Week 15: Punch Your Tickets if You Can!

The Fantasy Football playoffs are upon us, most leagues started last week. I wanted to post my teams at the beginning of this year with how ridiculous I thought they were, but then they got better. I am in the semi-finals in four out of five leagues (thanks to three byes). So good luck to all in their respective playoff match-ups!!! A present for everyone at the bottom, but for now, onto the picks:

THURSDAY NIGHT

chargers  Chargers @ Broncos broncos – MONEY LINE: Broncos — SPREAD: Broncos (-10.5)

SUNDAY

png-19 Redskins @ Falcons falcons – MONEY LINE: Falcons — SPREAD: Redskins (-6.0)

49ers  49ers @ Buccaneers png-6 – MONEY LINE: 49ers — SPREAD: Buccaneers (+5.5)

png-10 Cardinals @ Titans png-20 – MONEY LINE: Cardinals — SPREAD: Cardinals (-2.5)

saints Saints @ Rams rams – MONEY LINE: Saints — SPREAD: Saints (-6.0)

png-2 Seahawks @ Giants png – MONEY LINE: Seahawks — SPREAD: Giants (+7.0)

png-15  Bears @ Browns png-23 – MONEY LINE: Bears — SPREAD: Bears (+1.0)

texansTexans @ Colts png-17 – MONEY LINE: Colts — SPREAD: Texans (+5.5)

png-9  Bills @ Jaguars download – MONEY LINE: Bills — SPREAD: Bills (-2.5)

png-8Patriots @ Dolphins png-22 – MONEY LINE: Patriots — SPREAD: Patriots (-2.5)

png-18Eagles @ Vikings png-12 – MONEY LINE: Eagles — SPREAD: Eagles (-5.0)

images Jets @ Panthers png-3 – MONEY LINE: Panthers — SPREAD: Jets (+11.0)

chiefsChiefs @ Raiders png-16 – MONEY LINE: Chiefs — SPREAD: Chiefs (-4.0)

packers Packers @ Cowboys png-1 – MONEY LINE: Cowboys — SPREAD: Cowboys (-7.0)

png-14  Bengals @ Steelers png-21 – MONEY LINE: Bengals — SPREAD: Steelers (+3.0)

MONDAY NIGHT

png-4  Ravens @ Lions  png-13 – MONEY LINE: Lions — SPREAD: Ravens (+6.0)

Todays_Special

UPSET SPECIAL

  • BENGALS
  • CARDINALS
  • PATRIOTS
  • BROWNS

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SURVIVOR POOL

  • COWBOYS
  • CHIEFS
  • PANTHERS
  • EAGLES
  • COLTS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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NFL Picks Week 14, 1:00 o’clock games

 

Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5), O/U (41.5)

Miami is 0 and 2 since 1995 when they play the Steelers in Pittsburgh. The Dolphins have a 2-6 record in their last 8 games against Pittsburgh and are on a 5 game losing streak against the Steelers overall. Ben Roethlisberger seems to have a knack for winning games late in the season at home when they mean something and the Steelers are 18-6 ATS at home over the past 24 games.

Gonna go with Pittsburgh here to cover the spread.
Take the under 41.5.

Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots (-10), O/U (45)

New England plays every team tough at home and are coming in on a 5 game winning streak at home. The Browns are 1-4 against the Patriots in their last 5 meetings and are 1-4 against the spread versus the Patriots in their last 5 matchups. Cleveland is going off a tough loss to the Jaguars at home and now have to go on the road against a tough opponent in the Patriots.

Gonna take New England to cover the 10 point spread.
4 out of the past 5 games between Cleveland and New England have gone over the line. Gotta go with the OVER here.

Kansas City Chiefs at Washington Redskins (+2.5), O/U (44)

Kansas City and Washington have both not fared well against the spread in their last 6 games going just 1 and 5 ATS. Washington is on a 5 game losing streak against the Chiefs and haven’t covered the spread in those games either. With the Redskins struggling not looking to make the playoffs and Kansas City looking to get back on track against at team that head coach Andy Reid knows well, I expect this game to get oit of hand rather quickly.

Got to take the Chiefs to cover the 2 points.
Chiefs have gone UNDER the line in 14 of their past 20 games and Washington has gone UNDER the line in 8 of its past 12 at home. All signs pointing to the UNDER here.

Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5), O/U (53)

Detroit has gone under the line in 4 of their last six road games and the Eagles have also gone under the line in 5 of their past 6 homes games. Philadelphia is coming in hot and are 6 and 1 against the Lions at home in their past seven meetings. Detroit has covered the spread in the past two games against Philadelphia and with both teams looking to make a run at the playoffs its going to be a tight game. This game is going to come down to a field goal.

With that I’m going with the Eagles to win this one at home but the Lions WILL COVER the 2.5 point spread.
both defenses have been playing well of late which leads me to believe this is going UNDER the 53 point line.

Indianapolis Colts at Cincinnati Bengals (-5.5), O/U (44.5)

The Colts have beaten the Bengals 7 times in the last 8 meeting between the two and the Colts have covered the spread in those games 5 times. Cincinnati is just 2 and 6 against the spread when playing Indy at home in their last 8 meetings. The Bengals are coming off a 17 to 10 win over the Chargers in week 13 and they had their bye week during week 12. I think the Bengals are going to hit their stride this week and put up a bunch of points against the Colts defense through the air.

Take the Colts to cover the 5.5 in a low scoring game that will go UNDER the 44.5 point line.

Buffalo Bills at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5), O/U (41.5)

Truly a toss up here with two rookie quarterbacks going head to head and two pretty good defenses both against the run and pass. EJ Manuel is heading back to the state where he spent his college career and will have a bunch of fans there pulling for him and that will play a factor in this game. Tampa Bay is 5 and 1 in their last six home games against the Bills and the Bills haven’t cover the spread in their past 5 games in Tampa Bay.

Gonna go with the Bills to win this game covering that 2.5 point spread.
The Bucs and the Bills have both gone OVER the line in 6 out of the last 8 games. Take the OVER again here.

Oakland Raiders at New York Jets (-3), O/U (41.5)

The Jets have played better of late at home this season going 4 and 2 in their past 6 home games. and are also 4 and 2 in their past 6 games against the Raiders. The Raiders will be relying on Rashad Jennings with Run DMC out with an ankle injury against the leagues best run defense so expect Matt McGloin to be throwing the ball a lot against a Jets secondary that has been struggling.

Gonna take the Raiders to COVER the spread in a nail biter with the Jets sneaking out the win but by less than 3 points.
It’s going to be a fast paced game with a lot of drives that end with long touchdowns so I’ve gotta go with the OVER 41.5 point line.

Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers (-3), O/U (46.5)

Atlanta has really struggled this year but they have picked it up of late and I believe that Mike smith’s team will finish the season strong. Green Bay is good at home but they are still without Aaron Rodgers and have been struggling to find the endzone on offense. I think that will continue this week for Green Bay’s offense and the Packers defense will have to try to find pay dirt somehow and keep Matt Ryan at bay. I like the Falcons to upset the Packers here and get a much needed win in regulation by a touchdown.

Take the Falcons against the spread.
Gonna have to go with the UNDER, as I don’t expect much scoring from the Packers offense but their defense will keep the Falcons offense under 30 points.

Minnesota Vikings at Baltimore Ravens (-6), O/U (42.5)

The Vikings have been playing surprisingly well in the past two weeks getting a win versus Chicago and tying with the Packers the week before that. Both of those games went into overtime. We could attest that to Minnesota’s defense and Adrian Peterson. The Ravens know that the Vikings are going to give AP a lot of touches and will probably challenge the Vikings wide receivers to beat them on the outside. Matt Cassel should be able to take advantage of the play action and hit his receivers and tight ends down the field. Baltimore has played really well at home all season but they haven’t scored that many points at home.

Gonna take the Ravens here to COVER the 6 point spread getting the win by a touchdown over Minnesota.
But I’m going to take the OVER on this 42.5 point line with both teams scoring into the twenties.

Week 7: Unlucky Sevens?

The Broncos didn’t blow out the Jaguars and didn’t beat the spread. John Fox probably had money on that game, I mean honestly Peyton throws a pick-6 to the Jaguars? Don’t even get me started on the New York Football (but not really) Giants. Another above .500 week for the Money Line picks at 9-6, but this was my worst week for picks Against the Spread going 2-13. I don’t want to talk about it, but hey it happens.

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THURSDAY

png-2Seahawks @ Cardinalspng-10– MONEY LINE: Seahawks — SPREAD: Cardinals (+4.5)

The Seahawks didn’t look that great against the Titans and that was at home, that’s the second week in a row the Seahawks haven’t looked like the top dog, but this could be a bounce back week. I never really like them on the road to beat the spread. Percy Harvin may be only a couple of weeks away from contributing to this team, which would make them even more dangerous. The Cardinals turned the ball over too much to compete against the Niners and Carson Palmer has not excelled as many expected in Bruce Arians’ offense.

SUNDAY

png-8Patriots @ Jetsimages – MONEY LINE: Patriots — SPREAD: Jets (+4.0)

The Patriots pulled off a stunner with five seconds left in regulation at home against the Saints. Rob Ryan was disgusted when his defense gave up the last second touchdown to Brady & Co. Aqib Talib, Rob Gronkowski and Danny Amendola (SHOCKER!) won’t be playing Sunday most likely. The biggest hit is Talib, and as you may remember he intercepted Geno Smith twice when they played in Week Two. The Jets stayed at home after losing an ugly one to the Steelers. Smith seems to play better every other game and he won’t have to face Talib, Wilfork and Mayo now. I like the Jets with the points at home.

chargers Chargers @ Jaguars download – MONEY LINE: Chargers — SPREAD: Jaguars (+7.5)

The Chargers stopped Andrew Luck from scoring a touchdown on Monday Night and the defense looked great, or was it the Colts’ play calling? No matter Philip Rivers looks like he’s refined himself and although he might not be the quarterback he used to be he has definitely matured into a leader and he has a new play-toy in Keenan Allen. The Jags are awful, but played up to the Broncos on Sunday in Denver. They will win a game at some point, but I don’t know when, but be warned. Call me crazy but the Chargers played on Monday Night and it’s a West Coast team coming to the East Coast, I smell a loss.

texansTexans @ Chiefs  chiefs – MONEY LINE: Chiefs — SPREAD: Chiefs (-4.5)

The Texans have now lost Matt Schaub to a gruesome ankle injury, and the Houston fans cheered. Seriously??? The Texans were embarrassed by the Rams 38-13 and another pick-6 was thrown by a Texans’ quarterback. Arian Foster looks rejuvenated, but he will have a tough test against the Chiefs’ defense allowing only 10.8 points per game. Alex Smith is showing why he has the label of a game manager, but Jamaal Charles looks like a typical Andy Reid running back and that defense is fierce coming off a ten sack game against the Raiders. Chiefs at home against the lowly T.J. Yates.

png-14  Bengals @ Lions  png-13 – MONEY LINE: Lions — SPREAD: Lions (-2.5)

The Bengals were up on the Bills and turned off the heat leading to a Bills comeback, but took it in overtime. The Bengals have been great on the road the past few years, but teams always seem to have trouble in Buffalo. The Lions exploded as Brandon Weeden handed away the game. The offense is getting better as Calvin Johnson is getting healthy and Stafford found himself a tight end in Joseph Fauria (WHO????!!!). I want to like the Bengals because of their away success, but it’s hard with Calvin Johnson and Reggie Bush healthy.

png-9Bills @ Dolphins png-22 – MONEY LINE: Dolphins — SPREAD: Bills (+10.5)

The Bills almost pulled off a stunner at home against a good Bengals team. Now they head to warmer weather to play the Dolphins coming off their bye. The Dolphins are getting Cameron Wake back, but might not have Dannell Ellerbe. Ten points is a lot to give a 3-2 team in a division game. I know the Dolphins will win and I would play their defense in fantasy leagues. Dolphins here but I don’t know about that spread.

png-15  Bears @ Redskins png-19 – MONEY LINE: Bears— SPREAD: Bears (E)

The Bears took advantage of more Giants’ turnovers on Thursday night and have had eleven days off to prepare for the ‘Skins. The bears defense is opportunistic and the offense is clicking. The Redskins defense is miserable, but played up to the Cowboys’ offense on Sunday Night on the big stage, but I expect Cutler and Brandon Marshall to have a field day. RGIII had more runs that made him look like himself as he is starting to heal even more, but the play calling and the clock management is simply horrendous. Bears here, but I smell an upset.

png-1  Cowboys @ Eagles  png-18 – MONEY LINE: Cowboys— SPREAD: Cowboys (E)

I don’t know why I picked them. Probably because of the talent on offense and how Nick Foles fell back to earth last year after a couple of good games, but this one’s a toss-up between the top two teams in the NFC East. Dez Bryant will feast on this bad Eagles’ secondary this weekend.

rams Rams @ Panthers   png-3 – MONEY LINE: Panthers — SPREAD: Rams (+6.0)

The Rams took it to the Texans as Sam Bradford only had to throw for 116 yards last week, but tossed three touchdowns. The Rams were the beneficiaries of bad Matt Schaub play. The Panthers took it to the Vikings as Matt Cassel kept turning the ball over. The Panthers are bipolar so don’t be surprised if they lose this one easily.

png-6  Bucs @ Falcons  falcons – MONEY LINE: Falcons — SPREAD: Bucs (+7.0)

The Bucs have yet to win a game. Are they due? Maybe. Mike Glennon has begun his tenure as the Bucs starting quarterback and he looked decent against the Eagles and things won’t get harder against the Falcons bad defense. Matt Ryan comes out of his bye and will not have Julio Jones, Roddy White and Steven Jackson. His offensive line is banged up and he can’t rely on his defense to keep opponents from scoring, so he is going to lean heavily on Tony Gonzalez, who came back for one last run at a title. So much for that!

49ers  49ers @ Titans png-20 – MONEY LINE: 49ers — SPREAD: 49ers (-4.5)

The 49ers housed the Cardinals last week at Arrowhead as Colin Kaepernick realized who his best receiver is, his tight end, Vernon Davis. They connected for 180 yards and two touchdowns as Vernon Davis showed us why everyone is always so high on him. The defense will enjoy this game against Ryan Fitzpatrick. When will the Kenny Britt saga end? Nobody knows, but what could they get in return for a guy who will be a free agent next year anyway?

png-23 Browns @ Packers packers – MONEY LINE: Packers — SPREAD: Packers (-10.5)

The Browns look a lot different and more turnover-prone with Weeden under center. They will probably be playing from behind most of the time so Josh Gordon and Jordan Cameron will keep producing numbers. The Packers lost Randall Cobb (out for 6-8 weeks) and James Jones both to injury, even though Jones might play this week. The Packers are going to rely more on Eddie Lacy now with those injuries, but he looks more than capable. Also one of the more underrated plays I have ever seen was Eddie Lacy going down before the end zone against the Ravens to waste the clock last week.

png-4 Ravens @ Steelers png-21– MONEY LINE: Ravens — SPREAD: Ravens (+1.5)

The Ravens looked ugly against the Packers last week, but are the better team here and are getting points. They need to get the ball in Ray Rices hands 20-25 times a game and we all know that. Their defensive front will be feasting on Big Ben all day. The Steelers got their first win against the bipolar Jets in MetLife Stadium. Big Ben needs to be kept upright and Leveon Bell needs to keep pushing the pile. This is the best rivalry in football right now even with the Steelers being 1-4.

broncos  Broncos @ Colts png-17 – MONEY LINE: Broncos — SPREAD: Colts (+7.0)

Bad win for the Broncos as they failed to embarrass the Jaguars at home. But Peyton Manning is coming back to Indy this week and Jim Irsay’s quotes have just made this more memorable. Andrew Luck is coming off one of his worst performances of his young career. Trent Richardson is not living up to that first round pick price they paid. This will be a great game to watch but a more memorable one for Peyton coming back “home”. Also Von Miller comes back, and his workouts were ridiculous while he waited for his suspension to end.

MONDAY

png-12 Vikings @ Giants png – MONEY LINE: Vikings — SPREAD: Vikings (+4.0)

Josh Freeman is starting after a week to get the playbook. Adrian Peterson will probably be running a muck in MetLife. The Giants are in shambles even coming off one of their best games of the year, a loss to the Bears. Brandon Jacobs looked like Jacobs circa 2007, but he hurt his hammy and they signed Peyton Hillis. Desperation moves. Reuben Randle and Eli Manning need to get on the same page otherwise the interceptions will keep mounting.

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UPSET ALERT

  • GIANTS
  • BRONCOS
  • PATRIOTS
  • PANTHERS
  • LIONS
  • CHARGERS

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SURVIVOR PICK

  • SEAHAWKS
  • PACKERS
  • 49ers
  • DOLPHINS

Week 6: Props to Those Still in Survivor Pools

So as the headline says, if you are still in your survivor pool, good for you! I was in two, find myself in a loser’s bracket in my big money one, but lost this past week thanks to the Atlanta Falcons (sucksters). At least I still have fantasy football, five leagues, I just finished off my second 5-0 week in a row as I am paying equal attention now to all teams, so WATCH OUT! Last week saw an improvement at 9-7 Money Line and  8-8 Against the Spread (.500 for the first time all year!) Let’s take a look at our Week 6 Matchups!

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Bye Weeks: FALCONS, MIAMI THURSDAY

pngGiants @ Bears png-15– MONEY LINE: Bears — SPREAD: Giants (+8.0)

This is the worst season I have watched as a Big Blue fan, and now they will be without David Wilson. Everything that can go wrong has and the sledding won’t get easier against a Bears team that has dropped two straight games and get to play at home. The Bears looked bad against a surging Saints’ defense. Jay Cutler has to get the ball to Brandon Marshall more, but now Alshon Jeffery has solidified himself as an asset after his ridiculous Week 5 performance, which he was probably on Fantasy Football benches for. Again we use opening lines for each week:

SUNDAY

png-16Raiders @ Chiefschiefs – MONEY LINE: Chiefs — SPREAD: Raiders (+10.5)

Terrelle Pryor is coming into his own and looked good against the Chargers at home last week. The defense isn’t all that good, but Pryor can keep the team in games with his legs and apparently now his arm. The Chiefs survived a scare in Nashville last week against the Titans. The Chiefs still look like a complete team and their defense has become smothering under Andy Reid. Jamaal Charles will most likely have a field day against the Raiders.

png-18 Eagles @ Bucs png-6– MONEY LINE: Bucs — SPREAD: Bucs (+1.5)

The Eagles beat up on the bad Giants as Nick Foles had to come in and finish off the G-Men. Vick is banged up, yet he wasn’t even hit. The Bucs are coming off their bye and have now rid themselves of Josh Freeman and Mike Glennon will take control under center. I think this is the week they get their first win as Nick Foles will lead a fast-paced spread offense that he isn’t built for. The Bucs defense is still better than many and will most likely shot down an offense that without Vick lacks its second-best weapon.

packers Packers @ Ravenspng-4– MONEY LINE: Packers — SPREAD: Packers (-3.0)

The Packers won an ugly one in Green Bay last weekend against the Lions, but their defense showed up against the Megatron-less Lions. They shut down Reggie Bush and the Lions only scored a touchdown, but not without a price. Clay Matthews is out for at least a month with a fractured thumb. Rodgers will have to produce more with the defense now lacking its best pass-rusher. The Ravens are suffering because of Ray Rice’s inability to break tackles this year and put up Ray Rice numbers. If this continues, Joe Flacco will have to carry the load and a defense that is beginning to click will have to step up even more.

png-13 Lions @ Brownspng-23 – MONEY LINE: Lions — SPREAD: Lions (-2.5)

If Megatron plays this will stay, if he doesn’t I will come back and change this pick you have my word. The Lions looked horrible without the best WR in the league right now, that can’t continue they need to make something of their other players. The defense held up pretty well against Rodgers until the end of the game, but the sledding is easier against the Brandon Weeden led Browns. Hoyer is down and Weeden takes back over. They were 0-2 with Weeden under center, but he won in emergency work last week against the more banged-up Bills. Browns’ players have said they have instilled their confidence in Weeden and we will see how it plays out. Haden vs. Megatron would be fun to watch!

png-3 Panthers @ Vikingspng-12 – MONEY LINE: Vikings — SPREAD: Vikings (-2.5)

The Panthers looked awful and Cam looked scared last week against the Cardinals front seven. How is this team supposed to be taken seriously after performances like that??? The Vikings are coming off their big win in London and their bye week. Matt Cassel will be under center, but now Josh Freeman is in the picture. All I can think is Adrian Peterson and the wide receivers are thinking pick one and stick with him … as long as his name isn’t Christian Ponder.

ramsRams @ Texanstexans – MONEY LINE: Texans — SPREAD: Texans (-7.0)

The Rams beat the future 0-16 Jaguars … Congrats, guys! Now you play a real team that just took a beating at the hands of the 49ers. Last year the Texans took a beating from the Packers 42-24 (not as close as the score says), then they turned around and demolished the Super Bowl Champion Ravens 43-13 at home. The Rams offense is ugly and a mess right now even after scoring 34 on the lowly Jags. The Texans’ fans might be calling for Matt Scahub’s head but they have no better option right now, so suck it up!

png-21Steelers @ Jets images– MONEY LINE: Jets — SPREAD: Jets (+2.5)

This line has swapped as the Jets are now 2-point favorites. Geno Smith was calm under the 0 pressure he faced from the Falcons on Monday and he knocked tons of people out of Survivor Pools everywhere (hate you, Geno). The Jets defense is as solid as ever even without Revis, it’s mainly their front seven that’s supplanting their 3-2 record. The Steelers are as bad as the Giants, but they are hoping a steady run game will help them, but they still have no offensive line and they need to find a defensive groove, good luck with all that.

png-14 Bengals @ Bills  png-9– MONEY LINE: Bengals — SPREAD: Bengals (-7.5)

The Bengals played an ugly game with the Patriots in Cincy last weekend 13-6 with some good defense. The Bengals will get to feast on Thaddeus Lewis for the Bills as E.J. Manuel is going to miss over a month. They will also get Leon Hall back, sorry Thad. The Bills need to establish a run game with their two-headed beast in Spiller and Jackson. Thaddeus Lewis is most likely going to have to check down a lot to the running backs. The Bills always play up at home and I wouldn’t be shocked if they were in this game the whole way.

png-20Titans @ Seahawks png-2– MONEY LINE: Seahawks — SPREAD: Seahawks (-13.5)

The Titans fought with the Chiefs, but came up short at home. Now they travel to the Seattle to face a Seahawks team that lost a heart-breaker to the Colts in Indy last week. The defense will be angry after giving up 24 (one touchdown was scored on a blocked punt) to the Colts. The Titans defense is a quietly good unit, but Ryan Fitzpatrick will not be able to outmatch the Seahawks defense. Russell Wilson needs to gain some consistency this year for his team to take the next step, especially on the road.

download Jaguars @ Broncosbroncos – MONEY LINE: Jags (Not even a little funny?) — SPREAD: Broncos (-28.0)

The biggest spread in the history of the game. I will still take the Broncos who survived a scare against the Cowboys on Sunday. The Jags are turning back to Chad Henne because Gabbert is hurt … again. Peyton will keep the machine rolling against the Jags and hopefully “no Jags will be harmed in the making of this.” Avert your eyes Jaguar fans … all 10 of you.

png-10 Arizona @ 49ers 49ers – MONEY LINE: 49ers — SPREAD: Cardinals (+10.5)

The Cardinals defense was everywhere on Sunday and made Cam Newton pay. The defense will be just as ferocious against the 49ers. Colin Kaepernick continues to struggle this year as defenses are getting more and more after him. He still hit Vernon Davis on a touchdown pass, made mostly by Davis ridiculous 4.38 speed. The 49ers defense will be the reason they win this game, but the Cardinals’ defense is underrated as Cam Newton saw.

saintsSaints @ Patriotspng-8 – MONEY LINE: Saints — SPREAD: Saints (+2.0)

This will be a good one. Two teams with good defenses, when no one though they would have solid defensive units. The Saints are coming off a big win in Chicago, where Drew Brees was winless prior to Sunday. Brady & Co. are coming off an ugly loss to the Bengals where his touchdown streak was halted. One would expect the Patriots to bounce back and pounce the next opponent, but they face a really good Saints team. Gronk should be back and Danny Amendola actually didn’t get hurt last week. This is a toss-up.

png-19Redskins @ Cowboyspng-1 – MONEY LINE: Cowboys — SPREAD: Redskins (+4.5) The ‘Skins are coming off their bye. Their defense is really bad, but RGIII (not his legs) are keeping them in games or almost pulling off comebacks. Let’s see how healthy RGIII’s knee is after the off week. The Cowboys were in a shootout with the Broncos and lost on a crucial Tony Romo interception … SHOCKER! The pick wasn’t that bad and Danny Trevathan made an unbelievable play. Romo will look to turn it around against an easy feast in the Redskins’ defense.

MONDAY

png-17 Colts @ Chargers chargers – MONEY LINE: Colts — SPREAD: Colts (E)

Andrew Luck leads another furious comeback and takes down a Goliath. This kid is turning into an elite quarterback in front of our eyes. If they can get Trent Richardson going, watch out. The Chargers looked bad against the Raiders on Monday and this team is a story of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde. It all depends on how Philip Rivers performs, but expect Andrew Luck to put up a ton of points in this one. Todays_Special UPSET SPECIAL

  • PATRIOTS
  • STEELERS
  • VIKINGS
  • EAGLES
  • BEARS

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  • BRONCOS
  • CHIEFS
  • TEXANS
  • 49ERS

Week 5: Bring on the Byes

7-8 Money line for the week and against the spread we went 5-9-1… Another bad week unfortunately, but let’s delve into Week 5 as more byes have come into play with the Redskins, Minnesota, Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay all having their off week.

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THURSDAY

Bills @ Browns – MONEY LINE: Browns — SPREAD: Browns (-3.5)

Bills pulled off a shocker at home against the Ravens as their defense picked Flacco five times, The rookie quarterback-led Bills head to Cleveland where the Browns have rattled off two straight W’s with Hoyer under center now. The Browns defense will prove too much for EJ Manuel to handle.

SUNDAY

Chiefs @ Titans – MONEY LINE: Chiefs — SPREAD: Chiefs (-3.0)

The Chiefs kept Big Blue’s embarrassing season rolling as they routed them in Arrowhead. Now they head to Nashville to face a Titans coming off their own rout of a New York Team, Gang Green. The Titans lost Jake Locker for at least four weeks to a rib injury and now have to rely on Mr. Harvard, Ryan Fitzpatrick. I can’t believe this spread is only three.

Ravens @ Dolphins – MONEY LINE: Ravens — SPREAD: Ravens (+3.0)

Joe Flacco threw five interceptions and this team still almost won. Ryan Tannehill was embarrassed and constantly under duress during his Monday Night bout with the Saints’ defense. The Ravens will be ready to feast on a turnover-happy Tannehill and the Dolphins’ defense will be looking to avenge their performance against the Saints.

Jaguars @ Rams – MONEY LINE: Rams — SPREAD: Rams (+13.0)

The Jags are bad and playing for the first pick, easily demonstrated by them sticking by Blaine Gabbert. They have been monster underdogs in the two games preceding this one and are again big underdogs. I want to take the Rams, but with the way they’ve performed since pulling off a comeback win against the Cardinals, it makes it tough. Sam Bradford doesn’t have a better opportunity to put his offensive weapons on display than this game.

Patriots @ Bengals – MONEY LINE: Patriots — SPREAD: Patriots (+2.0)

Tom Terrific did this thing again on Sunday Night against the beat up Falcons’ defense. The Falcons offense only got really going in the fourth quarter as the Patriots are back to playing physical defense, but will now be without Vince Wilfork. The Bengals lost a bad game to the Browns away from home and are probably seething for that reason. I know the Bengals are very talented but Andy Dalton would have to beat Tom Brady on this night and I don’t see it.

Seahawks @ Colts – MONEY LINE: Seahawks — SPREAD: Seahawks (-3.0)

The Seahawks pulled off a miraculous comeback thanks to Matt Schaub and Richard Sherman, who play on two different teams. The Colts whooped the Jaguars, to put it nicely. People keep saying the Colts defense is underrated and we will see that get tested this week. We will also see how the Colts offense can hold up as the Seahawks get some of their premiere defenders back.

Lions @ Packers – MONEY LINE: Packers — SPREAD: Packers (-6.5)

The Lions took it to the Bears last week. The Packers were off and Lacy is coming back from his concussion. Expect a lot of points in this one. Rodgers will be on the money this week.

Saints @ Bears – MONEY LINE: Saints — SPREAD: Saints (E)

The Saints had their way with the Dolphins on Monday Night. Drew Brees is having fun this year and Rob Ryan has shocked the world by turning this defense around completely. The Bears almost had a last minute comeback against the Lions last week but came up short. Jay Cutler finally main some mistakes this year and it cost the Bears.

Eagles @ Giants – MONEY LINE: Giants — SPREAD: Eagles (+3.0)

I don’t want to talk about this game … but I have to. The Eagles offense was outdone completely by the Peyton Manning show. The Eagles question is their defense if the offense can’t score. The Giants are a mess and the season may be in the tubes already after four weeks if it wasn’t for their weak division. This team needs a run game and needs to keep Eli upright.

Panthers @ Cardinals – MONEY LINE: Panthers — SPREAD: Panthers (-2.0)

The Panthers are coming off their bye. The front seven is simply loaded and Jon Beason is getting healthy. The Cardinals beat a beaten Bucs team that has switched quarterbacks and may switch coaches soon. I don’t really like this pick with the Cardinals at home.

Chargers @ Raiders – MONEY LINE: Raiders — SPREAD: Raiders (+5.5)

The Chargers pulled off an upset at home beating the Cowboys. Philip Rivers looked decent again. The defense looked solid, but now Dwight Freeney is done for the year. Terrelle Pryor who has been surprisingly better than average this year will draw the start in a game that was moved to 11:35 ET from 4:35 thanks tot he Oakland A’s playoff game. I am going ballsy on this pick.

Broncos @ Cowboys – MONEY LINE: Broncos — SPREAD: Broncos (-6.0)

The massacres continue. Peyton Manning is toying with the league as he has yet to throw an interception. The Cowboys looked bad again against the Chargers last week. The ‘Boys have demoted Morris Claiborne and their defense does not look good, so their offense will have to keep up with Peyton & Co. against a stout Broncos’ defense.

Texans @ 49ers – MONEY LINE: 49ers — SPREAD: Texans (+7.0)

The Texans lost a heart-wrencher as Matt Schaub threw away their sure-fire 3-1 record to Richard Sherman. Arian Foster seems to be rounding back into form. The 49ers returned to beating up teams as they took it to the Rams last Thursday night. I like the 49ers because of the extra rest, but it should be close with the Texans’ defense knowing how to shut quarterbacks down.

MONDAY

Jets @ Falcons – MONEY LINE: Falcons — SPREAD: Falcons (-9.0)

The Jets looked horrible against the Titans. They have no hope this week as they will be without Stephen Hill and Santonio Holmes. The Falcons almost pulled off a comeback against the Patriots. The banged-up defense will be facing a banged-up offense. I expect a blowout in Atlanta.

siren

UPSET ALERT:

  • 49ERS
  • CHARGERS
  • DOLPHINS
  • BENGALS
  • SEAHAWKS

Forrest Gump front

SURVIVOR POOL PICK

  • RAMS
  • BRONCOS
  • FALCONS
  • CHIEFS

 

 

 

Week 3: Let’s not Overreact

12-4 Week 2 money line, against the spread we got better going 7-8-1 rather than 4-12 in Week 1. I’ll get better at the spreads, that’s a promise, but let’s keep the ball rolling on the money line picks ’cause we’re on fire. I will reiterate we make picks with spreads based on opening lines from Sundays before the respective week.

Off to Indy!!!

Off to Indy!!!

THURSDAY

Chiefs @ Eagles – Money Line: Eagles — Spread: Chiefs (+3.0)

The Eagles high powered offense was outmatched by Philip Rivers? The one weakness of the Eagles is what Chip Kelly fears the most, the offense sitting on the sidelines. If their opponent can dominate the time of possession then the Eagles could see a bunch of losses. The Chiefs defense is underrated after a solid showing against the Cowboys in Arrowhead. If Alex Smith can be the 13-3 Alex Smith from two years ago the Chiefs are headed to the playoffs.

SUNDAY

Texans @ Ravens – Money Line: Texans — Spread: Texans (+1.0)

The Texans keep needing late game comebacks and that will only work for so long. Ben Tate has been outplaying Arian Foster, but has only been getting about 25% of the snaps that the overused Foster has. I’m not saying Foster has lost a step after missing training camp and the preseason, but it wouldn’t be outrageous to think so. DeAndre Hopkins might be emerging as the second option behind Andre Johnson the Texans have always desired. The Ravens’ defense looked much better against the Browns last week, but the offense still looks off without many weapons. If they could get Ray Rice and Bernard Pierce on the field most of the time, they would be better off, but Rice might not play, tilting the scales.

Giants @ Panthers – Money Line: Giants — Spread: Giants (+2.5)

Eli Manning has 7 interceptions already and the G-Men have 10. Yikes. They haven’t looked like themselves, their pass rush can get no pressure leaving their somewhat surprisingly deep corners out on islands. The Giants need to give the ball to David Wilson and get over the fumbles, it’s time to turn the corner on it. They need to right this ship. Cam Newton and the Panthers seemed to find a stride somewhat against the Bills. We will see how the talent-less offense responds against the Giants’ defense at home. The Panthers front seven is surprisingly good, like the Giants on the road as dogs.

Rams @ Cowboys – Money Line: Cowboys — Spread: Rams (+3.5)

The Rams played catch-up and almost completed the comeback against the Falcons last week. The defense is probably seething after that embarrassing first half, which is bad for Tony Romo. I will repeat the Rams have speedsters all over the field on offense, so watch out Cowboys. The ‘Boys looked real good in the first quarter, especially the connection of Romo and Dez Bryant, but they strayed away from Bryant in the second half, leading to a bad loss. They will look to rebound in Jerry’s World, but don’t expect the run game to get going against this front seven.

Chargers @ Titans – Money Line: Titans— Spread: Chargers (+3.0)

The Chargers shocked the world with their first half performance against the Texans on MNF opening weekend. Then, they froze hell over and beat the Chip Kelly Eagles in Philly. Philip Rivers looked like vintage Philip Rivers, which is something we shouldn’t count on every week. With no run game and few weapons on offense the Chargers will have trouble finding more wins, but might not be hard pressed to find one in Nashville. Nothing to say about the Titans, except their in trouble with an unhappy Kenny Britt. The biggest challenge for the Chargers is the fact they traveled to Philly, back to San Diego, only to come back to Tennessee.

Buccaneers @ Patriots – Money Line: Patriots — Spread: Buccaneers (+7.5)

The Bucs look bad, but played the hell out of the Saints. Josh Freeman is in the doghouse of Greg Schiano and probably won’t find his way out until he starts winning some games. Darrelle Revis appeared to be there as well, but he claims they have smoothed things out. The Bucs’ defense isn’t their problem it’s the offense, but that’s the problem the Pats have right now. Tom Brady has looked pedestrian through the first two weeks and I doubt it will continue when Gronk comes back, but that probably won’t be this weekend. The defenses will keep this game close.

Browns @ Vikings – Money Line: Vikings — Spread: Vikings (-3.0)

Well this is awkward. The Browns have traded away their best player and are back into a rebuilding mode after having hopes for two games? Their defense has held up their side, but the offense has not been able to get going and won’t find any more success with Richardson gone (they have replaced him with Willis McGahee) and Brian Hoyer starting now. Adrian Peterson is salivating at the thought of his Vikings competing in a game, which results in more carries for him. Expect a heavy workload for Purple Jesus this week, but this team might need to turn the page on Christian Ponder soon.

Packers @ Bengals – Money Line: Packers — Spread: Packers (+1.5)

The Packers looked like the Packers of two years ago scoring in bunches against the Redskins last week. Rodgers looked like his MVP self and his weapons are pretty solid yet again. James Starks filled in quite nicely for Eddie Lacy as he was knocked out with a concussion (no pun intended). Their defense allowed the Redskins to make a game out of it, but shouldn’t find too much trouble against the Andy Dalton led Bengals. The Bengals defense had their way with the Steelers and Big Ben. The offense struggled yet again at the hands of Andy Dalton. All of his down-field passes seem to go out of bounds. I like the Packers offense to outrun the defense of the Bengals.

Lions @ Redskins – Money Line: Redskins — Spread: Redskins (-2.5)

The Lions lost a heart-breaker to the Cardinals in Arizona last week and now have to travel back to Washington to face an 0-2, but hungry Redskins team. Calvin Johnson exploded again on Patrick Peterson in a losing effort, while Reggie Bush came out of the game all banged up, but Joique Bell has and would fill in nicely. RGIII has not been called upon to run, but now every media outlet is saying that’s why the Redskins keep losing. We will see how the game planning has changed over the past week, but expect him to stay in the pocket a lot and sling the ball around against a bad Lions defense. This should be a shootout.

Cardinals @ Saints – Money Line: Saints — Spread: Cardinals (+7.5)

The Cardinals eeked out a late win after losing a late on against the Rams in Week One. Carson Palmer is having fun with this new offense he is playing under, but Larry Fitzgerald’s injury will not benefit him. The Cardinals defense is a solid unit, but I don’t know if they can stick with the Saints. The Saints defense has looked better, but now they just lost Patrick Robinson and are very thin every where on defense. Drew Brees will explode sooner or later, and might be in for a big game at home, but I’ll take the 7.5 points considering the Cards also play in a dome.

Falcons @ Dolphins – Money Line: Falcons — Spread: Falcons (+1.5)

Steven Jackson won’t play this week and nobody knows when he will be back, but that means Matt Ryan gets to have fun. The Falcons are 1-1 after losing a heart-breaker at the Thunderdome, but face another tough defense like last week against the Rams. The Falcons are getting thinner on the defensive side after losing Sean Witherspoon to the I.R. The Dolphins are surprisingly 2-0, having beaten the Browns and the offensive line-less Colts in Indy. Ryan Tannehill has looked improved and Lamar Miller looked better last week and will look good against a bad Falcons defense again this week. If Tannehill and Mike Wallace continue to build their rapport, this team could sneak into the playoffs.

Bills @ Jets – Money Line: Jets — Spread: Bills (+2.5)

The Bills inched out an exciting win at home last week. Now they face what’s turning into a typical Rex Ryan defense at MetLife Stadium. Stevie Johnson and Robert Woods are already on the same page as E.J. Manuel, spelling trouble for opposing defenses, especially if C.J. Spiller can get into the open field. The Bills defense just needs to stand its ground. The Jets lost an ugly one to the Patriots on Thursday Night in Foxborough. Geno Smith cannot keep making the mistakes he was baited into by Bill Belichick. The defense is how I’m going to make this pick.

Jaguars @ Seahawks – Money Line: Seahawks — Spread: Seahawks (-16.5)

The line has been at 20 as well, and I still would’ve taken it. The Jags look like the cream of the crap so far, and might be without Maurice Jones-Drew, good luck with that Jacksonville! The Seahawks had their way with the 49ers yet again last week even with Russell Wilson’s poor performance. The Seahawks might send out the backups after the third quarter in this one.

Colts @ 49ers – Money Line: 49ers — Spread: Colts (+10.5)

Post-Trent Richardson Trade this line has moved only half a point to a point. The Colts merely gave up a first round pick (most likely in the 20s) to get the former #3 pick overall from the Browns. They have massively upgraded their running back, but their line still sucks. Andrew Luck will now have a new play toy and a great 1-2 punch in Richardson and Bradshaw. The Niners were embarrassed on national television and I don’t think they liked it. I see them embarrassing the Colts to save face, but garbage time will see this game get closer.

Bears @ Steelers – Money Line: Bears — Spread: Bears (-1.0)

When a road team is favored, it’s never good for the home team. The Steelers can’t get much going on offense except from their speedy receivers on dink and dunk passes. The Steelers kept attempting to go to Jerrico Cotchery on Monday Night, which left me wondering what was Todd Haley smoking in Cinci. Their offensive line is horrendous and will struggle against a good Bears’ defense. The Bears offense pulled out a victory in the last seconds of their 31-30 win against the Vikings. The defense will have a better game against the mostly talent-less Steelers’ offense.

MONDAY

Raiders @ Broncos – Money Line: Raiders (just kidding, Broncos) — Spread: Broncos (-15.5)

CharlesWoodsonTackle_original

Charles Woodson made one of the best tackles I’ve ever seen on MJD last week to save a touchdown, but that’s all I can say about that game. Good luck, Raiders! Peyton Manning and the Broncos went into MetLife Stadium and dismantled the Giants and little brother Eli. The Broncos are firing on all cylinders already and Knowshown Moreno looks good right now and expect a lot of carries from him as the Broncos will be up early and often here. I can see the game finishing closer than expected because it is Monday Night Football after all.

siren

UPSET ALERT

This week I am putting the Dolphins, Panthers, Bengals, Titans and Redskins on Upset Alert. I know it’s a lot of teams but one of the most beloved things about the NFL is the parity every year.

tom-hanks-in-cast-away

SURVIVOR PICK

This week let’s just say take the

  • Seahawks
  • Broncos
  • Vikings

No need to look at anyone else, the Vikings could lose, but the Browns will look bad this week.

Week 17: For all the Marbles

We find ourselves at 69% percent for the year ladies and gentleman. Let’s end this thing right shall we?

Marbles

 

SUNDAY

Only Sunday Games now, no whackass Thursday or Saturday Night games to mess with the NFL Original flow.

Eagles @ GIANTS – Win and get in with some help situation for the Giants. They will do their part against a once again Michael Vick-led Eagles squad. The G-Men have become notorious for stepping it up when they need to, but the Eagles have also been a thorn in their side as they showed earlier this year. Michael Vick is giving an audition to quarterback needy teams in this game, so expect him to play his hardest, unfortunately for the Giants and the fans at MetLife.

Buccaneers @ FALCONS – The Falcons will definitely rest some of their starters in this game, they may get the lead and then give it up later in the game must to the chagrin of the crowd, but they’d have to risk getting their starters injured. I don’t believe they are in the mindset of handing a game away to a divisional opponent and the Bucs are awful at stopping their opponents’ passing game. The Bucs on the other hand have some respect to play for and can show that their offense can match anybody’s. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Falcons accepted a loss here.

Jets @ BILLS – The merry-go-round keeps turning for the Jets. Their quarterback situation is a mess and only got messier when McElroy was sacked eleven times and, naturally, suffered a concussion. The Jets, yet again, overlooked Tim Tebow who has made a life off of winning games and turned back to Mark Sanchez. It is being reported Mike Tannenbaum will be fired on Black Monday for his mismanagement of this team. The Bills are going to finish another mediocre season, but with the help of CJ Spiller and Mario Williams will most likely beat up on the slugging Jets.

Ravens @ BENGALS – This is revenge. The Bengals are the hottest team that nobody is paying attention to right now. They have won six out of seven games and it appeared they would be looking to next year when they sat at 3-6, but since they have looked like a well rounded team with a front seven that has developed into a force. The Ravens are coming off a statement win against the Giants in which I and most others underestimated them. With Jim Caldwell behind the helms of the offense, it looked like a force that many have thought it could be for a few years now.

Bears @ LIONS – The Bears have crumbled and are all different types of banged up coming into this game. I believe the Bears play their way out of playoff contention and the Lions light up the scoreboard against the Bears.

Jaguars @ TITANS – The Jaguars played a very tight game with the Patriots last week while the were blown out by Green Bay. These teams have both played very poorly all year long. Montell Owens vs Chris Johnson and Chad Henne vs Jake Locker. Some seriously nice matchups here (sarcasm).

Texans @ COLTS – I am picking the Colts in this game for one reason, Chuckstrong. The Texans may play themselves out of the bye and homefield here. The Texans are definitely the better team here but there is a Magic surrounding these Colts this year and especially at home that I cannot seem to deny this last game of the year.

NFL: Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts

Panthers @ SAINTS – Drew Brees last game of the year with news that Sean Peyton comes back next year with a nice big new contract? I’ll take him even with Cam Newton and his underrated defense playing solid down the stretch of the year. Both of these teams have underachieved all year, but the Saints find themselves in second place in the division after the Bucs have fallen apart. Maybe a new coach next year for the Panthers and Cam.

Browns @ STEELERS – No Steelers in the playoff, has a weird ring to it. The Steelers had a prime opportunity at home against the Bengals, but played poorly enough to lose that game. The Browns will be firing their head coach Pat Shurmur and starting fresh after this game. I would imagine that the Steelers would be firing Todd Haley after this year and the ineffectiveness of the offense since he came aboard. Big Ben will definitely love the support.

Chiefs @ BRONCOS – Broncos playing for the bye and possibly homefield, the Chiefs are playing a game. Let’s not joke around here. Peyton Manning has been either the Comeback Player of the Year or the MVP, whichever he doesn’t get Adrian Peterson will.

PACKERS @ Vikings – Aaron Rodgers is completing 70% of his passes with 14 touchdowns and 2 interceptions this year in dome games. The Packers put up 55 on the Titans last week for funsies. Adrian Peterson needs 209 yards to break Eric Dickerson’s single season rushing record and as much as I want this machine to break it, I don’t believe he will because they will be playing from behind, even though their running game is what drives them. I think if Leslie Frazier sticks with it then and keeps running the ball to AP they can have a chance, don’t make Christian Ponder throw the ball.

Dolphins @ PATRIOTS – The Pats are also playing for a bye here. Tom Brady will get back his favorite target on a limited basis in Rob Gronkowski. The Dolphins have been fiesty all year under first year coach Joe Philbin and rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill. With a win the Dolphins could end up with a .500 record, but it won’t happen in Foxborough. The ‘Fins have not played great games in the colder weather this season.

Raiders @ CHARGERS – Terrelle Pryor will get his first career start after the Carson Palmer was knocked around last week. The Raiders and Chargers met in their first game of the year, an ugly one, and paved the way for their ugly seasons. The Chargers are coming off a beating of the Jets where they sacked Greg McElroy 11 times. The Chargers will be looking at a new front office and coaching staff, finally, next year.

Cardinals @ 49ERS – The 49ers need this win to clinch the division. Brian Hoyer will get the start. The Cardinals defense has been fierce all year and is the main reason they have won a game in the past 11 weeks. The 49ers defense has been simply better and besides when they got blown up last week by the underrated and streaking Seahawks have been one of, if not, the best defense in the league.

Rams @ SEAHAWKS – Jeff Fisher has coached up this Rams team, mostly their defense. Something is in the defenses’ waters in the NFC West this year because they are all solid. Sam Bradford has been limited this year with developing and injury prone receivers (mostly his best target Danny Amendola). The ‘Hawks are coming off a destruction of the 49ers on national television last Sunday night and are aiming for 8-0 at home this year. No reason they won’t win this game as Russell Wilson continues his ridiculous rookie season, which has been unfortunately overlooked by many because of RGIII and Andrew Luck. Any other season he wins the Rookie of the Year, and he still might this year. He will tie or break Peyton Manning’s rookie single season touchdown record today.

Cowboys @ REDSKINS – Both of these teams came back from “dead” in the NFC East to now be playing for the division title on Sunday Night Football, second consecutive year that the division title will be decided on the last day on NBC. The Cowboys have ridden a red-hot Tony Romo until last week where the Saints played spoiler. The Redskins have now won 6 straight games since starting 3-6 and RGIII is not 100%, but he is still very dangerous with his arm. The home crowd will be pumped and I’m sure the Cowboys will make some mistakes and their defense is just as banged up as the Redskins.

Seems like I like the home teams in these Week 17 matchups.

siren

UPSET ALERT – Anything goes in these games, I’ll put everyone on Upset Alerts this week.

BYEAHHHHH!!!!

BYEAHHHHH!!!!

images (1)

SURVIVOR PICK – Let’s go with the Patriots here. (If picked already: 49ersBroncosSteelers)

Week 16: Merry Christmas to All … And to All Some Good Football!

Two more weeks till the postseason. Let’s finish this season strong shall we?

SATURDAY

FALCONS @ Lions – The Falcons just shellacked the New York Football Giants 52-0. No reason to think they won’t take it to the Lions on Saturday night. The story of the night will be Calvin Johnson going for Jerry Rice’s record. He only needs 182 yards, so there’s no reason Megatron shouldn’t break the record. Unfortunately for the Lions they will be staring at a 4-11 record after an impressive 10-6 record last year.

SUNDAY

SAINTS @ Cowboys – This is a dome after all everyone. The Saints are looking to play spoiler now and are coming off a nice shutout of their own against a good Bucs offense. This is usually the time where Romo and the Cowboys typically slip-up. I would say to expect a lot of points in the “Shootout” in Big D. three way tie in the east means the pressure is on the Cowboys and Romo and it’s time for them to prove their worth, but don’t expect them to.

Titans @ PACKERS – The Titans needed another ridiculous Mark Sanchez fumble and game in general to top the Jets on Monday Night Football. Chris Johnson showed the league he can still be as explosive as anyone on his touchdown run against the Jets. The Packers can seal up their division with a win here and don’t expect any less with the erratic Jake Locker leading his Titans into Lambeau. The Packers are going to lean on Ryan Grant in their running game after Alex Green went down with a concussion.

COLTS @ Chiefs – Typically  I don’t like to pick Andrew Luck away from home, but look at his competition. The Chiefs needed to lean heavily on Jamaal Charles each and every game but abandoned the run very quickly because their inept quarterbacks would lead them to three and outs. In addition the defense couldn’t keep them in games while being on the field the majority of the game. Look at the time of possession last week against the lowly Raiders, lopsided. Andrew Luck is taking his team into the playoffs after a magical season in which they have overcome him forcing turnovers.

Bills @ DOLPHINS – A football film expert has come out and said he can’t turn off Dolphins games. Interesting, huh? Joe Philbin has taken a team of small name guys besides Reggie Bush along with a rookie quarterback to a quiet 6-8 record and could go .500 for the season. The Bills keep flip-flopping between Ryan Fitzpatrick’s position with the team, i.e. is he the quarterback for the next few years. If the Bills defense can get healthy next year and they can fix their problems from this year, they could definitely compete in the AFC.

CHARGERS @ Jets – Greg McElroy is looked at as the Jets new savior. That’s a lot of pressure for a guy who had it pretty easy at Alabama with Mark Ingram, Trent Richardson and Julio Jones lined up with him and one of the best defenses college football had ever seen. Now he lines up with Shonn Greene, Bilal Powell and Jeremy Kerley, yikes. The Chargers are coming off a dud against the Panthers after upsetting the Steelers, I am picking the Chargers here against my gut on how bad the Chargers have been this season.

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REDSKINS @ Eagles – RGIII is back after his backup, Captain Kirk Cousins did his job and won a must-win game for the Redskins. Now they go to Philly to face the lifeless Eagles. Nick Foles played nicely against the Bucs bad secondary, but wasn’t as fortunate against the Bengals. The Redskins need this win as well, but the Eagles could play spoiler here.

Bengals @ STEELERS – Big game here in Pittsburgh. Bengals have not proven they can win the must wins yet, but the Steelers thrive off of these. Todd Haley needs to open up the playbook a little against a good Bengals front seven. If the Bengals win this game in Pittsburgh it’s a dagger to the Steelers playoff hopes and the AFC Playoff picture is sealed.

Rams @ BUCCANEERS – The Rams have been quietly good this year as they sit at 6-7-1. Their defense has been solid and Jeff Fisher has proven he is still a very good head coach. The Bucs have simply fallen apart in losing four straight games. Their offensive juggernaut was shut out by the leaky Saints defense last week and I wouldn’t expect the same this week, but Josh Freeman hasn’t been the same over the past few weeks.

Raiders @ PANTHERS – The Raiders ate the clock last week and Darren McFadden ate up every carry he could as well. They shutout the lowly Chiefs, while surprisingly holding Jamaal Charles to a mere ten yards. They won’t be able to keep up with the red-hot Panthers who are on a roll coming in having won three of their last four games and the offense is really clicking. Good Luck stopping “Scam” Newton Oakland.

PATRIOTS @ Jaguars – Haha won’t write too much here, besides the Pats are angry and Tom Brady is staring at the consecutive games with a touchdown record. Good Luck Mike Mularkey and Chad Henne in keeping up with Brady & Co.

Vikings @ TEXANS – The Texans provided themselves with a big win last week, taking the South division and nearly shoring up a bye for themselves come playoff time. Adrian Peterson needs 292 yards to break Eric Dickerson’s single season records. What a year for the guy who tore his MCL and ACL in the last week of the season last year. An absolute freak, this guy would have my vote for MVP of the league and I will surely be rooting for him to break the record. They can’t abandon the run today.

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GIANTS @ Ravens – The Giants need to turn that switch on that we have all been accustomed to seeing them do in the last few games. The Ravens have slipped and fallen quickly losing their last three games. Their defense is simply not the same as what it used to be and won’t get any better this week with more injuries racking up and Ray Lewis being kept inactive. The Giants are coming off a huge loss to the Falcons in Atlanta, but the Giants are one of those teams that can always overlook last week’s loss and next week’s game. There could be some scoring here.

Browns @ BRONCOS – The Browns are chippy and are never really out of their losses, but the Broncos will take this one easy as Peyton keeps making his case for the MVP. He will definitely win comeback player of the year. The Broncos defense is very dangerous and one of their big free agent signings in Tracy Porter is now coming off the bench because of the emergence of Tony Carter playing alongside of Champ Bailey.

BEARS @ Cardinals – This game will have too many sacks to keep track of and will be won by whichever defense plays better. The Cardinals are coming off a decimation of the Lions in Arizona. The Bears have now lost four straight games and look like a completely different team without Brian Urlacher and the one we saw at the beginning of the year. They need this win to stay on track in the playoffs.

49ers @ SEAHAWKS – The game of the week, and rightfully so NBC snatched it up in their flex schedule. I can’t pick against the ‘Hawks when they are at home. The Niners may be too happy after a very big win in Foxborough against the Patriots. Russell Wilson could be a sleeper for rookie of the year, and isn’t getting the press like Luck or Griffin, but should be considering his height limitations. Go ‘Hawks!

sirenUPSET ALERT – Today the BearsCowboys49ers and the Bengals on Upset Alert.

tom-hanks-in-cast-away

SURVIVOR PICKPatriots here and no questions asked. (If Picked already: PackersPanthers, and Colts).

Week 15: Who makes a Playoff Run?

We have placed ourselves back into double digit victory discussion, with a 10-6 week.

CHEEESEEEE!!!

CHEEESEEEE!!!

A lot has happened over the past week in the NFL, the former NFL Commissioner has dropped the suspensions of players related to the Saints bounty case and now Roger Goodell is talking about expanding the playoffs (of course to talk the heat off of himself for suspending players that were now exonerated for such actions.) Let’s jump into this week’s picks where now the going gets tough and the playoff contenders get going.

THURSDAY

BENGALS @ Eagles – The Eagles stunned the Buccaneers and their playoff hopes with 2 seconds left on the clock last week. The Bengals defense is better than the Buccaneers as a whole and won’t have a problem getting to rookie Nick Foles in the backfield. They must contain Bryce Brown, which seemed natural for those Bucs last week (they sport the #1 run defense, however.) Andy Dalton became the third quarterback, with Marino and Peyton Manning being the other two, to eclipse twenty touchdowns in his first two seasons. Dalton and A.J. Green have remarkable chemistry and now A.J. Green has to get over a sure touchdown drop last week in an upset by the Cowboys. Go Bengals here because they want and need it more.

SUNDAY

GIANTS @ Falcons – A lot to prove for both teams here. The Giants can prove they can still be the team to beat from the NFC, and the Falcons are trying to prove they have become that team. It is a rematch of the Wild Card playoff round last year in which the Giants romped the Falcons 24-2 in the Meadowlands. There will be no Ahmad Bradshaw so the rookie David Wilson will carry the load against a bad run defense. The Falcons come back to Georgia after a bad loss to Cam Newton and Cam Newton only, so they will be angry.

PACKERS @ Bears – After the first matchup the Bears went on a tear and it seemed they had climbed to the top of the NFC North, but in the past five weeks they’ve looked like a completely different team. That’s what injuries and a bad offensive line will do to you. The Packers on the other hand have ascended to the top of the NFC yet again. They are getting healthy at the right time and rookie running back Alex Green is beginning to step up. The Bears need to keep Jay Cutler upright, and that is going to be tough with Clay Matthews getting ready to play. Good Luck, Jay.

Ouch-town population you, Jay

Ouch-town population you, Jay

Redskins @ BROWNS – Kirk Cousins is going to get the start for the ‘Skins in Cleveland. Cousins has proved he can step into games and take over with his arm, not his legs like RGIII. The Redskins need him to be big, but it’s going to be tough against a suddenly good defense. Another rookie quarterback needs to step up for the ‘Skins against a rookie quarterback for the Browns. I think the Browns have been rejuvenated the past few weeks and it’s weird typing that. I take the Browns here in the upset.

Vikings @ RAMS – Adrian Peterson will continue to light up the world, but Christian Ponder will continue to be lit up by the world. The Rams defense is good and underrated, but are better against the pass than the run, lucky for the Vikings robot running back. Peterson needs to average 169 yards over the final three weeks to surpass Eric Dickerson’s rushing record. While I think Adrian Peterson is the greatest back of our generation, I don’t believe he will do it, as much as I want him to. I am picking the Rams because Sam Bradford > Christian Ponder.

Jaguars @ DOLPHINS – The Jaguars just called me up and asked me to play running back. I respectfully declined, of course. The Dolphins sport another underrated defense and a rookie quarterback that has shown flashes of maturity and serious potential. Chad Henne has a grasp on the starting job, but struggled mightily last week without his favorite target in Cecil Shorts. Shorts will be back this week, but I don’t think their defense is good enough to win this game. Montell Owens almost had 100 yards against the Jets last week, but the Dolphins sport a much better run defense. Dolphins based on a talent standpoint.

Buccaneers @ SAINTS – Bad thing for the Saints: Buccaneers rank #1 against the rush. Good thing for the Saints: They don’t typically run the ball very much especially at home. Josh Freeman and his Bucs are coming off a shocking loss Nick Foles’ Eagles that knocked them out of the playoffs. This will be a high-scoring game if you ever see one. Brees and Freeman better be locked into all fantasy lineups this week. Brees in the Superdome trying to ruin playoff lives from here on out!

BRONCOS @ Ravens – Peyton is doing what Peyton does. Just running things in the NFL week by week. Moreno has stepped up mightily since Willis McGahee went to the I.R. and the defense has been steady all year as a top 5 NFL defense. The Ravens’ record does not indicate how the good the team is, because their 9-3 record is an overestimation of this team. Their defense is not the same and they need to realize it, their offense just fired its offensive coordinator after another disappointing year, except this time they won’t give the ball to their best player as much. The Broncos are the better team and it will show in Baltimore today.

Colts @ TEXANS – I have to be honest, I like those Texans letter-man jackets. I have to be honest, I can’t believe they worse those. The Texans defense was embarrassed on national television. The Patriots exploited all of their weaknesses with all the injuries they have suffered. The Colts are coming off another comeback win against a bad Titans team. Andrew Luck is still playing poorly on the road, but against this shaky secondary it’s hard to not believe in him putting up numbers today. The Texans are still the better team and will come out with full force in Reliant Stadium.

SEAHAWKS @ Bills – Seattle is underrated let’s get that out of the way. “Pint-sized” quarterback Russell Wilson has led this team to becoming a contender, the biggest problem is, most of their wins come at home. The Bills excel at one thing and that’s running the ball, and the Seahawks excel both defensive aspects. The Seahawks will make the playoffs, unfortunately for them they will not host any games. The Bills just lost at home to the Rams after having the lead. The Bills front-office won’t stop talking about the status of their franchise quarterback and it’s a flip-flop every week. They should focus on their weekly opponent instead of on who their quarterback NEXT year is going to be.

Darren Sharper ... Hold ma  ****

Darren Sharper … Hold ma ****

LIONS @ Cardinals – The Cardinals defense has to keep them in this game. Good luck! It’s the Ryan Lindley show again in ‘Zona. Let’s see how good the Lions defense looks this week against the Cardinals because typically they make everyone look like top 10 defenses. Patrick Peterson wants one on one against Megatron who is moving toward Jerry Rice’s single-season record. Imagine if the rushing and receiving record are broken in one year, but two non-playoff teams, intriguing.

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Panthers @ CHARGERS – This may not be as high-scoring as everyone would think. The Chargers sport a pretty good defense that was able to abuse the Steelers last week before they gave up some garbage time touchdowns. Cam Newton is on a tear right now, but I believe that won’t continue today in San Diego. However, Philip Rivers probably won’t play well either. I think this will be pretty ugly from a bunch of underachieving teams.

STEELERS @ Cowboys – Toss-up of the week here. I think the Steelers know how to win these games and the Cowboys typically lose these even at home. I don’t believe Dez will make that big of an impact. The Cowboys need this win or they can count themselves out of the playoffs, on the other hand the Steelers can put themselves out of the playoff spot with a loss. Their bigger game is next week against the Bengals, but they usually don’t look ahead.

Chiefs @ RAIDERS – The “yikes” game for the week. Expect a lot of Jamaal Charles and a lot of punts. Both of these teams have been hopeless causes all year and the Chiefs were destroyed by the Browns last week, while the Raiders lost to the Broncos before the game even started. I pick the home team in this matchup.

49ers @ PATRIOTS – This is the game of the week, but the Patriots showed they are still the team to beat. They took it to the Texans and early. The 49ers better be ready to go as soon as the ball is kicked. Kaepernick has come down to earth recently and hasn’t had to take the games over like he did the first couple of games. The 49ers are 1st in defense and the Pats are 1st in offense, so what will give?

MONDAY

JETS @ Titans – Easily the worst Monday Night game of the year. I pick the Jets because the Titans are bad and the Jets are better. Mark Sanchez didn’t play well again last week when the Jets inched out a win against the Jaguars without their best receiver. Jake Locker is the most erratic quarterback in the NFL. The guy looked great last week after looking like a college quarterback since coming back from his injury. Mark Sanchez cannot turn the ball over for the Jets to win, but for the Titans to win Chris Johnson has to go off and Kenny Britt cannot be dominated by Antonio Cromartie.

siren

UPSET ALERT – I am putting the Texans, the Vikings , the Falcons and the Redskins on upset alery.

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Survivor Pick – First of all if you’re still in survivor pools, just good for you. This week I’ll take the Lions to keep it going. (If picked already: BengalsTexans, and Seahawks.)

Week 14: Nestle Crunch Time!

The double digit wins streak is gone with a 9-7 record last week. Some surprise victories did us in. This week should be better as we have come to the point of the season where no surprises happen, typically. On the year we are sitting at  132-59-1 for a 69% correctness.

Let’s get into it with only four weeks left!

THURSDAY

BRONCOS @ Raiders – This will be a “snoozer”. The Broncos are missing their number one running, but gave an enormous workload to newly anointed starter in Knowshon Moreno. The Raiders’ Carson Palmer is having a good year, but most of his statistics are coming in garbage time. This should be an easy win for the rolling Broncos.

SUNDAY

Rams @ BILLS – I am picking the Bills because they are playing at home and I am certain it is cold outside. The Rams defense isn’t as solid as their run defense, and the Bills are starting to realize their best game-plan is to not force Ryan Fitzpatrick to win them the game, but rather leave it up to their run game. The Rams think they have a shot at the playoffs, but not if Danny Amendola doesn’t play. I want to pick the Rams because they are underrated in my book and bad on the road, 1-3-1. It’s going to be cold and rainy in Buffalo, not good for a passing game.

Cowboys @ BENGALS – The Cowboys just lose their starting nose tackle and now are down to their third string. Tony Romo is going to have a tough time against the Bengals front four, which will have an easy time against the Cowboys bad offensive line. The Bengals will be able to run the ball and throw the ball on a banged up and now very underachieving Bengals defense. It may be a high scoring game however and both teams need the game to stay alive in the playoff chase.

Chiefs @ BROWNS – Only a few words can describe this game: “Man, I hope this isn’t televised.” The Chiefs are coming off a very emotional win, which yours truly predicted correctly. Jamaal Charles needs to go over 100 yards, because nobody should expect the same game from Brady Quinn we saw last week against a bad Panthers defense. The Browns defense is underrated and with Joe Haden guarding Dwayne Bowe, don’t expect much production out of him. The Chiefs will need to have an answer for Trent Richardson and the new #1 receiver on the Browns, Josh Gordon.

Titans @ COLTS – The Titans can’t keep the ball on offense. Jake Locker was looking like he could develop into a good quarterback at the beginning of the season, but it appears that the injury has hindered him. Chris Johnson might have a field day with this Colts run defense, enough to keep them in this game. Andrew Luck will lead his team to another home victory and hopefully with his own touchdowns (for my fantasy team). No Donald Brown for the Colts, which leaves them with a very sub-par running game.

BEARS @ Vikings – I know Brian Urlacher is the leader of the defense, but there are enough play-makers on that team to take over the role. Jay Cutler’s offensive line needs to play better in the face of trash-talking by both teams opposing lines. Cutler will keep abusing Brandon Marshall in the target department as long as their both still living. The Vikes will once again lean heavily on their robot running back, Adrian Peterson. If he can take the pressure of Christian Ponder the Vikings have a chance.

Chargers @ STEELERS – The coach and general manager of the Chargers have already been named soon-to-be victims of the disappointing season experience in San Diego. They were unfortunate to arrive in Pittsburgh with Big Ben returning to good health. The Steelers are more than happy to have their signal caller back healthy so that they can leave their turnover-happy woes behind them. Expect the Steelers to win this one easily.

Eagles @ BUCCANEERS – Nick Foles is starting to look better and not completely incompetent in that offense. Bryce Brown is running a muck in the NFL and seems to be the hottest back besides Adrian Peterson in the NFL. They’re bigger problem now is their failing leaky defense that will get no mercy from the Bucs juggernaut offense. The Bucs need this game to stay in playoff contention because with a loss and any teams in front winning can count themselves out. Doug Martin has seen the box stacked a lot in the past few weeks.

Ravens @ REDSKINS – The Ravens’ record does not show their fault, but the highlights and tapes do. They are not as solid as their 9-3 record would have you believe, but they find a way to win games. Joe Flacco is having another disappointing season, and Cam Cameron appears to not want to lean on Ray Rice every game, which worked in the past (head-scratcher as to why you wouldn’t.) RgIII played a great game Monday night, but was helped certainly by a fluke play on the first touchdown and then by the ineptness of the Giants’ offense in the fourth quarter. The Ravens won’t have an answer for him, but expect some points here.

qm rg

FALCONS @ Panthers – The Falcons are coming off a huge win to their “daddy”. This is a typical let down game, but the Panthers just hit rock-bottom after losing to the Chiefs. Asante Samuel probably won’t play here leaving the Falcons somewhat thin in the secondary. The Panthers haven’t beaten the Falcons in three years now. Matt Ryan isn’t putting up the same numbers as he was at the beginning of the year, because teams have adjusted to the passing game plan of the Falcons. Expect some scoring here as well.

JETS @ Jaguars – Another ugly won that I know will be on television in New York. The Jets turned to Greg McElroy last week, only to turn back to Mark Sanchez (which I predicated) this week, but this is a completely different defense they faced last week. The Jags are down to their fourth string running back and will be without Cecil Shorts. Cromartie will be pinned to Justin Blackmon leaving the Jags only weapon Mercedes Lewis. This will not be pretty or enjoyable unless your a Jets fan.

Saints @ GIANTS – The Giants are doing exactly what we’ve come to expect. Roll through the first half of the year and then start to swoon, but win the games they need to in order to find their way into the playoffs on a hot streak. The Saints need this win to even have a chance, but it’s a very slim chance. Drew Brees does not play as well outside as he does indoors, but coming off 3+ interception days (he’s had five of them), Drew Brees has thrown 17 touchdowns and 4 interceptions (not good for the Giants’ secondary). Expect the Giants pass rush to disrupt Brees because they couldn’t get to RGIII last week and they don’t have consecutive bad games.

Dolphins @ 49ERS – This 49ers defense will have their way with rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill, especially Aldon Smith (the NFL’s sack leader) because Jake Long is now on the I.R. Colin Kaepernick is coming off a bad game against the Rams defense and almost another tie. The Dolphins are scrappy so this might be closer than one would think, but the 49ers should take this one.

Cardinals @ SEAHAWKS – Has one team ever had more home-field advantage in a single season? The 12th man in Seattle is something else and it will continue this week with the lowly Cardinals coming into town. John Skelton has been re-injected into the #1 spot on the depth chary after Ryan Lindley’s awful and abysmal performance, which left many wondering why Ken Whisenhunt didn’t replace him at halftime. The Seahawks are coming off a huge win against the Chicago Bears in overtime and will look to keep a hold on the last wild card spot in the NFC.

Lions @ PACKERS – The Lions are definitely the most disappointing and under-achieving team this year. Lots of talent, lots of promise but not enough of the “it” factor to put games away and keep themselves winning like last year. It’s a shame because Calvin Johnson’s possible MVP year is going to waste. Megatron is on pace to break Jerry Rice’s receiving yards record in a single season, and most likely won’t slow up even facing more double teams now that the Lions are depleted at wide receiver. The Packers are just sledding along toward the playoffs with a bunch of injuries of their own, but their guys will be healthy come playoff time.

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MONDAY

PATRIOTS @ Texans – This is a fantastic game and definitely the game of the week. Possibly the best matchup ESPN picked for Monday Night Football all year long. The Pats certainly miss Gronkowski, but Aaron Hernandez is getting healthier and Tom Brady will definitely find much more now. Their defense has been getting better and has been forcing a large amount of turnovers. The Texans are sitting at a nice 11-1 with a playoff spot locked up. Their defense is slowing up with all of their injuries and the Patriots offense will definitely exploit this. Expect a barn-burner here.

siren

UPSET ALERT – I am putting the Falcons, the Bearsand the Ravens on Upset Alert.

tom-hanks-in-cast-away

SURVIVOR PICK – Colts (If Picked already: Seahawks, and Broncos)