NFL Picks Week 14, 1:00 o’clock games

 

Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5), O/U (41.5)

Miami is 0 and 2 since 1995 when they play the Steelers in Pittsburgh. The Dolphins have a 2-6 record in their last 8 games against Pittsburgh and are on a 5 game losing streak against the Steelers overall. Ben Roethlisberger seems to have a knack for winning games late in the season at home when they mean something and the Steelers are 18-6 ATS at home over the past 24 games.

Gonna go with Pittsburgh here to cover the spread.
Take the under 41.5.

Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots (-10), O/U (45)

New England plays every team tough at home and are coming in on a 5 game winning streak at home. The Browns are 1-4 against the Patriots in their last 5 meetings and are 1-4 against the spread versus the Patriots in their last 5 matchups. Cleveland is going off a tough loss to the Jaguars at home and now have to go on the road against a tough opponent in the Patriots.

Gonna take New England to cover the 10 point spread.
4 out of the past 5 games between Cleveland and New England have gone over the line. Gotta go with the OVER here.

Kansas City Chiefs at Washington Redskins (+2.5), O/U (44)

Kansas City and Washington have both not fared well against the spread in their last 6 games going just 1 and 5 ATS. Washington is on a 5 game losing streak against the Chiefs and haven’t covered the spread in those games either. With the Redskins struggling not looking to make the playoffs and Kansas City looking to get back on track against at team that head coach Andy Reid knows well, I expect this game to get oit of hand rather quickly.

Got to take the Chiefs to cover the 2 points.
Chiefs have gone UNDER the line in 14 of their past 20 games and Washington has gone UNDER the line in 8 of its past 12 at home. All signs pointing to the UNDER here.

Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5), O/U (53)

Detroit has gone under the line in 4 of their last six road games and the Eagles have also gone under the line in 5 of their past 6 homes games. Philadelphia is coming in hot and are 6 and 1 against the Lions at home in their past seven meetings. Detroit has covered the spread in the past two games against Philadelphia and with both teams looking to make a run at the playoffs its going to be a tight game. This game is going to come down to a field goal.

With that I’m going with the Eagles to win this one at home but the Lions WILL COVER the 2.5 point spread.
both defenses have been playing well of late which leads me to believe this is going UNDER the 53 point line.

Indianapolis Colts at Cincinnati Bengals (-5.5), O/U (44.5)

The Colts have beaten the Bengals 7 times in the last 8 meeting between the two and the Colts have covered the spread in those games 5 times. Cincinnati is just 2 and 6 against the spread when playing Indy at home in their last 8 meetings. The Bengals are coming off a 17 to 10 win over the Chargers in week 13 and they had their bye week during week 12. I think the Bengals are going to hit their stride this week and put up a bunch of points against the Colts defense through the air.

Take the Colts to cover the 5.5 in a low scoring game that will go UNDER the 44.5 point line.

Buffalo Bills at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5), O/U (41.5)

Truly a toss up here with two rookie quarterbacks going head to head and two pretty good defenses both against the run and pass. EJ Manuel is heading back to the state where he spent his college career and will have a bunch of fans there pulling for him and that will play a factor in this game. Tampa Bay is 5 and 1 in their last six home games against the Bills and the Bills haven’t cover the spread in their past 5 games in Tampa Bay.

Gonna go with the Bills to win this game covering that 2.5 point spread.
The Bucs and the Bills have both gone OVER the line in 6 out of the last 8 games. Take the OVER again here.

Oakland Raiders at New York Jets (-3), O/U (41.5)

The Jets have played better of late at home this season going 4 and 2 in their past 6 home games. and are also 4 and 2 in their past 6 games against the Raiders. The Raiders will be relying on Rashad Jennings with Run DMC out with an ankle injury against the leagues best run defense so expect Matt McGloin to be throwing the ball a lot against a Jets secondary that has been struggling.

Gonna take the Raiders to COVER the spread in a nail biter with the Jets sneaking out the win but by less than 3 points.
It’s going to be a fast paced game with a lot of drives that end with long touchdowns so I’ve gotta go with the OVER 41.5 point line.

Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers (-3), O/U (46.5)

Atlanta has really struggled this year but they have picked it up of late and I believe that Mike smith’s team will finish the season strong. Green Bay is good at home but they are still without Aaron Rodgers and have been struggling to find the endzone on offense. I think that will continue this week for Green Bay’s offense and the Packers defense will have to try to find pay dirt somehow and keep Matt Ryan at bay. I like the Falcons to upset the Packers here and get a much needed win in regulation by a touchdown.

Take the Falcons against the spread.
Gonna have to go with the UNDER, as I don’t expect much scoring from the Packers offense but their defense will keep the Falcons offense under 30 points.

Minnesota Vikings at Baltimore Ravens (-6), O/U (42.5)

The Vikings have been playing surprisingly well in the past two weeks getting a win versus Chicago and tying with the Packers the week before that. Both of those games went into overtime. We could attest that to Minnesota’s defense and Adrian Peterson. The Ravens know that the Vikings are going to give AP a lot of touches and will probably challenge the Vikings wide receivers to beat them on the outside. Matt Cassel should be able to take advantage of the play action and hit his receivers and tight ends down the field. Baltimore has played really well at home all season but they haven’t scored that many points at home.

Gonna take the Ravens here to COVER the 6 point spread getting the win by a touchdown over Minnesota.
But I’m going to take the OVER on this 42.5 point line with both teams scoring into the twenties.

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Week 17: For all the Marbles

We find ourselves at 69% percent for the year ladies and gentleman. Let’s end this thing right shall we?

Marbles

 

SUNDAY

Only Sunday Games now, no whackass Thursday or Saturday Night games to mess with the NFL Original flow.

Eagles @ GIANTS – Win and get in with some help situation for the Giants. They will do their part against a once again Michael Vick-led Eagles squad. The G-Men have become notorious for stepping it up when they need to, but the Eagles have also been a thorn in their side as they showed earlier this year. Michael Vick is giving an audition to quarterback needy teams in this game, so expect him to play his hardest, unfortunately for the Giants and the fans at MetLife.

Buccaneers @ FALCONS – The Falcons will definitely rest some of their starters in this game, they may get the lead and then give it up later in the game must to the chagrin of the crowd, but they’d have to risk getting their starters injured. I don’t believe they are in the mindset of handing a game away to a divisional opponent and the Bucs are awful at stopping their opponents’ passing game. The Bucs on the other hand have some respect to play for and can show that their offense can match anybody’s. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Falcons accepted a loss here.

Jets @ BILLS – The merry-go-round keeps turning for the Jets. Their quarterback situation is a mess and only got messier when McElroy was sacked eleven times and, naturally, suffered a concussion. The Jets, yet again, overlooked Tim Tebow who has made a life off of winning games and turned back to Mark Sanchez. It is being reported Mike Tannenbaum will be fired on Black Monday for his mismanagement of this team. The Bills are going to finish another mediocre season, but with the help of CJ Spiller and Mario Williams will most likely beat up on the slugging Jets.

Ravens @ BENGALS – This is revenge. The Bengals are the hottest team that nobody is paying attention to right now. They have won six out of seven games and it appeared they would be looking to next year when they sat at 3-6, but since they have looked like a well rounded team with a front seven that has developed into a force. The Ravens are coming off a statement win against the Giants in which I and most others underestimated them. With Jim Caldwell behind the helms of the offense, it looked like a force that many have thought it could be for a few years now.

Bears @ LIONS – The Bears have crumbled and are all different types of banged up coming into this game. I believe the Bears play their way out of playoff contention and the Lions light up the scoreboard against the Bears.

Jaguars @ TITANS – The Jaguars played a very tight game with the Patriots last week while the were blown out by Green Bay. These teams have both played very poorly all year long. Montell Owens vs Chris Johnson and Chad Henne vs Jake Locker. Some seriously nice matchups here (sarcasm).

Texans @ COLTS – I am picking the Colts in this game for one reason, Chuckstrong. The Texans may play themselves out of the bye and homefield here. The Texans are definitely the better team here but there is a Magic surrounding these Colts this year and especially at home that I cannot seem to deny this last game of the year.

NFL: Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts

Panthers @ SAINTS – Drew Brees last game of the year with news that Sean Peyton comes back next year with a nice big new contract? I’ll take him even with Cam Newton and his underrated defense playing solid down the stretch of the year. Both of these teams have underachieved all year, but the Saints find themselves in second place in the division after the Bucs have fallen apart. Maybe a new coach next year for the Panthers and Cam.

Browns @ STEELERS – No Steelers in the playoff, has a weird ring to it. The Steelers had a prime opportunity at home against the Bengals, but played poorly enough to lose that game. The Browns will be firing their head coach Pat Shurmur and starting fresh after this game. I would imagine that the Steelers would be firing Todd Haley after this year and the ineffectiveness of the offense since he came aboard. Big Ben will definitely love the support.

Chiefs @ BRONCOS – Broncos playing for the bye and possibly homefield, the Chiefs are playing a game. Let’s not joke around here. Peyton Manning has been either the Comeback Player of the Year or the MVP, whichever he doesn’t get Adrian Peterson will.

PACKERS @ Vikings – Aaron Rodgers is completing 70% of his passes with 14 touchdowns and 2 interceptions this year in dome games. The Packers put up 55 on the Titans last week for funsies. Adrian Peterson needs 209 yards to break Eric Dickerson’s single season rushing record and as much as I want this machine to break it, I don’t believe he will because they will be playing from behind, even though their running game is what drives them. I think if Leslie Frazier sticks with it then and keeps running the ball to AP they can have a chance, don’t make Christian Ponder throw the ball.

Dolphins @ PATRIOTS – The Pats are also playing for a bye here. Tom Brady will get back his favorite target on a limited basis in Rob Gronkowski. The Dolphins have been fiesty all year under first year coach Joe Philbin and rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill. With a win the Dolphins could end up with a .500 record, but it won’t happen in Foxborough. The ‘Fins have not played great games in the colder weather this season.

Raiders @ CHARGERS – Terrelle Pryor will get his first career start after the Carson Palmer was knocked around last week. The Raiders and Chargers met in their first game of the year, an ugly one, and paved the way for their ugly seasons. The Chargers are coming off a beating of the Jets where they sacked Greg McElroy 11 times. The Chargers will be looking at a new front office and coaching staff, finally, next year.

Cardinals @ 49ERS – The 49ers need this win to clinch the division. Brian Hoyer will get the start. The Cardinals defense has been fierce all year and is the main reason they have won a game in the past 11 weeks. The 49ers defense has been simply better and besides when they got blown up last week by the underrated and streaking Seahawks have been one of, if not, the best defense in the league.

Rams @ SEAHAWKS – Jeff Fisher has coached up this Rams team, mostly their defense. Something is in the defenses’ waters in the NFC West this year because they are all solid. Sam Bradford has been limited this year with developing and injury prone receivers (mostly his best target Danny Amendola). The ‘Hawks are coming off a destruction of the 49ers on national television last Sunday night and are aiming for 8-0 at home this year. No reason they won’t win this game as Russell Wilson continues his ridiculous rookie season, which has been unfortunately overlooked by many because of RGIII and Andrew Luck. Any other season he wins the Rookie of the Year, and he still might this year. He will tie or break Peyton Manning’s rookie single season touchdown record today.

Cowboys @ REDSKINS – Both of these teams came back from “dead” in the NFC East to now be playing for the division title on Sunday Night Football, second consecutive year that the division title will be decided on the last day on NBC. The Cowboys have ridden a red-hot Tony Romo until last week where the Saints played spoiler. The Redskins have now won 6 straight games since starting 3-6 and RGIII is not 100%, but he is still very dangerous with his arm. The home crowd will be pumped and I’m sure the Cowboys will make some mistakes and their defense is just as banged up as the Redskins.

Seems like I like the home teams in these Week 17 matchups.

siren

UPSET ALERT – Anything goes in these games, I’ll put everyone on Upset Alerts this week.

BYEAHHHHH!!!!

BYEAHHHHH!!!!

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SURVIVOR PICK – Let’s go with the Patriots here. (If picked already: 49ersBroncosSteelers)

Week 16: Merry Christmas to All … And to All Some Good Football!

Two more weeks till the postseason. Let’s finish this season strong shall we?

SATURDAY

FALCONS @ Lions – The Falcons just shellacked the New York Football Giants 52-0. No reason to think they won’t take it to the Lions on Saturday night. The story of the night will be Calvin Johnson going for Jerry Rice’s record. He only needs 182 yards, so there’s no reason Megatron shouldn’t break the record. Unfortunately for the Lions they will be staring at a 4-11 record after an impressive 10-6 record last year.

SUNDAY

SAINTS @ Cowboys – This is a dome after all everyone. The Saints are looking to play spoiler now and are coming off a nice shutout of their own against a good Bucs offense. This is usually the time where Romo and the Cowboys typically slip-up. I would say to expect a lot of points in the “Shootout” in Big D. three way tie in the east means the pressure is on the Cowboys and Romo and it’s time for them to prove their worth, but don’t expect them to.

Titans @ PACKERS – The Titans needed another ridiculous Mark Sanchez fumble and game in general to top the Jets on Monday Night Football. Chris Johnson showed the league he can still be as explosive as anyone on his touchdown run against the Jets. The Packers can seal up their division with a win here and don’t expect any less with the erratic Jake Locker leading his Titans into Lambeau. The Packers are going to lean on Ryan Grant in their running game after Alex Green went down with a concussion.

COLTS @ Chiefs – Typically  I don’t like to pick Andrew Luck away from home, but look at his competition. The Chiefs needed to lean heavily on Jamaal Charles each and every game but abandoned the run very quickly because their inept quarterbacks would lead them to three and outs. In addition the defense couldn’t keep them in games while being on the field the majority of the game. Look at the time of possession last week against the lowly Raiders, lopsided. Andrew Luck is taking his team into the playoffs after a magical season in which they have overcome him forcing turnovers.

Bills @ DOLPHINS – A football film expert has come out and said he can’t turn off Dolphins games. Interesting, huh? Joe Philbin has taken a team of small name guys besides Reggie Bush along with a rookie quarterback to a quiet 6-8 record and could go .500 for the season. The Bills keep flip-flopping between Ryan Fitzpatrick’s position with the team, i.e. is he the quarterback for the next few years. If the Bills defense can get healthy next year and they can fix their problems from this year, they could definitely compete in the AFC.

CHARGERS @ Jets – Greg McElroy is looked at as the Jets new savior. That’s a lot of pressure for a guy who had it pretty easy at Alabama with Mark Ingram, Trent Richardson and Julio Jones lined up with him and one of the best defenses college football had ever seen. Now he lines up with Shonn Greene, Bilal Powell and Jeremy Kerley, yikes. The Chargers are coming off a dud against the Panthers after upsetting the Steelers, I am picking the Chargers here against my gut on how bad the Chargers have been this season.

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REDSKINS @ Eagles – RGIII is back after his backup, Captain Kirk Cousins did his job and won a must-win game for the Redskins. Now they go to Philly to face the lifeless Eagles. Nick Foles played nicely against the Bucs bad secondary, but wasn’t as fortunate against the Bengals. The Redskins need this win as well, but the Eagles could play spoiler here.

Bengals @ STEELERS – Big game here in Pittsburgh. Bengals have not proven they can win the must wins yet, but the Steelers thrive off of these. Todd Haley needs to open up the playbook a little against a good Bengals front seven. If the Bengals win this game in Pittsburgh it’s a dagger to the Steelers playoff hopes and the AFC Playoff picture is sealed.

Rams @ BUCCANEERS – The Rams have been quietly good this year as they sit at 6-7-1. Their defense has been solid and Jeff Fisher has proven he is still a very good head coach. The Bucs have simply fallen apart in losing four straight games. Their offensive juggernaut was shut out by the leaky Saints defense last week and I wouldn’t expect the same this week, but Josh Freeman hasn’t been the same over the past few weeks.

Raiders @ PANTHERS – The Raiders ate the clock last week and Darren McFadden ate up every carry he could as well. They shutout the lowly Chiefs, while surprisingly holding Jamaal Charles to a mere ten yards. They won’t be able to keep up with the red-hot Panthers who are on a roll coming in having won three of their last four games and the offense is really clicking. Good Luck stopping “Scam” Newton Oakland.

PATRIOTS @ Jaguars – Haha won’t write too much here, besides the Pats are angry and Tom Brady is staring at the consecutive games with a touchdown record. Good Luck Mike Mularkey and Chad Henne in keeping up with Brady & Co.

Vikings @ TEXANS – The Texans provided themselves with a big win last week, taking the South division and nearly shoring up a bye for themselves come playoff time. Adrian Peterson needs 292 yards to break Eric Dickerson’s single season records. What a year for the guy who tore his MCL and ACL in the last week of the season last year. An absolute freak, this guy would have my vote for MVP of the league and I will surely be rooting for him to break the record. They can’t abandon the run today.

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GIANTS @ Ravens – The Giants need to turn that switch on that we have all been accustomed to seeing them do in the last few games. The Ravens have slipped and fallen quickly losing their last three games. Their defense is simply not the same as what it used to be and won’t get any better this week with more injuries racking up and Ray Lewis being kept inactive. The Giants are coming off a huge loss to the Falcons in Atlanta, but the Giants are one of those teams that can always overlook last week’s loss and next week’s game. There could be some scoring here.

Browns @ BRONCOS – The Browns are chippy and are never really out of their losses, but the Broncos will take this one easy as Peyton keeps making his case for the MVP. He will definitely win comeback player of the year. The Broncos defense is very dangerous and one of their big free agent signings in Tracy Porter is now coming off the bench because of the emergence of Tony Carter playing alongside of Champ Bailey.

BEARS @ Cardinals – This game will have too many sacks to keep track of and will be won by whichever defense plays better. The Cardinals are coming off a decimation of the Lions in Arizona. The Bears have now lost four straight games and look like a completely different team without Brian Urlacher and the one we saw at the beginning of the year. They need this win to stay on track in the playoffs.

49ers @ SEAHAWKS – The game of the week, and rightfully so NBC snatched it up in their flex schedule. I can’t pick against the ‘Hawks when they are at home. The Niners may be too happy after a very big win in Foxborough against the Patriots. Russell Wilson could be a sleeper for rookie of the year, and isn’t getting the press like Luck or Griffin, but should be considering his height limitations. Go ‘Hawks!

sirenUPSET ALERT – Today the BearsCowboys49ers and the Bengals on Upset Alert.

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SURVIVOR PICKPatriots here and no questions asked. (If Picked already: PackersPanthers, and Colts).

Week 14: Nestle Crunch Time!

The double digit wins streak is gone with a 9-7 record last week. Some surprise victories did us in. This week should be better as we have come to the point of the season where no surprises happen, typically. On the year we are sitting at  132-59-1 for a 69% correctness.

Let’s get into it with only four weeks left!

THURSDAY

BRONCOS @ Raiders – This will be a “snoozer”. The Broncos are missing their number one running, but gave an enormous workload to newly anointed starter in Knowshon Moreno. The Raiders’ Carson Palmer is having a good year, but most of his statistics are coming in garbage time. This should be an easy win for the rolling Broncos.

SUNDAY

Rams @ BILLS – I am picking the Bills because they are playing at home and I am certain it is cold outside. The Rams defense isn’t as solid as their run defense, and the Bills are starting to realize their best game-plan is to not force Ryan Fitzpatrick to win them the game, but rather leave it up to their run game. The Rams think they have a shot at the playoffs, but not if Danny Amendola doesn’t play. I want to pick the Rams because they are underrated in my book and bad on the road, 1-3-1. It’s going to be cold and rainy in Buffalo, not good for a passing game.

Cowboys @ BENGALS – The Cowboys just lose their starting nose tackle and now are down to their third string. Tony Romo is going to have a tough time against the Bengals front four, which will have an easy time against the Cowboys bad offensive line. The Bengals will be able to run the ball and throw the ball on a banged up and now very underachieving Bengals defense. It may be a high scoring game however and both teams need the game to stay alive in the playoff chase.

Chiefs @ BROWNS – Only a few words can describe this game: “Man, I hope this isn’t televised.” The Chiefs are coming off a very emotional win, which yours truly predicted correctly. Jamaal Charles needs to go over 100 yards, because nobody should expect the same game from Brady Quinn we saw last week against a bad Panthers defense. The Browns defense is underrated and with Joe Haden guarding Dwayne Bowe, don’t expect much production out of him. The Chiefs will need to have an answer for Trent Richardson and the new #1 receiver on the Browns, Josh Gordon.

Titans @ COLTS – The Titans can’t keep the ball on offense. Jake Locker was looking like he could develop into a good quarterback at the beginning of the season, but it appears that the injury has hindered him. Chris Johnson might have a field day with this Colts run defense, enough to keep them in this game. Andrew Luck will lead his team to another home victory and hopefully with his own touchdowns (for my fantasy team). No Donald Brown for the Colts, which leaves them with a very sub-par running game.

BEARS @ Vikings – I know Brian Urlacher is the leader of the defense, but there are enough play-makers on that team to take over the role. Jay Cutler’s offensive line needs to play better in the face of trash-talking by both teams opposing lines. Cutler will keep abusing Brandon Marshall in the target department as long as their both still living. The Vikes will once again lean heavily on their robot running back, Adrian Peterson. If he can take the pressure of Christian Ponder the Vikings have a chance.

Chargers @ STEELERS – The coach and general manager of the Chargers have already been named soon-to-be victims of the disappointing season experience in San Diego. They were unfortunate to arrive in Pittsburgh with Big Ben returning to good health. The Steelers are more than happy to have their signal caller back healthy so that they can leave their turnover-happy woes behind them. Expect the Steelers to win this one easily.

Eagles @ BUCCANEERS – Nick Foles is starting to look better and not completely incompetent in that offense. Bryce Brown is running a muck in the NFL and seems to be the hottest back besides Adrian Peterson in the NFL. They’re bigger problem now is their failing leaky defense that will get no mercy from the Bucs juggernaut offense. The Bucs need this game to stay in playoff contention because with a loss and any teams in front winning can count themselves out. Doug Martin has seen the box stacked a lot in the past few weeks.

Ravens @ REDSKINS – The Ravens’ record does not show their fault, but the highlights and tapes do. They are not as solid as their 9-3 record would have you believe, but they find a way to win games. Joe Flacco is having another disappointing season, and Cam Cameron appears to not want to lean on Ray Rice every game, which worked in the past (head-scratcher as to why you wouldn’t.) RgIII played a great game Monday night, but was helped certainly by a fluke play on the first touchdown and then by the ineptness of the Giants’ offense in the fourth quarter. The Ravens won’t have an answer for him, but expect some points here.

qm rg

FALCONS @ Panthers – The Falcons are coming off a huge win to their “daddy”. This is a typical let down game, but the Panthers just hit rock-bottom after losing to the Chiefs. Asante Samuel probably won’t play here leaving the Falcons somewhat thin in the secondary. The Panthers haven’t beaten the Falcons in three years now. Matt Ryan isn’t putting up the same numbers as he was at the beginning of the year, because teams have adjusted to the passing game plan of the Falcons. Expect some scoring here as well.

JETS @ Jaguars – Another ugly won that I know will be on television in New York. The Jets turned to Greg McElroy last week, only to turn back to Mark Sanchez (which I predicated) this week, but this is a completely different defense they faced last week. The Jags are down to their fourth string running back and will be without Cecil Shorts. Cromartie will be pinned to Justin Blackmon leaving the Jags only weapon Mercedes Lewis. This will not be pretty or enjoyable unless your a Jets fan.

Saints @ GIANTS – The Giants are doing exactly what we’ve come to expect. Roll through the first half of the year and then start to swoon, but win the games they need to in order to find their way into the playoffs on a hot streak. The Saints need this win to even have a chance, but it’s a very slim chance. Drew Brees does not play as well outside as he does indoors, but coming off 3+ interception days (he’s had five of them), Drew Brees has thrown 17 touchdowns and 4 interceptions (not good for the Giants’ secondary). Expect the Giants pass rush to disrupt Brees because they couldn’t get to RGIII last week and they don’t have consecutive bad games.

Dolphins @ 49ERS – This 49ers defense will have their way with rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill, especially Aldon Smith (the NFL’s sack leader) because Jake Long is now on the I.R. Colin Kaepernick is coming off a bad game against the Rams defense and almost another tie. The Dolphins are scrappy so this might be closer than one would think, but the 49ers should take this one.

Cardinals @ SEAHAWKS – Has one team ever had more home-field advantage in a single season? The 12th man in Seattle is something else and it will continue this week with the lowly Cardinals coming into town. John Skelton has been re-injected into the #1 spot on the depth chary after Ryan Lindley’s awful and abysmal performance, which left many wondering why Ken Whisenhunt didn’t replace him at halftime. The Seahawks are coming off a huge win against the Chicago Bears in overtime and will look to keep a hold on the last wild card spot in the NFC.

Lions @ PACKERS – The Lions are definitely the most disappointing and under-achieving team this year. Lots of talent, lots of promise but not enough of the “it” factor to put games away and keep themselves winning like last year. It’s a shame because Calvin Johnson’s possible MVP year is going to waste. Megatron is on pace to break Jerry Rice’s receiving yards record in a single season, and most likely won’t slow up even facing more double teams now that the Lions are depleted at wide receiver. The Packers are just sledding along toward the playoffs with a bunch of injuries of their own, but their guys will be healthy come playoff time.

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MONDAY

PATRIOTS @ Texans – This is a fantastic game and definitely the game of the week. Possibly the best matchup ESPN picked for Monday Night Football all year long. The Pats certainly miss Gronkowski, but Aaron Hernandez is getting healthier and Tom Brady will definitely find much more now. Their defense has been getting better and has been forcing a large amount of turnovers. The Texans are sitting at a nice 11-1 with a playoff spot locked up. Their defense is slowing up with all of their injuries and the Patriots offense will definitely exploit this. Expect a barn-burner here.

siren

UPSET ALERT – I am putting the Falcons, the Bearsand the Ravens on Upset Alert.

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SURVIVOR PICK – Colts (If Picked already: Seahawks, and Broncos)

 

Week 11: Shave your Season!

10-3-1 … thanks a lot Rams and 49ers. The double digit wins just won’t stop coming, and I won’t stop taking them if they’re offered.

 

LEGGGO!!!!

THURSDAY

Dolphins @ BILLS – It’s cold in Buffalo. Tannehill hasn’t been somewhere this cold. Both of these offenses are turnover prone and the Bills will be without one of the heads of their two-headed monster. For some reason Joe Philbin has been chopping down on his best running back’s carries. This is a recipe for loss. The Bills will take this game in frigid Buffalo.

SUNDAY

Cardinals @ FALCONS – This Falcons team is pissed. Undefeated season gone at the hands of a despised rival, who doesn’t call themselves rivals because “they own them”. The Saints took it to the Falcons and beat them at their own game. The Cardinals are reeling and I don’t see it stopping soon, especially this week. The Falcons at home are +10 and I definitely believe they can cover. Expect some offensive fireworks for one team.

Browns @ COWBOYS – Tony Romo is fire in November, we’ll talk about December in a few weeks because we know how that typically goes. The Browns keep struggling every year with mismanagement under Holmgren. The Cowboys will most likely win their games in November and start bailing their dedication for a comeback in December.

PACKERS @ Lions – Old foes meet again in Ford Field. The Packers are coming off their bye, but still aren’t really getting healthy besides Jordy. However, they’ve been fine without the guys they are missing, but they haven’t really run across the offense that they’re about to see in the dome. The Lions lost a real heart-breaker to the Adrian Petersons last Sunday. Stafford will definitely be looking to light up the scoreboard against his Cheesehead adversary.

BENGALS @ Chiefs – Arrowhead used to be one of the toughest places to win a game, but unless Jamaal Charles has well over 100 yards, I don’t think the stadium will have that kind of affect or magic on today’s game. The Bengals embarassed the Super Bowl Champion Giants last week at home, and I’m sure Marvin Lewis won’t let his young team get head of themselves sitting at 4-5 and now with a golden opportunity to seize a playoff spots from a Steelers team that is without their quarterback. Also, good luck to the Chiefs stopping AJ Green.

Jets @ RAMS – Sorry my Jet fan friends, you’re team just looks awful. The Rams defense will overpower the Jets anemic offense. Greg Zuerlein will have at least one fifty yard field goal. The Jets need a change, somewhere and soon. The Rams probably have a bad hangover from their tie with the division leader. They had the game won, but just didn’t want it. They will be looking for blood today at home against a struggling Jets squad.

Greg the Leg

Eagles @ REDSKINS – Nick Foles is not the answer. Michael Vick is not the problem. He’s never been a quarterback who has excelled at reading the defense, but rather baiting the defense into changing their own scheme, but without a line the defense is free to do what they please and get into the backfield. Even LeSean Mccoy is having big issues this year trying to get out of the backfield while he is being hit more than 30% of the time behind the line. RGIII enjoyed his bye after losing to Cam Newton two weeks ago and let’s see how he and his coaches handled their time off.

BUCCANEERS @ Panthers – The Bucs find themselves in the fight for a wild card spot, but will have to hold off the furiously charging Saints. Josh Freeman is leading the third highest scoring offense in the league, who would’ve thunk it? He now leads a Fantasy Football juggernaut. The Panthers will be experiencing a lot of changes in a few months, and the sledding won’t get easier this weekend.

Jaguars @ TEXANS – This is a snoozer. MJD just sit back and see how this team misses you and draw up your own contract. Enough said.

SAINTS @ Raiders – Drew Brees is leading his team back from dead. They must go to the Black Hole and take it to the Raiders struggling defense. The Saints defense isn’t playing lights-out, but they are coming together at the right time and making plays when they need to. Carson Palmer still isn’t turning the ball over as much as last year, but without Darren McFadden this team lacks a big play running game and now they have to face a Saints team that’s simply on fire.

Here they come …

Chargers @ BRONCOS – Don’t expect any revenge, but don’t expect the same comeback because the Broncos will be ahead early. Philip Rivers has found some gold in a healthy Danario Alexander, but Peyton Manning is looking like a possible Comeback Player of the Year and an MVP candidate. If they Chargers want to pull out the upset and make the AFC West a race, Rivers needs to not turn the ball over  and the Chargers defense needs to stop Peyton … good luck.

Colts @ PATRIOTS – This will be a great game. Luck has shown the poise of a veteran and has won some big games already. Bill Belichick and his team have not been as sound this year and they are not better than the other two top teams in the AFC. Don’t be surprised by a shootout in Foxborough.

RAVENS @ Steelers – This would’ve been the game of the week, but without Big Ben it’s the Ravens versus the running back committee of the Steelers. They could definitely do some serious damage against the  a weak Ravens run defense. This will still be a good game, just because it’ll be physical and these teams hate one another, but I can’t see Byron Leftwich pulling out a win against the Ravens. Hopefully Big Ben gets better and thank god his injury wasn’t worse.

OUCH TOWN POPULATION YOU BRO!!

Bears @ 49ERS – This is another game with an injured quarterback not being able to play, but this backup has proven in the past few years he can win some games. Don’t be surprised if the Bears pull out a win here, but I think the Niners at home after that horrible tie will be on their game. These are two of the top defenses in the league and love to hit hard. Expect a similar game to the Bears and Texans last weekend.

UPSET ALERT – I am putting the Patriots on Upset Alert because of what Andrew Luck brings to the table. I am also putting the Bears on Upset Alert, because their record is better than the 49ers.

 

SURVIVOR PICK – Texans, no questions asked. (If Picked already:

Week 9: Power Outage

So, we made it to 11 wins again. 11-3 last week, and like Train 777 we are “Unstoppable” right now!

Watch Out!

Our prayers go out to those who have been hurt and have been severely affected by Hurricane Sandy. Please donate what you can and do not forget those in need in their time of biggest need!

Let’s get to it!

THURSDAY

Chiefs @ CHARGERS – The Chiefs are historically bad, never possessing a lead at any point in regulation this season. They want to start Brady Quinn over the man they’ve paid millions of dollars to. The Chargers did their best Chiefs impression last week losing to the Browns 7-6 in ugly weather. The Chargers won’t find their path to victory so slippery this week in an easy win.

BRONCOS @ Bengals – Peyton Manning is picking up where he left off two seasons ago. The Broncos look like a top five team this year and definitely top two in the AFC. Their offense and their defense are complete and are on a roll, their defense held the high-powered Saints to a mere fourteen points. The Bengals are coming off their bye and they are at home, but are simply outmatched. Champ Bailey figures to shadow AJ Green, which will be interesting to watch, but it won’t matter unless the Bengals defense can stop Peyton.

RAVENS @ Browns – The Ravens are coming off their bye and have hopefully, for their own sake, have fixed their defensive problems. The ball needs to go to Ray Rice more, Flacco can be a good, possibly great quarterback but Ray Rice needs to be the centerpiece, plain and simple. The Browns, pulled out an ugly win last week. They just aren’t good, but Brandon Weeden is coming along, but needs to be quicker since he’s already 28 years old. Keep throwing the ball to Josh Gordon and good things will happen.

Cardinals @ PACKERS – The Cardinals can’t keep their quarterback upright and you know Clay Matthews is salivating at this fact. The Packers didn’t look great last week against the lowly Jags, but what’s to expect when your two best receivers are injured. They will roll this week, no worries Cheeseheads.

BEARS @ Titans – The Bears squeaked out a win against the underachieving Panthers. They need to be better on offense for four quarters if they want to be real contenders even if their defense is lights out. The Titans are coming off a tough loss to the Colts in Indy. The Titans have relied heavily on Chris Johnson the past few weeks as it appears he may be headed back to his 2K form, but it won’t be easy against this Bears defense.

Dolphins @ COLTS– The Colts get to stay at home after beating the Titans in a tight game that went to overtime. The Dolphins are coming off a huge win in New Jersey after shellacking the Jets. The Dolphins’ defense is the biggest story this year, their run defense is solid, but their pass defense is middle of the road. They have found ways to win their games and sit at 4-3. The Colts have looked better with Andrew Luck under center, but their defense just isn’t all that good. This is a tough match-up but I’ll take the grittier team. I am switching my pick and picking the emotional team because Chuck Pagano will be in the stadium to watch the Colts.

Panthers @ REDSKINS– RG3 drew comparisons to Cam Newton when he came into the league earlier this year, but he is playing better than Cam did. He doesn’t turn the ball over as much as Cam did and he seems to be in control more; his offense has been shaped to match his skill-set. The Panthers definitely played their best game against the Bears, but could not finish. The ‘Skins are coming off an ugly loss to the Steelers, expect a whole different game from the Shannies.

LIONS @ Jaguars – The Lions are fighting their way back to being relevant, but it’s a long road ahead. Stafford seems to be improving as he lit up a good Seahawks secondary last week en route to a big win for the Lions. The Jaguars fought wholeheartedly against the Packers, but with the lack of talent they never really had a chance, much like this week unless Rashad Jennings can simply go ballistic.

Bills @ TEXANS – Both teams are coming off their bye, and Mario Williams is going back “home”. It won’t matter. The Texans are going to beat the Bills handily, expect a lot of throws from Mr. Harvard. The biggest question will be, does Mario Williams get a standing ovation or hear the boo birds?

Steelers @ GIANTS – Battle of the 2004 NFL Draft! Big Ben has two rings and so does Eli, but that doesn’t matter now. What matters now is who will be the better team Sunday. The Steelers have not been able to keep their starting running backs healthy as Isaac Redman will be starting this Sunday after coming off a good win against the Redskins. The Giants were rolling into halftime against the Cowboys in Dallas, but started to crumble. Then, Captain Eli led his team to victory as the Giants got lucky as Dez Bryant put his hand out of bounds on a nice throw from Tony Romo with less than 20 seconds left in the game. 

BUCCANEERS @ Raiders – The Bucs rolled their hosts in Minnesota last Thursday. They also just traded away their best defensive player, also an off the field problem, in Aqib  Talib. Their offense is starting to click. The Raiders were able to defeat the lowly Chiefs, but the sledding won’t be easier against the Bucs, who are a great run defense. Darren McFadden continues his subpar season, but will need to break out of it soon for this team to compete.

Vikings @ SEAHAWKS – The 12th man has had its biggest impact ever this year. Teams can’t go to Seattle and win it appears more than ever this year. The Vikings might be finally coming back down to earth as they were rolled by the Bucs at home last week. The Seahawks talented defense will keep the pressure on a suddenly turnover happy Christian Ponder.

Cowboys @ FALCONS – The Falcons return home after rolling the Eagles in Philly, and the Cowboys leave home after a disappointing loss to the Champs. The Cowboys keep playing disappointing football and their schedule doesn’t get easier this week as the Falcons are now sitting a pretty 7-0. Matt Ryan will definitely have his hands full against a good Cowboys defense that frustrated Eli Manning last Sunday, but the Georgia Dome will be too rowdy for the Cowboys.

Eagles @ SAINTS– The Saints are abysmal right now. The Eagles are abysmal right now. But, somebody has to win this game. If the Eagles could go back to running the ball with Shady McCoy they could be a top NFC team, but they can’t keep the ball out of the hands of their opponents’ defense. The Saints schedule doesn’t get easier as time goes along, they still have to play the Falcons twice. I am writing them off for the season, but not this game.

UPSET ALERT  – I am putting the Falcons on Upset Alert, because of how the Cowboys play the best teams tough and have been known for beating undefeated teams. Also, I put the Vikings on Upset Alert going into Seattle is never easy. Dolphins because of Chuck Pagano’s presence.

SURVIVOR PICK – This week I go with the Chargers, simply because of how bad the Chiefs are. (If Picked already: Lions, Packers and Texans.) From here on out, picking against the Chiefs and the Jaguars simply is a good idea.

Those are my two cents … cash ’em in!

Week 6 … They Are Who We Thought They Were

After 12-3 we had a 10-4 showing. So let’s keep this baby rolling now that teams have come into their own, but some nice surprises are still shocking the NFL World, say the Vikings and the Cardinals. On the other hand we have disappointments like the Steelers and of course the ‘Aints (Saints).

Let’s get right into it:

THURSDAY

STEELERS @ Titans – This game is already over, but I’d be completely lying to you if I told you that I had even thought of picking the Titans. Chris Johnson is still playing like crud and Matt Hasselbeck’s arm just isn’t the same anymore. Mendenhall is back, not anymore seeing as he left this game and Big Ben has been playing great, but without Polamalu this defense just isn’t the same and they showed that by allowing the Titans to march down field with 45 seconds left in the game.

SUNDAY

Raiders @ FALCONS – Matty Ryan and his Falcons keep on rolling, but they almost slipped up last week at Washington until RG3 was knocked out with a concussion. They might have escaped one of their trap games and can breathe a sigh of relief and can now refocus as they head home to play an inconsistent Raiders team, which has played the Chargers and Steelers tough, but got wiped out by the Broncos and the Dolphins. Let’s see which Raiders team shows up, but it shouldn’t matter.

BENGALS @ Browns – The Browns came out firing against the Giants last week and looked good until they came back down to Earth and Eli Manning did his thing. The Bengals had a disappointing outing last week against a pretty solid Dolphins’ defense, but their offense this year has really been the story compared to their defense last year. The Browns are hurting having to play some unexpected wide receivers, but Brandon Weeden seems to be inching along. These two teams have already played this year and it was a close game at Cincinnati, this probably won’t be much different.

Rams @ DOLPHINS – Both of these teams have been somewhat surprising. Sam Bradford has regressed more than anyone I’ve seen (maybe not Cam Newton). Their strength for years has been their running game, but they’ve been playing solid run defenses and that doesn’t change this week against the #1 ranked run defense of Miami. All the scouts and experts are saying Ryan Tannehill’s progression is amazing, especially considering a few years ago this guy was playing Wide Receiver at Texas A&M, and I agree even though the numbers may not.

Colts @ JETS – This is now a let down game for the Colts. An emotional comeback win for Chuck Pagano against many people’s Super Bowl favorite. Now they have to go on the road to New York, where Jet fans are always loud. The Jets just played their hearts out against a very good Houston Texans team, without their two best players in Revis and Holmes. This fire and this heart leads me to this pick, also no Mathis for the Colts and Freeney is still clearly rusty. Sanchez might throw over 50% this weekend.

Only a matter of time …

Lions @ EAGLES – This is a must win for the Lions and that’s why I can see them winning this game, but the Eagles are coming off an ugly loss to the Steelers in which Vick turned the ball over three more times. The Eagles defense has been sound through the first five games, but the Lions are coming off a bye in which I’m sure Jim Schwartz has gotten his team focused. Stafford has not played anywhere near the level he did last year, but don’t expect that to last very long especially when you have Calvin Johnson to throw the ball to.

Chiefs @ BUCCANEERS – Both of these teams have been disappointing and now Matt Cassel is out with a concussion, apparently to the bliss of Chiefs’ fans. Brady Quinn who hasn’t played in a football game in almost three years, must now take the reigns against a Buccaneers team coming off their bye at home. Josh Freeman has to play better in order for the Bucs to win or even keep up with the way Jamaal Charles is running, and Romeo Crennel has said that his workload will not dwindle.

Cowboys @ RAVENS – The Cowboys are coming off their bye and the Ravens are coming home from one of the ugliest football games I’ve seen against the Chiefs, a 9-6 barn-burner win. The Cowboys looked horrific in their Monday Night game against the Bears in which Romo hurled five interceptions. The road doesn’t get easier against an always ball hawking Ravens defense. The Baltimore crowd is extremely loud and the Cowboys have enough problems on offense, forget not being able to hear. Joe Flacco must have a better showing than last week if he wants us to truly believe he has taken that next step. P.S. Did anyone hear them saying Ray Lewis isn’t playing at the same level?  The guy is 37 … get over yourselves.

Bitch, please ….

BILLS @ Cardinals – The Bills have been real bad the last two weeks against the 49ers and the Patriots, especially their defense. Fitzpatrick cannot keep throwing the magnitude of interceptions that he always does, but now they have a healthy two-headed monster in the backfield and the pressure can be taken off of his shoulders as long as their expensive defense can keep the Cardinals offense off of the field, which shouldn’t be all that difficult with the running backs the Cardinals have lined up for this week’s game.

PATRIOTS @ Seahawks – The 12th man will be the quietest it’s ever been this weekend when Tom Brady and his video game offense hit the field in Seattle. The Patriots have been playing to prove they are the top tier team in the AFC, and the past two weeks have done just that. Hopefully Bill doesn’t punish Wes Welker for his public joke about “shoving it in Bill’s face.” The Seahawks’ games have all been just pure ugly, and anyone can sit here and argue with me on that, but it’s true. Russell Wilson is having a better year than Mark Sanchez, not saying much but for a small rookie it’s a plus playing with the offense he has. Pats in a blowout of course.

GIANTS @ 49ers – I will tell you why I am picking the Giants to win this game in two words … Road Warriors. The Giants go on the road and win big games, it’s just what they do. They came up short against the Eagles, literally, but they played two great games against the 49ers last year and don’t expect anything different from these two this year. The Niners have played complete football all year long and their offense went off last week against the Bills defense, but who hasn’t this year? It’s tough to pick this game, but I’ll go with the G-MEN!!!

Vikings @ REDSKINS – The Vikings have looked good and may still be overachieving. Ponder has been good, despite throwing two interceptions last week (his first two of the year). Peterson hasn’t looked the same, but who can blame him. Harvin has looked like a complete player, seriously what can’t he do? Roger Griffin III has just been concussed and may not remember who he is, but let’s go ‘Skins! Alfred Morris has been running lights out and the Skins offense is as high-powered as any with RG3 under center. Even Kirk Cousins hit Santana Moss on a wide open post last week. This game is a toss-up to me, but usually on close games I go home team. Side note: Billy Cundiff is no longer kicking with the ‘Skins (every Ravens fan curses his name with pure hate).

CHEEESEEEE!!!

PACKERS @ TexansThe Packers are hurting and now their without Greg Jennings and Cedric Benson. They can’t keep Aaron Rodgers straight-up. Rodgers hasn’t looked like his MVP-self either, although it is tough to reproduce his performance from last year. This feels like a must-win for the Pack. The Texans are also hurting without Cushing now and Ben Tate is banged up. Cushing is the center of their defense, even with the emergence of JJ Watt. The Packers will be pissed, again, after another disappointing loss.

MONDAY

BRONCOS @ Chargers – The Chargers unfortunately ran into the Saints at the wrong time as Sean Payton looked on and Drew Brees broke the consecutive games with a TD pass record. Peyton Manning looked good against the Patriots, but just couldn’t keep up with Tom Brady in the first half, which seems to be a reoccurring theme for Peyton this year. His team gets behind and he brings them back, but cannot pull off the comeback. The Chargers had finally gotten that good start to the season they wanted, but after losses to the Falcons and to the Saints they need a bounce back game, unfortunately it’s against a good division rival Broncos team that sits under .500.

UPSET ALERT – The Colts are on Upset Alert going into Metlife Stadium after a big emotional win, this is letdown time! I am also putting the Vikings and the Cardinals on Upset Alert. The Vikings have been solid, but the Skins can score a ton of points with the play of RG3. The Bills can also score a lot and the Cardinals offense can’t keep up with many teams if their defense allows points.

To Survive!

SURVIVOR PICK – Falcons, hands down. The Raiders have already gutted me once this year when I picked the Steelers against them. The Falcons have now traveled back and forth from San Diego, Washington and now back home. The good side of this is they’re playing at home. (If Picked Already: Bengals and Patriots even though I don’t like away teams.)

These are my two cents … cash ’em in!

Anthony (T Catz)

Week 5 – Keep on Rolling

12-3 Last week …

BOOM

Not to brag but sitting better on my picks this season than SI’s Peter King. The first three weeks were tough, but this past week I started 11-1 before Sunday night and went 0-2 on Sunday and Monday night. Let’s continue this strong showing.

THURSDAY

CARDINALS @ Rams- Last week I correctly predicted that the Rams would upset the Seahawks, although both teams should have been 1-2 going into that game. The Rams defense played much better than their offense as they seemed to be shying away from their #1 asset in Steven Jackson. This Rams defense is underrated and is flying under the radar more than these Cardinals. The Cardinals didn’t look like the same team in the first half against a less than average Dolphins team. The Cardinals had to make an emotional comeback and outlast the Dolphins in overtime to stay undefeated. That’s why I find this a very tough pick and think it might be the biggest toss-up game of the week.

SUNDAY

Browns @ GIANTS – The Browns are the only winless team left in the NFL and they will stay that way after this weekend. They haven’t looked great, but they’ve stayed in some games that they had no right to be in. Brandon Weeden has played like a rookie, unfortunately he’s seven years older than most rookies and has looked worse than a few of them. The Giants came within a 54 yard field goal of beating the Eagles and moving to 3-1 instead of the other way around. Still no Hakeem Nicks for the Giants, big blow to the offense, but Eli finds ways to get ‘er done and will continue Sunday.

Dolphins @ BENGALS – The Dolphins looked pretty solid in their almost overtime upset against the Cardinals Sunday, but they fell short, per usual these days. The Dolphins run defense has looked great, considering its #1 right now in the NFL, the problem is the Bengals have been throwing a lot, and for good reason, with weapons like stud receiver A.J. Green and dangerous slot man Andrew Hawkins, along with red zone threat in Jermaine Gresham. The Bengals defense hasn’t been the same as last year, but they should continue their winning ways this weekend.

PACKERS @ Colts – The Packers won a squeaker in which they were helped out by the referees (consolation for the Seahawks game?). Greg Jennings will not be playing yet again this week, which does hurt the Packers offense, but Rodgers will most certainly spread the wealth just fine. Andrew Luck will see a healthy dose of Clay Matthews in his face and he will not like it! The Packers will go into Indy and show Andrew Luck how it’s done.

RAVENS @ Chiefs – The Ravens have looked really good so far, but almost allowed the Browns to win that game on Thursday night. Flacco threw a bad interception but was pretty sharp after that and they seemed to keep the ball out of Ray Rice’s hands, chalk that up to the short week. That will change this week now that they’ve had a week and a half for rest. The Chiefs just won’t stop turning the ball over. They haven’t looked awful but their turnovers are head scratching with 15 of them, and the sledding won’t get much easier as they face the Ravens defense.

Eagles @ STEELERS – The Eagles played an offensive ugly game against the Giants until they started running the ball to the outside. They almost lost the game, but were able to pull it out after a bad offensive pass interference on Ramses Barden of the Giants. Vick looked better seeing as he didn’t turn the ball over. The Steelers are coming off of their bye, with a full load of healthy starters coming back: Polamalu, Harrison and Rashard Mendenhall. In state foes, but one needs the win more and that is the home team and that’s why I pick the Steelers.

I’M BACKKKKK

FALCONS @ Redskins – I don’t believe this will be an easy win for the Falcons and they can actually lose this game. The Falcons have looked like a complete team and Matty Ice actually lived up to his name because he was ice cold in that comeback win over the Panthers. The Redskins controlled the entire game against the Bucs until they let them take the lead by backing off the gas in the second half. Then, Robert Griffin marched his offense down the field and Billy Cundiff did what he couldn’t go all game long, hit a FG, and a clutch won at that. Falcons win here because of their weapons and the caliber of their defense right now.

Seahawks @ PANTHERS – The Panthers should have gone for it on Fourth down last week and the Falcons wouldn’t be sitting undefeated anymore, but hey that’s why they play the game. The Seahawks did not look good against the Rams, besides Lynch who has the most yards in the NFL this year. I think the Seahawks have a good physical defense, but it stops there, their offense is atrocious. The Panthers D looked good getting pressure on Ryan all day, but clearly they needed to double Roddy White, good thing is there is no one close to Roddy’s talent on the Seahawks.

BEARS @ Jaguars – I know everyone saw what the Bears did to Romo, imagine what they could do to Gabbert. The Bears defense was unstoppable and Romo is evasive, Gabbert is known for playing scared, so watch out. Cutler played pretty well in the Cowboys game against a good Cowboys defense. Maurice Jones-Drew is doing all he can, as usual, to carry this team, but it won’t be enough this Sunday.

Titans @ VIKINGS – Never thought I’d see the day where I was picking the Vikings while Christian Ponder was still their starting Q, but here I am. Adrian Peterson is going to have a field day and Ponder will continue his game managing ways. The Titans took step backward with Jake Locker’s shoulder injury and Kenny Britt’s setback. Chris Johnson had a good game against a tough Texans defense, but it’ll take more than one good game to get back to where he used to be, and the Vikings run defense has looked good so far.

Broncos @ PATRIOTS – I would like to pick the Broncos, but the Patriots can just light up a scoreboard no matter how good your defense is and how well your team has been playing. The Broncos Joe Mays will be coming back from a suspension and their defense is pumping on all cylinders now, but this is the wrong team to play when you start to. Peyton Manning has not thrown an interception since the first quarter debacle against the Falcons, not a bad stat. Tom Brady turned in a Tom Brady performance, but the biggest surprise was the explosion of the Pats run game, which we should all keep an eye on, because if they become two dimensional …. eek.

Bills @ 49ERS – The Bills had control of the Patriots in the first half forcing turnovers and not allowing Brady to slice ’em and dice ’em. Then it simply got ugly. The Bills have two solid running backs, possibly the best 1-2 punch in the NFL this year, but the 49ers don’t give up rushing yards to many. The 49ers looked great against the Jets, especially the defense and good news for them Fitzpatrick turns the ball over a lot. The 49ers defense are going to have their way with the Bills, but keep an eye on the other side.

Chargers @ SAINTS – The Chargers are playing quietly good and the Saints are playing noisily awful. Rivers has been carrying the team and Jackie battle bruised his way last week to a couple of scores. The Defense has looked good as well, but now they go into the Superdome, to play a battered Saints team. Here’s the difference maker, Sean Payton will be at this game. This will be one of those games where daddy shows up for the first time for little Johnny’s football game, and little Johnny goes HAM (Insert “Little Giants” movie quote here, please).

MONDAY

TEXANS @ Jets – Is there a team more depleted by the loss of two players, one on each side of the ball. The Jets looked like an FBS school against the 49ers last week and Santonio Holmes reaffirmed how selfish he is by throwing the ball into the hands of Carlos Rogers when he hurt his foot. HOLD ONTO THE BALL WHEN YOU GO DOWN! The Texans could be the most complete team in the NFL and they couldn’t have picked a better team to face to stay undefeated than the Jets. Tim Tebow might be looking mighty good after this game if Sanchez can’t do well with his now patchwork receiving corps after rookie Stephen Hill and Dustin Keller won’t play … OUCH.

 

UPSET ALERT – As I said be way of the Rams, (they already beat the Cardinals). Another upset to keep an eye on is the Redskins over the Falcons, just depending on how well the Skins defense plays. I’m not saying it’ll happen but let’s not forget that Arrowhead is one of the loudest stadiums in the NFL and the Ravens can falter just don’t expect it. I also wouldn’t call this an upset, but the Broncos CAN beat the Patriots.

To Survive!

SURVIVAL PICKTexans over the Jets is a lock, but most have already used the Texans I’m sure so the next best thing is the Bears over the Jaguars.. (If picked already: Vikings and Giants )

Week 4 Picks: For the Love of Refs

Ladies and Gentleman … Welcome back to the Gun Show!!

So after another putrid week we take a look into Week 4, I won’t tell you my last record because I’m not proud of it. Rather I’ll speak of the referees coming back. Thank god because that Monday night game was atrocious and how they handled the Sunday night game was embarrassing. Welcome back Carrey, Hochuli, Green and all the other real Zebras! But I will miss the Referee Memes, I was addicted, but now I am cleansed. I am not saying these guys are perfect, but they are better. They get calls wrong, but it doesn’t take 15 minutes for them to decide and they know the rules and are not afraid of the players. These guys are the real deal!

Sad, Sad day

So let’s get this thing started:

THURSDAY

Browns @ RAVENS – I respect Torrey Smith more than anyone in the world right now as of Sunday. His brother passed away and less than twenty-four hours later he was on the field in Baltimore ripping apart the Patriots Secondary and was forced to answer constant questions about his brother directly after the game. Joe Flacco put together another very nice game and Ray Ray continued to play well despite this new pass first offense. Ravens are at home on a short week against the irrelevant Browns. Trent Richardson has looked pretty good so far as a rookie, but Weeden is meh and no Joe Haden means fantasy dream matchup for Flacco.

SUNDAY

Panthers @ FALCONS  – Scam Newton has come out and said that the Giants didn’t beat the Panthers, they beat themselves.  Listen, Mr. Newton (sighs) … you were embarrassed on NFL Network by Eli Manning and his backups, enough said. What a joke … and that is why when he goes to Atlanta this week, him and his team will yet again get rolled. Matt Ryan is looking like a top 5 quarterback and he has possibly the best 1-2-3 combo in the NFL with Rowdy Roddy, Julio (who likes oddly like the Predator, less now with no dreadlocks ) and the ageless Tony Gonzalez. Also be aware of Jacquizz Rodgers, the next Darren Sproles.

PATRIOTS @ Bills – Tom Brady and Bill Belchick would have been the embarrassment of the replacement referees until they did their work on the Packers game. Welker came alive when Edelman left the game with an injury, and it appears they stopped punishing him, for now. The Bills running game has looked great, no matter who has been in there, but now both running backs might be headed for an unexpected Week 4 return, which is good and bad. Who gets the majority of the carries? Not a bad problem to have! These Pats are angry after Belichick has been fined and couldn’t get a review on that awfully close kick.

Vikings @ LIONS – If not, for the Cardinals, the Vikings might be the biggest surprise at 2-1 in the NFL. They took down the mighty 49ers at home and didn’t get pushed to the end. They had them right where they wanted them the whole game. The Lions now have a legitimate running back it appears. Calvin Johnson is 3 games down 13 to go to beat the Madden Curse. Stafford might have avoided an injury that could cost him a game. Jim Schwartz allowed Shaun Hill to lose the game on 4th and 1 in Overtime last week, so they’re in need of a win. I see the Lions winning this and returning to last year’s form.

CHARGERS @ Chiefs – The Chargers have quietly been good. Rivers is playing alright and the Defense looks good. If Ryan Mathews stays healthy they could be a much better team. The Chiefs pulled off a ridiculous comeback win in Saint Louis as Jamaal Charles put up Madden numbers against a horrific Saints defense. Arrowhead is a very tough place to win a game and usually this is a very hard-fought game. I don’t see the Chiefs repeating their second half success from last week simply because they have been embarrassed by the Falcons and the Bills.

Seahawks @ RAMS – This is the definition of a letdown game. The Seahawks were just gift-wrapped a game by the replacement referees who were promptly returned to their shelves where they belong. The Seahawks defense has looked great but their offense is simply meh right now. The Rams have been in 2/3 games they have played, the only one they never seemed to be part of was in Soldier Field against the Bears, an outdoors game. But now they go back home to face the Seahawks. Seahawks are pretty high on themselves I’m sure right now.

49ERS @ Jets – If Revis was playing in this game I’d think about taking the Jets, but without him they’re a completely different team. Trying out Joe McKnight at corneback??? (Slaps hands against face) R-E-A-L-L-Y? The Niners are coming off a bad loss in Minnesota and yes they’re are traveling yet again, but last year they did well in 1 o’clock games on the East Coast. They could lose but simply because of the travel factor, but that defense is just something else and will probably make Sanchez look like a backup QB. I am taking the angry 49ers in this game.

Titans @ TEXANS– Is there a more complete team in the NFL right now? The answer is no. They look good running the ball, passing, special teams, and especially on defense. They almost let the Broncos back in the game when they fell asleep, but so did the Falcons. They sit at 3-0 and the Titans are coming off a pretty luck win where Jake Locker looked pretty solid. The Texans defense will feast on the pathetic likes of Chris Johnson who is still averaging 1.4 YPC and has less total rushing yards than Jake Locker. The Texans average 14.0 Points Allowed, enough said.

Raiders @ BRONCOS – The Raiders pulled off a comeback of their own against the Steelers, whose defense  did not look good at all last Sunday. The Raiders also benefited from a bad penalty call that moved them up fifteen yards enabling them to kick the game-winning field goal. The Broncos keep putting themselves in holes and almost digging themselves completely out. I don’t expect a hole this Sunday. No Heyward-Bey after he got demolished by Ryan Mundy means less of a vertical threat for the Broncos to watch out for. No Joe Mays because of his vicious helmet to helmet hit on Matt Schaub, which helps Darren McFadden.

Dolphins @ CARDINALS – Could the Cardinals get a better game to continue their roll and keep their confidence? The only issue they might suffer here is Darnell Dockett vs. Reggie Bush, because Darnell Dockett is doubtful and probably won’t suit up, but Reggie Bush will be. Tannehill is showing signs of readiness, but his weapons are seriously lacking. The Cardinals defense looks good and the Dolphins doesn’t look that bad either. Kevin Kolb is simply not turning the ball over, and last week did exactly what he should be doing, throwing the ball at Larry Fitzgerald. The home crowd was loud last week against the Eagles, and they shouldn’t be any quieter for a team looking to start 4-0.

BENGALS @ Jaguars – The Bengals offense has looked surprisingly good. They’re defense hasn’t looked great, but hey if you score more points that’s all that matters. AJ Green is filthy and could be better than Julio Jones this year after the way he torched the Redskins secondary last weekend. Maurice Jones-Drew doesn’t look like he missed training camp in the least bit, feasting on the Colts as he usually does. The Bengals will roll through these Jags and enjoy the nice Florida weather.

Saints @ PACKERS – Pissed off Packers vs. the Beat-up, beat-down, no hope Saints. Aaron Rodgers is licking his chops with how bad this Saints’ defense is. This game is also in Lambeau, where the Packers typically don’t lose games. The Saints have looked like a completely different team without Sean Payton and have become a joke to the rest of the NFL I’m sure after Roger Goodell made an example out of them during the offseason. Aaron Kromer, the interim to the interim, is clearly in over his head and should just let Drew Brees call all the plays, maybe even on defense. Has anyone noticed how bad Steve Spagnuolo has been since he left the Giants by the way. Let’s not forget how Brees plays outside and it’s always cold in Lambeau.

ANDDDD …. THEY’RE BACK!!!

REDSKINS @ Buccaneers – RG3 continues to play very very well especially for a rookie. He fought them back into a game in which the Bengals were torching the Redskins defense, which does not look the same without Orakpo and Adam Carriker. The Buccaneers suffered another ugly loss, this team by the hands of the Cowboys. Josh Freeman was an abysmal 10/28 last game and hopes to improve on this. Both rookie running backs have looked strong in their first three games. The Bucs are at home but I like RG3 to carry his team to victory in this one as Freeman struggled to find his accuracy.

GIANTS @ Eagles – The Eagles offensive line showed its real worth last game as Michael Vick was torn to shreds by the Arizona Cardinals front 4, which is not as talented as the Giants’. The Giants embarrassed the Panthers last Thursday and have had a lot of time to rest, but will still be without star receiver Hakeem Nicks (damn my fantasy team). Ramses Barden stepped up nicely in the absence of Domenic Hixon and Nicks, and will need to build off that game if the Giants have a shot. Andre Brown and Ahmad Bradshaw will be splitting carried out of the backfield. Michael Vick must simply not turn the ball over if he wants to control this game and it should be easier with his best receiver, Jeremy Maclin returning to the lineup. If Shady McCoy goes off it’ll be a W for the Eagles, but if the turnover woes continue, expect Eli Manning to lead his Giants to victory.

MONDAY

Bears @ COWBOYS – Both teams played ugly offensive games last week. Don’t expect that to continue for Tony Romo as he takes his Cowboys back to the Big Stadium. His offensive line is still playing like a D-3 college team, but luckily for him the opponents’ line isn’t any better. Both teams should be playoff contenders, but have played pretty bipolar football so far. Cutler keeps turning the ball over and Romo can’t seem to score with a high-powered offense that Jerry Jones has presented him with. This should be a good game for MNF though.

UPSET ALERT – The Rams are my upset alert. This is your letdown game after the Seahawks are flying high and think they’re God’s gift Jeff Fisher’s feisty team will bring them back down to earth. (Honorable Mention: Chiefs vs. Chargers – As I said, Arrowhead is a tough place to go in and win a game, and this matchup is always a tough game, period. Jets )

SURVIVAL PICK  – Last week I suffered a heartbreaking loss because of the Raiders. This week I am still picking against them as I will be choosing the Denver Broncos. I don’t see Peyton Manning’s team going 1-3 and the Raiders are not as good of a team simply put. The Broncos’ defense, although lacking Joe Mays, are still a solid group. (If Picked Already: Cardinals)

Those are my two cents … cash ’em in!

Anthony (T-Catz)

Week 3 Picks

This has been a crazy NFL season already, Pats losing to the Cardinals; the Saints are 0-2, Cowboys got smoked by the Seahawks but hey it just makes the sport more interesting! Once order I’ve figured out what the hell is going on in the NFL season I know these picks will get better.

So, Barely made it out of Week 2 with a .500 Record 8-8 … gross! Week 3 won’t get any easier, but the picks’ll get better!

C’MON MAN!!!!

THURSDAY

GIANTS @ Panthers – I am very concerned about the G-Men. No Nicks, Bradshaw, Hixon, and Diehl because of the huge roles 3/4 play on offense. However, last year the Giants didn’t have Nicks, Bradshaw, David Baas and Henry Hynoski when they traveled to Foxboro and beat more formidable opponent than the Panthers they are about to face. However, Cam and Brady are two different Quarterbacks. The Giants will have their hands full but last year went 3-1 on short rest. Look for big games from Andre Brown and Rueben Randle, as well as the return of the Prince! No doubt that Cam and Steve Smith put up fantasy numbers though!

SUNDAY

Rams @ BEARS – Jay Cutler angry. Jay Cutler Smash (and it’s not J’Marcus Webb). It’s the Rams defense, but watch out for a Cortland “THE Instigator” Finnegan vs. Brandon Marshall bout at some point in this game. The Rams have played both of their games valiantly, but both have been indoors. The Bears have one of the toughest home field advantages and that will be on display this weekend. In addition, Steven Jackson, the Rams best offensive player is banged up and is a game-time decision.

You won’t like him when he’s angry!!

BILLS @ Browns – Yeah the Browns have challenged both teams they’ve played, but they’re still BAD. The Bills defense might be starting to click and is salivating at Brandon Weeden’s early tendency to make mistakes. CJ Spiller is playing out of his and the rest of his team’s mind right now. Trent Richardson will have to carry most of the load this game if they are to win.

Buccaneers @ COWBOYS – Wow, talk about a let down game after a nice win in Metlife Stadium against the champs? I will repeat what I’ve been saying that the Buccaneers are underrated, but that was a heart-wrenching loss for them last week after owning the first three quarters against the Giants. The Cowboys are looking to light up the scoreboard in their home opener and now Jason Witten should be 100% in Week 3. Romo is out to put a smile back on Mr. Glory Hole’s face.

LIONS @ Titans – Chris Johnson is playing like he’s worth every penny! Hang on choking on my sarcasm … Anddd we’re back. The Lions are coming off a tough loss against maybe the most complete team in the NFL, the Niners. The Titans are just not producing on offense and allowing opponents’ offense to produce WAY too much. The Lions need a bounce back game and they got the team to get it against. The Lions have a strong front seven, so I would expect Chris Johnson to struggle. The Lions are getting Mikel Leshoure back from injury and suspension so now they have two capable backs, dangerous. Also, Calvin Johnson doesn’t have a TD yet, in other word’s … HE’S.DUE.

Jaguars @ COLTS – This is just an ugly matchup. I am picking the Colts because their QB is simply better and they are at home where Luck seemed to play pretty well. Maurice Jones-Drew typically goes more than HAM against the Colts … let’s say he goes Double HAM typically. If the Jags defense steps up and Maurice Jones-Drew does his thing against the Colts, the Jags could be looking at their first of an expected one or two wins, but don’t bet on it!

Jets @ Dolphins – The Jets looked utterly lost last week and Reggie Bush looked utterly dominant. I am glad Reggie Bush is finally succeeding as an every down running back, but I don’t expect him to go off like that again this week against a much better Jets defense. Tannehill still doesn’t look great, but is finding a connection with Brian Hartline and has no problem handing the ball back to Reggie Bush. . If Dustin Keller plays this should be a sure win for them, if not don’t be surprised if the Dolphins no name (besides Cameeron Wake) defense wreaks havoc on the Jets.

49ERS @ Vikings – Honestly, I can see the Niners losing this game because they have to travel back across country for the third time already this year. The only problem is they’re playing the Vikings who’s best weapon, Adrian Peterson, goes head to head against the 49ers beastliest side, their front seven. The Niners look as complete as any team in this league and they shouldn’t slip up against the lowly Vikings.

Chiefs @ SAINTS – Who Dat Who Dat Who Dat ain’t going 0-3??? That’d be the Saints … this is the game where Drew Bees “Breesy” and puts together a W for his team. The Chiefs only hope is to let Jamaal Charles and Peyton Hillis run amock in the Thunderdome, but they’re going to be so far behind that it won’t be the case. Expect the Saints to come out firing! Pierre Thomas looked like the one of old last week with over a hundred yards. Dwayne Bowe proved that he is Matt Cassel’s ONLY target last week and should be.

Will the Bags make a return???

Bengals @ REDSKINS – The Bengals just simply don’t look like the Bengals of 2011, mainly on defense. The Bengals racked up a whole lot of points last week, against the lowly Browns, but gave up a ton to those same Browns as well and to the no-huddle Ravens. RG3 knows what he can do offensively and now he’ll have his home opener. The only rough patch for the Skins is the fact that Brian Orakpo and Adam Carriker are done for the year, both integral parts of their defense. This game is probably a toss-up but I’m going with the home team and the inspiring rookie QB.

EAGLES @ Cardinals – 2-0 vs 2-0 (WHAT???) … The Cardinals have played exceptional on the defensive side of the ball, but offense has been U-G-L-Y, and the same for the Eagles. They have turned the ball over nine times and Vick is responsible for seven of those. Calais Campbell and Darnell Dockett will be looking to get into the backfield and test the toughness of Vick’s flak jacket. There is no Jeremy Maclin and no King Dunlap, but as the Giants proved anybody can step up and help a team get a nice W. All that matters is LeSean Mccoy is still there and the Eagles defense is playing great. Eagles will show Kolb why they don’t regret trading him away.

FALCONS @ Chargers – Another 2-0 vs. 2-0 game. The Chargers have played two pipsqueaks so far, Raiders and Titans. The Falcons have played the Chiefs and the Broncos, and until the fourth quarter of their game with the latter have handled their business. The Falcons will continue their winning ways while making it look easy against the Chargers. The Chargers need Ryan Mathews back soon and it appears he’s headed back, but this is a tough front seven to get your first real game action against.

Texans @ BRONCOS – Yeah the Texans and the Niners are probably the most complete teams. But the Broncos defense are sneaky good (shut the Falcons down when it mattered last weekend, most of their points were given up with their backs against the goal line because of Peyton’s mistake). Peyton won’t make those same mistakes two weeks in a row and at home this time around. The Texans with the best 1-2 RB punch and Andre Johnson are good on offense but even more sound on Defense, but travelling to Denver is going to be tough. These Broncos fans love them some Peyton. 

STEELERS @ Raiders – No Polamalu, Harrison or Mendenhall? No problem! The Steelers took care of the Jets, who besides Run DMC, probably have a similar offense to the Raiders. The Jets defense is much better and the Steelers put some points up on them, so expect the same this week as Mike Wallace doesn’t have Antonio Cromartie on his tail. The Raiders are scary desperate at 0-2, but the Steelers will not start this year at 1-2, they will go into the Bye at 2-1 and welcome back their star running back, Rashard Mendenhall.

Patriots @ RAVENS– No Hernandez, and coming off a loss to the Arizona Cardinals are the Pats. They have been barely using their most consistent offensive weapon in Wes Welker. Stevan Ridley is developing rather nicely for them, but what other team consistently disrupts Tom Brady’s pocket presence besides the Baltimore Ravens?? These same Ravens are out searching for some sweet revenge after they missed out on a trip to Superbowl 46 because of Lee Evans’ dropped pass and Billy Cundiff’s botched kick. If the Ravens run their no-huddle offense, there’s no way the Pats defense can stop them.

“Never Forget 01/22/12”
-Baltimore Ravens’ Fans

PACKERS @ Seahawks – The Packers are very well rested after destroying the Bears last Thursday night. The Seahawks are coming off a big win at home against the Cowboys, but will not repeat their performance against this team. Clay Matthews, sitting at six sacks already, will lead the Packers better looking defense against rookie Russell Wilson. The Seahawks defense is underrated, but everyone is simply anticipating Aaron Rodgers to have one of his games, which he didn’t the first two games (three tough defenses in these first three games though: Niners, Bears & Seahawks).

Scary ass …

Okay, done with the pictures for this week, let’s get onto two new things for week 2…

SURVIVAL PICK:

Week 1 – I took the Texans vs. Jaguars, Week 2 – Bengals vs. Browns.

This week’s Survival Lock is the Steelers vs. Raiders. (If used: Bears vs. Rams)

UPSET ALERT:

Technically the Broncos are an Upset alert so we’ll keep them there, but if you want a real upset keep an eye on the Cardinals … 9-2 in their last 11 games dating back to last year. It’s not pretty but they find a way to win games.

Those are my two cents … cash them in!

Anthony (T-Catz)