Week 2: Aftermath of Week 1

kaephit

RIP Kaep … Ouch-town Population you, Bro! (Pepper Brooks)

What did we look like after Week 1 you ask? Taking a look at the money line Sports Gone HAM went a solid 11-5, but against the spread we were a truly disappointing 4-10-2 (pushes). We will get better on the spreads, but it is the first time we are trying and Week 1 saw some head-scratchers. Let’s get into week one and reflect on some injuries and Week 1 games during each match-up:

THURSDAY

Jets @ Patriots (-12.0) – Money Line: Patriots —- Spread: Jets (+12.0)

The Pats are hurting on offense and it showed last weekend. Stevan Ridley has struggled to hold onto the ball ever since the playoffs last season and now Shane Vereen, his talented backup, is out until at least Week 10. Danny Amendola is not expected to play and they are still missing Gronk. It looks like Thompkins and Edelman will be the one-two punch. The Jets pulled a win out of nowhere last Sunday as Geno Smith scrambled out of bounds and was inexplicably pushed out of bounds by Lavonte David. The Jets defense looked solid as usual last weekend, but the offense looked somewhat anemic in Smith’s first start. He did show some maturity throughout the game taking some sacks and not making horrible throws. I like their defense to keep this game somewhat close.

SUNDAY

Chargers @ Eagles (7.5) – Money Line: Eagles —- Spread: Eagles (-7.5)

The Chargers had an epic collapse with only twenty minutes to go in their Monday Night Football game against the Houston Texans. From what I saw in the first half, Philip Rivers looked pretty good and crisp after an off-season where his possible regression was called into question. The second half happened and it looked like the critics could be right, but only time will tell. The Eagles fumbled the ball on a questionable call their first drive, but dominated after that. They ran 53 plays in the first half with their new Oregon offense and looked sharp. They play fast because that’s what their top three guys have, speed and lots of it (Vick, Jackson and McCoy). Look for the Eagles to tire out the Chargers and coast in the second half.

Browns @ Ravens (-6.5)  – Money Line: Ravens —- Spread: Ravens (-6.5)

The Browns looked lost at home against the Dolphins. Besides Jordan Cameron, Trent Richardson is the best receiving option and he lines up in the backfield. The Ravens defense will be angry after being embarrassed, man-handled, torched and simply run off the field by the Broncos and Peyton’s seven touchdowns on Opening Night. The Ravens offense was average with a lack of talent in their receiving corps as well. Marlon Brown seems like he might make a nice addition in the slot, but Torrey Smith can’t man the outside by himself. This will be interesting and even though I think 6.5 is a lot of points, I still go Ravens at home.

Titans @ Texans (-9.0) – Money Line: Texans —- Spread: Texans (-9)

The Titans looked good, but that was against a really bad offense that calls its home Pittsburgh. That line is horrific and made the Titans defense look like … well the Steelers’ defense. Chris Johnson found some lanes against a stout run defense, but his sledding won’t get easier against the tough Texans defense. The Texans looked disastrous in the first half against the Chargers, but turned into the AFC South champs in the second half. Andre Johnson did his Andre Johnson thing and broke 100 yards as Matt Schaub abused him in the target area. Arian Foster looked a little rusty and Ben Tate looked poised to take over when he could. Gary Kubiak said they might need to split the carries more evenly if this keeps up. I still like Texans giving the 9.

Dolphins @ Colts (-3.0) – Money Line: Colts —- Spread: Colts (-3.0)

The Dolphins beat a bad looking Browns team while leaving their most talented player on offense out of the equation, which left him pretty upset with the coaching staff. Mike Wallace needs to be given the ball because he’s a play-maker, and if their run game can’t get going he has the talent to make something out of nothing. The Colts looked flat for some reason against a bad Oakland defense. The Colts line still isn’t the best and their run game is at the bottom of the pack. If Ahmad Bradshaw can’t overtake Vic Ballard, it could mean more passes for Andrew Luck each game. At home I like the Colts

Panthers (-3.0) @ Bills – Money Line: Bills —- Spread: Bills (+3.0)

The Panthers front seven looked great against a great run team in the Seahawks. However, that team had traveled from the other corner of the country and played at 1 P.M. and I don’t care who you are, that’s never easy. The Panthers offense looked horrendous against a great defense, so try and get a read on that one. The Bills looked pretty good against the Patriots and took them to the wire, but couldn’t finish the job. E.J. Manuel had a couple of nice throws, but his defense couldn’t hold up against Tom and the Pats beat-up offense. I like the Bills at home.

Rams @ Falcons (-7.0) – Money Line: Falcons —- Spread: Rams (+7.0)

The Rams came roaring back against the Cardinals and used “Legatron” to cap off the come from behind victory. Bradford looked better than the past few years behind a revamped offensive line featuring newly acquired Jake Long. He has explosive weapons all over the field, Richardson, Austin, Givens, and Cook and he seems to be hitting it off with all. The defense is underrated and can get in the backfield as well as force turnovers. The Falcons are coming off a heart-breaker against their arch-rival Saints. Their defense played better than anyone expected with Asante Samuel, but their offense looked nothing like last years with Roddy White being banged up. I want to pick the Falcons, but their defense and the speed around Bradford worry me.

Redskins @ Packers (-7.0) – Money Line: Packers —- Spread: Redskins (+7.0)

RGIII looked rusty, but then he settled in against the Eagles defense. Alfred Morris did not look like himself on a very costly fumble, and the defense was tired after the Eagles ran their up-tempo offense. The defense will need to shore up against Rodgers and the Pack to have a shot. The P ackers put up a good fight against the reigning NFC Champions, but simply couldn’t put a cap on the Kaep. Their secondary was lit up by the likes of Anquan Boldin and Vernon Davis, which makes RGIII feel confident. The Pack tried to establish the run game while airing it out with Rodgers. They have a good fit in Lacy and he likes what he saw from McCoy’s performance on Monday night I’m Sure.

Cowboys @ Chiefs (-2.5) – Money Line: Cowboys —- Spread: Cowboys (+2.5)

The Cowboys defense looked great forcing 6 turnovers against the Giants, but the offense was unable to capitalize on each turnover as the Giants were on the verge of a comeback until the final turnover did them in. Tony Romo suffered bruise ribs after getting finally hit by the Giants defensive linemen. The Cowboys still looked like the better team on Sunday and could be a force with all their talent if they can get the offense really flowing. The Chiefs looked well-rounded, but that was against the lowly Jaguars. The defense forced turnovers and got into the backfield, which could help against the Cowboys O-Line. Their defense will need to perform up to better standards to stop the Cowboys offensive weapons. I like the ‘Boys here even with Dez Bryant injured.

Vikings @ Bears (-6.0) – Money Line: Bears —- Spread: Bears (-6.0)

The Vikings pass game is going to be a problem for a while unless someone can teach Christian Ponder how to be an NFL quarterback. As was the case last year, Adrian Peterson will face a lot of “full box” situations because most teams want leave the game in Ponder’s hands. The Vikings corners looked good last week shutting down Calvin Johnson, but the whole defense was embarassed by probably the most dangerous open field player in the NFL in Reggie Bush. The Bears withstood a tough test from the Bengals last week and somehow Jay Cutler did not take a sack. Brandon Marshall and Cutler are on a whole other level right now. Their defense isn’t the same without Urlacher and Tillman was abused by AJ Green, but the Vikes don’t have that type of outside weapon so Bears here.

Saints (-3.5) @ Buccaneers – Money Line: Saints —- Spread: Saints (-3.5)

The Saints defense stopped the Falcons. Say what? The Saints offense looked pretty good with Sean Payton back, but they can definitely do more. Just wait till they hit their stride, but their defense will leak and won’t hold teams to 17 very often to be honest. The Bucs lost in shocking fashion. Their defense looked good with the addition of Revis, but the offense looked lost. Josh Freeman is in a make or break year, his contract year, and he has weapons that most quarterbacks would thrive with. They need to fix his focus otherwise it’ll be another long season to the team with pewter helmets. Saints here.

Lions (-1.0) @ Cardinals – Money Line: Cardinals —- Spread: Cardinals (1.0)

The Lions newest offensive toy looked fantastic against the Vikings; however, they can’t rely on Reggie Bush to beat better teams like the Arizona Cardinals. Calvin Johnson will needed to produce more than 4 catches for the Lions to keep winning games. Suh made another stupid mistake that cost him a ton of money. The Cardinals looked good throughout the game against a good Rams defense and Carson Palmer seems to fit Bruce Arians’ offensive scheme. Their defense looked solid as well and they have talent that’ll surprise most. I think at home the Cardinals will take this one.

Jaguars @ Raiders (-6.0) – Money Line: Raiders —- Spread: Jaguars (+6.0)

The Jaguars looked historically bad. Gabbert is out (apparently with an injury) and Henne is in. Henne produced decent numbers last year while filling in for Gabbert. I like Maurice Jones-Drew this week against a bad Raiders defense, but it’s hard to expect much from the Jags’ offense. The Raiders looked surprisingly decent against the Colts in Indy on Sunday. Until the final drive where they turned the ball over, the Raiders looked serviceable. I like the Raiders here because of the elusiveness of Terrelle Pryor, but with Henne under center I don’t like them by more than 6, but I might change my take on this game.

Broncos (-5.0) @ Giants – Money Line: Giants —- Money Line: Giants (+5.0)

The Broncos looked scary on Opening Night as Peyton tossed seven touchdowns at Mile High. Their defense, even without Von Miller and Champ Bailey looked pretty solid against the defending champs. I am worried about what the Broncos are capable of this year in a division with zero defense. The Patriots record of points scored and Tom Brady’s touchdown record have been warned. The G-Men. Where to start? Six turnovers doomed the Giants on Sunday night and no team could recover from that. Except, the Giants almost had the game won before the last turnover. The defense looked good and held Dez Bryant to two catches. If David Wilson can fix himself and the line can protect Eli, the Giants could surprise people here with a win against Big Brother. These are the games the Giants always step up and win.

49ers @ Seahawks (-3.0) – Money Line: Seahawks —- Money Line: Seahawks (-3.0)

Could be one of the games of the year. The 49ers took down the Packers using Anquan Boldin last week at Candlestick. Kaepernick proved yet again he can toss the ball around with the best of them. The Niners defense, even giving up 28 points still looked like a bunch of studs. The Seahawks looked jet-lagged in Carolina and eeked out a 12-7 win. These are probably the two best teams in the NFL and they play in the same division. I can’t wait to sit down and watch this outright brawl as this rivalry has become grounded in their hatred and their physical play. I like the Seahawks at home. Remember last year’s game?

MONDAY

Steelers @ Bengals (-7.0) – Money Line: Bengals —- Money Line: Bengals (-7.0)

The Steelers’ offense looked as bad as the Jaguars’ did. Big Ben can’t stand in the pocket for more than four seconds and his receivers, maybe excluding Antonio Brown, are a bunch of B-listers and below. He will continue to struggle without his safety blanket in Heath Miller. The defense looked more fresh against the bad Titans’ offense, but they will truly be tested against a young Bengals offense. The Bengals lost a heart-breaker to the Bears last weekend in Soldier Field. The defense wasn’t able to get to Jay Cutler which is puzzling considering the front seven this team has. The defense and the offense are both solid units making this Bengals team my favorite to still take home the AFC North. This will be a physical game, but I like the Bengals even with the big spread.

siren

UPSET SPECIAL

My Upset Alerts for this week fall on the BroncosLions , Chiefs, Falcons and Panthers. All of these teams are favorites, three of which are on the road. Keep an eye on these games ladies and ‘gents.

tom-hanks-in-cast-away

SURVIVOR POOL

So last week I actually took the Colts and survived by the hairs on my chin (there are none right now). For this week the teams I like, depending on who you have chosen are:

  • PATRIOTS
  • RAVENS
  • COLTS
  • TEXANS
  • EAGLES

Good luck this week to all!

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Week 3 Picks

This has been a crazy NFL season already, Pats losing to the Cardinals; the Saints are 0-2, Cowboys got smoked by the Seahawks but hey it just makes the sport more interesting! Once order I’ve figured out what the hell is going on in the NFL season I know these picks will get better.

So, Barely made it out of Week 2 with a .500 Record 8-8 … gross! Week 3 won’t get any easier, but the picks’ll get better!

C’MON MAN!!!!

THURSDAY

GIANTS @ Panthers – I am very concerned about the G-Men. No Nicks, Bradshaw, Hixon, and Diehl because of the huge roles 3/4 play on offense. However, last year the Giants didn’t have Nicks, Bradshaw, David Baas and Henry Hynoski when they traveled to Foxboro and beat more formidable opponent than the Panthers they are about to face. However, Cam and Brady are two different Quarterbacks. The Giants will have their hands full but last year went 3-1 on short rest. Look for big games from Andre Brown and Rueben Randle, as well as the return of the Prince! No doubt that Cam and Steve Smith put up fantasy numbers though!

SUNDAY

Rams @ BEARS – Jay Cutler angry. Jay Cutler Smash (and it’s not J’Marcus Webb). It’s the Rams defense, but watch out for a Cortland “THE Instigator” Finnegan vs. Brandon Marshall bout at some point in this game. The Rams have played both of their games valiantly, but both have been indoors. The Bears have one of the toughest home field advantages and that will be on display this weekend. In addition, Steven Jackson, the Rams best offensive player is banged up and is a game-time decision.

You won’t like him when he’s angry!!

BILLS @ Browns – Yeah the Browns have challenged both teams they’ve played, but they’re still BAD. The Bills defense might be starting to click and is salivating at Brandon Weeden’s early tendency to make mistakes. CJ Spiller is playing out of his and the rest of his team’s mind right now. Trent Richardson will have to carry most of the load this game if they are to win.

Buccaneers @ COWBOYS – Wow, talk about a let down game after a nice win in Metlife Stadium against the champs? I will repeat what I’ve been saying that the Buccaneers are underrated, but that was a heart-wrenching loss for them last week after owning the first three quarters against the Giants. The Cowboys are looking to light up the scoreboard in their home opener and now Jason Witten should be 100% in Week 3. Romo is out to put a smile back on Mr. Glory Hole’s face.

LIONS @ Titans – Chris Johnson is playing like he’s worth every penny! Hang on choking on my sarcasm … Anddd we’re back. The Lions are coming off a tough loss against maybe the most complete team in the NFL, the Niners. The Titans are just not producing on offense and allowing opponents’ offense to produce WAY too much. The Lions need a bounce back game and they got the team to get it against. The Lions have a strong front seven, so I would expect Chris Johnson to struggle. The Lions are getting Mikel Leshoure back from injury and suspension so now they have two capable backs, dangerous. Also, Calvin Johnson doesn’t have a TD yet, in other word’s … HE’S.DUE.

Jaguars @ COLTS – This is just an ugly matchup. I am picking the Colts because their QB is simply better and they are at home where Luck seemed to play pretty well. Maurice Jones-Drew typically goes more than HAM against the Colts … let’s say he goes Double HAM typically. If the Jags defense steps up and Maurice Jones-Drew does his thing against the Colts, the Jags could be looking at their first of an expected one or two wins, but don’t bet on it!

Jets @ Dolphins – The Jets looked utterly lost last week and Reggie Bush looked utterly dominant. I am glad Reggie Bush is finally succeeding as an every down running back, but I don’t expect him to go off like that again this week against a much better Jets defense. Tannehill still doesn’t look great, but is finding a connection with Brian Hartline and has no problem handing the ball back to Reggie Bush. . If Dustin Keller plays this should be a sure win for them, if not don’t be surprised if the Dolphins no name (besides Cameeron Wake) defense wreaks havoc on the Jets.

49ERS @ Vikings – Honestly, I can see the Niners losing this game because they have to travel back across country for the third time already this year. The only problem is they’re playing the Vikings who’s best weapon, Adrian Peterson, goes head to head against the 49ers beastliest side, their front seven. The Niners look as complete as any team in this league and they shouldn’t slip up against the lowly Vikings.

Chiefs @ SAINTS – Who Dat Who Dat Who Dat ain’t going 0-3??? That’d be the Saints … this is the game where Drew Bees “Breesy” and puts together a W for his team. The Chiefs only hope is to let Jamaal Charles and Peyton Hillis run amock in the Thunderdome, but they’re going to be so far behind that it won’t be the case. Expect the Saints to come out firing! Pierre Thomas looked like the one of old last week with over a hundred yards. Dwayne Bowe proved that he is Matt Cassel’s ONLY target last week and should be.

Will the Bags make a return???

Bengals @ REDSKINS – The Bengals just simply don’t look like the Bengals of 2011, mainly on defense. The Bengals racked up a whole lot of points last week, against the lowly Browns, but gave up a ton to those same Browns as well and to the no-huddle Ravens. RG3 knows what he can do offensively and now he’ll have his home opener. The only rough patch for the Skins is the fact that Brian Orakpo and Adam Carriker are done for the year, both integral parts of their defense. This game is probably a toss-up but I’m going with the home team and the inspiring rookie QB.

EAGLES @ Cardinals – 2-0 vs 2-0 (WHAT???) … The Cardinals have played exceptional on the defensive side of the ball, but offense has been U-G-L-Y, and the same for the Eagles. They have turned the ball over nine times and Vick is responsible for seven of those. Calais Campbell and Darnell Dockett will be looking to get into the backfield and test the toughness of Vick’s flak jacket. There is no Jeremy Maclin and no King Dunlap, but as the Giants proved anybody can step up and help a team get a nice W. All that matters is LeSean Mccoy is still there and the Eagles defense is playing great. Eagles will show Kolb why they don’t regret trading him away.

FALCONS @ Chargers – Another 2-0 vs. 2-0 game. The Chargers have played two pipsqueaks so far, Raiders and Titans. The Falcons have played the Chiefs and the Broncos, and until the fourth quarter of their game with the latter have handled their business. The Falcons will continue their winning ways while making it look easy against the Chargers. The Chargers need Ryan Mathews back soon and it appears he’s headed back, but this is a tough front seven to get your first real game action against.

Texans @ BRONCOS – Yeah the Texans and the Niners are probably the most complete teams. But the Broncos defense are sneaky good (shut the Falcons down when it mattered last weekend, most of their points were given up with their backs against the goal line because of Peyton’s mistake). Peyton won’t make those same mistakes two weeks in a row and at home this time around. The Texans with the best 1-2 RB punch and Andre Johnson are good on offense but even more sound on Defense, but travelling to Denver is going to be tough. These Broncos fans love them some Peyton. 

STEELERS @ Raiders – No Polamalu, Harrison or Mendenhall? No problem! The Steelers took care of the Jets, who besides Run DMC, probably have a similar offense to the Raiders. The Jets defense is much better and the Steelers put some points up on them, so expect the same this week as Mike Wallace doesn’t have Antonio Cromartie on his tail. The Raiders are scary desperate at 0-2, but the Steelers will not start this year at 1-2, they will go into the Bye at 2-1 and welcome back their star running back, Rashard Mendenhall.

Patriots @ RAVENS– No Hernandez, and coming off a loss to the Arizona Cardinals are the Pats. They have been barely using their most consistent offensive weapon in Wes Welker. Stevan Ridley is developing rather nicely for them, but what other team consistently disrupts Tom Brady’s pocket presence besides the Baltimore Ravens?? These same Ravens are out searching for some sweet revenge after they missed out on a trip to Superbowl 46 because of Lee Evans’ dropped pass and Billy Cundiff’s botched kick. If the Ravens run their no-huddle offense, there’s no way the Pats defense can stop them.

“Never Forget 01/22/12”
-Baltimore Ravens’ Fans

PACKERS @ Seahawks – The Packers are very well rested after destroying the Bears last Thursday night. The Seahawks are coming off a big win at home against the Cowboys, but will not repeat their performance against this team. Clay Matthews, sitting at six sacks already, will lead the Packers better looking defense against rookie Russell Wilson. The Seahawks defense is underrated, but everyone is simply anticipating Aaron Rodgers to have one of his games, which he didn’t the first two games (three tough defenses in these first three games though: Niners, Bears & Seahawks).

Scary ass …

Okay, done with the pictures for this week, let’s get onto two new things for week 2…

SURVIVAL PICK:

Week 1 – I took the Texans vs. Jaguars, Week 2 – Bengals vs. Browns.

This week’s Survival Lock is the Steelers vs. Raiders. (If used: Bears vs. Rams)

UPSET ALERT:

Technically the Broncos are an Upset alert so we’ll keep them there, but if you want a real upset keep an eye on the Cardinals … 9-2 in their last 11 games dating back to last year. It’s not pretty but they find a way to win games.

Those are my two cents … cash them in!

Anthony (T-Catz)