Week 12: Turkey for Everyone!

Do you like apples … I went 13-1 last week … So how do you like them apples? (Thanks, Matt Damon).

The double digit wins just won’t stop coming and I’ll continue to aim for that undefeated week as we near our end here. It’s one of my favorite times of the year, Thanksgiving. Lots of food and all day long Football, its like a pre-Sunday feast. Happy Thanksgiving to all!

THURSDAY

Texans @ LIONS – The Texans are due for a let down loss. Matthew Stafford has been catching fire recently and the Lions defense is getting more banged up each week. The Texans were teetering on the edge of a letdown against the Jaguars (REALLY???) last week. Andre Johnson, Matt Schaub and Arian Foster have been lighting up of late in fantasy scoreboards. I expect a hard-fought battle but the Lions to come out on top.

REDSKINS @ Cowboys – RG3 is going to have his way with the Cowboys defense. Romo and the offense are too sluggish in games this year to keep up with Griffin’s offensive swagger. Romo can’t stay upright still with a beleaguered offensive line. The Redskins defense will have to be in the backfield and the Cowboys defense will have to contain RG3’s running, but watch out for his rocket launcher. Redskins do what many can’t do and beat Romo in November.

PATRIOTS @ Jets – The Pats destroyed Andrew Luck’s Colts. They suffered a huge loss in Rob Gronkowski’s forearm, and the rest of him. It won’t matter much, he definitely will be missed, but Brady will spread those targets out elsewhere. The Jets are coming off a much-needed win at St. Louis, but they will be surely outclassed on Turkey Day. Pats in a blowout.

SUNDAY

Vikings @ BEARS – I fully expect Adrian Peterson to run a muck, but with Cutler playing the Bears offense will be able to put up some points. Without Cutler, the Bears offense was barely able to move the ball with Jason Campbell behind center. Christian Ponder will be facing a lot of pressure staring down the turnover-happy Bears defense. Expect a good cold-weather rivalry game here.

Raiders @ BENGALS – Marcel Reece is the bright spot for the Raiders’ offense, but that’s because it appears without Darren McFadden the offense runs through him quite literally. The Bengals looked great against the Chiefs, but who hasn’t really this year. At home, I expect Andy Dalton and AJ Green to have their way with the Raiders.

STEELERS @ Browns – I know Charlie Batch is starting, but he started last year and the Steelers started 3-1. Ridiculous, I know, but I can’t pick against them while they are playing the Browns. Brandon Weeden shows signs of progression at times in games, but then looks just plain bad. The young receivers on the Browns are just that, young and still developing. Trent Richardson is banged up and you know the Steelers hit hard. Expect a low-scoring game.

Bills @ COLTS – Andrew Luck has thrown 8 touchdowns to 2 interceptions in home games and 4 touchdowns to 10 interceptions away from home. Talk about home field advantage. Against a bad Bills’ defense I don’t expect this parity to change. The Bills played a good game against the Dolphins in which Fitzpatrick didn’t need to force any mistakes. CJ Spiller and Fred Jackson expect to carry heavy loads against a bad Colts run defense. Andrew Luck stays great at home.

BRONCOS @ Chiefs – Brady Quinn again really? Blowout and enjoy the fantasy points everyone who has somebody on the Broncos. Kepe an eye on Ronnie Hillman.

SEAHAWKS @ Dolphins- This Seahawks’ defense will pressure Ryan Tannehill into making mistakes. The warm weather will certainly be a change for Russell Wilson, but isn’t that always a welcoming change. The Dolphins defense hasn’t been as sound recently as it was the first eight or nine weeks. The Dolphins have started to lean on a timeshare, when Reggie Bush is still clearly the better back, but maybe they’re preparing for life after Reggie, who knows. Seahawks, because of their defense here, but always be wary of the West Coast team going east to play at 1.

Falcons @ BUCCANEERS – The Falcons played with fire again last week and almost lost. They will do the same here and will get burned because this team actually has an offense unlike that Arizona team. The Falcons have Julio Jones hurting, but he will play through it as it appears he has gotten better through the week. The Bucs are firing on all cylinders after making a nice comeback against a bad Panthers team last week that always plays their divisional foes tough. The Bucs will win this at home in a shootout. Expect a lot of fantasy points.

TITANS -@ Jaguars – Chad Henne went HAM last week against the Texans … some things hurt when you type and confuse you when you type them. The Titans had a week to rest and get Jake Locker back into the offensive groove because he looked awful in a blowout of the Dolphins two weeks ago. The Jags sorely miss Maurice Jones-Drew and should pay the guy. They are fighting for the #1 draft pick, but who knows if they should take a quarterback with it. Titans here easily as long as Chad Henne goes back to his normal play.

RAVENS @ Chargers – The Ravens still haven’t really looked like a championship team, but they win games. Phillip Rivers has found a new play toy in the form of Danario Alexander, who always had great potential but couldn’t stay healthy. The Chargers are probably not going to compete for a playoff spot this year because they’re not consistent on either side of the ball. The Ravens need to get the ball to Ray Rice more, and I’ve been saying it all year. It will catch up with them, but not this week.

49ers @ SAINTS – The Saints are high-powered and high-flying now. The 49ers are looking at a quarterback controversy because of one good game by Colin Kaepernick; can I say Kevin Kolb and Matt Flynn anybody? I think I should be picking the 49ers, but if they can’t choose a quarterback I don’t like it. Their defense looked tremendous against the Bears, but Campbell was under center, and Drew Brees is looking for sweet revenge in Louisiana for that NFC Divisional Playoff game last year.

RAMS @ Cardinals – The Rams looked awful against a bad Jets team last week and at home. Their defense did their best job, but the offense kept sputtering after starting over drives well. Expect a heavy dose of Steven Jackson and Daryl Richardson if Danny Amendola doesn’t play. These are solid defenses, but the Cardinals cannot move the ball and we will see if this changes with Beanie Wells coming back.

Packers @ GIANTS – This is the toss-up of the week. The Packers come in on fire and the Giants come in off their bye and suffering their usual November swoon. However, the Giants are typically coming off their bye way before this. The Packers have more key injuries than the Giants, and that is going to matter. These two teams play great games and I expect no less. I only pick the Giants because they are at home and I think the Giants want to prove the Packers didn’t beat themselves last year.

PANTHERS @ Eagles – No Vick and now no Shady McCoy. The Eagles can kiss this season goodbye. The Panthers offense can go at the Eagles and the Eagles offense cannot move the ball. I recommend spot starting any defense playing the Eagles as long as Nick Foles is starting. Sorry Andy Reid, but the buck stops here.

 

UPSET ALERT – I have put the Seahawks because they are coming to the East coast at 1 P.M. The Falcons and 49ers are also on Upset Alert this week. The Texans may be in for a Thanksgiving Upset.

 

SURVIVOR PICK – Patriots (If used already: Broncos, Panthers, Bengals and Panthers).

Those are my two cents … Cash them in!

T-Catz (Anthony)

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Week 5 – Keep on Rolling

12-3 Last week …

BOOM

Not to brag but sitting better on my picks this season than SI’s Peter King. The first three weeks were tough, but this past week I started 11-1 before Sunday night and went 0-2 on Sunday and Monday night. Let’s continue this strong showing.

THURSDAY

CARDINALS @ Rams- Last week I correctly predicted that the Rams would upset the Seahawks, although both teams should have been 1-2 going into that game. The Rams defense played much better than their offense as they seemed to be shying away from their #1 asset in Steven Jackson. This Rams defense is underrated and is flying under the radar more than these Cardinals. The Cardinals didn’t look like the same team in the first half against a less than average Dolphins team. The Cardinals had to make an emotional comeback and outlast the Dolphins in overtime to stay undefeated. That’s why I find this a very tough pick and think it might be the biggest toss-up game of the week.

SUNDAY

Browns @ GIANTS – The Browns are the only winless team left in the NFL and they will stay that way after this weekend. They haven’t looked great, but they’ve stayed in some games that they had no right to be in. Brandon Weeden has played like a rookie, unfortunately he’s seven years older than most rookies and has looked worse than a few of them. The Giants came within a 54 yard field goal of beating the Eagles and moving to 3-1 instead of the other way around. Still no Hakeem Nicks for the Giants, big blow to the offense, but Eli finds ways to get ‘er done and will continue Sunday.

Dolphins @ BENGALS – The Dolphins looked pretty solid in their almost overtime upset against the Cardinals Sunday, but they fell short, per usual these days. The Dolphins run defense has looked great, considering its #1 right now in the NFL, the problem is the Bengals have been throwing a lot, and for good reason, with weapons like stud receiver A.J. Green and dangerous slot man Andrew Hawkins, along with red zone threat in Jermaine Gresham. The Bengals defense hasn’t been the same as last year, but they should continue their winning ways this weekend.

PACKERS @ Colts – The Packers won a squeaker in which they were helped out by the referees (consolation for the Seahawks game?). Greg Jennings will not be playing yet again this week, which does hurt the Packers offense, but Rodgers will most certainly spread the wealth just fine. Andrew Luck will see a healthy dose of Clay Matthews in his face and he will not like it! The Packers will go into Indy and show Andrew Luck how it’s done.

RAVENS @ Chiefs – The Ravens have looked really good so far, but almost allowed the Browns to win that game on Thursday night. Flacco threw a bad interception but was pretty sharp after that and they seemed to keep the ball out of Ray Rice’s hands, chalk that up to the short week. That will change this week now that they’ve had a week and a half for rest. The Chiefs just won’t stop turning the ball over. They haven’t looked awful but their turnovers are head scratching with 15 of them, and the sledding won’t get much easier as they face the Ravens defense.

Eagles @ STEELERS – The Eagles played an offensive ugly game against the Giants until they started running the ball to the outside. They almost lost the game, but were able to pull it out after a bad offensive pass interference on Ramses Barden of the Giants. Vick looked better seeing as he didn’t turn the ball over. The Steelers are coming off of their bye, with a full load of healthy starters coming back: Polamalu, Harrison and Rashard Mendenhall. In state foes, but one needs the win more and that is the home team and that’s why I pick the Steelers.

I’M BACKKKKK

FALCONS @ Redskins – I don’t believe this will be an easy win for the Falcons and they can actually lose this game. The Falcons have looked like a complete team and Matty Ice actually lived up to his name because he was ice cold in that comeback win over the Panthers. The Redskins controlled the entire game against the Bucs until they let them take the lead by backing off the gas in the second half. Then, Robert Griffin marched his offense down the field and Billy Cundiff did what he couldn’t go all game long, hit a FG, and a clutch won at that. Falcons win here because of their weapons and the caliber of their defense right now.

Seahawks @ PANTHERS – The Panthers should have gone for it on Fourth down last week and the Falcons wouldn’t be sitting undefeated anymore, but hey that’s why they play the game. The Seahawks did not look good against the Rams, besides Lynch who has the most yards in the NFL this year. I think the Seahawks have a good physical defense, but it stops there, their offense is atrocious. The Panthers D looked good getting pressure on Ryan all day, but clearly they needed to double Roddy White, good thing is there is no one close to Roddy’s talent on the Seahawks.

BEARS @ Jaguars – I know everyone saw what the Bears did to Romo, imagine what they could do to Gabbert. The Bears defense was unstoppable and Romo is evasive, Gabbert is known for playing scared, so watch out. Cutler played pretty well in the Cowboys game against a good Cowboys defense. Maurice Jones-Drew is doing all he can, as usual, to carry this team, but it won’t be enough this Sunday.

Titans @ VIKINGS – Never thought I’d see the day where I was picking the Vikings while Christian Ponder was still their starting Q, but here I am. Adrian Peterson is going to have a field day and Ponder will continue his game managing ways. The Titans took step backward with Jake Locker’s shoulder injury and Kenny Britt’s setback. Chris Johnson had a good game against a tough Texans defense, but it’ll take more than one good game to get back to where he used to be, and the Vikings run defense has looked good so far.

Broncos @ PATRIOTS – I would like to pick the Broncos, but the Patriots can just light up a scoreboard no matter how good your defense is and how well your team has been playing. The Broncos Joe Mays will be coming back from a suspension and their defense is pumping on all cylinders now, but this is the wrong team to play when you start to. Peyton Manning has not thrown an interception since the first quarter debacle against the Falcons, not a bad stat. Tom Brady turned in a Tom Brady performance, but the biggest surprise was the explosion of the Pats run game, which we should all keep an eye on, because if they become two dimensional …. eek.

Bills @ 49ERS – The Bills had control of the Patriots in the first half forcing turnovers and not allowing Brady to slice ’em and dice ’em. Then it simply got ugly. The Bills have two solid running backs, possibly the best 1-2 punch in the NFL this year, but the 49ers don’t give up rushing yards to many. The 49ers looked great against the Jets, especially the defense and good news for them Fitzpatrick turns the ball over a lot. The 49ers defense are going to have their way with the Bills, but keep an eye on the other side.

Chargers @ SAINTS – The Chargers are playing quietly good and the Saints are playing noisily awful. Rivers has been carrying the team and Jackie battle bruised his way last week to a couple of scores. The Defense has looked good as well, but now they go into the Superdome, to play a battered Saints team. Here’s the difference maker, Sean Payton will be at this game. This will be one of those games where daddy shows up for the first time for little Johnny’s football game, and little Johnny goes HAM (Insert “Little Giants” movie quote here, please).

MONDAY

TEXANS @ Jets – Is there a team more depleted by the loss of two players, one on each side of the ball. The Jets looked like an FBS school against the 49ers last week and Santonio Holmes reaffirmed how selfish he is by throwing the ball into the hands of Carlos Rogers when he hurt his foot. HOLD ONTO THE BALL WHEN YOU GO DOWN! The Texans could be the most complete team in the NFL and they couldn’t have picked a better team to face to stay undefeated than the Jets. Tim Tebow might be looking mighty good after this game if Sanchez can’t do well with his now patchwork receiving corps after rookie Stephen Hill and Dustin Keller won’t play … OUCH.

 

UPSET ALERT – As I said be way of the Rams, (they already beat the Cardinals). Another upset to keep an eye on is the Redskins over the Falcons, just depending on how well the Skins defense plays. I’m not saying it’ll happen but let’s not forget that Arrowhead is one of the loudest stadiums in the NFL and the Ravens can falter just don’t expect it. I also wouldn’t call this an upset, but the Broncos CAN beat the Patriots.

To Survive!

SURVIVAL PICKTexans over the Jets is a lock, but most have already used the Texans I’m sure so the next best thing is the Bears over the Jaguars.. (If picked already: Vikings and Giants )