (they have replaced him with Willis McGahee) and Brian Hoyer starting now. Adrian Peterson is salivating at the thought of his Vikings competing in a game, which results in more carries for him. Expect a heavy workload for Purple Jesus this week, but this team might need to turn the page on Christian Ponder soon.

Packers @ Bengals – Money Line: Packers — Spread: Packers (+1.5)

The Packers looked like the Packers of two years ago scoring in bunches against the Redskins last week. Rodgers looked like his MVP self and his weapons are pretty solid yet again. James Starks filled in quite nicely for Eddie Lacy as he was knocked out with a concussion (no pun intended). Their defense allowed the Redskins to make a game out of it, but shouldn’t find too much trouble against the Andy Dalton led Bengals. The Bengals defense had their way with the Steelers and Big Ben. The offense struggled yet again at the hands of Andy Dalton. All of his down-field passes seem to go out of bounds. I like the Packers offense to outrun the defense of the Bengals.

Lions @ Redskins – Money Line: Redskins — Spread: Redskins (-2.5)

The Lions lost a heart-breaker to the Cardinals in Arizona last week and now have to travel back to Washington to face an 0-2, but hungry Redskins team. Calvin Johnson exploded again on Patrick Peterson in a losing effort, while Reggie Bush came out of the game all banged up, but Joique Bell has and would fill in nicely. RGIII has not been called upon to run, but now every media outlet is saying that’s why the Redskins keep losing. We will see how the game planning has changed over the past week, but expect him to stay in the pocket a lot and sling the ball around against a bad Lions defense. This should be a shootout.

Cardinals @ Saints – Money Line: Saints — Spread: Cardinals (+7.5)

The Cardinals eeked out a late win after losing a late on against the Rams in Week One. Carson Palmer is having fun with this new offense he is playing under, but Larry Fitzgerald’s injury will not benefit him. The Cardinals defense is a solid unit, but I don’t know if they can stick with the Saints. The Saints defense has looked better, but now they just lost Patrick Robinson and are very thin every where on defense. Drew Brees will explode sooner or later, and might be in for a big game at home, but I’ll take the 7.5 points considering the Cards also play in a dome.

Falcons @ Dolphins – Money Line: Falcons — Spread: Falcons (+1.5)

Steven Jackson won’t play this week and nobody knows when he will be back, but that means Matt Ryan gets to have fun. The Falcons are 1-1 after losing a heart-breaker at the Thunderdome, but face another tough defense like last week against the Rams. The Falcons are getting thinner on the defensive side after losing Sean Witherspoon to the I.R. The Dolphins are surprisingly 2-0, having beaten the Browns and the offensive line-less Colts in Indy. Ryan Tannehill has looked improved and Lamar Miller looked better last week and will look good against a bad Falcons defense again this week. If Tannehill and Mike Wallace continue to build their rapport, this team could sneak into the playoffs.

Bills @ Jets – Money Line: Jets — Spread: Bills (+2.5)

The Bills inched out an exciting win at home last week. Now they face what’s turning into a typical Rex Ryan defense at MetLife Stadium. Stevie Johnson and Robert Woods are already on the same page as E.J. Manuel, spelling trouble for opposing defenses, especially if C.J. Spiller can get into the open field. The Bills defense just needs to stand its ground. The Jets lost an ugly one to the Patriots on Thursday Night in Foxborough. Geno Smith cannot keep making the mistakes he was baited into by Bill Belichick. The defense is how I’m going to make this pick.

Jaguars @ Seahawks – Money Line: Seahawks — Spread: Seahawks (-16.5)

The line has been at 20 as well, and I still would’ve taken it. The Jags look like the cream of the crap so far, and might be without Maurice Jones-Drew, good luck with that Jacksonville! The Seahawks had their way with the 49ers yet again last week even with Russell Wilson’s poor performance. The Seahawks might send out the backups after the third quarter in this one.

Colts @ 49ers – Money Line: 49ers — Spread: Colts (+10.5)

Post-Trent Richardson Trade this line has moved only half a point to a point. The Colts merely gave up a first round pick (most likely in the 20s) to get the former #3 pick overall from the Browns. They have massively upgraded their running back, but their line still sucks. Andrew Luck will now have a new play toy and a great 1-2 punch in Richardson and Bradshaw. The Niners were embarrassed on national television and I don’t think they liked it. I see them embarrassing the Colts to save face, but garbage time will see this game get closer.

Bears @ Steelers – Money Line: Bears — Spread: Bears (-1.0)

When a road team is favored, it’s never good for the home team. The Steelers can’t get much going on offense except from their speedy receivers on dink and dunk passes. The Steelers kept attempting to go to Jerrico Cotchery on Monday Night, which left me wondering what was Todd Haley smoking in Cinci. Their offensive line is horrendous and will struggle against a good Bears’ defense. The Bears offense pulled out a victory in the last seconds of their 31-30 win against the Vikings. The defense will have a better game against the mostly talent-less Steelers’ offense.

MONDAY

Raiders @ Broncos – Money Line: Raiders (just kidding, Broncos) — Spread: Broncos (-15.5)

CharlesWoodsonTackle_original

Charles Woodson made one of the best tackles I’ve ever seen on MJD last week to save a touchdown, but that’s all I can say about that game. Good luck, Raiders! Peyton Manning and the Broncos went into MetLife Stadium and dismantled the Giants and little brother Eli. The Broncos are firing on all cylinders already and Knowshown Moreno looks good right now and expect a lot of carries from him as the Broncos will be up early and often here. I can see the game finishing closer than expected because it is Monday Night Football after all.

siren

UPSET ALERT

This week I am putting the Dolphins, Panthers, Bengals, Titans and Redskins on Upset Alert. I know it’s a lot of teams but one of the most beloved things about the NFL is the parity every year.

tom-hanks-in-cast-away

SURVIVOR PICK

This week let’s just say take the

  • Seahawks
  • Broncos
  • Vikings

No need to look at anyone else, the Vikings could lose, but the Browns will look bad this week.

Week 2: Aftermath of Week 1

kaephit

RIP Kaep … Ouch-town Population you, Bro! (Pepper Brooks)

What did we look like after Week 1 you ask? Taking a look at the money line Sports Gone HAM went a solid 11-5, but against the spread we were a truly disappointing 4-10-2 (pushes). We will get better on the spreads, but it is the first time we are trying and Week 1 saw some head-scratchers. Let’s get into week one and reflect on some injuries and Week 1 games during each match-up:

THURSDAY

Jets @ Patriots (-12.0) – Money Line: Patriots —- Spread: Jets (+12.0)

The Pats are hurting on offense and it showed last weekend. Stevan Ridley has struggled to hold onto the ball ever since the playoffs last season and now Shane Vereen, his talented backup, is out until at least Week 10. Danny Amendola is not expected to play and they are still missing Gronk. It looks like Thompkins and Edelman will be the one-two punch. The Jets pulled a win out of nowhere last Sunday as Geno Smith scrambled out of bounds and was inexplicably pushed out of bounds by Lavonte David. The Jets defense looked solid as usual last weekend, but the offense looked somewhat anemic in Smith’s first start. He did show some maturity throughout the game taking some sacks and not making horrible throws. I like their defense to keep this game somewhat close.

SUNDAY

Chargers @ Eagles (7.5) – Money Line: Eagles —- Spread: Eagles (-7.5)

The Chargers had an epic collapse with only twenty minutes to go in their Monday Night Football game against the Houston Texans. From what I saw in the first half, Philip Rivers looked pretty good and crisp after an off-season where his possible regression was called into question. The second half happened and it looked like the critics could be right, but only time will tell. The Eagles fumbled the ball on a questionable call their first drive, but dominated after that. They ran 53 plays in the first half with their new Oregon offense and looked sharp. They play fast because that’s what their top three guys have, speed and lots of it (Vick, Jackson and McCoy). Look for the Eagles to tire out the Chargers and coast in the second half.

Browns @ Ravens (-6.5)  – Money Line: Ravens —- Spread: Ravens (-6.5)

The Browns looked lost at home against the Dolphins. Besides Jordan Cameron, Trent Richardson is the best receiving option and he lines up in the backfield. The Ravens defense will be angry after being embarrassed, man-handled, torched and simply run off the field by the Broncos and Peyton’s seven touchdowns on Opening Night. The Ravens offense was average with a lack of talent in their receiving corps as well. Marlon Brown seems like he might make a nice addition in the slot, but Torrey Smith can’t man the outside by himself. This will be interesting and even though I think 6.5 is a lot of points, I still go Ravens at home.

Titans @ Texans (-9.0) – Money Line: Texans —- Spread: Texans (-9)

The Titans looked good, but that was against a really bad offense that calls its home Pittsburgh. That line is horrific and made the Titans defense look like … well the Steelers’ defense. Chris Johnson found some lanes against a stout run defense, but his sledding won’t get easier against the tough Texans defense. The Texans looked disastrous in the first half against the Chargers, but turned into the AFC South champs in the second half. Andre Johnson did his Andre Johnson thing and broke 100 yards as Matt Schaub abused him in the target area. Arian Foster looked a little rusty and Ben Tate looked poised to take over when he could. Gary Kubiak said they might need to split the carries more evenly if this keeps up. I still like Texans giving the 9.

Dolphins @ Colts (-3.0) – Money Line: Colts —- Spread: Colts (-3.0)

The Dolphins beat a bad looking Browns team while leaving their most talented player on offense out of the equation, which left him pretty upset with the coaching staff. Mike Wallace needs to be given the ball because he’s a play-maker, and if their run game can’t get going he has the talent to make something out of nothing. The Colts looked flat for some reason against a bad Oakland defense. The Colts line still isn’t the best and their run game is at the bottom of the pack. If Ahmad Bradshaw can’t overtake Vic Ballard, it could mean more passes for Andrew Luck each game. At home I like the Colts

Panthers (-3.0) @ Bills – Money Line: Bills —- Spread: Bills (+3.0)

The Panthers front seven looked great against a great run team in the Seahawks. However, that team had traveled from the other corner of the country and played at 1 P.M. and I don’t care who you are, that’s never easy. The Panthers offense looked horrendous against a great defense, so try and get a read on that one. The Bills looked pretty good against the Patriots and took them to the wire, but couldn’t finish the job. E.J. Manuel had a couple of nice throws, but his defense couldn’t hold up against Tom and the Pats beat-up offense. I like the Bills at home.

Rams @ Falcons (-7.0) – Money Line: Falcons —- Spread: Rams (+7.0)

The Rams came roaring back against the Cardinals and used “Legatron” to cap off the come from behind victory. Bradford looked better than the past few years behind a revamped offensive line featuring newly acquired Jake Long. He has explosive weapons all over the field, Richardson, Austin, Givens, and Cook and he seems to be hitting it off with all. The defense is underrated and can get in the backfield as well as force turnovers. The Falcons are coming off a heart-breaker against their arch-rival Saints. Their defense played better than anyone expected with Asante Samuel, but their offense looked nothing like last years with Roddy White being banged up. I want to pick the Falcons, but their defense and the speed around Bradford worry me.

Redskins @ Packers (-7.0) – Money Line: Packers —- Spread: Redskins (+7.0)

RGIII looked rusty, but then he settled in against the Eagles defense. Alfred Morris did not look like himself on a very costly fumble, and the defense was tired after the Eagles ran their up-tempo offense. The defense will need to shore up against Rodgers and the Pack to have a shot. The P ackers put up a good fight against the reigning NFC Champions, but simply couldn’t put a cap on the Kaep. Their secondary was lit up by the likes of Anquan Boldin and Vernon Davis, which makes RGIII feel confident. The Pack tried to establish the run game while airing it out with Rodgers. They have a good fit in Lacy and he likes what he saw from McCoy’s performance on Monday night I’m Sure.

Cowboys @ Chiefs (-2.5) – Money Line: Cowboys —- Spread: Cowboys (+2.5)

The Cowboys defense looked great forcing 6 turnovers against the Giants, but the offense was unable to capitalize on each turnover as the Giants were on the verge of a comeback until the final turnover did them in. Tony Romo suffered bruise ribs after getting finally hit by the Giants defensive linemen. The Cowboys still looked like the better team on Sunday and could be a force with all their talent if they can get the offense really flowing. The Chiefs looked well-rounded, but that was against the lowly Jaguars. The defense forced turnovers and got into the backfield, which could help against the Cowboys O-Line. Their defense will need to perform up to better standards to stop the Cowboys offensive weapons. I like the ‘Boys here even with Dez Bryant injured.

Vikings @ Bears (-6.0) – Money Line: Bears —- Spread: Bears (-6.0)

The Vikings pass game is going to be a problem for a while unless someone can teach Christian Ponder how to be an NFL quarterback. As was the case last year, Adrian Peterson will face a lot of “full box” situations because most teams want leave the game in Ponder’s hands. The Vikings corners looked good last week shutting down Calvin Johnson, but the whole defense was embarassed by probably the most dangerous open field player in the NFL in Reggie Bush. The Bears withstood a tough test from the Bengals last week and somehow Jay Cutler did not take a sack. Brandon Marshall and Cutler are on a whole other level right now. Their defense isn’t the same without Urlacher and Tillman was abused by AJ Green, but the Vikes don’t have that type of outside weapon so Bears here.

Saints (-3.5) @ Buccaneers – Money Line: Saints —- Spread: Saints (-3.5)

The Saints defense stopped the Falcons. Say what? The Saints offense looked pretty good with Sean Payton back, but they can definitely do more. Just wait till they hit their stride, but their defense will leak and won’t hold teams to 17 very often to be honest. The Bucs lost in shocking fashion. Their defense looked good with the addition of Revis, but the offense looked lost. Josh Freeman is in a make or break year, his contract year, and he has weapons that most quarterbacks would thrive with. They need to fix his focus otherwise it’ll be another long season to the team with pewter helmets. Saints here.

Lions (-1.0) @ Cardinals – Money Line: Cardinals —- Spread: Cardinals (1.0)

The Lions newest offensive toy looked fantastic against the Vikings; however, they can’t rely on Reggie Bush to beat better teams like the Arizona Cardinals. Calvin Johnson will needed to produce more than 4 catches for the Lions to keep winning games. Suh made another stupid mistake that cost him a ton of money. The Cardinals looked good throughout the game against a good Rams defense and Carson Palmer seems to fit Bruce Arians’ offensive scheme. Their defense looked solid as well and they have talent that’ll surprise most. I think at home the Cardinals will take this one.

Jaguars @ Raiders (-6.0) – Money Line: Raiders —- Spread: Jaguars (+6.0)

The Jaguars looked historically bad. Gabbert is out (apparently with an injury) and Henne is in. Henne produced decent numbers last year while filling in for Gabbert. I like Maurice Jones-Drew this week against a bad Raiders defense, but it’s hard to expect much from the Jags’ offense. The Raiders looked surprisingly decent against the Colts in Indy on Sunday. Until the final drive where they turned the ball over, the Raiders looked serviceable. I like the Raiders here because of the elusiveness of Terrelle Pryor, but with Henne under center I don’t like them by more than 6, but I might change my take on this game.

Broncos (-5.0) @ Giants – Money Line: Giants —- Money Line: Giants (+5.0)

The Broncos looked scary on Opening Night as Peyton tossed seven touchdowns at Mile High. Their defense, even without Von Miller and Champ Bailey looked pretty solid against the defending champs. I am worried about what the Broncos are capable of this year in a division with zero defense. The Patriots record of points scored and Tom Brady’s touchdown record have been warned. The G-Men. Where to start? Six turnovers doomed the Giants on Sunday night and no team could recover from that. Except, the Giants almost had the game won before the last turnover. The defense looked good and held Dez Bryant to two catches. If David Wilson can fix himself and the line can protect Eli, the Giants could surprise people here with a win against Big Brother. These are the games the Giants always step up and win.

49ers @ Seahawks (-3.0) – Money Line: Seahawks —- Money Line: Seahawks (-3.0)

Could be one of the games of the year. The 49ers took down the Packers using Anquan Boldin last week at Candlestick. Kaepernick proved yet again he can toss the ball around with the best of them. The Niners defense, even giving up 28 points still looked like a bunch of studs. The Seahawks looked jet-lagged in Carolina and eeked out a 12-7 win. These are probably the two best teams in the NFL and they play in the same division. I can’t wait to sit down and watch this outright brawl as this rivalry has become grounded in their hatred and their physical play. I like the Seahawks at home. Remember last year’s game?

MONDAY

Steelers @ Bengals (-7.0) – Money Line: Bengals —- Money Line: Bengals (-7.0)

The Steelers’ offense looked as bad as the Jaguars’ did. Big Ben can’t stand in the pocket for more than four seconds and his receivers, maybe excluding Antonio Brown, are a bunch of B-listers and below. He will continue to struggle without his safety blanket in Heath Miller. The defense looked more fresh against the bad Titans’ offense, but they will truly be tested against a young Bengals offense. The Bengals lost a heart-breaker to the Bears last weekend in Soldier Field. The defense wasn’t able to get to Jay Cutler which is puzzling considering the front seven this team has. The defense and the offense are both solid units making this Bengals team my favorite to still take home the AFC North. This will be a physical game, but I like the Bengals even with the big spread.

siren

UPSET SPECIAL

My Upset Alerts for this week fall on the BroncosLions , Chiefs, Falcons and Panthers. All of these teams are favorites, three of which are on the road. Keep an eye on these games ladies and ‘gents.

tom-hanks-in-cast-away

SURVIVOR POOL

So last week I actually took the Colts and survived by the hairs on my chin (there are none right now). For this week the teams I like, depending on who you have chosen are:

  • PATRIOTS
  • RAVENS
  • COLTS
  • TEXANS
  • EAGLES

Good luck this week to all!

5 Things We Learned: Week 1 Edition

Happy Holidays football fans. The NFL regular season is back! And with a new season comes new expectations amongst the NFL’s 32 teams. So this season I am going to do something different from other sports sites. Each week I will be compiling two lists of information: On the one side, there will be 5 expectations going into the week of things one should anticipate seeing in one of the week’s matchups, and on the flip side, a list of 5 occurrences that the majority of football enthusiasts never saw coming.

Since Week 1 has technically come and gone, this week’s recap will be: 5 Things Week 1 Taught Us.

1) It was only Week 1, also known as ‘Overreaction Monday’ (kudos to Adam Schefter for coining that). Don’t be down if your team did not clutch it in the fourth quarter (Giants fans). Don’t walk into your office this week yelling the words ‘Jets,’ ‘Superbowl,’ and ‘bound’ in the same breath either. Ravens fans, we’re talking to you too! Don’t think your team is going to hang 40+ points again anytime soon. Yes, everyone knows and remembers Ray Lewis and the rest of the defense can carry an average offense to the Promised Land. The point is lots of teams have looked great in Week 1 and crashed the remaining 15 games, and the same can be said for teams who have lost their opener, then went on to win the Superbowl. The point is: Stay grounded until we reach October.

2) Robert Griffin, III is NOT going to have a season like Cam Newton. He will put up solid numbers and win games along the way. He will not accept comparisons to Newton, and after the game Vick had, he certainly will look at you with disdain if you ask him if certain aspects of his game resemble number 7 in Philadelphia. RG3 looked like a player worth the five draft picks that the Washington Redskins traded to acquire him this past April. Griffin posted a 92.3 quarterback rating, while going 19/26 with 320 passing yards and 2 touchdowns, one of which was an 88-yard score courtesy of Pierre Garcon.

Now, I know what your thinking: It was the Saints defense, and you are not impressed. It’s very easy to forget though, that Drew Brees and Co. are very difficult to beat, especially in the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. The noise level in that building has been very unfriendly to many opposing offenses over the years, but not to Griffin, III who appeared to be right at home.

I am not Newton bashing, but the best team the Carolina Panthers defeated last season were the Houston Texans sans Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson. Thus, the Redskins getting a season-opening win versus the New Orleans Bountygate Saints is that much more impressive for RG3 and company.

3) You should be ready to hit the panic button if you own Patriots players on your fantasy team other than Brady and Ridley. The Patriots may have found a running game, albeit against the Tennessee Titans, but you have to start somewhere I know it’s just Week 1, but look for sporadic production from all parties involved on the offense on a game-to-game basis. Gronkowski and Hernandez aren’t included as locks for huge production on a weekly basis because they can easily cancel each other out. So if you wasted a 2nd or 3rd round pick on Welker and Lloyd, you should start looking at your waiver wire. New England has too many weapons on offense for everyone to get consistent fantasy production out of.

4) The Ravens made a statement last night! Joe Flacco is demanding that the football world take him seriously as a Top 10 NFL Quarterback. And what better stage to make a statement then when everyone is watching on Monday Night Football! Everyone knows the Ravens have a solid running game with Ray Rice at the helm. The Ravens defense is still anchored by the ageless wonder Ray Lewis, with Ed Reed still ball-hawking in the secondary. If Flacco can develop even a glimpse of the same consistency he showed in the first half versus the Cincinnati Bengals, the Ravens might be early favorites to give the Patriots a run for their money on the offensive side of the ball in the AFC.

5) Going into the Jaguars/Vikings matchup, I strongly believed that the loser of that game would flirt with having a winless season. Well, the Jaguars lost (does that shock anyone?) and their schedule doesn’t get any easier.

Thankfully for their sake, they get 2 chances at the Indianapolis Colts, and matchup versus the Miami Dolphins towards the end of the season.

Wins will be hard to come by.

Honorable mention:

– A.P. is still A.P. and if he manages to put up around 80 rushing yards a game, and a touchdown or two, he would instantly become the steal of the draft since all the experts were doubting how much he would contribute in the first few games of the season.

– Tony Romo discovered a clutch gene, playing one of his best statistical games in his career. He and DeMarco Murray torched the Giants defense for more than 400 yards total offense, and the Cowboys offensive line neutralized the Giants well-known defensive line.

-Peyton Manning picked up where he left off, and that is going to make the AFC playoff picture a bit deeper this year as a result. Look for the Broncos to flirt with one of the top seeds in the AFC with Manning running that offense.

#BookIt

– Kevin Olgetree (Dallas Cowboys), Alfred Morris (Washington Redskins), and Stephen Hill (New York Jets) will be the most added fantasy players this week.

– Fred Jackson will be dropped in more than 50% of fantasy leagues because people realize that the Buffalo Bills were given a taste of what C.J. Spiller could do, against a solid defense nonetheless. Jackson may not have his starting job handed back to him when he returns.

– Julio Jones will have a better season than Roddy White; Week 1 was not a fluke.

– This is the year of the back up running back. Ask Matt Forte how he feels after seeing Michael Bush take away his goal line carries and touchdowns.

The McKayla is Not Impressed Award for Week 1 goes to the Philadelphia Eagles. No one is impressed that they beat the Browns, despite Michael Vick trying to throw the game away, literally. Vick gave the Browns plenty of chances to run away with the game, but in the end Browns quarterback Brandon Weeden one-upped in crunch time, giving the ball right back to the Eagles by way of an interception.

McKayla is not impressed by a Philadelphia 1 point victory over Cleveland.

 

– Jimmy Lips