Week 15: Punch Your Tickets if You Can!

The Fantasy Football playoffs are upon us, most leagues started last week. I wanted to post my teams at the beginning of this year with how ridiculous I thought they were, but then they got better. I am in the semi-finals in four out of five leagues (thanks to three byes). So good luck to all in their respective playoff match-ups!!! A present for everyone at the bottom, but for now, onto the picks:

THURSDAY NIGHT

chargers  Chargers @ Broncos broncos – MONEY LINE: Broncos — SPREAD: Broncos (-10.5)

SUNDAY

png-19 Redskins @ Falcons falcons – MONEY LINE: Falcons — SPREAD: Redskins (-6.0)

49ers  49ers @ Buccaneers png-6 – MONEY LINE: 49ers — SPREAD: Buccaneers (+5.5)

png-10 Cardinals @ Titans png-20 – MONEY LINE: Cardinals — SPREAD: Cardinals (-2.5)

saints Saints @ Rams rams – MONEY LINE: Saints — SPREAD: Saints (-6.0)

png-2 Seahawks @ Giants png – MONEY LINE: Seahawks — SPREAD: Giants (+7.0)

png-15  Bears @ Browns png-23 – MONEY LINE: Bears — SPREAD: Bears (+1.0)

texansTexans @ Colts png-17 – MONEY LINE: Colts — SPREAD: Texans (+5.5)

png-9  Bills @ Jaguars download – MONEY LINE: Bills — SPREAD: Bills (-2.5)

png-8Patriots @ Dolphins png-22 – MONEY LINE: Patriots — SPREAD: Patriots (-2.5)

png-18Eagles @ Vikings png-12 – MONEY LINE: Eagles — SPREAD: Eagles (-5.0)

images Jets @ Panthers png-3 – MONEY LINE: Panthers — SPREAD: Jets (+11.0)

chiefsChiefs @ Raiders png-16 – MONEY LINE: Chiefs — SPREAD: Chiefs (-4.0)

packers Packers @ Cowboys png-1 – MONEY LINE: Cowboys — SPREAD: Cowboys (-7.0)

png-14  Bengals @ Steelers png-21 – MONEY LINE: Bengals — SPREAD: Steelers (+3.0)

MONDAY NIGHT

png-4  Ravens @ Lions  png-13 – MONEY LINE: Lions — SPREAD: Ravens (+6.0)

Todays_Special

UPSET SPECIAL

  • BENGALS
  • CARDINALS
  • PATRIOTS
  • BROWNS

image

SURVIVOR POOL

  • COWBOYS
  • CHIEFS
  • PANTHERS
  • EAGLES
  • COLTS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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NFL Picks Week 14, 1:00 o’clock games

 

Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5), O/U (41.5)

Miami is 0 and 2 since 1995 when they play the Steelers in Pittsburgh. The Dolphins have a 2-6 record in their last 8 games against Pittsburgh and are on a 5 game losing streak against the Steelers overall. Ben Roethlisberger seems to have a knack for winning games late in the season at home when they mean something and the Steelers are 18-6 ATS at home over the past 24 games.

Gonna go with Pittsburgh here to cover the spread.
Take the under 41.5.

Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots (-10), O/U (45)

New England plays every team tough at home and are coming in on a 5 game winning streak at home. The Browns are 1-4 against the Patriots in their last 5 meetings and are 1-4 against the spread versus the Patriots in their last 5 matchups. Cleveland is going off a tough loss to the Jaguars at home and now have to go on the road against a tough opponent in the Patriots.

Gonna take New England to cover the 10 point spread.
4 out of the past 5 games between Cleveland and New England have gone over the line. Gotta go with the OVER here.

Kansas City Chiefs at Washington Redskins (+2.5), O/U (44)

Kansas City and Washington have both not fared well against the spread in their last 6 games going just 1 and 5 ATS. Washington is on a 5 game losing streak against the Chiefs and haven’t covered the spread in those games either. With the Redskins struggling not looking to make the playoffs and Kansas City looking to get back on track against at team that head coach Andy Reid knows well, I expect this game to get oit of hand rather quickly.

Got to take the Chiefs to cover the 2 points.
Chiefs have gone UNDER the line in 14 of their past 20 games and Washington has gone UNDER the line in 8 of its past 12 at home. All signs pointing to the UNDER here.

Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5), O/U (53)

Detroit has gone under the line in 4 of their last six road games and the Eagles have also gone under the line in 5 of their past 6 homes games. Philadelphia is coming in hot and are 6 and 1 against the Lions at home in their past seven meetings. Detroit has covered the spread in the past two games against Philadelphia and with both teams looking to make a run at the playoffs its going to be a tight game. This game is going to come down to a field goal.

With that I’m going with the Eagles to win this one at home but the Lions WILL COVER the 2.5 point spread.
both defenses have been playing well of late which leads me to believe this is going UNDER the 53 point line.

Indianapolis Colts at Cincinnati Bengals (-5.5), O/U (44.5)

The Colts have beaten the Bengals 7 times in the last 8 meeting between the two and the Colts have covered the spread in those games 5 times. Cincinnati is just 2 and 6 against the spread when playing Indy at home in their last 8 meetings. The Bengals are coming off a 17 to 10 win over the Chargers in week 13 and they had their bye week during week 12. I think the Bengals are going to hit their stride this week and put up a bunch of points against the Colts defense through the air.

Take the Colts to cover the 5.5 in a low scoring game that will go UNDER the 44.5 point line.

Buffalo Bills at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5), O/U (41.5)

Truly a toss up here with two rookie quarterbacks going head to head and two pretty good defenses both against the run and pass. EJ Manuel is heading back to the state where he spent his college career and will have a bunch of fans there pulling for him and that will play a factor in this game. Tampa Bay is 5 and 1 in their last six home games against the Bills and the Bills haven’t cover the spread in their past 5 games in Tampa Bay.

Gonna go with the Bills to win this game covering that 2.5 point spread.
The Bucs and the Bills have both gone OVER the line in 6 out of the last 8 games. Take the OVER again here.

Oakland Raiders at New York Jets (-3), O/U (41.5)

The Jets have played better of late at home this season going 4 and 2 in their past 6 home games. and are also 4 and 2 in their past 6 games against the Raiders. The Raiders will be relying on Rashad Jennings with Run DMC out with an ankle injury against the leagues best run defense so expect Matt McGloin to be throwing the ball a lot against a Jets secondary that has been struggling.

Gonna take the Raiders to COVER the spread in a nail biter with the Jets sneaking out the win but by less than 3 points.
It’s going to be a fast paced game with a lot of drives that end with long touchdowns so I’ve gotta go with the OVER 41.5 point line.

Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers (-3), O/U (46.5)

Atlanta has really struggled this year but they have picked it up of late and I believe that Mike smith’s team will finish the season strong. Green Bay is good at home but they are still without Aaron Rodgers and have been struggling to find the endzone on offense. I think that will continue this week for Green Bay’s offense and the Packers defense will have to try to find pay dirt somehow and keep Matt Ryan at bay. I like the Falcons to upset the Packers here and get a much needed win in regulation by a touchdown.

Take the Falcons against the spread.
Gonna have to go with the UNDER, as I don’t expect much scoring from the Packers offense but their defense will keep the Falcons offense under 30 points.

Minnesota Vikings at Baltimore Ravens (-6), O/U (42.5)

The Vikings have been playing surprisingly well in the past two weeks getting a win versus Chicago and tying with the Packers the week before that. Both of those games went into overtime. We could attest that to Minnesota’s defense and Adrian Peterson. The Ravens know that the Vikings are going to give AP a lot of touches and will probably challenge the Vikings wide receivers to beat them on the outside. Matt Cassel should be able to take advantage of the play action and hit his receivers and tight ends down the field. Baltimore has played really well at home all season but they haven’t scored that many points at home.

Gonna take the Ravens here to COVER the 6 point spread getting the win by a touchdown over Minnesota.
But I’m going to take the OVER on this 42.5 point line with both teams scoring into the twenties.

Week 13: Giving Thanks

Three Football games on Thanksgiving? Well thank you very much! Happy Thanksgiving to all and your families!

Football Thanksgiving

THURSDAY

packers Packers @ Lions png-13 – MONEY LINE: Lions — SPREAD: Lions (E)

png-16 Raiders @ Cowboys png-1 – MONEY LINE: Cowboys — SPREAD: Raiders (+9.5)

png-21 Steelers @ Ravens png-4 – MONEY LINE: Ravens — SPREAD: Steelers (+3.0)

SUNDAY

png-20 Titans @ Colts png-17 – MONEY LINE: Colts — SPREAD: Colts (-4.5)

broncos Broncos @ Chiefs chiefs – MONEY LINE: Broncos — SPREAD: Chiefs (E)

downloadJaguars @ Browns png-23 – MONEY LINE: Browns — SPREAD: Jaguars (+7.0)

png-6 Buccaneers @ Panthers png-3 – MONEY LINE: Panthers — SPREAD: Buccaneers (+9.5)

png-15  Bears @ Vikings png-12 – MONEY LINE: Bears — SPREAD: Vikings (+2.5)

png-10Cardinals @ Eagles png-18 – MONEY LINE: Cardinals — SPREAD: Cardinals (+3.5)

png-22 Dolphins @ Jets images – MONEY LINE: Jets — SPREAD: Dolphins (+2.0)

falcons Falcons @ Bills png-9 – MONEY LINE: Bills – SPREAD: Falcons (+3.5)

rams Rams @ 49ers 49ers – MONEY LINE: 49ers — SPREAD: Rams (+7.5)

png-14  Bengals @ Chargers chargers – MONEY LINE: Bengals — SPREAD: Bengals (-1.0)

png-8Patriots @ Texans texans – MONEY LINE: Patriots — SPREAD: Patriots (-7.0)

png Giants @ Redskins png-19 – MONEY LINE: Redskins — SPREAD: Giants (+2.5)

MONDAY

saintsSaints @ Seahawks png-2 – MONEY LINE: Seahawks — SPREAD: Seahawks (-4.5)

siren

UPSET ALERT

  • BENGALS
  • CARDINALS
  • BEARS
  • RAVENS
  • LIONS
full-207-60645-domainku.com_albums_post_history_channel_alien_guy_meme_generator_aliens_98f63b_1

IF YOU’RE STILL IN YOUR POOL …

SURVIVOR POOL

  • PATRIOTS
  • PANTHERS
  • COWBOYS

Week 12: The Last of the Byes

BYES: Bills, Bengals, Eagles & Seahawks

THURSDAY

saints Saints @ Falcons falcons – MONEY LINE: Saints — SPREAD: Saints (+7.0)

The Falcons are bad and their offensive line woes only make things even worse. The Saints got pretty lucky when Ahmad Brooks truck-sticked Drew Brees and was promptly flagged. The Saints are a top team in the NFC and are doing well on both both sides of the ball.

SUNDAY

png-6Buccaneers @ Lions png-13 – MONEY LINE: Lions — SPREAD: Buccaneers (+9.0)

downloadJaguars @ Texans texans – MONEY LINE: Texans — SPREAD: Texans (-11.0)

png-12 Vikings  @Packers packers – MONEY LINE: Vikings — SPREAD: Vikings (E)

chargers Chargers @ Chiefs chiefs – MONEY LINE: Chiefs — SPREAD: Chargers (-4.5)

png-3Panthers @ Dolphins png-22 – MONEY LINE: Panthers — SPREAD: Panthers (-4.0)

png-21Steelers @ Browns png-23 – MONEY LINE: Steelers — SPREAD: Steelers (+2.0)

png-15Bears @ Rams rams – MONEY LINE: Rams — SPREAD: Rams (-1.0)

images Jets @ Ravens png-4 – MONEY LINE: Ravens — SPREAD: Jets (+3.0)

png-20Titans @ Oakland png-16 – MONEY LINE: Raiders — SPREAD: Raiders (+1.0)

png-17 Colts @ Cardinals png-10 – MONEY LINE: Colts — SPREAD: Colts (+2.0)

png-1Cowboys @ Giants png – MONEY LINE: Giants — SPREAD: Giants (-2.5)

broncos Broncos @ Patriots png-8 – MONEY LINE: Broncos — SPREAD: Patriots (+2.5)

MONDAY NIGHT

49ers 49ers @ Redskins png-19– MONEY LINE: 49ers — SPREAD: 49ers (-5.0)

siren

UPSET ALERT:

  • BRONCOS
  • CHIEFS
  • BEARS
  • COWBOYS

survivor-logo

SURVIVOR PICK:

  • TEXANS
  • SAINTS
  • PANTHERS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Week 11: Oops

So we forgot to make picks last week to help you all out, but here we are today in Week 11:

full-207-60645-domainku.com_albums_post_history_channel_alien_guy_meme_generator_aliens_98f63b_1

BYE TEAMS: Cowboys & Rams

THURSDAY:

png-20 Titans @ Colts png-17 – MONEY LINE: Colts — SPREAD: Colts (-2.5)

SUNDAY:

falconsFalcons @ Bucs png-6 – MONEY LINE: Falcons — SPREAD: Falcons (E)

imagesJets @ Bills png-9 – MONEY LINE: Jets — SPREAD: Bills (-1.0)

png-13Lions @ Steelers png-21 – MONEY LINE: Lions — SPREAD: Lions (-3.0)

png-19Redskins @ Eagles png-18 – MONEY LINE: Redskins — SPREAD: Redskins (+3.0)

chargers  Chargers @ Dolphins png-22 – MONEY LINE: Chargers — SPREAD: Chargers (-1.0)

png-4  Ravens @ Bears png-15 – MONEY LINE: Ravens — SPREAD: Ravens (+2.5)

png-23  Browns @ Bengals png-14 – MONEY LINE: Bengals — SPREAD: Browns (+6.0)

png-16 Raiders @ Texans texans – MONEY LINE: Texans — SPREAD: Texans (-7.0)

png-10Cardinals @ Jaguars download – MONEY LINE: Cardinals — SPREAD: Jaguars (+6.5)

png-12Vikings @ Seahawks png-2 – MONEY LINE: Seahawks — SPREAD: Vikings (+13.5)

49ers  49ers @ Saints saints – MONEY LINE: Saints — SPREAD: Saints (-2.5)

packersPackers @ Giants png – MONEY LINE: Giants — SPREAD: Packers (+7.0)

 

 

chiefs  Chiefs @ Broncos broncos – MONEY LINE: Broncos — SPREAD: Chiefs (+7.5)

MONDAY NIGHT:

png-8Patriots @ Panthers png-3 – MONEY LINE: Patriots — SPREAD: Patriots (+2.5)

SURVIVOR PICK:

  • TEXANS
  • SEAHAWKS
  • CARDINALS

UPSET ALERT:

  • SAINTS
  • BILLS
  • EAGLES
  • JETS
  • BENGALS
  • BEARS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Week 9: Fine Nines!

Last week we shaped up and went 10-3 in Money Line picks and 6-7 Against the Spread. Let’s keep the ball rolling. We missed the Thursday Night game so we will ignore that game to be fair. Here we go:

Watch the Dez Bryant tirade for yourself:

http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/nfl-shutdown-corner/dez-bryant-sideline-rant-line-watch-yourself-video-025747613–nfl.html

BYE WEEK: Broncos, Giants, Lions, Cardinals, 49ers, and Jaguars

SUNDAY

chiefs Chiefs @ BIlls  png-9 – MONEY LINE: Chiefs — SPREAD: Chiefs (-3.5)

The Chiefs still remain undefeated and get to face Jeff Tuel on the road. I would’ve seen this as a trap game if Thad Lewis was playing, but now the sledding will get a lot easier. C.J. Spiller needs to get healthy for the Bills to compete and so does E.J. Manuel.

png-12 Vikings @ Cowboys png-1 –MONEY LINE: Cowboys — SPREAD: Cowboys (-9.5)

The Vikings continue their awful ways and will keep Christian Ponder under center. They need to stop abandoning the run when they get down by two scores because it takes the ball out of the hands of their best player. The Cowboys lost another game in typical 2000s Cowboys fashion as Matthew Stafford won with one of the most headsup football plays I’ve ever seen. Dez Bryant exploded on the sidelines and got more bad press because of it. LEAVE DEZ ALONE!

png-20 Titans @ Rams  rams– MONEY LINE: Titans — SPREAD: Titans (-3.5)

Jake Locker and the Titans come off their bye to face the Kellen Clemens led Rams. The Rams put up a fight against the Seahawks on Monday Night with the performance of their defense mostly. The Titans lost their owner Bud Adams during their bye week and I expect the emotional victory here.

saintsSaints @ Jets images – MONEY LINE: Saints — SPREAD: Jets (+6.5)

The Saints are coming off a shellacking of the Bills at home and they will go outdoors in windy MetLife Stadium. Jimmy Graham still isn’t at 100 percent. The Jets are coming off a beating in Cincinnati and I expect a bounce back as the Jets seem to do this year.  Even though Rob Ryan will be dialing up blitzes to get Geno Smith off his game, but according to his inconsistency this year, Geno will have a good game.

chargers Chargers @ Redskins png-19 – MONEY LINE: Redskins — SPREAD: Redskins (-1.0)

The Redskins took a beating in Denver after being up 21-7 and then the Broncos offense started clicking. The Chargers are coming off their bye and travel east to play at 1 PM. I never like West Coast teams in this game even though the Redskins’ defense is horrible and Philip Rivers is playing much better this year and Keenan Allen has emerged as his go to receiver.

falcons Falcons @ Panthers png-3 – MONEY LINE: Panthers — SPREAD: Falcons (+7.5)

The Falcons are bad and were embarrassed by the Arizona Cardinals in Arizona last week. They are struggling with injuries especially those to their wide receivers. The Panthers have had a long week to rest up after bombing the Buccaneers on Thursday Night last week. The Panthers look like a complete team and get more dangerous as Jonathan Stewart comes back from injury.

png-18 Eagles @ Raiders  png-16MONEY LINE: Raiders — SPREAD: Raiders (E)

The Eagles looked bad once again against the Giants as Matt Barkley was rushed into the fire once again when Michael Vick pulled up limp with his hamstring injury again. Terrelle Pryot set an NFL record with his first quarter run last week against the Steelers’ defense that was easily fooled. This might be an ugly one as Nick Foles gets the start.

png-6 Buccaneers @ Seahawks png-2 – MONEY LINE: Seahawks — SPREAD: Buccaneers (+16.5)

The Bucs were embarrassed on Thursday Night by the Panthers as Mike Glennon looked lost against the Panthers, imagine how the Seahawks will make him look. The Seahawks escaped a scare on Monday Night against the Rams, but they did suffer a pretty big loss, Sidney Rice tore his ACL on Monday Night and there goes the teams real deep threat. They will rely heavily on Golden Tate and Doug Baldwin now as they await Percy Harvin’s return.

png-4 Ravens @ Browns png-23 – MONEY LINE: Ravens — SPREAD: Ravens (-3.0)

The Ravens are coming off their bye and John Harbaugh is a master after the bye, his Ravens have gone 5-0 since he took over. This team has lost two straight and now finds themselves 2 games back in the division but can make up ground with a win in Cleveland. Jason Campbell gave the Chiefs a scare last week and he needs to continue to feed his two best players in Josh Gordon and Jordan Cameron.

png-21 Steelers @ Patriots png-8 – MONEY LINE: Patriots — SPREAD: Steelers (+7.0)

The Steelers were humbled in Oakland last week after winning two games in a row and it appeared they were turning things around, but Terrelle Pryor’s legs had different ideas. The Patriots were getting run over by the Dolphins in the first half last week, but Joe Philbin thought it was a good idea to change the game plan leading to a comeback by the Pats. The Pats at home against a bad Steelers team, but without Aqib Talib and with Le’Veon Bell turning into a legit starting running back give me the points.

png-17 Colts @ Texans texans – MONEY LINE: Colts — SPREAD: Colts (-2.0)

The Colts suffered one of the biggest losses this year when they lost Reggie Wayne for the year. Keep Calm and Move On, Indy. The Colts are coming off their bye and so are the Texans. Case Keenum will be under center again for the Texans and that is why I am picking the Colts.

MONDAY

png-15 Bears @ Packers packers – MONEY LINE: Packers — SPREAD: Packers (-7.5)

The Bears come off their bye after losing Jay Cutler to a serious groin injury. Josh McCown will get the start against the Packers defense that seems to be hitting a stride even without their best player in Clay Matthews. The offense hasn’t missed a step without Randall Cobb and James Jones or even Jermichael Finley. This game might be close at first because of the old rivalry but I expect a blowout in the end.

tom-hanks-in-cast-away

SURVIVOR PICK

  • RAVENS
  • SEATTLE
  • COWBOYS
  • CHIEFS

siren

UPSET ALERT

  • PATRIOTS
  • COLTS
  • REDSKINS

Week 6: Props to Those Still in Survivor Pools

So as the headline says, if you are still in your survivor pool, good for you! I was in two, find myself in a loser’s bracket in my big money one, but lost this past week thanks to the Atlanta Falcons (sucksters). At least I still have fantasy football, five leagues, I just finished off my second 5-0 week in a row as I am paying equal attention now to all teams, so WATCH OUT! Last week saw an improvement at 9-7 Money Line and  8-8 Against the Spread (.500 for the first time all year!) Let’s take a look at our Week 6 Matchups!

images

Bye Weeks: FALCONS, MIAMI THURSDAY

pngGiants @ Bears png-15– MONEY LINE: Bears — SPREAD: Giants (+8.0)

This is the worst season I have watched as a Big Blue fan, and now they will be without David Wilson. Everything that can go wrong has and the sledding won’t get easier against a Bears team that has dropped two straight games and get to play at home. The Bears looked bad against a surging Saints’ defense. Jay Cutler has to get the ball to Brandon Marshall more, but now Alshon Jeffery has solidified himself as an asset after his ridiculous Week 5 performance, which he was probably on Fantasy Football benches for. Again we use opening lines for each week:

SUNDAY

png-16Raiders @ Chiefschiefs – MONEY LINE: Chiefs — SPREAD: Raiders (+10.5)

Terrelle Pryor is coming into his own and looked good against the Chargers at home last week. The defense isn’t all that good, but Pryor can keep the team in games with his legs and apparently now his arm. The Chiefs survived a scare in Nashville last week against the Titans. The Chiefs still look like a complete team and their defense has become smothering under Andy Reid. Jamaal Charles will most likely have a field day against the Raiders.

png-18 Eagles @ Bucs png-6– MONEY LINE: Bucs — SPREAD: Bucs (+1.5)

The Eagles beat up on the bad Giants as Nick Foles had to come in and finish off the G-Men. Vick is banged up, yet he wasn’t even hit. The Bucs are coming off their bye and have now rid themselves of Josh Freeman and Mike Glennon will take control under center. I think this is the week they get their first win as Nick Foles will lead a fast-paced spread offense that he isn’t built for. The Bucs defense is still better than many and will most likely shot down an offense that without Vick lacks its second-best weapon.

packers Packers @ Ravenspng-4– MONEY LINE: Packers — SPREAD: Packers (-3.0)

The Packers won an ugly one in Green Bay last weekend against the Lions, but their defense showed up against the Megatron-less Lions. They shut down Reggie Bush and the Lions only scored a touchdown, but not without a price. Clay Matthews is out for at least a month with a fractured thumb. Rodgers will have to produce more with the defense now lacking its best pass-rusher. The Ravens are suffering because of Ray Rice’s inability to break tackles this year and put up Ray Rice numbers. If this continues, Joe Flacco will have to carry the load and a defense that is beginning to click will have to step up even more.

png-13 Lions @ Brownspng-23 – MONEY LINE: Lions — SPREAD: Lions (-2.5)

If Megatron plays this will stay, if he doesn’t I will come back and change this pick you have my word. The Lions looked horrible without the best WR in the league right now, that can’t continue they need to make something of their other players. The defense held up pretty well against Rodgers until the end of the game, but the sledding is easier against the Brandon Weeden led Browns. Hoyer is down and Weeden takes back over. They were 0-2 with Weeden under center, but he won in emergency work last week against the more banged-up Bills. Browns’ players have said they have instilled their confidence in Weeden and we will see how it plays out. Haden vs. Megatron would be fun to watch!

png-3 Panthers @ Vikingspng-12 – MONEY LINE: Vikings — SPREAD: Vikings (-2.5)

The Panthers looked awful and Cam looked scared last week against the Cardinals front seven. How is this team supposed to be taken seriously after performances like that??? The Vikings are coming off their big win in London and their bye week. Matt Cassel will be under center, but now Josh Freeman is in the picture. All I can think is Adrian Peterson and the wide receivers are thinking pick one and stick with him … as long as his name isn’t Christian Ponder.

ramsRams @ Texanstexans – MONEY LINE: Texans — SPREAD: Texans (-7.0)

The Rams beat the future 0-16 Jaguars … Congrats, guys! Now you play a real team that just took a beating at the hands of the 49ers. Last year the Texans took a beating from the Packers 42-24 (not as close as the score says), then they turned around and demolished the Super Bowl Champion Ravens 43-13 at home. The Rams offense is ugly and a mess right now even after scoring 34 on the lowly Jags. The Texans’ fans might be calling for Matt Scahub’s head but they have no better option right now, so suck it up!

png-21Steelers @ Jets images– MONEY LINE: Jets — SPREAD: Jets (+2.5)

This line has swapped as the Jets are now 2-point favorites. Geno Smith was calm under the 0 pressure he faced from the Falcons on Monday and he knocked tons of people out of Survivor Pools everywhere (hate you, Geno). The Jets defense is as solid as ever even without Revis, it’s mainly their front seven that’s supplanting their 3-2 record. The Steelers are as bad as the Giants, but they are hoping a steady run game will help them, but they still have no offensive line and they need to find a defensive groove, good luck with all that.

png-14 Bengals @ Bills  png-9– MONEY LINE: Bengals — SPREAD: Bengals (-7.5)

The Bengals played an ugly game with the Patriots in Cincy last weekend 13-6 with some good defense. The Bengals will get to feast on Thaddeus Lewis for the Bills as E.J. Manuel is going to miss over a month. They will also get Leon Hall back, sorry Thad. The Bills need to establish a run game with their two-headed beast in Spiller and Jackson. Thaddeus Lewis is most likely going to have to check down a lot to the running backs. The Bills always play up at home and I wouldn’t be shocked if they were in this game the whole way.

png-20Titans @ Seahawks png-2– MONEY LINE: Seahawks — SPREAD: Seahawks (-13.5)

The Titans fought with the Chiefs, but came up short at home. Now they travel to the Seattle to face a Seahawks team that lost a heart-breaker to the Colts in Indy last week. The defense will be angry after giving up 24 (one touchdown was scored on a blocked punt) to the Colts. The Titans defense is a quietly good unit, but Ryan Fitzpatrick will not be able to outmatch the Seahawks defense. Russell Wilson needs to gain some consistency this year for his team to take the next step, especially on the road.

download Jaguars @ Broncosbroncos – MONEY LINE: Jags (Not even a little funny?) — SPREAD: Broncos (-28.0)

The biggest spread in the history of the game. I will still take the Broncos who survived a scare against the Cowboys on Sunday. The Jags are turning back to Chad Henne because Gabbert is hurt … again. Peyton will keep the machine rolling against the Jags and hopefully “no Jags will be harmed in the making of this.” Avert your eyes Jaguar fans … all 10 of you.

png-10 Arizona @ 49ers 49ers – MONEY LINE: 49ers — SPREAD: Cardinals (+10.5)

The Cardinals defense was everywhere on Sunday and made Cam Newton pay. The defense will be just as ferocious against the 49ers. Colin Kaepernick continues to struggle this year as defenses are getting more and more after him. He still hit Vernon Davis on a touchdown pass, made mostly by Davis ridiculous 4.38 speed. The 49ers defense will be the reason they win this game, but the Cardinals’ defense is underrated as Cam Newton saw.

saintsSaints @ Patriotspng-8 – MONEY LINE: Saints — SPREAD: Saints (+2.0)

This will be a good one. Two teams with good defenses, when no one though they would have solid defensive units. The Saints are coming off a big win in Chicago, where Drew Brees was winless prior to Sunday. Brady & Co. are coming off an ugly loss to the Bengals where his touchdown streak was halted. One would expect the Patriots to bounce back and pounce the next opponent, but they face a really good Saints team. Gronk should be back and Danny Amendola actually didn’t get hurt last week. This is a toss-up.

png-19Redskins @ Cowboyspng-1 – MONEY LINE: Cowboys — SPREAD: Redskins (+4.5) The ‘Skins are coming off their bye. Their defense is really bad, but RGIII (not his legs) are keeping them in games or almost pulling off comebacks. Let’s see how healthy RGIII’s knee is after the off week. The Cowboys were in a shootout with the Broncos and lost on a crucial Tony Romo interception … SHOCKER! The pick wasn’t that bad and Danny Trevathan made an unbelievable play. Romo will look to turn it around against an easy feast in the Redskins’ defense.

MONDAY

png-17 Colts @ Chargers chargers – MONEY LINE: Colts — SPREAD: Colts (E)

Andrew Luck leads another furious comeback and takes down a Goliath. This kid is turning into an elite quarterback in front of our eyes. If they can get Trent Richardson going, watch out. The Chargers looked bad against the Raiders on Monday and this team is a story of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde. It all depends on how Philip Rivers performs, but expect Andrew Luck to put up a ton of points in this one. Todays_Special UPSET SPECIAL

  • PATRIOTS
  • STEELERS
  • VIKINGS
  • EAGLES
  • BEARS

survivor-logo SURVIVOR POOL

  • BRONCOS
  • CHIEFS
  • TEXANS
  • 49ERS

Week 4: Recovery Time

Last week was a rough 5-10-1 against the spread … we got worse. 8-8 money line. I will fix this issue, but what a week that was! Too many upsets and we see a lot of teams going 0-3 that are quite puzzling, Giants and Redskins! Thursday night is here and I know you want to see the picks for Week 4!

How I and the G-Men Feel

How I and the G-Men Feel

THURSDAY

49ers @ Rams – Money Line: 49ers — Spread: Rams (+3.5)

The 49ers kept up their poor play against the Colts. Andrew Luck didn’t have a great game but he commanded it while his counterpart in Colin Kaepernick struggled mightily against a Colts team not known for its defense. Did the league figure out the 49ers’ read option over the offseason or is this just a bad stretch of games for the Niners and their 2012 hero? The Rams looked awful in Dallas last week and I expect them and their underrated defense to bounce back this Thursday night. Both teams coming off bad losses and the 49ers will probably be without Patrick Willis and Aldon Smith.

SUNDAY

The rest of these will not have blurbs for this week … sorry to disappoint!

Steelers @ Vikings – Money Line: Steelers — Spread: Steelers (E)

You sound like you’re from London!!!

Ravens @ Bills – Money Line: Ravens — Spread: Ravens (-3.5)

Ravens big win and Bills bad loss in Week 3, expect the Ravens to have fun with EJ Manuel and the injury ravaged Bills’ defense.

Bengals @ Browns – Money Line: Bengals — Spread: Bengals (-4.5)

I’ll regret this one because the Browns and Bengals always play close.

Colts @ Jaguars – Money Line: Colts — Spread: Colts (-9.0)

Big win for the Colts last week in San Fran and this is definitely a let down game, but I can’t pull myself to take the Jags.

Seahawks @ Houston – Money Line: Seahawks — Spread: Seahawks (-3.0)

‘Hawks embarrassed the Jags last week, now they go on the road to play a Houston team probably upset at the way they got manhandled by the Ravens last week.

Cardinals @ Bucs – Money Line: Cardinals — Spread: Cardinals (+2.5)

Bad loss to the Saints for the Cardinals and then bad loss to the Patriots for the Bucs who have now benched their “franchise” quarterback in favor of their newest rookie, Mike Glennon welcome to the fire.

Bears @ Lions – Money Line: Bears — Spread: Bears (+3.0)

Bears are really the underdog here? The Bears look like one of the best teams in the league as their line looks better and Jay Cutler seems under control. Sorry Lions!

Giants @ Chiefs – Money Line: Giants — Spread: Giants (+4.5)

Honey Badger don’t care!

Jets @ TItans – Money Line: Jets — Spread: Jets (+4.5)

Both MetLife teams on the road to win? Why not! (Herm Edwards voice)

Cowboys @ Chargers – Money Line: Cowboys — Spread: Cowboys (-1.5)

Don’t care, I wish the ‘Boys would lose though.

Redskins @ Raiders – Money Line: Redskins — Spread: Redskins (-3.0)

Redskins are going to get that win regardless of whether Terrelle Pryor plays for the Raiders.

Eagles @ Broncos – Money Line: Broncos — Spread: Broncos (-10.5)

High scoring, the Eagles won’t be able to keep up with how good the Broncos’ defense is.

Patriots @ Falcons – Money Line: Falcons — Spread: Falcons (-1.0)

No Gronk and Amendola means a loss for the Pats as Matt Ryan tosses it around the Georgia Dome where he loves playing.

Dolphins @ Saints – Money Line: Saints — Spread: Saints (-5.5)

I like the ‘Fins, but going into New Orleans Tannehill will struggle against the revamped Saints’ defense.

siren

UPSET ALERT

  • Chiefs
  • Titans

tom-hanks-in-cast-away

SURVIVOR POOL PICKS

  • Colts
  • Bengals
  • Ravens
  • Redskins (ballsy at 0-3)

 

Week 2: Aftermath of Week 1

kaephit

RIP Kaep … Ouch-town Population you, Bro! (Pepper Brooks)

What did we look like after Week 1 you ask? Taking a look at the money line Sports Gone HAM went a solid 11-5, but against the spread we were a truly disappointing 4-10-2 (pushes). We will get better on the spreads, but it is the first time we are trying and Week 1 saw some head-scratchers. Let’s get into week one and reflect on some injuries and Week 1 games during each match-up:

THURSDAY

Jets @ Patriots (-12.0) – Money Line: Patriots —- Spread: Jets (+12.0)

The Pats are hurting on offense and it showed last weekend. Stevan Ridley has struggled to hold onto the ball ever since the playoffs last season and now Shane Vereen, his talented backup, is out until at least Week 10. Danny Amendola is not expected to play and they are still missing Gronk. It looks like Thompkins and Edelman will be the one-two punch. The Jets pulled a win out of nowhere last Sunday as Geno Smith scrambled out of bounds and was inexplicably pushed out of bounds by Lavonte David. The Jets defense looked solid as usual last weekend, but the offense looked somewhat anemic in Smith’s first start. He did show some maturity throughout the game taking some sacks and not making horrible throws. I like their defense to keep this game somewhat close.

SUNDAY

Chargers @ Eagles (7.5) – Money Line: Eagles —- Spread: Eagles (-7.5)

The Chargers had an epic collapse with only twenty minutes to go in their Monday Night Football game against the Houston Texans. From what I saw in the first half, Philip Rivers looked pretty good and crisp after an off-season where his possible regression was called into question. The second half happened and it looked like the critics could be right, but only time will tell. The Eagles fumbled the ball on a questionable call their first drive, but dominated after that. They ran 53 plays in the first half with their new Oregon offense and looked sharp. They play fast because that’s what their top three guys have, speed and lots of it (Vick, Jackson and McCoy). Look for the Eagles to tire out the Chargers and coast in the second half.

Browns @ Ravens (-6.5)  – Money Line: Ravens —- Spread: Ravens (-6.5)

The Browns looked lost at home against the Dolphins. Besides Jordan Cameron, Trent Richardson is the best receiving option and he lines up in the backfield. The Ravens defense will be angry after being embarrassed, man-handled, torched and simply run off the field by the Broncos and Peyton’s seven touchdowns on Opening Night. The Ravens offense was average with a lack of talent in their receiving corps as well. Marlon Brown seems like he might make a nice addition in the slot, but Torrey Smith can’t man the outside by himself. This will be interesting and even though I think 6.5 is a lot of points, I still go Ravens at home.

Titans @ Texans (-9.0) – Money Line: Texans —- Spread: Texans (-9)

The Titans looked good, but that was against a really bad offense that calls its home Pittsburgh. That line is horrific and made the Titans defense look like … well the Steelers’ defense. Chris Johnson found some lanes against a stout run defense, but his sledding won’t get easier against the tough Texans defense. The Texans looked disastrous in the first half against the Chargers, but turned into the AFC South champs in the second half. Andre Johnson did his Andre Johnson thing and broke 100 yards as Matt Schaub abused him in the target area. Arian Foster looked a little rusty and Ben Tate looked poised to take over when he could. Gary Kubiak said they might need to split the carries more evenly if this keeps up. I still like Texans giving the 9.

Dolphins @ Colts (-3.0) – Money Line: Colts —- Spread: Colts (-3.0)

The Dolphins beat a bad looking Browns team while leaving their most talented player on offense out of the equation, which left him pretty upset with the coaching staff. Mike Wallace needs to be given the ball because he’s a play-maker, and if their run game can’t get going he has the talent to make something out of nothing. The Colts looked flat for some reason against a bad Oakland defense. The Colts line still isn’t the best and their run game is at the bottom of the pack. If Ahmad Bradshaw can’t overtake Vic Ballard, it could mean more passes for Andrew Luck each game. At home I like the Colts

Panthers (-3.0) @ Bills – Money Line: Bills —- Spread: Bills (+3.0)

The Panthers front seven looked great against a great run team in the Seahawks. However, that team had traveled from the other corner of the country and played at 1 P.M. and I don’t care who you are, that’s never easy. The Panthers offense looked horrendous against a great defense, so try and get a read on that one. The Bills looked pretty good against the Patriots and took them to the wire, but couldn’t finish the job. E.J. Manuel had a couple of nice throws, but his defense couldn’t hold up against Tom and the Pats beat-up offense. I like the Bills at home.

Rams @ Falcons (-7.0) – Money Line: Falcons —- Spread: Rams (+7.0)

The Rams came roaring back against the Cardinals and used “Legatron” to cap off the come from behind victory. Bradford looked better than the past few years behind a revamped offensive line featuring newly acquired Jake Long. He has explosive weapons all over the field, Richardson, Austin, Givens, and Cook and he seems to be hitting it off with all. The defense is underrated and can get in the backfield as well as force turnovers. The Falcons are coming off a heart-breaker against their arch-rival Saints. Their defense played better than anyone expected with Asante Samuel, but their offense looked nothing like last years with Roddy White being banged up. I want to pick the Falcons, but their defense and the speed around Bradford worry me.

Redskins @ Packers (-7.0) – Money Line: Packers —- Spread: Redskins (+7.0)

RGIII looked rusty, but then he settled in against the Eagles defense. Alfred Morris did not look like himself on a very costly fumble, and the defense was tired after the Eagles ran their up-tempo offense. The defense will need to shore up against Rodgers and the Pack to have a shot. The P ackers put up a good fight against the reigning NFC Champions, but simply couldn’t put a cap on the Kaep. Their secondary was lit up by the likes of Anquan Boldin and Vernon Davis, which makes RGIII feel confident. The Pack tried to establish the run game while airing it out with Rodgers. They have a good fit in Lacy and he likes what he saw from McCoy’s performance on Monday night I’m Sure.

Cowboys @ Chiefs (-2.5) – Money Line: Cowboys —- Spread: Cowboys (+2.5)

The Cowboys defense looked great forcing 6 turnovers against the Giants, but the offense was unable to capitalize on each turnover as the Giants were on the verge of a comeback until the final turnover did them in. Tony Romo suffered bruise ribs after getting finally hit by the Giants defensive linemen. The Cowboys still looked like the better team on Sunday and could be a force with all their talent if they can get the offense really flowing. The Chiefs looked well-rounded, but that was against the lowly Jaguars. The defense forced turnovers and got into the backfield, which could help against the Cowboys O-Line. Their defense will need to perform up to better standards to stop the Cowboys offensive weapons. I like the ‘Boys here even with Dez Bryant injured.

Vikings @ Bears (-6.0) – Money Line: Bears —- Spread: Bears (-6.0)

The Vikings pass game is going to be a problem for a while unless someone can teach Christian Ponder how to be an NFL quarterback. As was the case last year, Adrian Peterson will face a lot of “full box” situations because most teams want leave the game in Ponder’s hands. The Vikings corners looked good last week shutting down Calvin Johnson, but the whole defense was embarassed by probably the most dangerous open field player in the NFL in Reggie Bush. The Bears withstood a tough test from the Bengals last week and somehow Jay Cutler did not take a sack. Brandon Marshall and Cutler are on a whole other level right now. Their defense isn’t the same without Urlacher and Tillman was abused by AJ Green, but the Vikes don’t have that type of outside weapon so Bears here.

Saints (-3.5) @ Buccaneers – Money Line: Saints —- Spread: Saints (-3.5)

The Saints defense stopped the Falcons. Say what? The Saints offense looked pretty good with Sean Payton back, but they can definitely do more. Just wait till they hit their stride, but their defense will leak and won’t hold teams to 17 very often to be honest. The Bucs lost in shocking fashion. Their defense looked good with the addition of Revis, but the offense looked lost. Josh Freeman is in a make or break year, his contract year, and he has weapons that most quarterbacks would thrive with. They need to fix his focus otherwise it’ll be another long season to the team with pewter helmets. Saints here.

Lions (-1.0) @ Cardinals – Money Line: Cardinals —- Spread: Cardinals (1.0)

The Lions newest offensive toy looked fantastic against the Vikings; however, they can’t rely on Reggie Bush to beat better teams like the Arizona Cardinals. Calvin Johnson will needed to produce more than 4 catches for the Lions to keep winning games. Suh made another stupid mistake that cost him a ton of money. The Cardinals looked good throughout the game against a good Rams defense and Carson Palmer seems to fit Bruce Arians’ offensive scheme. Their defense looked solid as well and they have talent that’ll surprise most. I think at home the Cardinals will take this one.

Jaguars @ Raiders (-6.0) – Money Line: Raiders —- Spread: Jaguars (+6.0)

The Jaguars looked historically bad. Gabbert is out (apparently with an injury) and Henne is in. Henne produced decent numbers last year while filling in for Gabbert. I like Maurice Jones-Drew this week against a bad Raiders defense, but it’s hard to expect much from the Jags’ offense. The Raiders looked surprisingly decent against the Colts in Indy on Sunday. Until the final drive where they turned the ball over, the Raiders looked serviceable. I like the Raiders here because of the elusiveness of Terrelle Pryor, but with Henne under center I don’t like them by more than 6, but I might change my take on this game.

Broncos (-5.0) @ Giants – Money Line: Giants —- Money Line: Giants (+5.0)

The Broncos looked scary on Opening Night as Peyton tossed seven touchdowns at Mile High. Their defense, even without Von Miller and Champ Bailey looked pretty solid against the defending champs. I am worried about what the Broncos are capable of this year in a division with zero defense. The Patriots record of points scored and Tom Brady’s touchdown record have been warned. The G-Men. Where to start? Six turnovers doomed the Giants on Sunday night and no team could recover from that. Except, the Giants almost had the game won before the last turnover. The defense looked good and held Dez Bryant to two catches. If David Wilson can fix himself and the line can protect Eli, the Giants could surprise people here with a win against Big Brother. These are the games the Giants always step up and win.

49ers @ Seahawks (-3.0) – Money Line: Seahawks —- Money Line: Seahawks (-3.0)

Could be one of the games of the year. The 49ers took down the Packers using Anquan Boldin last week at Candlestick. Kaepernick proved yet again he can toss the ball around with the best of them. The Niners defense, even giving up 28 points still looked like a bunch of studs. The Seahawks looked jet-lagged in Carolina and eeked out a 12-7 win. These are probably the two best teams in the NFL and they play in the same division. I can’t wait to sit down and watch this outright brawl as this rivalry has become grounded in their hatred and their physical play. I like the Seahawks at home. Remember last year’s game?

MONDAY

Steelers @ Bengals (-7.0) – Money Line: Bengals —- Money Line: Bengals (-7.0)

The Steelers’ offense looked as bad as the Jaguars’ did. Big Ben can’t stand in the pocket for more than four seconds and his receivers, maybe excluding Antonio Brown, are a bunch of B-listers and below. He will continue to struggle without his safety blanket in Heath Miller. The defense looked more fresh against the bad Titans’ offense, but they will truly be tested against a young Bengals offense. The Bengals lost a heart-breaker to the Bears last weekend in Soldier Field. The defense wasn’t able to get to Jay Cutler which is puzzling considering the front seven this team has. The defense and the offense are both solid units making this Bengals team my favorite to still take home the AFC North. This will be a physical game, but I like the Bengals even with the big spread.

siren

UPSET SPECIAL

My Upset Alerts for this week fall on the BroncosLions , Chiefs, Falcons and Panthers. All of these teams are favorites, three of which are on the road. Keep an eye on these games ladies and ‘gents.

tom-hanks-in-cast-away

SURVIVOR POOL

So last week I actually took the Colts and survived by the hairs on my chin (there are none right now). For this week the teams I like, depending on who you have chosen are:

  • PATRIOTS
  • RAVENS
  • COLTS
  • TEXANS
  • EAGLES

Good luck this week to all!

Week 1: Here We Go … Football!!! And It’s on Your Phone!

We are back … with a little bit of a change this year. This year I will be picking money line wins as well as picking with the spreads according to ESPN.com and see how good we really are here at Sports Gone HAM. The NFL off-season was torturous and filled with headlines, many for the wrong reasons, I’m looking at you Aaron Hernandez. We enjoyed a great season last season so let’s all hope for a continuation of last year’s success.

nfl-fan-map-Logo

THURSDAY

Broncos @ Ravens –  Money Line: Broncos  Spread: Ravens (+7.5)

Look for the revenge factor to kick in. Both defenses have huge changes with no Von Miller, Elvis Dumervil and Champ Bailey for the Broncos; while the Ravens have lost Danell Ellerbe, Ray Lewis and Ed Reed. Peyton Manning has a new play toy in Wes Welker and it’ll only help.

SUNDAY

Patriots @ Bills – Money Line: Patriots — Spread: Patriots (-11.0)

EJ Manuel gets his first NFL start against a defense that would let up a ton of points to a veteran quarterback, but he’s banged up and will have to try and keep up with Tom Brady. Brady’s offense is completely revamped and even the parts that aren’t (Gronk) are banged up. Look for Brady to put up pre-Moss and Welker numbers this year at least until Gronk is 100%. The Bills could make a playoff run in a weak AFC East if Manuel plays like last year’s rookies and Spiller emerges as a top 5 running back. Pats easy here.

Bengals @ Bears – Money Line: Bears —- Spread: Bengals (-3.0)

Toss-Up! I will be picking the Bengals to win the AFC North. There is a lot of talent on this team, but it will all rest on Andy Dalton’s shoulders (see Joe Flacco). The defense is star-studded and have added a true leader and enforce in James Harrison. The Bears lost their true leader on defense in Brian Urlacher, but gained something on offense in Martellus Bennett. The Bears also have a new head coach, whom is offensive minded in Marc Trestman and their fate will rely on whichever Jay Cutler appears every game.

Dolphins @ Browns – Money Line: Browns —- Spread: Browns (-1.0)

I think the Browns are going to be competitive this year and one reason is their defense. Their defense has become much improved and they also have a new head coach. Their most talented receiver is suspended for the first two games, but Jordan Cameron is coming on like a freight train right now and if Weeden can put it where these two guys can catch it, they could surprise some people. Let’s not forget Trent Richardson who runs harder than most. The Dolphins could also be sneaky good with the acquisition of Mike Wallace as long as he runs his routes and builds a rapport with Tannehill. If Tannehill comes along as many say he appears to be the Dolphins could finish second in the AFC East.

Raiders @ Colts – Money Line: Colts —- Spread: Colts (-10.5)

Andrew Luck is going to have a big year and now he has a real running back in Ahmad Bradshaw, assuming he stays healthy. On the other side we have the Raiders, yikes. Most people can’t name anyone besides Darren McFadden on the Raiders and that never spells well for a team. Terrelle Pryor will the start over weak-armed Matt Flynn, but he has almost no weapons in this offense. The Raiders seam to be on board the “Clowney Train”.

Vikings @ Lions – Money Line: Lions —- Spread: Vikings (+5.0)

Overachievers of 2013 vs. Underachievers of 2013. The Vikings will go as “All-Day Peterson” goes. If he can reach anywhere near his production level last year, Christian Ponder and his revamped receiving corps (looks good too) will have an easier time keeping up with teams. The Lions were the biggest disappointment of last season with the talent on their team. One of the most fierce front four will hound quarterbacks again this season, but the secondary is questionable. If Stafford can stay healthy he has a new toy in Reggie Bush who is still as dangerous as anyone in the open field.

Falcons @ Saints – Money Line: Saints—- Spread: Falcons (+3.0)

Sean Payton is back and I think he should have gotten a few votes for Coach of the Year last year. This offense will be running on all cylinders with him back and a healthy Jimmy Graham. However they still look awful on defense and that doesn’t bode well against a team that has added Steven Jackson to it now. Matt Ryan, Julio Jones, Roddy White, Tony Gonzalez and now Steven Jackson, good luck Rob Ryan. No Asante Samuel and a banged up Roddy … that spells trouble trying to keep up with the Saints offense.

Buccaneers @ Jets – Money Line: Buccaneers —- Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)

The Bucs didn’t add much on offense and their tight end position is ugly, but they have talent with Freeman, Jackson, Williams and Dougie. Their defense just snagged the Jets best defensive player through trade and are easily the best in their division and will be a solid squad. The Jets are a mess and Geno Smith will draw the start with little talent around him behind the same offensive line, probably worst, than Mark Sanchez was ducking behind last year. Rex Ryan’s last year how will they do. Everyone says they’re aboard the “Clowney Train”.

Titans @ Steelers – Money Line: Steelers —- Spread: Titans (+7.5)

To me the only thing that can save the Steelers this year is their defense, which has only gotten older. They drafted Le’veon Bell to keep their running game moving and keep that run first mentality going, but he is injured and that will rest on the backup Isaac Redman for now. Big Ben lost his favorite receiver in Mike Wallace and Heath Miller is also injured. The Titans are another team possibly boarding that “Clowney Train”. Chris Johnson has an improved line to run behind now, that could be dangerous for the rest of the league, but Jake Locker needs to take a step forward this year.

Seahawks @ Panthers – Money Line: Seahawks —- Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)

The Seahawks have talent all around on both sides even after Percy Harvin went down with a serious hip injury. Lots of experts are expecting big things from Russell Wilson this year after he shocked the world with his performance last season. Cam Newton took a step back last season with a ton of mistakes, but it appears they are trying to line him up under center much more this season, meaning we will get to see how much of a pure passer he really is. Jonathan Stewart is on the PUP list, which only hurts the offense, but the young linebacker core hopes to carry this defense.

Chiefs @ Jaguars – Money Line: Chiefs —- Spread: Jaguars (+4.0)

Andy Reid has a new job in Kansas City and so does Alex Smith. The only talent around him is Jamaal Charles and Dwayne Bowe, but if you look at Brian Westbrook and LeSean McCoy careers, Jamaal Charles could be in for a big year under Andy Reid. The defense might be at the middle of the pack at best. The Jaguars have some talent, just not at the most important position, quarterback. Gabbert is hurt even though he was named the starter and now Chad Henne will be put into action. The defense won’t look much better than the offense, but MJD has carried the load before.

Cardinals @ Rams – Money Line: Rams —- Spread: Cardinals (+4.5)

Both of the teams are sleepers for the NFC Playoffs, the only problem is the division they play in. Bruce Arians has taken over in the desert and has a quarterback who can throw it around the yard in Carson Palmer who had over 4,000 yards last year with the Raiders. Rashard Mendenhall has been added, but they pray he can stay healthy to put a little balance in Arians’ typically unbalanced offense. The Rams have talent everywhere and are sneaky good as long as Sam Bradford can stay healthy and Daryl Richardson can replace Steven Jackson to a certain extent.

Packers @ 49ers – Money Line: 49ers —- Spread: 49ers (-4.5)

Rematch of last season’s eye opener and then the playoff eye opener. The Packers defense didn’t get any better and their offensive line got worse because of injuries. Aaron Rodgers lost Greg Jennings, but gained Eddie Lacy, but sans the Giants the run game never worked against the 49ers last season. The Niners lost Michael Crabtree, but with a full offseason under his belt Colin Kaepernick could be improved. The Niners acquired an aging Anquan Boldin, but the rapport with Vernon Davis is apparently getting better.

Giants @ Cowboys – Money Line: Giants —- Spread: Giants (+3.0)

The Giants are 4-0 in Cowboy Stadium and I hate picking against Big Blue. The line is banged up and as usual so is the defense. David Wilson is receiving a lot of pressure without Andre Brown and Eli will have it all on his shoulders again. Tony Romo has the same talent around him on offense but maybe a healthy DeMarco Murray. It will ride on Tony Romo’s mistakes and how he lives up to his new big contract. He always seems to make the mistakes when most important and the Giants have the ‘Boys number right now.

MONDAY

Eagles @ Redskins – Money Line: Redskins —- Spread: Eagles (+3.0)

Vick vs RGIII. This will be exciting as hell with two meddling defenses and the implementation of a new system in Philly. Chip Kelly is here with his Oregon system, but without the Eagles best receiver it’ll be a tough go this year. RGIII is coming off an ACL Tear and Ron Jaworski has said he doesn’t look the same when stepping up and throwing. This is the biggest tough up of the week.

Texans @ Chargers – Money Line: Texans —- Spread: Texans (+3.5)

The Texans keep looking like the best team in the regular season and then getting kicked out of the playoffs while looking like a team that doesn’t belong. Arian Foster is healthy and Ben Tate seems appear to have a breakout season. The defense might be improved with the addition of Ed Reed if he can get healthy along with Brian Cushing. The Chargers are a mess. Rivers looks like his arm is depleted and their run game is confusing. Their defense might be able to keep them in some games, but their weapons on offense don’t instill any fear.

siren

UPSET ALERT 

I am putting the Broncos on Upset Alert … Deja Vu?? The Cowboys, the Bears and the Saints have also been warned.

tom-hanks-in-cast-away

SURVIVOR POOL PICK

This weeks top 3 picks are: Patriots, Colts and Texans.

Check back for this week’s recap!