Week 14: The One Before 15 …

FANTASY FOOTBALL PLAYOFFS!!!!

Smooth like Keith Stone !

THURSDAY

texansTexans @ Jaguars download – MONEY LINE: Texans — SPREAD: Texans (-2.5)

SUNDAY

chiefs  Chiefs @ Redskins png-19 – MONEY LINE: Chiefs — SPREAD: Chiefs (+2.0)

png-12 Vikings @ Ravens png-4 – MONEY LINE: Ravens — SPREAD: Vikings (+7.0)

png-23  Browns @ Patriots png-8 – MONEY LINE: Patriots — SPREAD: Browns (+10.0)

png-16Raiders @ Jets images – MONEY LINE: Jets — SPREAD: Raiders (+3.0)

png-17Colts @ Bengals png-14 – MONEY LINE: Bengals — SPREAD: Bengals (-5.0)

png-3 Panthers @ Saints saints – MONEY LINE: Saints — SPREAD: Panthers (+4.0)

png-13  Lions @ Eagles png-18 – MONEY LINE: Lions — SPREAD: Lions (+3.0)

png-22 Dolphins @ Steelers png-21 – MONEY LINE: Steelers — SPREAD: Dolphins (+3.5)

png-9 Bills @ Buccaneers png-6 – MONEY LINE: Buccaneers — SPREAD: Buccaneers (-2.5)

png-20  Titans @ Broncos broncos – MONEY LINE: Broncos — SPREAD: Broncos (-12.5)

rams Rams @ Cardinals png-10 – MONEY LINE: Cardinals  — SPREAD: Rams (+6.0)

png  Giants @ Chargers  chargers  – MONEY LINE: Chargers — SPREAD: Giants (+3.5)

png-2Seahawks @ 49ers 49ers – MONEY LINE: 49ers — SPREAD: Seahawks (+3.5)

falcons Falcons @ Packers packers – MONEY LINE: Packers — SPREAD: Falcons (+3.0)

MONDAY NIGHT

png-1 Cowboys @ Bears png-15 – MONEY LINE: Cowboys — SPREAD: Cowboys (-1.0)

BYEAHHHHH!!!!

BYEAHHHHH!!!!

UPSET ALERT

  • DOLPHINS
  • SAINTS
  • CARDINALS
  • 49ERS
  • COWBOYS

tom-hanks-in-cast-away

SURVIVOR POOL

  • PATRIOTS
  • BRONCOS
  • CHIEFS
  • RAVENS
Advertisements

NFL Picks Week 14, 1:00 o’clock games

 

Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5), O/U (41.5)

Miami is 0 and 2 since 1995 when they play the Steelers in Pittsburgh. The Dolphins have a 2-6 record in their last 8 games against Pittsburgh and are on a 5 game losing streak against the Steelers overall. Ben Roethlisberger seems to have a knack for winning games late in the season at home when they mean something and the Steelers are 18-6 ATS at home over the past 24 games.

Gonna go with Pittsburgh here to cover the spread.
Take the under 41.5.

Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots (-10), O/U (45)

New England plays every team tough at home and are coming in on a 5 game winning streak at home. The Browns are 1-4 against the Patriots in their last 5 meetings and are 1-4 against the spread versus the Patriots in their last 5 matchups. Cleveland is going off a tough loss to the Jaguars at home and now have to go on the road against a tough opponent in the Patriots.

Gonna take New England to cover the 10 point spread.
4 out of the past 5 games between Cleveland and New England have gone over the line. Gotta go with the OVER here.

Kansas City Chiefs at Washington Redskins (+2.5), O/U (44)

Kansas City and Washington have both not fared well against the spread in their last 6 games going just 1 and 5 ATS. Washington is on a 5 game losing streak against the Chiefs and haven’t covered the spread in those games either. With the Redskins struggling not looking to make the playoffs and Kansas City looking to get back on track against at team that head coach Andy Reid knows well, I expect this game to get oit of hand rather quickly.

Got to take the Chiefs to cover the 2 points.
Chiefs have gone UNDER the line in 14 of their past 20 games and Washington has gone UNDER the line in 8 of its past 12 at home. All signs pointing to the UNDER here.

Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5), O/U (53)

Detroit has gone under the line in 4 of their last six road games and the Eagles have also gone under the line in 5 of their past 6 homes games. Philadelphia is coming in hot and are 6 and 1 against the Lions at home in their past seven meetings. Detroit has covered the spread in the past two games against Philadelphia and with both teams looking to make a run at the playoffs its going to be a tight game. This game is going to come down to a field goal.

With that I’m going with the Eagles to win this one at home but the Lions WILL COVER the 2.5 point spread.
both defenses have been playing well of late which leads me to believe this is going UNDER the 53 point line.

Indianapolis Colts at Cincinnati Bengals (-5.5), O/U (44.5)

The Colts have beaten the Bengals 7 times in the last 8 meeting between the two and the Colts have covered the spread in those games 5 times. Cincinnati is just 2 and 6 against the spread when playing Indy at home in their last 8 meetings. The Bengals are coming off a 17 to 10 win over the Chargers in week 13 and they had their bye week during week 12. I think the Bengals are going to hit their stride this week and put up a bunch of points against the Colts defense through the air.

Take the Colts to cover the 5.5 in a low scoring game that will go UNDER the 44.5 point line.

Buffalo Bills at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5), O/U (41.5)

Truly a toss up here with two rookie quarterbacks going head to head and two pretty good defenses both against the run and pass. EJ Manuel is heading back to the state where he spent his college career and will have a bunch of fans there pulling for him and that will play a factor in this game. Tampa Bay is 5 and 1 in their last six home games against the Bills and the Bills haven’t cover the spread in their past 5 games in Tampa Bay.

Gonna go with the Bills to win this game covering that 2.5 point spread.
The Bucs and the Bills have both gone OVER the line in 6 out of the last 8 games. Take the OVER again here.

Oakland Raiders at New York Jets (-3), O/U (41.5)

The Jets have played better of late at home this season going 4 and 2 in their past 6 home games. and are also 4 and 2 in their past 6 games against the Raiders. The Raiders will be relying on Rashad Jennings with Run DMC out with an ankle injury against the leagues best run defense so expect Matt McGloin to be throwing the ball a lot against a Jets secondary that has been struggling.

Gonna take the Raiders to COVER the spread in a nail biter with the Jets sneaking out the win but by less than 3 points.
It’s going to be a fast paced game with a lot of drives that end with long touchdowns so I’ve gotta go with the OVER 41.5 point line.

Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers (-3), O/U (46.5)

Atlanta has really struggled this year but they have picked it up of late and I believe that Mike smith’s team will finish the season strong. Green Bay is good at home but they are still without Aaron Rodgers and have been struggling to find the endzone on offense. I think that will continue this week for Green Bay’s offense and the Packers defense will have to try to find pay dirt somehow and keep Matt Ryan at bay. I like the Falcons to upset the Packers here and get a much needed win in regulation by a touchdown.

Take the Falcons against the spread.
Gonna have to go with the UNDER, as I don’t expect much scoring from the Packers offense but their defense will keep the Falcons offense under 30 points.

Minnesota Vikings at Baltimore Ravens (-6), O/U (42.5)

The Vikings have been playing surprisingly well in the past two weeks getting a win versus Chicago and tying with the Packers the week before that. Both of those games went into overtime. We could attest that to Minnesota’s defense and Adrian Peterson. The Ravens know that the Vikings are going to give AP a lot of touches and will probably challenge the Vikings wide receivers to beat them on the outside. Matt Cassel should be able to take advantage of the play action and hit his receivers and tight ends down the field. Baltimore has played really well at home all season but they haven’t scored that many points at home.

Gonna take the Ravens here to COVER the 6 point spread getting the win by a touchdown over Minnesota.
But I’m going to take the OVER on this 42.5 point line with both teams scoring into the twenties.

Week 9: Fine Nines!

Last week we shaped up and went 10-3 in Money Line picks and 6-7 Against the Spread. Let’s keep the ball rolling. We missed the Thursday Night game so we will ignore that game to be fair. Here we go:

Watch the Dez Bryant tirade for yourself:

http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/nfl-shutdown-corner/dez-bryant-sideline-rant-line-watch-yourself-video-025747613–nfl.html

BYE WEEK: Broncos, Giants, Lions, Cardinals, 49ers, and Jaguars

SUNDAY

chiefs Chiefs @ BIlls  png-9 – MONEY LINE: Chiefs — SPREAD: Chiefs (-3.5)

The Chiefs still remain undefeated and get to face Jeff Tuel on the road. I would’ve seen this as a trap game if Thad Lewis was playing, but now the sledding will get a lot easier. C.J. Spiller needs to get healthy for the Bills to compete and so does E.J. Manuel.

png-12 Vikings @ Cowboys png-1 –MONEY LINE: Cowboys — SPREAD: Cowboys (-9.5)

The Vikings continue their awful ways and will keep Christian Ponder under center. They need to stop abandoning the run when they get down by two scores because it takes the ball out of the hands of their best player. The Cowboys lost another game in typical 2000s Cowboys fashion as Matthew Stafford won with one of the most headsup football plays I’ve ever seen. Dez Bryant exploded on the sidelines and got more bad press because of it. LEAVE DEZ ALONE!

png-20 Titans @ Rams  rams– MONEY LINE: Titans — SPREAD: Titans (-3.5)

Jake Locker and the Titans come off their bye to face the Kellen Clemens led Rams. The Rams put up a fight against the Seahawks on Monday Night with the performance of their defense mostly. The Titans lost their owner Bud Adams during their bye week and I expect the emotional victory here.

saintsSaints @ Jets images – MONEY LINE: Saints — SPREAD: Jets (+6.5)

The Saints are coming off a shellacking of the Bills at home and they will go outdoors in windy MetLife Stadium. Jimmy Graham still isn’t at 100 percent. The Jets are coming off a beating in Cincinnati and I expect a bounce back as the Jets seem to do this year.  Even though Rob Ryan will be dialing up blitzes to get Geno Smith off his game, but according to his inconsistency this year, Geno will have a good game.

chargers Chargers @ Redskins png-19 – MONEY LINE: Redskins — SPREAD: Redskins (-1.0)

The Redskins took a beating in Denver after being up 21-7 and then the Broncos offense started clicking. The Chargers are coming off their bye and travel east to play at 1 PM. I never like West Coast teams in this game even though the Redskins’ defense is horrible and Philip Rivers is playing much better this year and Keenan Allen has emerged as his go to receiver.

falcons Falcons @ Panthers png-3 – MONEY LINE: Panthers — SPREAD: Falcons (+7.5)

The Falcons are bad and were embarrassed by the Arizona Cardinals in Arizona last week. They are struggling with injuries especially those to their wide receivers. The Panthers have had a long week to rest up after bombing the Buccaneers on Thursday Night last week. The Panthers look like a complete team and get more dangerous as Jonathan Stewart comes back from injury.

png-18 Eagles @ Raiders  png-16MONEY LINE: Raiders — SPREAD: Raiders (E)

The Eagles looked bad once again against the Giants as Matt Barkley was rushed into the fire once again when Michael Vick pulled up limp with his hamstring injury again. Terrelle Pryot set an NFL record with his first quarter run last week against the Steelers’ defense that was easily fooled. This might be an ugly one as Nick Foles gets the start.

png-6 Buccaneers @ Seahawks png-2 – MONEY LINE: Seahawks — SPREAD: Buccaneers (+16.5)

The Bucs were embarrassed on Thursday Night by the Panthers as Mike Glennon looked lost against the Panthers, imagine how the Seahawks will make him look. The Seahawks escaped a scare on Monday Night against the Rams, but they did suffer a pretty big loss, Sidney Rice tore his ACL on Monday Night and there goes the teams real deep threat. They will rely heavily on Golden Tate and Doug Baldwin now as they await Percy Harvin’s return.

png-4 Ravens @ Browns png-23 – MONEY LINE: Ravens — SPREAD: Ravens (-3.0)

The Ravens are coming off their bye and John Harbaugh is a master after the bye, his Ravens have gone 5-0 since he took over. This team has lost two straight and now finds themselves 2 games back in the division but can make up ground with a win in Cleveland. Jason Campbell gave the Chiefs a scare last week and he needs to continue to feed his two best players in Josh Gordon and Jordan Cameron.

png-21 Steelers @ Patriots png-8 – MONEY LINE: Patriots — SPREAD: Steelers (+7.0)

The Steelers were humbled in Oakland last week after winning two games in a row and it appeared they were turning things around, but Terrelle Pryor’s legs had different ideas. The Patriots were getting run over by the Dolphins in the first half last week, but Joe Philbin thought it was a good idea to change the game plan leading to a comeback by the Pats. The Pats at home against a bad Steelers team, but without Aqib Talib and with Le’Veon Bell turning into a legit starting running back give me the points.

png-17 Colts @ Texans texans – MONEY LINE: Colts — SPREAD: Colts (-2.0)

The Colts suffered one of the biggest losses this year when they lost Reggie Wayne for the year. Keep Calm and Move On, Indy. The Colts are coming off their bye and so are the Texans. Case Keenum will be under center again for the Texans and that is why I am picking the Colts.

MONDAY

png-15 Bears @ Packers packers – MONEY LINE: Packers — SPREAD: Packers (-7.5)

The Bears come off their bye after losing Jay Cutler to a serious groin injury. Josh McCown will get the start against the Packers defense that seems to be hitting a stride even without their best player in Clay Matthews. The offense hasn’t missed a step without Randall Cobb and James Jones or even Jermichael Finley. This game might be close at first because of the old rivalry but I expect a blowout in the end.

tom-hanks-in-cast-away

SURVIVOR PICK

  • RAVENS
  • SEATTLE
  • COWBOYS
  • CHIEFS

siren

UPSET ALERT

  • PATRIOTS
  • COLTS
  • REDSKINS

Week 8: Calling all Favres … Calling all Favres

So the news broke earlier today that the St. Louis Rams, who recently just lost their starting quarterback to a torn ACL, reached out to retirement flirt Brett Favre. Please for the love of God don’t start this up again! I know he has said he is staying retired to all news outlets, but I also know they will still run with it. As many of you might have seen the injury bug bit the NFL pretty hard last week, as starting quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers all went down projecting to miss significant time or the rest of the season. These teams have to continue to push on just as we do with another so-so showing. 8-7 Money Line last week and Against the Spread we were 6-9 (better than the past few weeks!) Let’s jump into Week 8 and see where these injuries will take us:

alg-jenn-sterger-102910-jpg Brett-Favre-could-still-play-in-NFL-agent-says

BYE WEEK: Colts, Bears, Titans, Chargers, Ravens & Texans

THURSDAY

png-3 Panthers @ Buccaneers  png-6 – MONEY LINE: Panthers — SPREAD: Panthers (-6.0)

Thursday Night games have been pretty awful this year. The Panthers seem to be hitting an eye-brow raising stride, and it’s mostly because of their defense. The front seven is ferocious even after giving up Jon Beason and after all the injuries to the defensive backs. Cam Newton is connecting on 68% of his passes over their past three games. The Bucs let go of Freeman and Glennon has been serviceable but they are misusing their best defensive weapon in Revis by not allowing him to shadow opponents’ #1 receivers. I don’t like taking the Panthers against the spread, but I’m doing it.

SUNDAY

png Giants @ Eagles png-18 – MONEY LINE: Eagles — SPREAD: Eagles (-6.0)

The Giants got their first win of the season Monday Night, in the ugliest Monday Night game I have ever seen. Peyton Hillis averaged 2 yards per carry and Eli Manning only had 200 yards. The good news is the Giants didn’t lose the turnover battle. The Eagles put Foles behind the wheel and as I expected he did poorly and then he was concussed. The “high-powered” offense only mustered 3 points against the banged up Cowboys’ defense. Michael Vick returns under center unfortunately for the G-Men, but he may still be hobbled limiting his running plays. We will see.

png-1 Cowboys @ Lions png-13 – MONEY LINE: Lions — SPREAD: Cowboys (+3.5)

The Cowboys won an ugly on in Philly on Sunday. The defense looked much better against the Nick Foles-led Eagles. The Cowboys offensive line will be tested against the Lions defensive line. The most intriguing match-up is two guys who won’t be on the field at the same time at any point, Dez Bryant vs. Calvin Johnson. The Lions lost a heart-breaker at home to the Bengals last weekend even with Calvin Johnson’s monster line.

png-23 Browns @ Chiefs chiefs – MONEY LINE: Chiefs — SPREAD: Chiefs (-7.0)

The Browns are bad, even worse they benched Brandon Weeden for Jason Campbell. Joe Haden will shadow Dwayne Bowe, not that that matters since Bowe has been downright awful all year. Maybe the Browns are trying to save Brandon Weeden because Campbell will be under duress all day from the Chiefs. Alex Smith keeps his label as the “Game Manager of the Year”. The defense is what is winning the Chiefs these games, along with Jamaal Charles. Good Luck Mr. Campbell.

png-22 Dolphins @ Patriots png-8 – MONEY LINE: Patriots — SPREAD: Patriots (-6.5)

The Dolphins have dropped three straight and now head into Foxborough to face the ticked off Patriots. Gronkowski is healthy and Amendola should play, this offense is only going to get better now. Aqib Talib will be coming back and will mostly likely face off on Mike Wallace. Ryan Tannehill won’t stop turning the ball over after many thought this season would be one of progression, but his offensive line isn’t helping his cause.

png-9 Bills @ Saints saints – MONEY LINE: Saints — SPREAD: Saints (-12.5)

The Bills are coming off an upset of the Dolphins in Miami, but head into the Thunderdome. Thad Lewis is doing just fine under center filling in for E.J. Manuel. The Bills need Fred Jackson and C.J Spiller to get healthy, but Spiller might sit this week, which could help him get healthy quicker. The Saints are coming off their bye and might be without Jimmy Graham. Drew Brees will miss him, but it will be noticed. Drew Brees will handle his business and Rob Ryan will make life for the Bills hell.

49ers 49ers @ Jaguars download – MONEY LINE: 49ers — SPREAD: 49ers (+16.5)

The 49ers seem to be clicking on all cylinders. The Jaguars don’t seem to have any cylinders. I gave them a chance last week with all the possibilities of a trap game for the Chargers, but they are just too bad to capitalize on things like that. Now they head to London to face the 49ers who probably won’t take their foot off the throttle. However, I’m going to swallow the 16.5 points even though the London games usually don’t get ugly, I can’t trust the Jaguars.

imagesJets @ Bengals png-14  – MONEY LINE: Bengals — SPREAD: Jets (+6.5)

The Jets pulled off a miracle win at home against the Patriots. Geno Smith is due for his bad game as he seems to have one every other game. The Bengals got another road win against the high-powered Lions. Both defenses are going to make life hell for the opposing quarterbacks. I expect the Bengals to be in the backfield all day against the Jets, and I might be crazy picking the Bengals with the points.

png-21 Steelers @ Raiders png-16 – MONEY LINE: Steelers — SPREAD: (-2.5)

The Steelers have won two in a row as they have found a running game and their defense is getting healthy and is starting to click. The Raiders are coming off their bye and are going to have to protect their quarterback better than they did against the Chiefs when Pryor was sacked 10 times.  I expect Mike Tomlin to continue righting this ship that is the Pittsburgh Steelers, although it seems that Terrelle Pryor is becoming an NFL quarterback.

png-19Redskins @ Broncos broncos – MONEY LINE: Broncos — SPREAD: Redskins (+13.0)

The ‘Skins are coming off an exciting victory in Soldier Field against the Bears. The defense is still too leaky, but RGIII is rounding into form with his legs and his arm, and they seem to have a two-headed monster in Alfred Morris and Roy Helu. Jordan Reed will be an asset to this team going forward. Peyton lost his homecoming in Indy as he was outdone by Andrew Luck. Expect a lot of points in this one.

falconsFalcons @ Cardinals png-10 –  MONEY LINE: Falcons — SPREAD: Falcons (+2.5)

Matt Ryan found confidence in Harry Douglas and Harry Douglas played with a ton of it. If Roddy White can’t go it appears Steven Jackson is finally set to return and they need him. The Cardinals stunk it up against the best defense in the league on Thursday Night Football. The Cardinals stayed at home and the Falcons got a big divisional win as they look to stay alive.

packersPackers @ Vikings png-12 – MONEY LINE: Packers — SPREAD: Packers (-9.5)

The Packers found silver in Jarrett Boykin. Jermichael Finley suffered a scary injury and our prayers are with him for a speedy recovery. It doesn’t matter who Rodgers is throwing the ball to, he’ll get it done. Eddie Lacy is turning into the best Packers’ running back since Ahman Green. The Vikings are in trouble and AP is banged up. Josh Freeman was diagnosed with a concussion which means they are forced to turn back to Christian Ponder. Good Lucky keeping up with the Packers.

MONDAY

Seahawks @ Rams – MONEY LINE: Seahawks — SPREAD: Seahawks (+10.5)

The Seahawks embarrassed the Cardinals on Thursday night and will have eleven days off to face a Rams team that is forced to play Kellen Clemens. This will be an ugly one and I don’t expect anything less than a blowout. The Seahawks don’t usually play well on the road, but it doesn’t matter when your opponent is this bad.

siren

UPSET ALERT

  • BENGALS
  • STEELERS
  • CARDINALS
  • LIONS
  • BUCCANEERS
  • EAGLES

tom-hanks-in-cast-away

SURVIVOR PICK

  • 49ERS
  • PANTHERS
  • CHIEFS
  • PACKERS
  • SAINTS
  • PATRIOTS

Week 7: Unlucky Sevens?

The Broncos didn’t blow out the Jaguars and didn’t beat the spread. John Fox probably had money on that game, I mean honestly Peyton throws a pick-6 to the Jaguars? Don’t even get me started on the New York Football (but not really) Giants. Another above .500 week for the Money Line picks at 9-6, but this was my worst week for picks Against the Spread going 2-13. I don’t want to talk about it, but hey it happens.

robryan.gif.pagespeed.ce.UBOjv03tuN

THURSDAY

png-2Seahawks @ Cardinalspng-10– MONEY LINE: Seahawks — SPREAD: Cardinals (+4.5)

The Seahawks didn’t look that great against the Titans and that was at home, that’s the second week in a row the Seahawks haven’t looked like the top dog, but this could be a bounce back week. I never really like them on the road to beat the spread. Percy Harvin may be only a couple of weeks away from contributing to this team, which would make them even more dangerous. The Cardinals turned the ball over too much to compete against the Niners and Carson Palmer has not excelled as many expected in Bruce Arians’ offense.

SUNDAY

png-8Patriots @ Jetsimages – MONEY LINE: Patriots — SPREAD: Jets (+4.0)

The Patriots pulled off a stunner with five seconds left in regulation at home against the Saints. Rob Ryan was disgusted when his defense gave up the last second touchdown to Brady & Co. Aqib Talib, Rob Gronkowski and Danny Amendola (SHOCKER!) won’t be playing Sunday most likely. The biggest hit is Talib, and as you may remember he intercepted Geno Smith twice when they played in Week Two. The Jets stayed at home after losing an ugly one to the Steelers. Smith seems to play better every other game and he won’t have to face Talib, Wilfork and Mayo now. I like the Jets with the points at home.

chargers Chargers @ Jaguars download – MONEY LINE: Chargers — SPREAD: Jaguars (+7.5)

The Chargers stopped Andrew Luck from scoring a touchdown on Monday Night and the defense looked great, or was it the Colts’ play calling? No matter Philip Rivers looks like he’s refined himself and although he might not be the quarterback he used to be he has definitely matured into a leader and he has a new play-toy in Keenan Allen. The Jags are awful, but played up to the Broncos on Sunday in Denver. They will win a game at some point, but I don’t know when, but be warned. Call me crazy but the Chargers played on Monday Night and it’s a West Coast team coming to the East Coast, I smell a loss.

texansTexans @ Chiefs  chiefs – MONEY LINE: Chiefs — SPREAD: Chiefs (-4.5)

The Texans have now lost Matt Schaub to a gruesome ankle injury, and the Houston fans cheered. Seriously??? The Texans were embarrassed by the Rams 38-13 and another pick-6 was thrown by a Texans’ quarterback. Arian Foster looks rejuvenated, but he will have a tough test against the Chiefs’ defense allowing only 10.8 points per game. Alex Smith is showing why he has the label of a game manager, but Jamaal Charles looks like a typical Andy Reid running back and that defense is fierce coming off a ten sack game against the Raiders. Chiefs at home against the lowly T.J. Yates.

png-14  Bengals @ Lions  png-13 – MONEY LINE: Lions — SPREAD: Lions (-2.5)

The Bengals were up on the Bills and turned off the heat leading to a Bills comeback, but took it in overtime. The Bengals have been great on the road the past few years, but teams always seem to have trouble in Buffalo. The Lions exploded as Brandon Weeden handed away the game. The offense is getting better as Calvin Johnson is getting healthy and Stafford found himself a tight end in Joseph Fauria (WHO????!!!). I want to like the Bengals because of their away success, but it’s hard with Calvin Johnson and Reggie Bush healthy.

png-9Bills @ Dolphins png-22 – MONEY LINE: Dolphins — SPREAD: Bills (+10.5)

The Bills almost pulled off a stunner at home against a good Bengals team. Now they head to warmer weather to play the Dolphins coming off their bye. The Dolphins are getting Cameron Wake back, but might not have Dannell Ellerbe. Ten points is a lot to give a 3-2 team in a division game. I know the Dolphins will win and I would play their defense in fantasy leagues. Dolphins here but I don’t know about that spread.

png-15  Bears @ Redskins png-19 – MONEY LINE: Bears— SPREAD: Bears (E)

The Bears took advantage of more Giants’ turnovers on Thursday night and have had eleven days off to prepare for the ‘Skins. The bears defense is opportunistic and the offense is clicking. The Redskins defense is miserable, but played up to the Cowboys’ offense on Sunday Night on the big stage, but I expect Cutler and Brandon Marshall to have a field day. RGIII had more runs that made him look like himself as he is starting to heal even more, but the play calling and the clock management is simply horrendous. Bears here, but I smell an upset.

png-1  Cowboys @ Eagles  png-18 – MONEY LINE: Cowboys— SPREAD: Cowboys (E)

I don’t know why I picked them. Probably because of the talent on offense and how Nick Foles fell back to earth last year after a couple of good games, but this one’s a toss-up between the top two teams in the NFC East. Dez Bryant will feast on this bad Eagles’ secondary this weekend.

rams Rams @ Panthers   png-3 – MONEY LINE: Panthers — SPREAD: Rams (+6.0)

The Rams took it to the Texans as Sam Bradford only had to throw for 116 yards last week, but tossed three touchdowns. The Rams were the beneficiaries of bad Matt Schaub play. The Panthers took it to the Vikings as Matt Cassel kept turning the ball over. The Panthers are bipolar so don’t be surprised if they lose this one easily.

png-6  Bucs @ Falcons  falcons – MONEY LINE: Falcons — SPREAD: Bucs (+7.0)

The Bucs have yet to win a game. Are they due? Maybe. Mike Glennon has begun his tenure as the Bucs starting quarterback and he looked decent against the Eagles and things won’t get harder against the Falcons bad defense. Matt Ryan comes out of his bye and will not have Julio Jones, Roddy White and Steven Jackson. His offensive line is banged up and he can’t rely on his defense to keep opponents from scoring, so he is going to lean heavily on Tony Gonzalez, who came back for one last run at a title. So much for that!

49ers  49ers @ Titans png-20 – MONEY LINE: 49ers — SPREAD: 49ers (-4.5)

The 49ers housed the Cardinals last week at Arrowhead as Colin Kaepernick realized who his best receiver is, his tight end, Vernon Davis. They connected for 180 yards and two touchdowns as Vernon Davis showed us why everyone is always so high on him. The defense will enjoy this game against Ryan Fitzpatrick. When will the Kenny Britt saga end? Nobody knows, but what could they get in return for a guy who will be a free agent next year anyway?

png-23 Browns @ Packers packers – MONEY LINE: Packers — SPREAD: Packers (-10.5)

The Browns look a lot different and more turnover-prone with Weeden under center. They will probably be playing from behind most of the time so Josh Gordon and Jordan Cameron will keep producing numbers. The Packers lost Randall Cobb (out for 6-8 weeks) and James Jones both to injury, even though Jones might play this week. The Packers are going to rely more on Eddie Lacy now with those injuries, but he looks more than capable. Also one of the more underrated plays I have ever seen was Eddie Lacy going down before the end zone against the Ravens to waste the clock last week.

png-4 Ravens @ Steelers png-21– MONEY LINE: Ravens — SPREAD: Ravens (+1.5)

The Ravens looked ugly against the Packers last week, but are the better team here and are getting points. They need to get the ball in Ray Rices hands 20-25 times a game and we all know that. Their defensive front will be feasting on Big Ben all day. The Steelers got their first win against the bipolar Jets in MetLife Stadium. Big Ben needs to be kept upright and Leveon Bell needs to keep pushing the pile. This is the best rivalry in football right now even with the Steelers being 1-4.

broncos  Broncos @ Colts png-17 – MONEY LINE: Broncos — SPREAD: Colts (+7.0)

Bad win for the Broncos as they failed to embarrass the Jaguars at home. But Peyton Manning is coming back to Indy this week and Jim Irsay’s quotes have just made this more memorable. Andrew Luck is coming off one of his worst performances of his young career. Trent Richardson is not living up to that first round pick price they paid. This will be a great game to watch but a more memorable one for Peyton coming back “home”. Also Von Miller comes back, and his workouts were ridiculous while he waited for his suspension to end.

MONDAY

png-12 Vikings @ Giants png – MONEY LINE: Vikings — SPREAD: Vikings (+4.0)

Josh Freeman is starting after a week to get the playbook. Adrian Peterson will probably be running a muck in MetLife. The Giants are in shambles even coming off one of their best games of the year, a loss to the Bears. Brandon Jacobs looked like Jacobs circa 2007, but he hurt his hammy and they signed Peyton Hillis. Desperation moves. Reuben Randle and Eli Manning need to get on the same page otherwise the interceptions will keep mounting.

tumblr_mqddd18BB51r4atx9o1_500

UPSET ALERT

  • GIANTS
  • BRONCOS
  • PATRIOTS
  • PANTHERS
  • LIONS
  • CHARGERS

survivor-logo

SURVIVOR PICK

  • SEAHAWKS
  • PACKERS
  • 49ers
  • DOLPHINS

Week 6: Props to Those Still in Survivor Pools

So as the headline says, if you are still in your survivor pool, good for you! I was in two, find myself in a loser’s bracket in my big money one, but lost this past week thanks to the Atlanta Falcons (sucksters). At least I still have fantasy football, five leagues, I just finished off my second 5-0 week in a row as I am paying equal attention now to all teams, so WATCH OUT! Last week saw an improvement at 9-7 Money Line and  8-8 Against the Spread (.500 for the first time all year!) Let’s take a look at our Week 6 Matchups!

images

Bye Weeks: FALCONS, MIAMI THURSDAY

pngGiants @ Bears png-15– MONEY LINE: Bears — SPREAD: Giants (+8.0)

This is the worst season I have watched as a Big Blue fan, and now they will be without David Wilson. Everything that can go wrong has and the sledding won’t get easier against a Bears team that has dropped two straight games and get to play at home. The Bears looked bad against a surging Saints’ defense. Jay Cutler has to get the ball to Brandon Marshall more, but now Alshon Jeffery has solidified himself as an asset after his ridiculous Week 5 performance, which he was probably on Fantasy Football benches for. Again we use opening lines for each week:

SUNDAY

png-16Raiders @ Chiefschiefs – MONEY LINE: Chiefs — SPREAD: Raiders (+10.5)

Terrelle Pryor is coming into his own and looked good against the Chargers at home last week. The defense isn’t all that good, but Pryor can keep the team in games with his legs and apparently now his arm. The Chiefs survived a scare in Nashville last week against the Titans. The Chiefs still look like a complete team and their defense has become smothering under Andy Reid. Jamaal Charles will most likely have a field day against the Raiders.

png-18 Eagles @ Bucs png-6– MONEY LINE: Bucs — SPREAD: Bucs (+1.5)

The Eagles beat up on the bad Giants as Nick Foles had to come in and finish off the G-Men. Vick is banged up, yet he wasn’t even hit. The Bucs are coming off their bye and have now rid themselves of Josh Freeman and Mike Glennon will take control under center. I think this is the week they get their first win as Nick Foles will lead a fast-paced spread offense that he isn’t built for. The Bucs defense is still better than many and will most likely shot down an offense that without Vick lacks its second-best weapon.

packers Packers @ Ravenspng-4– MONEY LINE: Packers — SPREAD: Packers (-3.0)

The Packers won an ugly one in Green Bay last weekend against the Lions, but their defense showed up against the Megatron-less Lions. They shut down Reggie Bush and the Lions only scored a touchdown, but not without a price. Clay Matthews is out for at least a month with a fractured thumb. Rodgers will have to produce more with the defense now lacking its best pass-rusher. The Ravens are suffering because of Ray Rice’s inability to break tackles this year and put up Ray Rice numbers. If this continues, Joe Flacco will have to carry the load and a defense that is beginning to click will have to step up even more.

png-13 Lions @ Brownspng-23 – MONEY LINE: Lions — SPREAD: Lions (-2.5)

If Megatron plays this will stay, if he doesn’t I will come back and change this pick you have my word. The Lions looked horrible without the best WR in the league right now, that can’t continue they need to make something of their other players. The defense held up pretty well against Rodgers until the end of the game, but the sledding is easier against the Brandon Weeden led Browns. Hoyer is down and Weeden takes back over. They were 0-2 with Weeden under center, but he won in emergency work last week against the more banged-up Bills. Browns’ players have said they have instilled their confidence in Weeden and we will see how it plays out. Haden vs. Megatron would be fun to watch!

png-3 Panthers @ Vikingspng-12 – MONEY LINE: Vikings — SPREAD: Vikings (-2.5)

The Panthers looked awful and Cam looked scared last week against the Cardinals front seven. How is this team supposed to be taken seriously after performances like that??? The Vikings are coming off their big win in London and their bye week. Matt Cassel will be under center, but now Josh Freeman is in the picture. All I can think is Adrian Peterson and the wide receivers are thinking pick one and stick with him … as long as his name isn’t Christian Ponder.

ramsRams @ Texanstexans – MONEY LINE: Texans — SPREAD: Texans (-7.0)

The Rams beat the future 0-16 Jaguars … Congrats, guys! Now you play a real team that just took a beating at the hands of the 49ers. Last year the Texans took a beating from the Packers 42-24 (not as close as the score says), then they turned around and demolished the Super Bowl Champion Ravens 43-13 at home. The Rams offense is ugly and a mess right now even after scoring 34 on the lowly Jags. The Texans’ fans might be calling for Matt Scahub’s head but they have no better option right now, so suck it up!

png-21Steelers @ Jets images– MONEY LINE: Jets — SPREAD: Jets (+2.5)

This line has swapped as the Jets are now 2-point favorites. Geno Smith was calm under the 0 pressure he faced from the Falcons on Monday and he knocked tons of people out of Survivor Pools everywhere (hate you, Geno). The Jets defense is as solid as ever even without Revis, it’s mainly their front seven that’s supplanting their 3-2 record. The Steelers are as bad as the Giants, but they are hoping a steady run game will help them, but they still have no offensive line and they need to find a defensive groove, good luck with all that.

png-14 Bengals @ Bills  png-9– MONEY LINE: Bengals — SPREAD: Bengals (-7.5)

The Bengals played an ugly game with the Patriots in Cincy last weekend 13-6 with some good defense. The Bengals will get to feast on Thaddeus Lewis for the Bills as E.J. Manuel is going to miss over a month. They will also get Leon Hall back, sorry Thad. The Bills need to establish a run game with their two-headed beast in Spiller and Jackson. Thaddeus Lewis is most likely going to have to check down a lot to the running backs. The Bills always play up at home and I wouldn’t be shocked if they were in this game the whole way.

png-20Titans @ Seahawks png-2– MONEY LINE: Seahawks — SPREAD: Seahawks (-13.5)

The Titans fought with the Chiefs, but came up short at home. Now they travel to the Seattle to face a Seahawks team that lost a heart-breaker to the Colts in Indy last week. The defense will be angry after giving up 24 (one touchdown was scored on a blocked punt) to the Colts. The Titans defense is a quietly good unit, but Ryan Fitzpatrick will not be able to outmatch the Seahawks defense. Russell Wilson needs to gain some consistency this year for his team to take the next step, especially on the road.

download Jaguars @ Broncosbroncos – MONEY LINE: Jags (Not even a little funny?) — SPREAD: Broncos (-28.0)

The biggest spread in the history of the game. I will still take the Broncos who survived a scare against the Cowboys on Sunday. The Jags are turning back to Chad Henne because Gabbert is hurt … again. Peyton will keep the machine rolling against the Jags and hopefully “no Jags will be harmed in the making of this.” Avert your eyes Jaguar fans … all 10 of you.

png-10 Arizona @ 49ers 49ers – MONEY LINE: 49ers — SPREAD: Cardinals (+10.5)

The Cardinals defense was everywhere on Sunday and made Cam Newton pay. The defense will be just as ferocious against the 49ers. Colin Kaepernick continues to struggle this year as defenses are getting more and more after him. He still hit Vernon Davis on a touchdown pass, made mostly by Davis ridiculous 4.38 speed. The 49ers defense will be the reason they win this game, but the Cardinals’ defense is underrated as Cam Newton saw.

saintsSaints @ Patriotspng-8 – MONEY LINE: Saints — SPREAD: Saints (+2.0)

This will be a good one. Two teams with good defenses, when no one though they would have solid defensive units. The Saints are coming off a big win in Chicago, where Drew Brees was winless prior to Sunday. Brady & Co. are coming off an ugly loss to the Bengals where his touchdown streak was halted. One would expect the Patriots to bounce back and pounce the next opponent, but they face a really good Saints team. Gronk should be back and Danny Amendola actually didn’t get hurt last week. This is a toss-up.

png-19Redskins @ Cowboyspng-1 – MONEY LINE: Cowboys — SPREAD: Redskins (+4.5) The ‘Skins are coming off their bye. Their defense is really bad, but RGIII (not his legs) are keeping them in games or almost pulling off comebacks. Let’s see how healthy RGIII’s knee is after the off week. The Cowboys were in a shootout with the Broncos and lost on a crucial Tony Romo interception … SHOCKER! The pick wasn’t that bad and Danny Trevathan made an unbelievable play. Romo will look to turn it around against an easy feast in the Redskins’ defense.

MONDAY

png-17 Colts @ Chargers chargers – MONEY LINE: Colts — SPREAD: Colts (E)

Andrew Luck leads another furious comeback and takes down a Goliath. This kid is turning into an elite quarterback in front of our eyes. If they can get Trent Richardson going, watch out. The Chargers looked bad against the Raiders on Monday and this team is a story of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde. It all depends on how Philip Rivers performs, but expect Andrew Luck to put up a ton of points in this one. Todays_Special UPSET SPECIAL

  • PATRIOTS
  • STEELERS
  • VIKINGS
  • EAGLES
  • BEARS

survivor-logo SURVIVOR POOL

  • BRONCOS
  • CHIEFS
  • TEXANS
  • 49ERS

Week 5: Bring on the Byes

7-8 Money line for the week and against the spread we went 5-9-1… Another bad week unfortunately, but let’s delve into Week 5 as more byes have come into play with the Redskins, Minnesota, Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay all having their off week.

130923020135_Jacoby Jones 1280 usa today

THURSDAY

Bills @ Browns – MONEY LINE: Browns — SPREAD: Browns (-3.5)

Bills pulled off a shocker at home against the Ravens as their defense picked Flacco five times, The rookie quarterback-led Bills head to Cleveland where the Browns have rattled off two straight W’s with Hoyer under center now. The Browns defense will prove too much for EJ Manuel to handle.

SUNDAY

Chiefs @ Titans – MONEY LINE: Chiefs — SPREAD: Chiefs (-3.0)

The Chiefs kept Big Blue’s embarrassing season rolling as they routed them in Arrowhead. Now they head to Nashville to face a Titans coming off their own rout of a New York Team, Gang Green. The Titans lost Jake Locker for at least four weeks to a rib injury and now have to rely on Mr. Harvard, Ryan Fitzpatrick. I can’t believe this spread is only three.

Ravens @ Dolphins – MONEY LINE: Ravens — SPREAD: Ravens (+3.0)

Joe Flacco threw five interceptions and this team still almost won. Ryan Tannehill was embarrassed and constantly under duress during his Monday Night bout with the Saints’ defense. The Ravens will be ready to feast on a turnover-happy Tannehill and the Dolphins’ defense will be looking to avenge their performance against the Saints.

Jaguars @ Rams – MONEY LINE: Rams — SPREAD: Rams (+13.0)

The Jags are bad and playing for the first pick, easily demonstrated by them sticking by Blaine Gabbert. They have been monster underdogs in the two games preceding this one and are again big underdogs. I want to take the Rams, but with the way they’ve performed since pulling off a comeback win against the Cardinals, it makes it tough. Sam Bradford doesn’t have a better opportunity to put his offensive weapons on display than this game.

Patriots @ Bengals – MONEY LINE: Patriots — SPREAD: Patriots (+2.0)

Tom Terrific did this thing again on Sunday Night against the beat up Falcons’ defense. The Falcons offense only got really going in the fourth quarter as the Patriots are back to playing physical defense, but will now be without Vince Wilfork. The Bengals lost a bad game to the Browns away from home and are probably seething for that reason. I know the Bengals are very talented but Andy Dalton would have to beat Tom Brady on this night and I don’t see it.

Seahawks @ Colts – MONEY LINE: Seahawks — SPREAD: Seahawks (-3.0)

The Seahawks pulled off a miraculous comeback thanks to Matt Schaub and Richard Sherman, who play on two different teams. The Colts whooped the Jaguars, to put it nicely. People keep saying the Colts defense is underrated and we will see that get tested this week. We will also see how the Colts offense can hold up as the Seahawks get some of their premiere defenders back.

Lions @ Packers – MONEY LINE: Packers — SPREAD: Packers (-6.5)

The Lions took it to the Bears last week. The Packers were off and Lacy is coming back from his concussion. Expect a lot of points in this one. Rodgers will be on the money this week.

Saints @ Bears – MONEY LINE: Saints — SPREAD: Saints (E)

The Saints had their way with the Dolphins on Monday Night. Drew Brees is having fun this year and Rob Ryan has shocked the world by turning this defense around completely. The Bears almost had a last minute comeback against the Lions last week but came up short. Jay Cutler finally main some mistakes this year and it cost the Bears.

Eagles @ Giants – MONEY LINE: Giants — SPREAD: Eagles (+3.0)

I don’t want to talk about this game … but I have to. The Eagles offense was outdone completely by the Peyton Manning show. The Eagles question is their defense if the offense can’t score. The Giants are a mess and the season may be in the tubes already after four weeks if it wasn’t for their weak division. This team needs a run game and needs to keep Eli upright.

Panthers @ Cardinals – MONEY LINE: Panthers — SPREAD: Panthers (-2.0)

The Panthers are coming off their bye. The front seven is simply loaded and Jon Beason is getting healthy. The Cardinals beat a beaten Bucs team that has switched quarterbacks and may switch coaches soon. I don’t really like this pick with the Cardinals at home.

Chargers @ Raiders – MONEY LINE: Raiders — SPREAD: Raiders (+5.5)

The Chargers pulled off an upset at home beating the Cowboys. Philip Rivers looked decent again. The defense looked solid, but now Dwight Freeney is done for the year. Terrelle Pryor who has been surprisingly better than average this year will draw the start in a game that was moved to 11:35 ET from 4:35 thanks tot he Oakland A’s playoff game. I am going ballsy on this pick.

Broncos @ Cowboys – MONEY LINE: Broncos — SPREAD: Broncos (-6.0)

The massacres continue. Peyton Manning is toying with the league as he has yet to throw an interception. The Cowboys looked bad again against the Chargers last week. The ‘Boys have demoted Morris Claiborne and their defense does not look good, so their offense will have to keep up with Peyton & Co. against a stout Broncos’ defense.

Texans @ 49ers – MONEY LINE: 49ers — SPREAD: Texans (+7.0)

The Texans lost a heart-wrencher as Matt Schaub threw away their sure-fire 3-1 record to Richard Sherman. Arian Foster seems to be rounding back into form. The 49ers returned to beating up teams as they took it to the Rams last Thursday night. I like the 49ers because of the extra rest, but it should be close with the Texans’ defense knowing how to shut quarterbacks down.

MONDAY

Jets @ Falcons – MONEY LINE: Falcons — SPREAD: Falcons (-9.0)

The Jets looked horrible against the Titans. They have no hope this week as they will be without Stephen Hill and Santonio Holmes. The Falcons almost pulled off a comeback against the Patriots. The banged-up defense will be facing a banged-up offense. I expect a blowout in Atlanta.

siren

UPSET ALERT:

  • 49ERS
  • CHARGERS
  • DOLPHINS
  • BENGALS
  • SEAHAWKS

Forrest Gump front

SURVIVOR POOL PICK

  • RAMS
  • BRONCOS
  • FALCONS
  • CHIEFS

 

 

 

Week 3: Let’s not Overreact

12-4 Week 2 money line, against the spread we got better going 7-8-1 rather than 4-12 in Week 1. I’ll get better at the spreads, that’s a promise, but let’s keep the ball rolling on the money line picks ’cause we’re on fire. I will reiterate we make picks with spreads based on opening lines from Sundays before the respective week.

Off to Indy!!!

Off to Indy!!!

THURSDAY

Chiefs @ Eagles – Money Line: Eagles — Spread: Chiefs (+3.0)

The Eagles high powered offense was outmatched by Philip Rivers? The one weakness of the Eagles is what Chip Kelly fears the most, the offense sitting on the sidelines. If their opponent can dominate the time of possession then the Eagles could see a bunch of losses. The Chiefs defense is underrated after a solid showing against the Cowboys in Arrowhead. If Alex Smith can be the 13-3 Alex Smith from two years ago the Chiefs are headed to the playoffs.

SUNDAY

Texans @ Ravens – Money Line: Texans — Spread: Texans (+1.0)

The Texans keep needing late game comebacks and that will only work for so long. Ben Tate has been outplaying Arian Foster, but has only been getting about 25% of the snaps that the overused Foster has. I’m not saying Foster has lost a step after missing training camp and the preseason, but it wouldn’t be outrageous to think so. DeAndre Hopkins might be emerging as the second option behind Andre Johnson the Texans have always desired. The Ravens’ defense looked much better against the Browns last week, but the offense still looks off without many weapons. If they could get Ray Rice and Bernard Pierce on the field most of the time, they would be better off, but Rice might not play, tilting the scales.

Giants @ Panthers – Money Line: Giants — Spread: Giants (+2.5)

Eli Manning has 7 interceptions already and the G-Men have 10. Yikes. They haven’t looked like themselves, their pass rush can get no pressure leaving their somewhat surprisingly deep corners out on islands. The Giants need to give the ball to David Wilson and get over the fumbles, it’s time to turn the corner on it. They need to right this ship. Cam Newton and the Panthers seemed to find a stride somewhat against the Bills. We will see how the talent-less offense responds against the Giants’ defense at home. The Panthers front seven is surprisingly good, like the Giants on the road as dogs.

Rams @ Cowboys – Money Line: Cowboys — Spread: Rams (+3.5)

The Rams played catch-up and almost completed the comeback against the Falcons last week. The defense is probably seething after that embarrassing first half, which is bad for Tony Romo. I will repeat the Rams have speedsters all over the field on offense, so watch out Cowboys. The ‘Boys looked real good in the first quarter, especially the connection of Romo and Dez Bryant, but they strayed away from Bryant in the second half, leading to a bad loss. They will look to rebound in Jerry’s World, but don’t expect the run game to get going against this front seven.

Chargers @ Titans – Money Line: Titans— Spread: Chargers (+3.0)

The Chargers shocked the world with their first half performance against the Texans on MNF opening weekend. Then, they froze hell over and beat the Chip Kelly Eagles in Philly. Philip Rivers looked like vintage Philip Rivers, which is something we shouldn’t count on every week. With no run game and few weapons on offense the Chargers will have trouble finding more wins, but might not be hard pressed to find one in Nashville. Nothing to say about the Titans, except their in trouble with an unhappy Kenny Britt. The biggest challenge for the Chargers is the fact they traveled to Philly, back to San Diego, only to come back to Tennessee.

Buccaneers @ Patriots – Money Line: Patriots — Spread: Buccaneers (+7.5)

The Bucs look bad, but played the hell out of the Saints. Josh Freeman is in the doghouse of Greg Schiano and probably won’t find his way out until he starts winning some games. Darrelle Revis appeared to be there as well, but he claims they have smoothed things out. The Bucs’ defense isn’t their problem it’s the offense, but that’s the problem the Pats have right now. Tom Brady has looked pedestrian through the first two weeks and I doubt it will continue when Gronk comes back, but that probably won’t be this weekend. The defenses will keep this game close.

Browns @ Vikings – Money Line: Vikings — Spread: Vikings (-3.0)

Well this is awkward. The Browns have traded away their best player and are back into a rebuilding mode after having hopes for two games? Their defense has held up their side, but the offense has not been able to get going and won’t find any more success with Richardson gone (they have replaced him with Willis McGahee) and Brian Hoyer starting now. Adrian Peterson is salivating at the thought of his Vikings competing in a game, which results in more carries for him. Expect a heavy workload for Purple Jesus this week, but this team might need to turn the page on Christian Ponder soon.

Packers @ Bengals – Money Line: Packers — Spread: Packers (+1.5)

The Packers looked like the Packers of two years ago scoring in bunches against the Redskins last week. Rodgers looked like his MVP self and his weapons are pretty solid yet again. James Starks filled in quite nicely for Eddie Lacy as he was knocked out with a concussion (no pun intended). Their defense allowed the Redskins to make a game out of it, but shouldn’t find too much trouble against the Andy Dalton led Bengals. The Bengals defense had their way with the Steelers and Big Ben. The offense struggled yet again at the hands of Andy Dalton. All of his down-field passes seem to go out of bounds. I like the Packers offense to outrun the defense of the Bengals.

Lions @ Redskins – Money Line: Redskins — Spread: Redskins (-2.5)

The Lions lost a heart-breaker to the Cardinals in Arizona last week and now have to travel back to Washington to face an 0-2, but hungry Redskins team. Calvin Johnson exploded again on Patrick Peterson in a losing effort, while Reggie Bush came out of the game all banged up, but Joique Bell has and would fill in nicely. RGIII has not been called upon to run, but now every media outlet is saying that’s why the Redskins keep losing. We will see how the game planning has changed over the past week, but expect him to stay in the pocket a lot and sling the ball around against a bad Lions defense. This should be a shootout.

Cardinals @ Saints – Money Line: Saints — Spread: Cardinals (+7.5)

The Cardinals eeked out a late win after losing a late on against the Rams in Week One. Carson Palmer is having fun with this new offense he is playing under, but Larry Fitzgerald’s injury will not benefit him. The Cardinals defense is a solid unit, but I don’t know if they can stick with the Saints. The Saints defense has looked better, but now they just lost Patrick Robinson and are very thin every where on defense. Drew Brees will explode sooner or later, and might be in for a big game at home, but I’ll take the 7.5 points considering the Cards also play in a dome.

Falcons @ Dolphins – Money Line: Falcons — Spread: Falcons (+1.5)

Steven Jackson won’t play this week and nobody knows when he will be back, but that means Matt Ryan gets to have fun. The Falcons are 1-1 after losing a heart-breaker at the Thunderdome, but face another tough defense like last week against the Rams. The Falcons are getting thinner on the defensive side after losing Sean Witherspoon to the I.R. The Dolphins are surprisingly 2-0, having beaten the Browns and the offensive line-less Colts in Indy. Ryan Tannehill has looked improved and Lamar Miller looked better last week and will look good against a bad Falcons defense again this week. If Tannehill and Mike Wallace continue to build their rapport, this team could sneak into the playoffs.

Bills @ Jets – Money Line: Jets — Spread: Bills (+2.5)

The Bills inched out an exciting win at home last week. Now they face what’s turning into a typical Rex Ryan defense at MetLife Stadium. Stevie Johnson and Robert Woods are already on the same page as E.J. Manuel, spelling trouble for opposing defenses, especially if C.J. Spiller can get into the open field. The Bills defense just needs to stand its ground. The Jets lost an ugly one to the Patriots on Thursday Night in Foxborough. Geno Smith cannot keep making the mistakes he was baited into by Bill Belichick. The defense is how I’m going to make this pick.

Jaguars @ Seahawks – Money Line: Seahawks — Spread: Seahawks (-16.5)

The line has been at 20 as well, and I still would’ve taken it. The Jags look like the cream of the crap so far, and might be without Maurice Jones-Drew, good luck with that Jacksonville! The Seahawks had their way with the 49ers yet again last week even with Russell Wilson’s poor performance. The Seahawks might send out the backups after the third quarter in this one.

Colts @ 49ers – Money Line: 49ers — Spread: Colts (+10.5)

Post-Trent Richardson Trade this line has moved only half a point to a point. The Colts merely gave up a first round pick (most likely in the 20s) to get the former #3 pick overall from the Browns. They have massively upgraded their running back, but their line still sucks. Andrew Luck will now have a new play toy and a great 1-2 punch in Richardson and Bradshaw. The Niners were embarrassed on national television and I don’t think they liked it. I see them embarrassing the Colts to save face, but garbage time will see this game get closer.

Bears @ Steelers – Money Line: Bears — Spread: Bears (-1.0)

When a road team is favored, it’s never good for the home team. The Steelers can’t get much going on offense except from their speedy receivers on dink and dunk passes. The Steelers kept attempting to go to Jerrico Cotchery on Monday Night, which left me wondering what was Todd Haley smoking in Cinci. Their offensive line is horrendous and will struggle against a good Bears’ defense. The Bears offense pulled out a victory in the last seconds of their 31-30 win against the Vikings. The defense will have a better game against the mostly talent-less Steelers’ offense.

MONDAY

Raiders @ Broncos – Money Line: Raiders (just kidding, Broncos) — Spread: Broncos (-15.5)

CharlesWoodsonTackle_original

Charles Woodson made one of the best tackles I’ve ever seen on MJD last week to save a touchdown, but that’s all I can say about that game. Good luck, Raiders! Peyton Manning and the Broncos went into MetLife Stadium and dismantled the Giants and little brother Eli. The Broncos are firing on all cylinders already and Knowshown Moreno looks good right now and expect a lot of carries from him as the Broncos will be up early and often here. I can see the game finishing closer than expected because it is Monday Night Football after all.

siren

UPSET ALERT

This week I am putting the Dolphins, Panthers, Bengals, Titans and Redskins on Upset Alert. I know it’s a lot of teams but one of the most beloved things about the NFL is the parity every year.

tom-hanks-in-cast-away

SURVIVOR PICK

This week let’s just say take the

  • Seahawks
  • Broncos
  • Vikings

No need to look at anyone else, the Vikings could lose, but the Browns will look bad this week.

Week 2: Aftermath of Week 1

kaephit

RIP Kaep … Ouch-town Population you, Bro! (Pepper Brooks)

What did we look like after Week 1 you ask? Taking a look at the money line Sports Gone HAM went a solid 11-5, but against the spread we were a truly disappointing 4-10-2 (pushes). We will get better on the spreads, but it is the first time we are trying and Week 1 saw some head-scratchers. Let’s get into week one and reflect on some injuries and Week 1 games during each match-up:

THURSDAY

Jets @ Patriots (-12.0) – Money Line: Patriots —- Spread: Jets (+12.0)

The Pats are hurting on offense and it showed last weekend. Stevan Ridley has struggled to hold onto the ball ever since the playoffs last season and now Shane Vereen, his talented backup, is out until at least Week 10. Danny Amendola is not expected to play and they are still missing Gronk. It looks like Thompkins and Edelman will be the one-two punch. The Jets pulled a win out of nowhere last Sunday as Geno Smith scrambled out of bounds and was inexplicably pushed out of bounds by Lavonte David. The Jets defense looked solid as usual last weekend, but the offense looked somewhat anemic in Smith’s first start. He did show some maturity throughout the game taking some sacks and not making horrible throws. I like their defense to keep this game somewhat close.

SUNDAY

Chargers @ Eagles (7.5) – Money Line: Eagles —- Spread: Eagles (-7.5)

The Chargers had an epic collapse with only twenty minutes to go in their Monday Night Football game against the Houston Texans. From what I saw in the first half, Philip Rivers looked pretty good and crisp after an off-season where his possible regression was called into question. The second half happened and it looked like the critics could be right, but only time will tell. The Eagles fumbled the ball on a questionable call their first drive, but dominated after that. They ran 53 plays in the first half with their new Oregon offense and looked sharp. They play fast because that’s what their top three guys have, speed and lots of it (Vick, Jackson and McCoy). Look for the Eagles to tire out the Chargers and coast in the second half.

Browns @ Ravens (-6.5)  – Money Line: Ravens —- Spread: Ravens (-6.5)

The Browns looked lost at home against the Dolphins. Besides Jordan Cameron, Trent Richardson is the best receiving option and he lines up in the backfield. The Ravens defense will be angry after being embarrassed, man-handled, torched and simply run off the field by the Broncos and Peyton’s seven touchdowns on Opening Night. The Ravens offense was average with a lack of talent in their receiving corps as well. Marlon Brown seems like he might make a nice addition in the slot, but Torrey Smith can’t man the outside by himself. This will be interesting and even though I think 6.5 is a lot of points, I still go Ravens at home.

Titans @ Texans (-9.0) – Money Line: Texans —- Spread: Texans (-9)

The Titans looked good, but that was against a really bad offense that calls its home Pittsburgh. That line is horrific and made the Titans defense look like … well the Steelers’ defense. Chris Johnson found some lanes against a stout run defense, but his sledding won’t get easier against the tough Texans defense. The Texans looked disastrous in the first half against the Chargers, but turned into the AFC South champs in the second half. Andre Johnson did his Andre Johnson thing and broke 100 yards as Matt Schaub abused him in the target area. Arian Foster looked a little rusty and Ben Tate looked poised to take over when he could. Gary Kubiak said they might need to split the carries more evenly if this keeps up. I still like Texans giving the 9.

Dolphins @ Colts (-3.0) – Money Line: Colts —- Spread: Colts (-3.0)

The Dolphins beat a bad looking Browns team while leaving their most talented player on offense out of the equation, which left him pretty upset with the coaching staff. Mike Wallace needs to be given the ball because he’s a play-maker, and if their run game can’t get going he has the talent to make something out of nothing. The Colts looked flat for some reason against a bad Oakland defense. The Colts line still isn’t the best and their run game is at the bottom of the pack. If Ahmad Bradshaw can’t overtake Vic Ballard, it could mean more passes for Andrew Luck each game. At home I like the Colts

Panthers (-3.0) @ Bills – Money Line: Bills —- Spread: Bills (+3.0)

The Panthers front seven looked great against a great run team in the Seahawks. However, that team had traveled from the other corner of the country and played at 1 P.M. and I don’t care who you are, that’s never easy. The Panthers offense looked horrendous against a great defense, so try and get a read on that one. The Bills looked pretty good against the Patriots and took them to the wire, but couldn’t finish the job. E.J. Manuel had a couple of nice throws, but his defense couldn’t hold up against Tom and the Pats beat-up offense. I like the Bills at home.

Rams @ Falcons (-7.0) – Money Line: Falcons —- Spread: Rams (+7.0)

The Rams came roaring back against the Cardinals and used “Legatron” to cap off the come from behind victory. Bradford looked better than the past few years behind a revamped offensive line featuring newly acquired Jake Long. He has explosive weapons all over the field, Richardson, Austin, Givens, and Cook and he seems to be hitting it off with all. The defense is underrated and can get in the backfield as well as force turnovers. The Falcons are coming off a heart-breaker against their arch-rival Saints. Their defense played better than anyone expected with Asante Samuel, but their offense looked nothing like last years with Roddy White being banged up. I want to pick the Falcons, but their defense and the speed around Bradford worry me.

Redskins @ Packers (-7.0) – Money Line: Packers —- Spread: Redskins (+7.0)

RGIII looked rusty, but then he settled in against the Eagles defense. Alfred Morris did not look like himself on a very costly fumble, and the defense was tired after the Eagles ran their up-tempo offense. The defense will need to shore up against Rodgers and the Pack to have a shot. The P ackers put up a good fight against the reigning NFC Champions, but simply couldn’t put a cap on the Kaep. Their secondary was lit up by the likes of Anquan Boldin and Vernon Davis, which makes RGIII feel confident. The Pack tried to establish the run game while airing it out with Rodgers. They have a good fit in Lacy and he likes what he saw from McCoy’s performance on Monday night I’m Sure.

Cowboys @ Chiefs (-2.5) – Money Line: Cowboys —- Spread: Cowboys (+2.5)

The Cowboys defense looked great forcing 6 turnovers against the Giants, but the offense was unable to capitalize on each turnover as the Giants were on the verge of a comeback until the final turnover did them in. Tony Romo suffered bruise ribs after getting finally hit by the Giants defensive linemen. The Cowboys still looked like the better team on Sunday and could be a force with all their talent if they can get the offense really flowing. The Chiefs looked well-rounded, but that was against the lowly Jaguars. The defense forced turnovers and got into the backfield, which could help against the Cowboys O-Line. Their defense will need to perform up to better standards to stop the Cowboys offensive weapons. I like the ‘Boys here even with Dez Bryant injured.

Vikings @ Bears (-6.0) – Money Line: Bears —- Spread: Bears (-6.0)

The Vikings pass game is going to be a problem for a while unless someone can teach Christian Ponder how to be an NFL quarterback. As was the case last year, Adrian Peterson will face a lot of “full box” situations because most teams want leave the game in Ponder’s hands. The Vikings corners looked good last week shutting down Calvin Johnson, but the whole defense was embarassed by probably the most dangerous open field player in the NFL in Reggie Bush. The Bears withstood a tough test from the Bengals last week and somehow Jay Cutler did not take a sack. Brandon Marshall and Cutler are on a whole other level right now. Their defense isn’t the same without Urlacher and Tillman was abused by AJ Green, but the Vikes don’t have that type of outside weapon so Bears here.

Saints (-3.5) @ Buccaneers – Money Line: Saints —- Spread: Saints (-3.5)

The Saints defense stopped the Falcons. Say what? The Saints offense looked pretty good with Sean Payton back, but they can definitely do more. Just wait till they hit their stride, but their defense will leak and won’t hold teams to 17 very often to be honest. The Bucs lost in shocking fashion. Their defense looked good with the addition of Revis, but the offense looked lost. Josh Freeman is in a make or break year, his contract year, and he has weapons that most quarterbacks would thrive with. They need to fix his focus otherwise it’ll be another long season to the team with pewter helmets. Saints here.

Lions (-1.0) @ Cardinals – Money Line: Cardinals —- Spread: Cardinals (1.0)

The Lions newest offensive toy looked fantastic against the Vikings; however, they can’t rely on Reggie Bush to beat better teams like the Arizona Cardinals. Calvin Johnson will needed to produce more than 4 catches for the Lions to keep winning games. Suh made another stupid mistake that cost him a ton of money. The Cardinals looked good throughout the game against a good Rams defense and Carson Palmer seems to fit Bruce Arians’ offensive scheme. Their defense looked solid as well and they have talent that’ll surprise most. I think at home the Cardinals will take this one.

Jaguars @ Raiders (-6.0) – Money Line: Raiders —- Spread: Jaguars (+6.0)

The Jaguars looked historically bad. Gabbert is out (apparently with an injury) and Henne is in. Henne produced decent numbers last year while filling in for Gabbert. I like Maurice Jones-Drew this week against a bad Raiders defense, but it’s hard to expect much from the Jags’ offense. The Raiders looked surprisingly decent against the Colts in Indy on Sunday. Until the final drive where they turned the ball over, the Raiders looked serviceable. I like the Raiders here because of the elusiveness of Terrelle Pryor, but with Henne under center I don’t like them by more than 6, but I might change my take on this game.

Broncos (-5.0) @ Giants – Money Line: Giants —- Money Line: Giants (+5.0)

The Broncos looked scary on Opening Night as Peyton tossed seven touchdowns at Mile High. Their defense, even without Von Miller and Champ Bailey looked pretty solid against the defending champs. I am worried about what the Broncos are capable of this year in a division with zero defense. The Patriots record of points scored and Tom Brady’s touchdown record have been warned. The G-Men. Where to start? Six turnovers doomed the Giants on Sunday night and no team could recover from that. Except, the Giants almost had the game won before the last turnover. The defense looked good and held Dez Bryant to two catches. If David Wilson can fix himself and the line can protect Eli, the Giants could surprise people here with a win against Big Brother. These are the games the Giants always step up and win.

49ers @ Seahawks (-3.0) – Money Line: Seahawks —- Money Line: Seahawks (-3.0)

Could be one of the games of the year. The 49ers took down the Packers using Anquan Boldin last week at Candlestick. Kaepernick proved yet again he can toss the ball around with the best of them. The Niners defense, even giving up 28 points still looked like a bunch of studs. The Seahawks looked jet-lagged in Carolina and eeked out a 12-7 win. These are probably the two best teams in the NFL and they play in the same division. I can’t wait to sit down and watch this outright brawl as this rivalry has become grounded in their hatred and their physical play. I like the Seahawks at home. Remember last year’s game?

MONDAY

Steelers @ Bengals (-7.0) – Money Line: Bengals —- Money Line: Bengals (-7.0)

The Steelers’ offense looked as bad as the Jaguars’ did. Big Ben can’t stand in the pocket for more than four seconds and his receivers, maybe excluding Antonio Brown, are a bunch of B-listers and below. He will continue to struggle without his safety blanket in Heath Miller. The defense looked more fresh against the bad Titans’ offense, but they will truly be tested against a young Bengals offense. The Bengals lost a heart-breaker to the Bears last weekend in Soldier Field. The defense wasn’t able to get to Jay Cutler which is puzzling considering the front seven this team has. The defense and the offense are both solid units making this Bengals team my favorite to still take home the AFC North. This will be a physical game, but I like the Bengals even with the big spread.

siren

UPSET SPECIAL

My Upset Alerts for this week fall on the BroncosLions , Chiefs, Falcons and Panthers. All of these teams are favorites, three of which are on the road. Keep an eye on these games ladies and ‘gents.

tom-hanks-in-cast-away

SURVIVOR POOL

So last week I actually took the Colts and survived by the hairs on my chin (there are none right now). For this week the teams I like, depending on who you have chosen are:

  • PATRIOTS
  • RAVENS
  • COLTS
  • TEXANS
  • EAGLES

Good luck this week to all!